Free NFL Picks: 9/13

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*Featured Free NFL pick from John Martin*

Play on Houston Texans -4.5 at 5Dimes

Game Analysis: New York Jets’ starter Mark Sanchez will struggle in his first regular season start of his career. Not only is it his first start, but it comes on the road against a hungry Houston Texans’ fan base so expect it to be very hostile. To make matters worse on Sanchez, his defense is missing several key players. DE Shaun Ellis and LB Calvin Pace are both missing this game Sunday due to suspension. The Jets’ defense was awful in the preseason, giving up 23 or more points in every game. They’ll have their hands full against a Houston offense that put up 25.7 points/game at home last season, going 6-2 SU & 5-3 ATS in front of their home fans. Matt Schaub is back at the helm, and this Texans’ offense is one of the most potent in the league with Schaub under center and healthy. Houston has been strong at home under Gary Kubiak, 15-9 ATS since ’06. The Jets finished 0-5 ATS in their final 5 games last year, while the Texans went 6-1 ATS in their final 7 games. Cash in with Houston as the favorite.

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