Sports Handicapper Doug Upstone's Picks & Predictions
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Doug Upstone's Premium Picks Streaks & Trends
| Sport | W-L | Profit | Win Pct | Since | Archive |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 9-4 | $472 | 69% | 2026-01-03 | View Picks |
| Top All Sports | 10-6 | $305 | 63% | 2026-07-12 | View Picks |
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
I pondered this game all week, liking their offense and the Wolfpack off a horrific loss. With Louisville on deck for N.C. State, App. State is more mentally prepared, and the home team is 1-8 ATS vs. teams averaging 250 or more passing yards a game.
Ever since Bo Levi Mitchell suffered a season-ending ankle injury in Week 5, Hamilton has gone 2-9 SU, including back-to-back double-digit losses. Edmonton saw their four-game win streak come to a halt losing at Toronto despite outgaining them by over 130 yards, but three TO’s did them in. The Elks are 6-1 (5-2 ATS) at home, winning by an average of 13.7 PPG. With the Ti-Cats very limited on offense, note that Edmonton is 8-0 ATS playing against a team with a losing record after nine or more games, winning by 12.2 PPG.
The conference opener for both teams, who are 1-2. Kent State returns the more experienced squad and is one of only three teams in the MAC to have their QB back. This series has been dominated by the home team at 9-2 SU and 8-2-1 ATS, and look for that to continue.
Nebraska is 3-0 after winning three times in Lincoln, and all they have proved is they are good enough to win the MAC (2-0). The Cornhuskers head to East Lansing, riding a 1-6 ATS record as a conference road favorite. Michigan State played an excellent half of football at Notre Dame, being the more physical club and showing they can stop the run. This is what you would expect from a Pat Fitzgerald coached-squad. With the home team on a 6-0 SU run in this series, road clubs rushing for 4.8 or more YPC, against a team with an average rushing defense (3.5 to 4.3 YPC), after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game, are 13-38 ATS. A three-point outcome either way.
Oregon’s title hopes might be over if they lose in L.A. against USC. The Ducks are waddling 3-point road faves after losing at OKIE State and surviving Boise State. But the unbeaten Trojans at 4-0 have given up 26 points to San Jose St, 30 to Louisiana, and 35 at Rutgers. This looks and feels like your typical Lincoln Riley club that can’t find a defense to match the offense. We should have a great QB matchup, facing what seem to be vulnerable defenses. Note that home teams, after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four contests, are 20- 3 OVER in September games.
Michigan “exploded” for 35 second-half points against UTEP, Yawn! The Wolverines continues its seemingly never-ending home schedule against an always defensive-minded Iowa crew. Michigan has been held in check in five of six halves of football, and with the total at 38.5, points don’t figure to be plentiful. The Hawkeyes are supposed to be better offensively, but only scored 16 at home against what is supposed to be a weaker Iowa State squad. Scoring over 40 against directional schools like NIU and UNI proves nothing. This has a 16-13 to 20-17 feel to it in an old-school Big Ten game, and I’ll take the +5.5 with Iowa, who is 7-0 ATS, playing against a team with a winning record.
Oklahoma State had a master game plan in upsetting Oregon at home a couple of weeks ago. But West Virginia did the same to Virginia in Charlotte last week, and this looks like a Rich Rodriguez-coached team now back in Morgantown. The Mountaineers are #6 running the ball with their Rich Rod run game, which should cause some problems for Okie State, who looked uncertain of themselves on the road at Tulsa. The Cowboys have definitely improved with the coaching change, yet road teams averaging 4.8 or more YPC, against a team with a rushing defense allowing 3.5 to 4.3 YPC, after gaining 275 or more rushing yards last game, are only 13-38 ATS. Make it the ‘Teers by 6.
Despite Arch Manning’s great second half against Ohio State, nobody is proclaiming him the best QB in CFB. The Texas defense looks for real, and Tennessee is likely to find that out. The Vols are 3-0 with freshman quarterback Faizon Brandon at the controls. Tennessee is being cautious with their young QB, running the ball a great deal, and is #4 in the country in doing so at almost 300 YPG. Look for the Longhorns to dare Tennessee to beat them throwing with an extra man in the box. With Texas 8-1 UNDER after outgaining them by 175 or more total yards in their previous game, take UNDER 55.5.
List of accomplishments
| Year | Accomplishment | Record | Win % | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | #1 in PRENFL | 8-3 | 72.7% | $468 |
| 2018 | #3 in PRENFL | 7-2 | 77.8% | $478 |
| 2019 -2020 | #4 in CFL | 6-2 | 75% | $384 |
| 2017 -2018 | #8 in Basketball | 217-186 | 53.9% | $1,892 |
| 2025 | #9 in PRENFL | 5-1 | 83.3% | $390 |
| 2017 -2018 | #9 in CBB | 143-118 | 54.8% | $1,691 |
| 2017 | #10 in MLB | 27-21 | 56.3% | $224 |
Service Doug Upstone's Bio & About Section
Doug Upstone of Sports Capping has been involved in sports handicapping in some form or another his entire adult life. NOBODY watches and studies games more than he does. Whether it is live or going back and watching later, Doug has game notes and observations dating back two decades. (Yes, somehow he's still married to his original wife).
Doug is a process person, meaning he's developed his own power ratings in different sports to determine if the lines are accurate from his perspective, yet, always follows the fundamentals when handicapping games.
Doug has been writing articles and doing videos for more than 43 years at places like the New York Post, BookmakersReview, SportsBookReview, Oddstrader, Covers, The Daily Racing Form, StatFox, along with being seen at many other well-known websites on the internet.
Doug has had 30 No. 1 rankings at online sports monitors in a multitude of sports and consistently delivers HUGE profits. He's known for his diligence, preparation, knowledge, focus and willingness to share his expertise. In addition, he has 114 Top 10 finishes in his distinguished career and 38 Handicapper of The Month awards.
Release Times: Plays are released by 1:00 PM Eastern Time if not sooner. The only exception is Doug seeking a more favorable line, which is released later.
Ratings -
6-Unit - Game of the Year
5-Unit - Game of the Month
4-Unit - Game of the Week
3-Unit - Daily Best Bets
2-Unit - Above Average Plays
1-Unit - Standard Plays (Doug bets these)