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Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on San Diego Padres +125

The Key: For the first time in years, the San Diego Padres are actually better than the San Francisco Giants this season. The Padres have won as +180 and +150 dogs in the first two games of this series against the Giants.  Now they are sizable dogs again and shouldn't be.  Luis Perdomo has held his own this season and has been especially effective against the Giants.  He is 1-0 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts vs. San Francisco.  Matt Moore is having a forgettable season at 3-10 with a 5.81 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over 19 starts.  San Francisco is 2-14 revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs over the last 2 seasons.  The Giants are 2-8 in Moore's last 10 starts, including 0-5 in his last 5 home starts.  Take San Diego.

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Free Play on Rays -1½ +115

Free Total Annihilator On White Sox vs Royals over 10½ -135

Milwaukee vs. Philadelphia Under 9

This one has the potential to be a low scoring game.

Both offenses see starting pitchers who have been solid as of late. 

LH Brent Suter goes for the Brewers and he sits with an ERA of just 3.09 this season. The LH is 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA over his last 3 starts since being entered into the rotation. 

On the other side of things RH Jeremy Hellickson counters. He continues to pitch with a chip on his shoulder, especially as of late. Hellickson is likely to be traded at the deadline, as his value continues to rise with his performance. This is a big start for him as the deadline continues to get closer and closer.

Some trends to note. Under is 6-1-2 in Hellicksons last 9 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-0 in Suters last 5 starts overall.

This is a nice spot for the Under.

Back Under.

5* Cappers Club FREE Play.

Good Luck, Cappers Club. 

1* Free Play on Astros -117

Play - St. Louis Cardinals w/Wainwright (Game 951).

Edges - Cardinals: Wainwright 12-1 last 13 team starts during July, including 9-0 the last nine; and 11-3 last 14 team starts in this series, including 4-1 last 5 games here… Cubs: Lester 4-6 last 10 overall team starts versus St. Louis. With Wainwright in strong KW form with 18 Ks and 3 BBS his last three starts, we recommend a 1* play on St. Louis.  Thank you and good luck as always.

> Marc’s powerful database has isolated a Top Of The Ticket MLB Key Play on Saturday night’s card backed with killer winning angles inside the game. Put this beauty right at the top of your ticket now and win real good again with Marc this evening - you’ll be glad you did! 

The Blue Jays just got destroyed yesterday losing 13-3.  I see a nice bounce back fro mthem today with a red hot pitcher in Stroman.  Prior to the Indians winning yesterday they had lost 6 of 7 games.  Salazar is a good pitcher but quite frankly his numbers dont match up this year.

He is 3-5 in 10 starts with a 5.50 ERA.  He is just 1-3 at home with a 5.16 ERA.  He doesn't have the best numbers either facing the Blue Jays with a 4.58 career ERA.  Stroman has pitched very well against the Tribe with a career 2.13 ERA.  Indians are getting way to much respect here tonight! 

Yankees vs. Mariners Over 8.5

This play just missed out on our premium card. The New York Yankees and the Seattle Mariners face off on Saturday, and with two pitchers who have the tendency to give up their fair share of runs the over has good value. On the mound for the Yankees is Masahiro Tanaka  who has struggled this year. He comes into this game with a 7-9 record an an ERA over five. 

In his last two starts he has given up a total of eight runs and that resulted in two losses for the team.  On the mound for the Mariners is Ariel Miranda who comes into this game really struggling. He has only gone 10.2 innings in his last two starts and has given up 11 runs. He is walking too many guys right now and they are turning into runs. Some trends to note.  Over is 9-2-1 in Tanakas last 12 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Over is 3-1-1 in Mirandas last 5 starts on grass. 

Back the Over. Good Luck, Razor Ray. 

5* FREE MLB Play on Over

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Free Pick Saturday UNDER the total in Cleveland Indians vs Toronto Blue Jays @ 7:10 ET - The Blue Jays Marcus Stroman has been on a fantastic run. The Toronto right-hander has given up a total of only 3 earned runs in his last 4 starts. Keep in mind, on the season, Stroman has allowed 2 earned runs or less in 14 of his 19 starts! Danny Salazar gets the start for the Indians here. The right-hander has been out since late May but the fireballer is ready to go here. This guy piles up the strikeouts. Salazar has fanned 73 in 52 and 1/3 innings this season. Also, the right-hander is now healthy again and, keep in mind, he had struck out 69 in his first 47 innings this season! The Blue Jays are 10-3 to the under in Saturday games this season and Toronto had averaged just 3 runs per game in their 5 games prior to Thursday's upset win at Boston. Stroman has a 2.13 ERA in 4 career starts against the Indians and all 4 stayed under the total. Look for that under mark to reach a perfect 5-0 with another pitchers duel in this one Saturday. Cleveland entered Friday's action having gone 35-22 to the under in night games and 28-18 to the under in games against teams with a losing record this season. Also the under is 11-5 in Indians Saturday games this year. Look for more of the same this Saturday for both clubs! Free Pick on UNDER the total in Cleveland. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Kansas City Royals -1.5 (+115)

The Chicago White Sox are in full-blown rebuild mode right now.  It is showing in their play of late after trading away several of their best players.  The White Sox are 0-7 in their last seven games overall to drop to 38-55 on the season.

