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MLB Free Picks

MLB  |  May 22
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
-102
  at  5DIMES
> 2h.
Free MLB Play from Doc’s Sports Take #954 Milwaukee Brewers over Los Angeles Dodgers (1:10pm ET) Two teams experiencing disappointing seasons go at it on Wednesday afternoon as the Milwaukee Brewers host the Los Angeles Dodgers. Both teams check in with 18-26 records putting them in the cellars of their respective divisions. One bright spot for the Dodgers has been starting pitcher Hyun-Jin Ryu. The 26-year old Japanese import is 4-2 with a 3.42 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in nine starts this season so far. However, it appears as if the league might be catching up to the deceptive ways of Ryu. Over his last three starts he has walked 10 batters in 17 2/3 innings of work and his stuff hasn’t looked as sharp. He’ll face a very good Brewers lineup that hits left-handers hard, so I expect some runs to be scored against Ryu today. Wily Peralta gets the ball for the Brewers. Peralta has pitched much better than his 5.94 ERA indicates as his strand rate is one of the lowest in the league. He keeps the ball on the ground quite a bit, which should help him immensely in Miller Park where the ball can fly out with ease. The Dodgers are 14th in the National League in runs scored, ahead of only the lowly Marlins, so Peralta should fare well here. In the battle of underachievers, I like the Brewers to get the job done at home.

MLB  |  May 22
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
-142
  at  5DIMES
> 8h.
Free Pick on Detroit Tigers -142

This line is still very favorable for Detroit when you consider the pitching matchup. Justin Verlander has posted a 3.17 ERA on the season and he has 60 strikeouts in just 54 innings pitched. The Tigers have a .280 team batting average and they are scoring 5.3 runs per game. Cleveland is 20-42 the last two seasons after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span.

Cleveland will have Ubaldo Jimenez on the mound today. Jimenez has posted a 9.72 ERA in his 4 home starts. He has been rocked to the tune of 18 earned runs and 13 walks while averaging a mere 4.2 innings per start. Jimenez has not had much luck against Detroit throughout his career. He has a 5-7 record and a 5.12 ERA and 1.464 WHIP when facing the Tigers.

MLB  |  May 22
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago Cubs
+118
  at  BETONLINE
> 8h.
Matt is coming off a 1-2 baseball night on Tuesday and he is vowing revenge Wednesday in a big way! He is on a TREMENDOUS +$7,594 MLB run and he adds to it with an MLB Ultimate Underdog! His Underdog Betting System has been spot on this season and it continues! Overall, Fargo is a SMOKING +$14,726 in profits since December 8th!

The Pirates remain hot as they have won nine of their last 11 games after winning the series opener last night. The victory improved them to 16-9 at home but I feels this is an excellent spot to go against them. The offense has been lukewarm as Pittsburgh is hitting just .243 over its last 10 games including .228 against right-handed pitching. Francisco Liriano will be making his third start of the season and so far, he has been pretty solid. He has allowed just one run in each of his first two starts but he has yet to make it through six innings and despite a 1.64 ERA, he has a 1.55 WHIP so he has been fortunate that he has not allowed more runs with the amount of baserunners he has put on. He has faced the Cubs once and wax lit up last season, allowing four runs in 5.2 innings. Chicago has dropped two straight following a solid run where it went 5-2 over a seven-game stretch. The offense is showing signs of life with a .271 average over its last 10 games and while hitting lefties has been an issue, facing an inconsistent Liriano could make that come around. Jeff Samardzija is having a solid season with a 3.49 ERA through nine starts but he has certainly been a tough luck pitcher with just 3.1 rpg of support behind him. He has already faced the Pirates once this season and shut them out for eight innings and in his three career starts against Pittsburgh, he has a 0.72 ERA and all of those starts took place at PNC Park. Play (959) Chicago Cubs

MLB  |  May 22
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
Total
6½ un-105
  at  BETONLINE
> 8h.
This is a 1* free play on the "under" between the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins on Wednesday night (7:10 EST).

Cliff Lee (4-2, 2.83 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Lee was unfortunate to get saddled with a no-decision vs. the Reds last Friday, giving up two runs off six hits over seven frames, striking out seven and walking two. Lee is finally hitting his stride, quietly putting together a dominant stretch by not allowing more than two runs in each of his last three outings (note that Lee is 1-1 with a respectable 3.38 ERA in his last three vs. the Fish). Lee will be opposed by Kevin Slowey (1-4, 3.44 ERA) who is coming off an outing to forget in which he gave up six runs off seven hits over three frames vs. the Diamondbacks on Friday. Slowey has stumbled a bit over his last two starts, seeing his ERA rise from 1.81 to 3.44; a date vs. the Phillies is just what the doctor ordered though as the right-hander is 1-0 with a minuscule 0.73 ERA over his last two starts vs. Philadelphia already this season. I believe the table is set for these veterans to battle each other into the latter frames as they take advantage of these inconsistent line-ups. How about you? What do you think? Duel or slugfest?

AAA

MLB  |  May 22
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets
Cincinnati Reds
+102
  at  5DIMES
> 2h.
Cincinnati +108

The New York Mets Matt Harvey has been a delight to watch this season with a perfect 5-0 record and several dominant performances and odds are he is going to have a brilliant year if they let him keep pitching instead of capping his innings.

Despite his record though the Mets have lost two of his starts and I like this spot against a very good hitting Cincinnati lineup.

The Reds have a Mat of their own and he also has a perfect record at 4-0. This Mat, Latos, has a much longer track record of success including a 2.70 ERA against the Mets for his career.

I think Latos can outduel Harvey and the talent surrounding each is clearly better for Cincinnati.

Take advantage of the Reds as a slight dog.

5* Play

MLB  |  May 22
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Total
9½ ov+106
  at  5DIMES
> 6h.
MLB TOTALS - WEDNESDAY, MAY 22, 2013

TAMPA BAY RAYS v TORONTO BLUE JAYS

Pitchers:
TAMPA BAY RAYS: JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) ERA: 5.82 W/L: 2-2
TORONTO BLUE JAYS: MARK BUEHRLE (L) ERA: 6.34 W/L: 1-3

We have two starting pitchers in this game with a combined ERA of 12.16.
HELLICKSON has given up 14 earned runs in his last two games. Last out, in 7 2/3 innings, he gave up eight runs on 10 hits. BUEHRLE allowed five runs on six hits in six innings of work for a loss against the Yankees in his last start. This game has all the right ingredients for a slugfest.

Key Trends:
The total has gone OVER in 19 of Tampa Bay's last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Toronto's last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

Remember, the trend is your friend:

RECOMMENDATION: OVER (9.5 ov+106)