Indiana at Michigan State Odds
Posted October 8, 2013 by Chris Kubala
The Indiana Hoosiers (3-2) hope to build off the momentum they picked up in their Big Ten opener when they travel to face the Michigan State Spartans (4-1) Saturday afternoon. The game kicks off at 12:00 pm ET from Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, Michigan and will be televised on ESPN2. Michigan State is currently a 9.5 point favorite.
Why Indiana Will Cover
The Hoosiers bounced back from a 45-28 loss to Missouri two weeks ago with an impressive 44-24 whipping of Penn State last week. Indiana broke open a close game with 23 fourth quarter points to coast. The Hoosiers rank 10th in the nation in passing offense, averaging 346 yards a game through the air.
Nate Sudfeld is the quarterback for Indiana; he’s completed 104 of 162 passes for 1,467 yards with 13 touchdown passes and six interceptions on the season. Tre Roberson has hit 12 of 22 passes for 234 yards and three touchdowns while third string quarterback Cameron Coffman is 2 of 7 for 29 yards and an interception. Tevin Coleman is the feature back for Indiana, leading the team with 76 carries for 478 yards and seven touchdowns. Stephen Houston is next in line with 35 carries for 230 yards. Cody Latimer leads the team in receptions with 28 for 486 yards and two touchdowns. Shane Wynn (275 yards, 4 TD), Kofi Hughes (18 receptions, 295 yards, 4 TD) and Ted Bolser (15 receptions, 174 yards, 4 TD) all provide other targets for Sudfeld in the passing game. Coleman has caught 15 receptions for 115 yards out of the backfield.
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in their last five games in October, 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight after allowing at least 280 yards in the air to the previous opponent and 4-1 ATS in their last five after picking up at least 450 yards of offense in their last game. Michigan State is 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight following a straight up win, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games and 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 on grass.
Why Michigan State Will Cover
The Spartans, much like the Hoosiers, won their Big Ten conference opener last week, dispatching Iowa 26-14 on the road. Michigan State overcame a 14-10 halftime deficit by keeping the Hawkeyes off the scoreboard in the second half. That helped overcome some of the offensive issues Michigan State has; they rank 107th in the nation in passing offense and 73rd in scoring offense.
Michigan State had a revolving door at quarterback, with Andrew Maxwell (15 of 33, 114 yards, no touchdowns, no interceptions) as the original starter under center. Tyler O’Connor (9 of 14, 90 yards, no touchdowns or interceptions) is in the mix as well but it’s Connor Cook that is the starter for the present. He’s completed 68 of 125 throws for 688 yards with seven touchdown passes and one interception while adding 95 rushing yards on 25 carries. Jeremy Langford is the Spartans’ leading rusher; he’s carried the ball 72 times for 311 yards and four touchdowns. Nick Hill has 42 carries for 219 yards and a touchdown as well. The passing game has been spread around; no player has more than 18 receptions, Macgarrett Kings Jr. (team high 18 grabs, team high 230 yards, 3 TD), Aaron Burbridge (15 receptions, 122 yards) and Bennie Fowler (17 receptions, 204 yards, 2 TD) provide a trio of capable pass catchers for Cook.
Michigan State is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with winning records, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 following an ATS win and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 in October. Indiana is 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record, 1-4 ATS in their last five following a straight up win and 0-4 ATS in their last four on grass.
It’s always sexy to go with the home team in games like this, especially when it’s a team like Michigan State with a lot of tradition. However, tradition doesn’t do a whole lot in the “what have you done for me lately” mentality of college football where most players don’t remember five years ago because they were in high school. Indiana has a high powered offense; take the points and don’t be surprised if Indiana wins outright. Indiana 37-24
Categories: College Football |