Sunday’s Free Pick: Pats/Browns OVER 43.5

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Featured Free MLB Pick | Steve Merril

Patriots/Browns OVER 43.5

Game Analysis:

Struggling teams usually perform well after a bye week, especially on offense, as the extra preparation time allows them to make adjustments and fix problems. This will be particularly true for the Cleveland Browns who have a young rookie quarterback, Colt McCoy, making only his third career start this week. McCoy has actually played well in his first two regular season games and has averaged 6.0 yards per passing play (versus opponents that allow just 5.7 yppp). McCoy should have continued success today against a suspect New England pass defense that is allowing 70% completions and 7.2 yards per pass (versus opponents that average just 60% and 6.6 ypp).

New England will also have success on offense in this game as the Patriots are averaging 29.3 points per game and 5.6 yards per play this season (versus opponents that allow just 21.6 ppg and 5.3 yppl). New England has been particularly strong thru the air as they average 65.3% completions and 6.8 yards per pass (versus opponents that allow just 58.4% and 6.4 ypp). This is a favorable matchup against a suspect Cleveland secondary that permits 7.3 yards per pass this year (versus opponents that average only 6.6 ypp). We expect a high-scoring game here so we’ll recommend a play on the Over between the Patriots and Browns this afternoon.

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