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Jack's Free Pick Friday: Marlins/Cubs OVER 9.5

A.J. Puk has been a major disappointment for the Miami Marlins this season.  He is 0-3 with a 5.90 ERA and 2.48 WHIP in three starts, allowing 7 earned runs and 26 base runners in 10 2/3 innings.

The Cubs have proven to have one of the most potent lineups in baseball. They are scoring 7.3 runs per game at home this season and 8.3 runs per game against left-handed starters.

The Marlins are scoring 5.1 runs per game against right-handed starters.  Jameson Taillon will be making his first start of the season for the Cubs today, and I don't expect it to go well for him. 

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket as well. There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to right at Wrigley Field this afternoon. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

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FREE PLAY on Marlins

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Friday’s FREE WINNER: Chicago Cubs.

Game 902.

11:20 AM PST/2:20 PM EST.

My friends, I had this matchup as a paid release yesterday. Unfortunately, it was postponed. The reason why I'm not putting it out as a paid release again today is because the line is opening about $.20 more than it was yesterday. And as you know me, I can't put out a premium release of that high price. But a win is a win, and I felt it was a good game for a free play.

The Chicago Cubs are starting to heat up. They sit just a half-game behind the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central, at 11-7. I'm not big into clichés, however history does sometimes repeat itself. The Cubs are once again struggling a bit on the road. However, they are once again crushing it at home. Chicago is a very respectful, 5-1 at Wrigley Field this season, outscoring guests, 44-22. On the opposite side of the spectrum, the Miami Marlins are tied for the poorest record in the NL, at 4-15. I don't think anyone expects too much from this team this season. Not even the Marlins or their fans themselves (LOL). They enter today's matchup dropping six of their last nine, while their opponent comes in here winning four of their last five. It's true, these two League rivals have split out the last eight meetings in this series going back to September of 2022. But this is a different season and these are two very different teams. On the mound today will be A.J. Puk and Jameson Taillon. The Marlins left-hander is 0-3 with a 5.91 ERA on the campaign as the team has lost all of three of his outings. The Cubs right-hander is making his season debut. Over three career starts against today's opponent, he is perfect at 2-0, with an anemic ERA of 0.54. Both, on the mound at the plate, the hosts numbers are far superior. I do expect the Cubs fourth-ranked scoring lineup (5.61 RPG) to light up the scoreboard at home. I just don't see the visitor can keep pace. Take Chicago. Thank you.

1* Free Sharp Play on Marlins

Playing in an exciting, close game on the Thursday is something I look out for while making Friday's MLB selections. Teams that play that Thursday game shouldn't have the same energy that the opposing team will have after a day off. Having said that, I really like this spot for the Pirates. Quinn Priester will get his first start of the season for Pittsburgh. Although he wasn't anything special last year in his eight starts, he has shown some potential. Boston turns to Bello who's allowed seven earned runs in his last 15.2 innings. The Pirates are the better team right now and Boston are dealing with a lot of injuries. At home, I like the Pirates to take the opening game of this three games series. 

Score Prediction: 7-3 Pirates

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Phillies

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1 Dimer on White Sox vs Phillies under

7* MLB White Sox/Phillies Free Pick

PLAY ON: White Sox/Phillies UNDER 8

I'm on the UNDER 8 in Friday's series opener between the White Sox and Phillies. Both these teams have been UNDER teams early on this season. UNDER is 11-6-1 in Chicago's 18 games and 12-7 for Philadelphia. The even bigger thing for me in this game, is who the White Sox have on the mound. Garrett Crochet will get the start for Chicago. He's got a 3.57 ERA and 0.838 WHIP in 4 starts with a strong 2.28 FIP and 2.37 xFIP. UNDER is 4-0 in his 4 starts. Big reason for that is the White Sox offense is pathetic. They are scoring just 2.1 runs/game and have totaled just 9 runs combined in their last 6 games. Phillies will have one of their top starters going in Spencer Turnbull, who has a 1.80 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 8! 

