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Free MLB Pick of the Day from Best Pro Baseball Betting Handicappers

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July 05, 2025

Jimmy Boyd

Jul 05 '25, 4:05 PM in 52m
MLB | BOS vs WAS
Play on: OVER 9½ -126

1* Free Pick on Red Sox/Nationals: over 9½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Released on Jul 05 at 06:46 am View Archive
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Stephen Nover

Jul 05 '25, 4:05 PM in 52m
MLB | Red Sox vs Nationals
Play on: Red Sox -103 at betonline

The Red Sox are 44-45 compared to the Nationals' 37-51 record. Boston is swinging hot bats averaging 8.5 runs in winning four of its last six games. Washington is allowing an average of 7.7 runs in its last seven games.

Yet the Nationals are slight favorites here mainly because Walker Buehler is starting for Boston.

Buehler has yet to overcome past serious arm injuries. He's struggling again this season with a 6.45 ERA. However, Nationals starter, lefty Mitchell Parker, isn't exactly Sandy Koufax. Parker has a 4.63 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Parker has allowed 13 earned runs in his past four starts spanning 20 1/3 innings.

The Red Sox are No. 2 in the majors in batting average against southpaws at .269. They also rank fourth in OPS and fifth in slugging percentage versus lefties.

Boston's bullpen also is considerably superior to the Nationals' relievers. The Red Sox rank eighth in bullpen ERA at 3.62 while Washington is last in bullpen ERA at a scary 5.91.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover has three premium plays today in addition to this free selection headed by his Canadian Football League Game of the Week. Stephen is 35-16-1 on his last 52 CFL plays. Stephen's premium plays are available for individual purchase, or in a discounted Multi-Sports Package. Stephen has turned a profit on 75 percent of his last 21 Multi-Sports Packages going 15-5-1.)

Released on Jul 05 at 10:50 am View Archive
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John Martin

Jul 05 '25, 4:05 PM in 52m
MLB | Red Sox vs Nationals
Play on: Nationals -105 at Buckeye

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Washington Nationals -105

The Washington Nationals will bounce back from an 11-2 loss to the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of this series yesterday.  The Nationals have the starting pitching advantage in this one and I like their lineup more as well.  Mitchell Parker has settled in after a rough start to the season giving up 7 earned runs in 17 innings in his last three starts.  But this is more of a fade of Walker Buehler than anything.  Buehler is 5-6 with a 6.45 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 14 starts for the Red Sox this season.  Buehler has given up 25 earned runs and 7 home runs in 20 1/3 innings in his last five starts for a 11.07 ERA.  Give me the Nationals.

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Released on Jul 05 at 01:22 pm View Archive
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Matt Fargo

Jul 05 '25, 4:10 PM in 57m
MLB | Yankees vs Mets
Play on: Mets +124 at Buckeye

This is a play on the NEW YORK METS for our Saturday Free Play. The Yankees dropped the opener of this series 6-5 on Friday as Luke Weaver gave up a two-run shot to Jeff McNeil in the seventh inning. New York has nor dropped five straight games to fall two games behind Toronto in the American League East as the pitching has been horrible during this stretch, allowing 8.4 rpg and while they send their best starter to the hill, it is not a good matchup with the Mets bats starting to finally show some life. Carlos Rodon is having a solid season with a 2.95 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over 18 starts with very similar home and road splits. He comes in as an overpriced favorite on the road where the Yankees have dropped three straight and four of his last five. The Mets have won three straight after losing 13 of their previous 16 games and they turn to Frankie Montas who is making just his third start. His first outing was solid as he allowed no runs over five innings against the Braves and was lit up in his last start against the Pirates but that one was on the road and we love the rebound possibility back home. Play (916) New York Mets

+$26,580 MLB run. 14-6 MLB Underdog Run. It was a PERFECT 2-0 Underdog SWEEP in MLB with the winners on the +160 Orioles and +159 Astros and we roll it into Saturday. THREE MLB Winners for Saturday as we go for the PERFECT 3-0 SWEEP!

