Saturday’s Free Pick: Arkansas -3
Posted November 27, 2010 by Steve Janus
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Arkansas -3
Pick Analysis:
Arkansas enters this contest smoking hot, having won 5 in a row SU and ATS. Motivated by last season’s tough 3-point loss at LSU, I expect the Razorbacks to keep on rolling.
LSU is a good football team, but it is limited offensively, and it has certainly benefited from a home-heavy schedule. This will only be LSU’s fourth true road game of the season. The Tigers have played 2 other road games in league play. They were lucky to win at Florida against the mediocre Gators and they lost at Auburn.
It has not been wise to go against the Hogs when they are streaking. In fact, Arkansas is a perfect 9-0 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons. Plus, Arkansas has typically played its best ball late in the season. As a result, the Razors are 7-0 ATS in November games over the last 2 years. Consider that the Tigers are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games in November.
Expect Arkansas to pay LSU back for last season’s narrow defeat on senior day. Lay the points.
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Categories: College Football, Free Picks | Tags: arkansas
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