NFL Betting: Turnovers Can Turn the Tide

Last week the Baltimore Ravens had just 267 total yards in a Sunday night showdown with the Jets and were a measly 6 of 18 on third down. In addition, they averaged 2.8 yards per rush. What a terrible offensive performance! Oh, and by the way the Ravens won the game, 34-17. Say what? The difference was turnovers, with the Jets coughing it up 4 times (3 fumbles, 1 pick). “The best defensive effort I thought I had ever seen or the most amazing defensive performance I thought I’d ever seen... 

Anticipating Low Scoring Second Halves

Handicappers are always looking for angles to replicate week after week in an attempt to cull profit from the books. Here’s a tried and true oldie: Look at second halves to go under the total if the home team has a big lead. We’ve already seen it this season. In Week 3, the Ravens blitzed the Rams and led 27-0 at the half. They played it conservative in the second half, relied on their defense, and finished up with 17 total points scored in the second half. The biggest halftime deficit this season... 

NFL Handicapping: Beware of Early Season Phonies!

So…are we all set for the Lions/Bills Super Bowl? Because after three weeks, those were two of the remaining three undefeated teams in the NFL, along with the Packers. To put that in perspective, before the season started the Lions were 40-to-1 to win the Super Bowl, the Packers 5-to-1 and the Bills, fresh off a 4-12 season, were 100-to-1. Yet, there they were at the end of September among the NFL elite in the standings. I bring this up to emphasis the importance of patience. A hot start is nice... 

Football Handicapping: Ugly Dogs Have Plenty of Bite

Some folks don’t even like LOOKING at ugly underdogs, never mind finding the courage to take the points. But don’t hold your nose and pass on every ugly looking team on the board, because that’s why the point spread was invented. Too many bettors play favorites. I recall one bettor telling me his rule was to NEVER play a bad team. With all due respect, this is the wrong way to look at handicapping. Dogs offer just as much value as favorites. A successful handicapper knows how to... 

2011 NFL Power Rankings – Week 3

Who needs the preseason? Scoring is through the roof in the National Football League and through two weeks of the year seasoned quarterback play and horrendous defense have been front-and-center. With the lack of a traditional offseason and with a truncated training camp the thought was that teams would be a little sluggish out of the gate and that we may see some ugly, low-scoring games through the first month until everyone got into a rhythm. Not so much. While turnovers and penalties have still... 

NFL Futures Betting: Value in 2-0 and 0-2 Teams

This NFL season may be headed into Week 3, but that doesn’t mean we can’t continue to search out value in the NFL futures betting market. There have been a few early surprises this season, such as the Buffalo Bills and Washington Redskins, and some early disappointments, like the Kansas City Chiefs. The trick now is to figure out if there’s any long-term value in any of these surprise 2-0 outfits, or if they’re just fly-by-night pretenders, or if there’s an 0-2 team... 

Pro Football Stats: Read Between the Lines

The best time of the sports calendar is here, the opening week of the pro football campaign! There are mountains of stats and angles available for sports bettors to digest from this season and years past. Information certainly is a huge key when analyzing games and point spreads. Sometimes it can seem that there is too much info, but it’s essential to understand that stats are only a starting point. They don’t always tell the whole story. In fact, stats can sometimes lie, something to... 

The Best of the NFL 2011

The pro football season kicks off this week when the Saints travel to the defending champion Packers, a battle of the last two champs. Despite the fact that the NFC has won two in a row, the AFC has won 9 of the last 14 Super Bowls. Here is a look at some of the best of the NFL. NY Jets: The Jets do a lot of talking, but when are they going to get to their first Super Bowl since 1969? The bombast of sexy Rexy Ryan and the influx of talent (and characters) have made this another fascinating team to... 

NFL Survivor Pool Picks and Advice: Week 1

Hello again readers here at Doc’s, it’s that time of year that we all love the most: football season. And of course that means I’m back to deliver my weekly Survivor Pool picks advice column for Week 1 of the NFL 2011-12 NFL season. For those of you who may not know what a Survivor Pool is, it’s pretty simple: You pick one team per week that you are most sure will win its particular game (regardless of NFL point spread). However, once you choose that team, you aren’t allowed to pick it... 

2011 NFL Preview: NFC Teams with New Looks

The NFL regular season is approaching. Time for players, coaches and teams to turn over a new leaf. General managers have hired some new coaches, while coaches have added some offensive and defensive assistants to try and improve things. Here’s a look at some changes to look for with some teams in preseason. Redskins: Mike Shanahan looks to bounce back from a lousy first season, a coach Bill Belichick has said many times is the best in the league. He certainly is an above average offensive... 

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