Daily Free Baseball Picks & Todays Guaranteed MLB Expert Predictions

Ricky's 1* play on ATL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.

- Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.

- Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the National League.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

Blue Jays vs Braves MLB Free Pick 

The Angle(s): The Atlanta Braves are 25–9 straight up and an impressive 23–11 against the runline sa favorites laying -130 or more on the season, showing how often they not only win but do so by margin. Chris Sale (8–3, 2.01 ERA) has been electric as usual, and the Braves are 7–2 against the runline as favorites with Sale on the mound, making this a spot where laying the runs is very much in play.  

The Bet: BRAVES -1½ (3%). 

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Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on Royals/Twins OVER 9

The Key: The weather will be favorable for runs tonight in Minnesota with temps approaching 80 and light winds blowing out to left field.  Seth Lugo has yielded 16 ER and 3 HR in 13 2/3 innings in his last 3 starts against the Twins.  He has yielded at least one HR in 3 consecutive starts coming in.  Andrew Morris is just an opener for the Twins as they will make this a bullpen game.  This is a very poor Minnesota bullpen with a 4.75 ERA on the year.  The Royals have been even worse with a 5.06 ERA as a bullpen.  Take the OVER.

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OVER 9

Kansas City and Minnesota have value to the over. Kansas City sends out Seth Lugo, who has been up and down at times this season. He’s also had a tough career against the Twins, owning an ERA of 4.76. Minnesota counters with rookie Andrew Morris, who has typically worked out of the pen, but has had to step into the rotation to open games for bullpen days. This Twins bullpen is a struggle and we will see plenty of scoring opportunities both ways. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Thursday FREE MLB O/U Play

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Free Pick on Twins +103

1* Best Bet on Royals -1½

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on A's +120

Thursday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: A's +122

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Pittsburgh Pirates +102

The Pittsburgh Pirates have one of the most improved offenses in baseball.  They are now scoring 5.2 runs per game this season after scoring 9 runs or more in four consecutive games coming in.  After blowing a 6-run lead to the Astros yesterday, look for the Pirates to come back highly motivated tonight.

The Astros are scoring 4.6 runs per game this season, but they are missing nearly half their lineup due to injury.  They have managed to get by without some of these guys, but they are still just 28-35 on the season largely due to injuries and a very poor staff.  They are allowing 5.1 runs per game.

Kai-Wei Teng has not been able to go deep in games for the Astros, so their already tired bullpen will get exposed again today.  The Astros have the worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.33 ERA this season.  Their bullpen went 4 innings in Game 1 and 5 innings in Game 2 using five different relievers last night.

Jared Jones makes his 2nd start back from injury and should be much sharper than his first.  He posted a 2.89 ERA in five starts in the minors.  Jones is 6-8 with a 4.36 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 23 career starts in the big leagues with 138 K's in 126 innings.  Bet the Pirates Thursday.

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1* on Dodgers -130

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Dodgers/Diamondbacks under 9½ -114

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Los Angeles Dodgers -130

The Los Angeles Dodgers should be bigger favorites over the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight given their starting pitching and bullpen advantage.  Justin Wrobleski is 7-2 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 10 starts for the Dodgers this season.  Ryne Nelson is 2-4 with a 4.82 ERA in 12 starts for the Diamondbacks, and 1-2 with a 5.97 ERA in six home starts.  The Dodgers have a 3.21 ERA as a bullpen while the Diamondbacks have a 4.04 ERA.  Give me the Dodgers.

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(#905) Los Angeles Dodgers | ML | . 

Justin Wrobleski (7-2, 2.87 ERA) vs. Ryne Nelson (2-4, 4.82 ERA) . 

Despite all of the injuries, the Dodgers are still very elite. With Ohtani on the bump yesterday, they dominated that game, allowing zero runs overall. I think that Wrobleski is one of the best arms in the NL that's not a part of the elite group in the Cy Young Race. He allowed just one hit in his latest outing, while striking out nine in 7.0 innings. I like him to be strong once again this evening. Nelson wasn't the best in his last game against the Mariners. This line is simply too good to pass up on Los Angeles this evening, considering the pitching matchup and the lineups. 

Burns' Prediction: 5-2 Dodgers.