Free Baseball Picks: Cubs at Diamondbacks

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Featured Free MLB Pick | Steve Merril

Arizona Diamondbacks -120

Game Analysis: The Cubs limp into their series with the Arizona Diamondbacks having lost four of five and nine of their last 13 games. Tom Gorzelanny will make the start. He’s 2-5 with a 3.34 ERA in 10 starts this season. The left hander is making his second start after moving back into the rotation from the bullpen. Gorzelanny has already defeated the Diamondbacks, but that was at home in Wrigley Field. Stephen Drew (6-15), Justin Upton (4-10), Chris Young (4-7), Tony Abreu (2-7), Rusty Ryal (2-5), Cole Gillespie (1-3), and Augie Ojeda (1-1) all have good numbers against the lefty. Arizona is hitting .275 as a team at home while averaging 5.5 runs per game.

Arizona’s Ian Kennedy finally gets to pitch at home. Kennedy has lost three straight starts which were all on the road. He believes he has fixed a mechanical flaw during a bullpen session earlier this week. At home, Kennedy is 1-1 with a 2.41 ERA in six outings this season. He has already defeated the Cubs at Wrigley Field when the wind was blowing out. In that game, he gave up five runs and six hits in eight innings of work. Derrek Lee (0-4), Alfonso Soriano (0-3), Geovany Soto (0-2), Xavier Nady (0-1), and Tyler Colvin (0-1) are all looking for their first hits off of Kennedy. Chicago is just 15-24 on the road averaging only 3.8 runs per game away from Wrigley. They have scored just 12 runs over their last seven games which were all at home. The Cubs have also scored just 14 runs in their last six road games. Chicago’s offense is in a major slump so we’ll recommend playing Arizona minus the short price in this game this afternoon.

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