The Kansas City Royals are fighting to win the AL Central as they are right in the thick of the race with the Indians and Twins.  Jason Vargas has been their best starter this season, going 12-4 with a 3.05 ERA in 18 starts, including 7-2 with a 2.64 ERA in 10 home starts.

Mike Pelfrey has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the past handful of seasons.  He is 3-7 with a 4.35 ERA and 1.410 WHIP in 15 starts this season, including 0-1 with a 6.92 ERA and 1.769 WHIP in his last three starts.  He is also 1-5 with a 6.20 ERA and 1.869 WHIP in nine career starts against Kansas City.

The Royals are 10-1 in home games after batting .333 or better over a 3-game span over the last two seasons.  The White Sox are 10-25 in their last 35 road games.  The Royals are 21-7 in Vargas' last 28 starts overall, including 13-3 in his last 16 home starts.  Bet the Royals on the Run Line Saturday.

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We're recommending a play on the Astros with McHugh over Tillman, as Collin McHugh makes his first start of the season.  Tillman has been a disaster and we expect the Astros to make the righthander pay at the plate in this one.  Houston enters ranked #1 in MLB in runs scored per game, team batting average, OPS, and home runs!  This is not the lineup to get healthy against, when you own a 7+ ERA, as Tillman does. We played Houston last night and took an 8-2 lead into the 9th before the Orioles made a valiant effort, before falling short, 8-7.  We expect tonight's free play on Houston to start the same and finish without the late inning stress.  The Astros are on a 14-3 run in head-to-head meetings with Baltimore and they're on a 13-3 run when McHugh starts against a team with a losing record.  I'm backing the Houston Astros on Saturday night.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.

Free Play on Red Sox -128

10* FREE MLB PICK (White Sox/Royals OVER 10)

I had a premium play on the OVER 10.5 in Friday's series opener between these two teams and the two teams had already eclipsed the mark before the 6th inning. As I explained in the analysis of that pick. The extremely hot conditions are brutal for pitching and great for hitting. It's going to be just as hot on Saturday, where the heat index is expected to be right at 100 degrees the entire game. To make it even better, the pitching matchup is even worse. The White Sox will send out Mike Pelfrey who as a 6.92 ERA and 1.769 WHIP in his last 3 starts and the Royals will give the rock to Jason Vargas, who has a 7.98 ERA and 1.772 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the OVER 10!

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As LH Sean Manaea (8-5, 3.68 ERA) vs. Mets RH Zack Wheeler (3-7, 4.98)

As starting hurler Manaea has lasted at least seven innings in each of this three starts .He owns a 2.67 ERA over his last four starts while allowing just one home run in 27 innings of top tier work, and matches up very well vs the NY Mets batting order. Meanwhile, Mets starter Wheeler has dropped five straight decisions and operating at the opposite end of the proverbial performance spectrum as is evident by recording a 10.13 ERA during the above mentioned negative run. Needless to say from a pitching perspective that the As have the edge here on a value line.

MLB  team like the As - lower tier offensive team - scoring 4.4 runs/game or less on the season (AL) against opponent allowing 5.0 or more runs/game on the season (NL) are a long term profitable side to back as their record clicks in at 174-127 dating back 20 seasons, for a .578 win rate with dime players making more than $47980.00 in profits backing this trend. Also over the same time period MLB Home teams like the Mets - good NL offensive team (4.7 runs/game or more ) against a good AL starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 or better), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities. are 23-50 for a go against conversion rate of  69% for bettors.

Play on the Athletics to win on the moneyline

This is going to look like a very high total especially since the Twins have gone under 6 straight games.  The pitching match up itself is just terrible. 

Zimmermann has a 5.58 ERA on the year and has been even worse on the road with a 1-4 record and 6.29 ERA.  Gibson is exactly lighting it up either right now with a 6.29 ERA on the year and a 7.20 ERA at home.  

These two teams should have no problem scoring runs in bunches here tonight 

Free Pick on Yankees -

I really like the value here with New York as a short road favorite with Masahiro Tanaka on the mound for the Yankees and Seattle countering with Ariel Miranda. Tanaka comes into this game sitting at 7-9 with an ugly 5.33 ERA and 1.350 WHIP over 19 starts. The advanced metrics suggest he's much better than the numbers indicate and I'm willing to roll the dice with him in this one. Tanaka has been strong of late. He's pitched at least 6 innings an allowed 3 or fewer runs in 4 of his last 5 starts. It doesn't hurt that he's 5-0 with a 1.95 ERA and 0.811 WHIP in 5 career starts against the Mariners.

