Marlins vs Diamondbacks Free Pick

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Play on Florida Marlins -120 [SPORTSBOOK.COM]

Game Analysis: The Florida Marlins pay a visit to the Arizona Diamondbacks for a four-game set that will be the final action for both squads before the All-Star Break on Tuesday night July 14 in St. Louis. Both teams enter tonight’s contest off a win in their last game with Florida grabbing a sweep stopping victory in San Francisco 7 to 0 while the Diamondbacks extended their winning streak to five-games with their win over San Diego which completed the sweep over the Padres. The Marlins will send left-hander Andrew Miller to the bump in hopes he can help his team end Arizona’s winning streak. The Diamondbacks are 8-15 W/L (-9.5) against left-handed starters this season. Over his last three starts Miller has improved going 2-1 W/L with an ERA of 4.05 averaging 6.7 innings per start over that span with twelve strikeouts and only four walks. Florida is averaging 4.3 runs per game on the road and against right-handed starters. The Marlins are 42-28 (+16.9) versus an NL team with a batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons. Another key factor for the Marlins is the performance of their bullpen on the road posting an ERA of 2.26 and a WHIP of 1.183. For Arizona to continue their recent winning streak they will need a solid outing from Yusmeiro Petit who has struggled this season and is 0-3 W/L with an ERA of 8.46 in seven trips to the bump. When he starts at home he is only giving the D-Backs a little over four innings per start with an ERA of 8.15 and a WHIP of 1.811. Arizona is 17-28 W/L (-17.2) in home games and 25-35 W/L (-10.3) when playing under the lights this season. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects a Marlins victory by 1.69 runs and our Math Model also has Florida capturing the win by 1.22 runs. So we will lay the short price with the visiting fish as they go into the desert and put an end to the recent winning streak of the host.

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