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1* Free Play on Red Sox

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5 RL) over Chicago White Sox (6:40p.m., Friday, April 19 MLB.tv) No bet against the White Sox in 2024 is a bad bet. The Phillies have a major edge in pitching in this game and I see them jumping out early and cruising to a victory. Chris Flexen is scheduled to go for Chicago and he has been hit hard in two of his three outings. Last time out he gave up six runs in less than 3 innings of work. Lay the run line wood with the better team on Friday. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Card featuring top plays in hockey, basketball, and golf. Sign-up now and let 52 years of handicapping experience work for you.

1* Free Pick on Yankees

1* Free Pick on Rays

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* Best Bet on A's

No analysis provided.

Free Pick on A's

MIKE'S RANGERS/BRAVES MLB FREE PICK

Both teams are swinging hot bats, with the Atlanta Braves scoring five runs or more in four straight games and the Texas Rangers putting 14 runs on the board through their last two games. 

We'll see two left-handers on the mound to start the game, and both teams have been putting up good numbers against southpaws. 

2* FREE PICK ON THE OVER. 

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Friday Headliners Include the MLB Friday Night TOP TOTAL and another top NBA Playoff Power System side

On Friday the MLB Comp play is on Kansas City at 7:40 eastern. KC is a live dog here tonight at home and they already have a win over Baltimore with Alec Marsh on the mound. Marsh allowed just a run through 7 innings in the opener in Baltimore. Kremer goes for the Orioles and he was serviceable against KC at home going 5 innings allowing 3 runs. Now he has to face them on the road which will likely be tougher.. Heading to the Database Rob notes that game 30 or less road favorites off a home favored win scoring 7 or less runs are 0-5 in April games the last few seasons. KC is solid at home and we will back then for our comp play tonight. Rob V-

1* MLB - Brewers/Cardinals FREE PICK on Brewers -125

1* on Cardinals

Mariners -127

Get ready for some action at Coors Field as the Mariners (9-10) kick off a three-game showdown against the struggling Rockies (4-15) Friday night at 8:40 PM ET. Seattle heads into this matchup as the favorites (-133 moneyline), looking to capitalize on their recent 3-game sweep of the Reds in Seattle. Emerson Hancock (1-2) gets the nod on the mound, aiming to keep the Rockies' bats quiet. Colorado, on the other hand, aims to turn things around with Dakota Hudson (0-3) leading their charge. Both teams are coming off contrasting results. Tonight, I'm leaning towards the Mariners ML. At this point of the season they just pass the eye test far more than the Rocks do. My daily free plays are meant to be .75% bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the Mariners ML tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray

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MLB Free Pick - Toronto at San Diego

Coming off three straight series wins, San Diego will trot out No. 5 starter Matt Waldron (0-1, 3.14 ERA) to open this series. The knuckleballer is coming off a no-decision Saturday at the Los Angeles Dodgers, allowing one run over five innings in the team's 5-2 loss. This will be the right-hander's first career appearance against Toronto. Toronto starts the trip with rookie Yariel Rodriguez (0-0, 2.45) scheduled to start. He made his big league debut Saturday in a 5-3 victory over Colorado, lasting 3 2/3 innings and 68 pitches. The right-hander gave up four hits and a run with two walks and six strikeouts. San Diego’s relievers have registered a strong 2.70 ERA and 2.78 FIP in the past ten days and 33.1 innings of work.

Free Total Annihilator On Blue Jays vs Padres under

Friday MLB free play. My selection is on Arizona over San Francisco at 10:15 pm et on Friday.

The Giants took the opener of this series by a 5-0 score last night. I look for the Diamondbacks to answer back on Friday as they give Jordan Montgomery his first start of the season against Blake Snell of the Giants. Snell has already made two starts and has struggled mightily, recording a 6.06 FIP and 1.86 WHIP in seven innings of work. There's no reason for Arizona to hang its head off consecutive losses as it is still 5-4 over its last nine games and the pitching matchups set up well for the rest of the series with Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly slated to start the next two contests. I'm confident they can get to the left-hander Snell on Friday and it's worth noting that the Giants bullpen entered this series having recorded a 5.05 ERA and 1.30 WHIP on the season. Take Arizona.