Released on Jul 05 at 11:00 am View Archive
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Sal Michaels

Jul 05 '25, 4:10 PM in 57m
MLB | Royals vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Royals +121 at Buckeye

Free Play on Royals +121

Released on Jul 05 at 02:04 pm View Archive
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Brandon Lee

Jul 05 '25, 4:10 PM in 57m
MLB | Royals vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Diamondbacks -134 at Heritage

Saturday's MLB Free Pick

PLAY ON: Arizona Diamondbacks -134 

Released on Jul 05 at 08:51 am View Archive
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Joseph D'Amico

Jul 05 '25, 4:10 PM in 57m
MLB | Yankees vs Mets
Play on: Yankees -134 at circa

We go 3-0 today in 3 sports: ***BIG GAME*** MLB AL CENTRAL GAME OF THE MONTH, CFL 2-0 MVP PLAY, & my WNBA ODDSMAKERS MISTAKE. Follow me with these 3 BIG WINNERS and you will WIN BIG!

Saturday’s FREE PLAY: New York Yankees.

Game 915.

1:10 PM PST/4:10 PM EST.

The Yankees blew a lead yesterday in the series opener with the Mets to now lose five in a row, and drop them into a tie for second place in the AL East with the Rays. With only a handful of games remaining before All-Star Break, the Yankees must put their foot on the gas pedal, and start winning. It's true, the Mets have had their way in this subway series, taking seven of the last 10 overall meetings, going back to July 2023. They currently sit in second place behind the Phillies in the NL East, trailing by half-game. They have won three in a row as their lineup has started to surge. However, overall, I think we can all agree the Yankees offense, which ranks in the top 10 in every major category, is the better lineup. I feel they're going to break out here today, and get a well needed victory, especially with Carlos Rodon (9-5, 2.95 ERA) taking the hill. The left hander is 3-0 with a 1.15 ERA in three career starts against the Mets. Granted, Frankie Montas has done well against the Yankees in his career. But the right-hander comes off an atrocious outing in his last start on the road at the Pirates, getting shelled for six earned runs in just 4.0 innings pitched. Look for the Yankees to bounce back here with authority, exact some revenge against their crosstown rivals, and get a well needed victory. Take the Yankees. Thank you.

Released on Jul 05 at 10:11 am View Archive
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Kenny Walker

Jul 05 '25, 4:10 PM in 57m
MLB | Yankees vs Mets
Play on: Mets +142 at Ace

Free Pick on Mets +142

Released on Jul 05 at 09:02 am View Archive
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Hunter Price

Jul 05 '25, 4:10 PM in 57m
MLB | Orioles vs Braves
Play on: Braves -134 at Heritage

1* Free Pick on Braves -134

Released on Jul 05 at 09:46 am View Archive
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Cole Faxon

Jul 05 '25, 4:10 PM in 57m
MLB | Royals vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Royals +130 at Ace

FREE PLAY on Royals +130

Released on Jul 05 at 10:46 am View Archive
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Marc David

Jul 05 '25, 7:15 PM in 4h
MLB | Tigers vs Guardians
Play on: Tigers -132 at Heritage

David's 1% MLB Free Pick

We really like the road team in this matchup. The line looks mispriced when you consider that Cleveland has lost nine of its last 10 games and Detroit has won three in a row with Casey Mize on the mound. 

This is a 1% free play on the Tigers on the moneyline. 

