NCAA Basketball Picks: Wake Forest at Virginia Tech

From Our #1 Overall Handicapper this Season!

Kyle Hunter – 2-1 on Monday with yet another winning day. Let’s keep this thing rolling. College hoops are absolutely crushing the bookies night in and night out! How about a 37-15 record in the last 52 plays?! Why not join in this winning today with one of the affordable and guaranteed premium packages? I’m now the #1 handicapper in college hoops as well as overall for 2010 thus far! Tuesday’s card is a strong one, so get a premium package for today, or better yet get the all access subscription rest of the college basketball season for a new reduced price.

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Steve Janus – Tuesday I welcome the NBA back with a 5* Blue Chip Total and a 3* side. I’ve also released my 3* college basketball play of the day. Currently enjoying a 32-20 (62%) College Basketball Picks Run!

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Play on VIRGINIA TECH HOKIES -5.5

Game Analysis: This is a great spot to play home teams in college basketball. A very favorable situation over the years is to back unranked home favorites when playing against ranked road underdogs. The logic is simple and it is usually an anti-public play as well because the mass majority will be backing the ranked team and in this case it is Wake Forest. Even better in this situation is the fact we are seeing reverse line movement which is always something to consider when looking at where the money is going. As of late Tuesday morning, nearly two-thirds of the action is on the Demon Deacons according to market reports yet this line is going the other way from an opening of -5 to its current number of -5.5 across the board. This is a rather big number to some so why wouldn’t they jump on the ranked team? There are a lot of reasons not to. Virginia Tech is no slouch as a win here over Wake Forest puts the Hokies into second place in the ACC and they have done so with little fanfare which I consider pretty unfair. We all know the ACC revolves around Duke and North Carolina but it is Virginia Tech that is the team that people should be talking about but aren’t. The Hokies are 7-3 in the conference and 20-4 overall and come into this game with an RPI of 49. It is that low because of a relatively soft non-conference schedule but that is far from their fault as the Hokies have played Iowa, Georgia, Penn St. and Seton Hall and all of those teams have fallen well below expectations coming into the season. Currently the Hokies are riding a four-game winning streak and they are a perfect 13-0 at home this season including a 5-0 record in the ACC with the average scoring differential in those five conference games being 7.4 ppg so they have been winning rather comfortably. This is the earliest that the Hokies have reached 20 wins in a season in school history so that should tell you something about the year they are having but no one is talking about. Wake Forest is obviously having a very good season as well but it is not at its best in road games where it is 2-3 in ACC action. One of those wins came in overtime while another came against disappointing North Carolina. Speaking of overtime, the Demon Deacons have won nine games since New Year’s Eve and of those four were in overtime including three at home so they have been good and maybe even fortunate, in winning some of those close games. Virginia Tech does have a lot of statistical edges in this matchup but a lot of that can be attributed to the fact that the schedule has been weaker than that of the Demon Deacons. One statistic that the schedule does not come into play with is free throw shooting, one of the biggest categories in college hoops. Over the last seven games, the Hokies are shooting 80.7 percent from the free throw line with is a great run. They entered this stretch shooting 68.1 percent from the foul line and they are currently shooting 71.8 percent from the charity stripe. Also over this seven-game stretch, they have shot at least 80 percent from the line in five of those games. Wake Forest is just 5-18 ATS in its last 23 games in the second half of the season against teams with a winning percentage of .800 or better while the Hokies are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games coming off a home conference win. 3* (540) Virginia Tech Hokies

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