Saturday’s Free MLB Pick: Padres and Phillies

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Featured Free MLB Pick | Steve Merril

Phillies/Padres OVER 7.5

Game Analysis:
Jon Garland may be the tonic that the struggling Philadelphia offense needs as they play game 2 of their series in San Diego. Garland is 0-4 with a 7.94 ERA in five starts against Philadelphia. The righty gave up six runs and 10 hits in seven innings pitched against the Phillies earlier this year. He has given up 17 runs and 26 hits in his last three starts against the Phillies. Raul Ibanez (22-66), Mike Sweeney (17-58), Placido Polanco (16-41), Shane Victorino (4-11), Ryan Howard (3-9), Jayson Werth (3-7), Chase Utley (2-7), and Carlos Ruiz (4-6) all smack Garland around. The Phillies are still averaging 4.6 runs per game despite their recent struggles.

Joe Blanton’s road struggles are well documented. He’s 1-4 with a 6.55 ERA in nine starts away from Philadelphia. Blanton’s numbers aren’t very good against the Padres either. He’s 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in three starts against San Diego. Earlier this season, Blanton gave up five runs and 11 hits in five innings pitched to the light-hitting Padres in Philadelphia. Miguel Tejada (4-14), Adrian Gonzalez (6-13), David Eckstein (3-6), Scott Hairston (3-6), Jerry Hairston Jr. (2-3), and Chase Headley (2-3) all hit Blanton hard. San Diego has scored 5 runs or more in 10 of their last 12 games. They’ll face a Philadelphia bullpen that has a losing record and an ERA near 4.35 on the road. We expect a high-scoring game here so we’ll recommend a play on the Over between the Phillies and Padres this afternoon.

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