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NBA Handicapping: Can Double-Digit NBA Underdogs Be a Profitable Bet?


Posted January 31, 2011 by Michael Alexander

The NBA season is a long one and takes a full time effort to keep abreast of the continuous changes to ensure that you have a profitable season. Looking up and down the  leaderboard you can certainly see the “Haves” from the “Have Nots”. There are a number of NBA teams that you know don’t have a snowball chance of winning. Particularly any  teams who are listed as double-digit dogs would appear to be a losing proposition. Although SU that might be the case, with NBA betting you don’t play money lines for the most part. So, do double-digit underdogs present us with winning propositions? After pouring through this years data there are some significant opportunities with double-digit dogs. Let’s take a particular look at the Eastern Conference:

East Dogs vs. East Favorites: 18-8 ATS (69%)

Looking at SU numbers big underdogs in the Eastern Conference are only 1-25 SU versus superior opponents. However, they have had an uncanny ability to keep the games close. These facts would tend to indicate that there is not much of a difference between the top and bottom NBA teams in the Eastern Conference.

So, the bottom line is if you’re looking to cash in with double digit NBA dogs, at least this point in the season, the play would be to take any Eastern Conference double-digit underdog versus an Eastern Conference opponent.

Michael Alexander has never had a losing NBA season so join him at this site for all of his WINNING NBA picks.

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