Free MLB Picks: Braves at Diamondbacks

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Play on Atlanta Braves +114 at 5Dimes

Game Analysis: The Braves were swept in San Francisco to start the week but they are still a game over .500 on the road this season so there is a great opportunity to catch some value in a bounce back situation. Atlanta had won 12 of its previous 17 prior to its series with the Giants but the offense was unable to get anything going. The Braves faced two left-handed starters and could not produce and they also had to encounter Tim Lincecum. Arizona dropped its home series with the Padres as the bats came alive but the pitching once again letdown as it allowed 22 runs in that three-game set. The Diamondbacks have a team ERA of 5.12 over their last 10 games while allowing 5.9 rpg over that stretch. They hope Dan Haren can help get out of the rut but he is coming off his worst outing of the season after tossing eight straight quality outings to begin the year. Some could point to this being a bounce back spot for him and while that could be the case, he has struggled at home to pick up wins. His ERA at home is a solid 2.00 in five starts but Arizona is just 2-3 in those games as it has given him only 2.2 rpg of offensive support. Haren faced the Braves once last season and was hammered for six runs on 10 hits in just 5.1 innings. The Braves counter with Derek Lowe and he is once again pitching well after a hiccup four starts ago. He has tossed six quality outings in his last seven starts, allowing only two earned runs in five of those games. He knows the Diamondbacks very well from his days in Los Angeles and in his last six starts against them, he has posted a 1.91 ERA and this season, the offense of Arizona is even worse. The Diamondbacks are 3-13 in their last 16 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150 while the Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog. 3* Atlanta Braves