Released on Jul 05 at 05:38 am View Archive
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ProSportsPicks

Jul 05 '25, 7:15 PM in 4h
MLB | Tigers vs Guardians
Play on: Guardians +1½ -140 at Buckeye

PSP Data Driven 1* Guardians.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the underdog. The Guardians are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games. The Guardians are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

Released on Jul 04 at 11:16 pm View Archive
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Mike Williams

Jul 05 '25, 7:15 PM in 4h
MLB | Tigers vs Guardians
Play on: Tigers -122 at circa

1* on Tigers -122

Released on Jul 05 at 10:15 am View Archive
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Ray Monohan

Jul 05 '25, 7:15 PM in 4h
MLB | Tigers vs Guardians
Play on: Guardians +121 at Ace

Cleveland +121

The Guardians have value here as they try to snap an 8 game losing skid. Casey Mize will go for the Tigers and he has struggled in his career against Cleveland. He owns an ERA over 4 against them and has struggled to work deep again matchups against them. Cleveland is looking for a spark and they’ll come out and make Mize work. They tallied 9 hits on Friday night and this should be a game where they get some timely hits. Grab Cleveland. My daily free plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the GUARDIANS ML tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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Released on Jul 05 at 10:37 am View Archive
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Rob Vinciletti

Jul 05 '25, 7:15 PM in 4h
MLB | DET vs CLE
Play on: OVER 9 -115

Saturday card has the 100% 2025 INTER LEAGUE GAME OF THE YEAR headlining along with a CFL Totals Play. CFL 10-2 Ranked #1 overall. There is also a 2x perfect WNBA Play. MLB Comp play below.

The MLB comp play is on the Over 9 runs in the Detroit at Cleveland game at 7:10 eastern. This game fits a nice 13-0 over system that plays over for winning road favorites like Detroit that are off a road favored win in game 2 of a series vs a divisional team if they scored less than 3 runs vs an opponent that is under .500 like Cleveland that was not shutout in the loss. These games average a shade over 11 runs on average since 2004. Detroit is on a 7-1 over run on the road. Logan Allen has allowed 7 runs in his last 11 innings and allowed 4 runs in 3+ innings in his last start vs the Tigers. Mize goes for Detroit and he allowed 1 run in 5 innings at home vs Cleveland now he gets them on the road. Look for this game to get over the total, particularly late when the bull pens get involved. Rob V-

OU:13-2

2025/07/0519:15Sat2025awayTigersCasey Mize -RGuardiansLogan Allen -L-1309

Released on Jul 05 at 12:10 pm View Archive
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Dave Price

Jul 05 '25, 7:15 PM in 4h
MLB | Tigers vs Guardians
Play on: Tigers -126 at Heritage

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Detroit Tigers -126

The Key: The Cleveland Guardians are 0-8 in their last 8 games overall scoring just 13 runs total in those 8 games for an average of 1.6 RPG.  They can't get anything going at the plate right now, and it won't get any easier against Casey Mize today.  Mize is 8-2 with a 2.86 ERA in 14 starts for the Tigers this year.  The Tigers rank 5th in the majors scoring 5.0 RPG.  Logan Allen is 5-6 with a 4.27 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 15 starts for the Guardians this year.  Allen yielded 4 ER and 10 base runners in 3 2/3 innings of a 5-0 loss to the Tigers on May 25th in his lone lifetime start against them.  Take Detroit.

Released on Jul 05 at 12:42 pm View Archive
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Mike Lundin

Jul 05 '25, 9:10 PM in 5h
MLB | CWS vs COL
Play on: UNDER 11½ -123

MIKE'S MLB FREE PICK

Sure, both starters have had their struggles, but neither lineup is built to exploit them. Rockies righty German Marquez has quietly put together some solid outings, and with both teams averaging just 3.5 runs per game on the season, this total looks inflated.

The White Sox are 7-3 to the under in their last 10, and the Rockies are 8-2 to the under over the same stretch. I like the under here.

3% FREE PICK ON THE UNDER. 

