NFL Betting Tips: Turnovers Can Turn the Tide

Last week the Dolphins led the Patriots 7-6 at the half on Monday Night and ended up with an edge in yards 400-265. Final score: Patriots 41, Dolphins 14.  Say what? The special teams play of the Patriots got all the coverage, but the difference in the game came down to turnovers, with Miami losing that battle 4-0. “We had a tidal wave hit us,” Dolphins coach Tony Sparano said of the 3 interceptions and two blocked kicks. “It was a mess.” Turnovers are one of the most basic... 

NFL Betting: Beware of Early Season Phonies!

So…are we all set for the Bears/Chiefs Super Bowl? Because after three weeks, those were two of the remaining three undefeated teams in the NFL, along with the Steelers. To put that in perspective, before the season started the Bears were 13-to-1 to win the Super Bowl, the Steelers 18-to-1 and the Chiefs, fresh off a 4-12 season, 85-to-1. Yet, there they were at the end of September among the NFL elite in the standings.  I bring this up to emphasis the importance of patience. A hot start... 

September Football: Are the Defenses Ahead of the Offenses?

You have to remember that in September it’s more likely that defenses are ahead of the offenses in pro and college football. This might not seem the case when you watch Virginia Tech and Boise put on an exciting 33-30 shootout. However, that’s not the norm, either. The defenses are more ahead of the offenses than you might think. New Kansas coach Turner Gill wouldn’t argue with that, after watching his young offense stuck in first gear the whole game, a stunning 6-3 home ... 

The Best of the NFL

The pro football season kicks off next week when the Vikings travel to the Saints in a rematch of the NFL Championship thriller. Here is a look at some of the best of the NFL, and remember that the AFC has won 9 of the last 13 Super Bowls. Ravens (10-8 SU, 9-8-1 ATS in 2009): This is still a talented team with a monster defense that is capable of beating anyone. The offense has QB Joe Flacco (3,613 yards, 21 TDs, 12 picks) and adds a terrific weapon in WR Anquan Boldin. The ground attack is... 

NFL Handicapping: Turnovers

Recently on Monday Night Football we saw Brett Favre battle his old team, Green Bay. Favre was the story, with a terrific performance, but young QB Aaron Rodgers put up some staggering stats, with 384 yards and 2 TDs. Impressive. Did they win? Or cover? No, as Minnesota won 30-23. The most obvious explanation and it’s obvious: 2 turnovers. Turnovers are one of the most basic fundamentals of winning football, both straight up and against the spread when studying football picks. Defensive coaches...