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Released on Jul 05 at 05:53 am View Archive
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Steve Janus

Jul 05 '25, 9:10 PM in 5h
MLB | CWS vs COL
Play on: UNDER 11½ -110

1* Free Sharp Play on White Sox vs Rockies under 11½ -110

Released on Jul 05 at 12:00 am View Archive
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Dan Kaiser

Jul 05 '25, 9:10 PM in 5h
MLB | White Sox vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies -110 at BookMaker

The Chicago White Sox take on the Colorado Rockies in another battle between the worst two teams in baseball. The Sox came away with a win yesterday. Chicago will start Jonathan Cannon with Colorado countering with German Marquez. Jonathan Cannon is 2-7 with a 4.59 ERA in 11 starts. The Sox are  1-3 overall in his last four starts. German Marquez is 3-9 with a 5.62 ERA in 17 starts this season. The Rockies are 2-3 overall in his last five starts. Cannon has lasted just three innings in each of his last two starts. Marquez has not allowed more than two earned runs in any of his last four starts, including two scoreless performances. I don’t like backing Marquez or the Rockies but he has been better than cannon.

Play on Colorado. This is a 3% play.

Released on Jul 05 at 09:10 am View Archive
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Ricky Tran

Jul 05 '25, 9:40 PM in 6h
MLB | Rangers vs Padres
Play on: Padres -131 at circa

Ricky's 1* play on SD.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- San Diego is 7-0 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Texas.

- Texas is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games against San Diego.

- Texas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games played in July.

Verdict: The value is on the Home favorite.

Released on Jul 04 at 11:40 pm View Archive
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Doug Upstone

Jul 05 '25, 9:40 PM in 6h
MLB | Rangers vs Padres
Play on: Padres -115 at BookMaker

Free Play – Take #926 San Diego -115 over Texas (9:40 p.m. ET, Saturday, July 5)

Let's start being saying San Diego has owned Texas, on a 14-1 dominating run after last night’s victory. Veteran left-hander Patrick Corbin (4-7, 4.26 ERA) pitched unbelievably well to start the season but his ERA has been on the rise at 5.28 in June. Padres starter Stephen Kolek (3-3, 3.73 ERA) has a home ERA over 9.00, but he’s facing a Rangers lineup that is #25 in runs scored. Add in the Friars are 26-14 at home and 13-3 at Petco Park with a money line of -100 to -150.

Doug Upstone is on baseball runs of 11-4 and 18-7! Doug’s also winning long-term at 202-145 the last 126 days, for a profit over $2,600! 

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Free Video Picks (870-689 long-term) 231-189 and 27-17 runs

Released on Jul 05 at 12:53 pm View Archive
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Jack Jones

Jul 05 '25, 9:40 PM in 6h
MLB | Rangers vs Padres
Play on: Padres -115 at betonline

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: San Diego Padres -115

We are getting the San Diego Padres pretty cheap tonight to fade Patrick Corbin and the Texas Rangers.  The Padres are 14-1 in their last 15 meetings with the Rangers after taking Game 1 yesterday.

Corbin posted a 5.20 ERA or worse while making at least 31 starts in each of his final four seasons in Washington.  I don't believe he is automatically fixed in Texas.  Corbin is 4-7 with a 4.26 ERA in 15 starts for the Rangers this season.  He has allowed 15 earned runs and 35 base runners in 21 innings in his last four starts.  

Corbin is 0-2 with a 6.16 ERA in his last three starts against San Diego, allowing 13 earned runs in 19 innings.  I'll gladly back Stephen Kolek, who is 3-3 with a 3.73 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He is proving he belongs in his first full season as a starter.  Bet the Padres Saturday.

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Released on Jul 05 at 12:18 pm View Archive
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Brody Vaughn

Jul 05 '25, 10:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Giants vs A's
Play on: A's +154 at circa

1* Free Play on A's +154

Released on Jul 05 at 11:00 am View Archive
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Dustin Hawkins

Jul 05 '25, 10:05 PM in 6h
MLB | Giants vs A's
Play on: A's +154 at circa

1 Dimer on A's +154

Released on Jul 05 at 11:30 am View Archive
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