Miranda's 3.23 ERA and 0.946 WHIP in 9 home starts is keeping this line from being a lot more. My focus is on his current form. He allowed 6 runs in 5 innings at home against the Royals in his final start before the break and in gave up 5 runs in 5 2/3 innings in his first start back. Take New York!

Take the Minnesota Twins with the money-line versus the Detroit Tigers listing both starting pitchers Kyle Gibson and Jordan Zimmermann. Minnesota (48-46) looks to bounce-back from their 6-3 loss to the Tigers last night. The Twins have then won 6 of their last 8 games after a loss. Minnesota has also won 21 of their last 30 games with Gibson facing a team with a losing record. Detroit (43-51) has lost 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning record. The Tigers have also lost 9 of their last 11 games on the road with Zimmermann on the mound. Take Minnesota with the money-line listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck — Frank.

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Nationals/D’Backs over

The Arizona Diamondbacks hope to have their newest acquisition back in the lineup Saturday, when they host the Washington Nationals for the middle contest of their three-game series. J.D. Martinez, who was obtained Tuesday from Detroit, has missed two straight contests with a left hand contusion he suffered in his debut with Arizona on Wednesday.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Nationals RH Tanner Roark (7-6, 4.98 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks LH Anthony Banda (NR)

Roark is coming off his first win since June 4, a triumph at Cincinnati on Sunday in which he gave up three unearned runs on four hits and three walks over six innings. The victory followed a five-inning relief stint against Atlanta on July 9, when the 30-year-old native of Illinois yielded three runs and four hits. Roark surrendered four runs over six frames on May 2 to fall to 1-2 in eight career appearances (five starts) versus Arizona.

Banda will be summoned from Triple-A Reno to make his major-league debut. The 23-year-old Texan has made 18 starts for the Aces this season, going 7-5 with a 5.08 ERA and 93 strikeouts against 43 walks in 101 innings. Banda, who was drafted by Arizona in 2011 but did not sign with the club, was acquired from Milwaukee in July 2014 in a deal for Gerardo Parra.

Over is 6-1-1 in Roarks last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Over is 16-6-2 in Diamondbacks last 24 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

1* on Marlins vs Reds over 11 -110

1* Free Play on Astros -119

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Baltimore Orioles +112

The Baltimore Orioles are 4-1 in their last five games overall and have scored a total of 38 runs in their last four contests for an average of 9.5 runs per game.  They should get after Collin McHugh, who is making his 2017 debut and will be on a pitch count in his first start back from the disabled list.  McHugh has posted a 6.18 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in five previous starts against the Orioles.  Chris Tillman has posted a 3.89 ERA in six previous starts against the Astros.  And Tillman is coming off two straight quality starts in which he has allowed just 3 earned runs in 11 innings.  Baltimore is 16-3 after a 5-game span with an OBP of .375 or better over the last three seasons.  The Orioles are 17-8 in Tillman's last 25 home starts.

*#1 Ranked MLB Capper in 2008!* I also finished as the #5 MLB Capper in 2010 as well as the #4 Overall Capper in 2016! I have delivered a 685-577 Overall Run that has my $1,000/game bettors up $66,140! Come bet with a FORMER WORLD CHAMP on the bases tonight and sign up for my Saturday All-Inclusive MLB 5-Pack for $39.99!

07/22 07:15 PM  EST  MLB   (973) CHICAGO WHITE SOX VS (974) KANSAS CITY ROYALS.
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Your free play for Saturday, July 22, 2017 comes in baseball as the Chicago White Sox head to Kansas City to face the Royals. The Chicago White Sox are #23 in runs scored, 7-1 under the total away against a left-handed starter. The Kansas City Royals are in a pennant race, #14 in runs allowed, tops in defense with the fewest errors allowed. The offense, though, is awful, bottom 3 in runs scored and on base percentage. Jason Vargas (12-4, 3.06 ERA) throws strikes and is having a strong campaign. The Under is 10-4 in Vargas' last 14 home starts. Play Chicago/Kansas City Under the total.

Free MLB Baseball Prediction From Doc's Sports:                
Take ‘Under’ St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (1 p.m., Saturday, July 22)
The Chicago Cubs made an aggressive move in acquiring Jose Quintana a few weeks before the trade deadline, and it started paying dividends immediately. Quintana dominated the Orioles lineup in his Cubs debut with seven scoreless innings to go along with 12 strikeouts and no walks. National League hitters haven’t seen much of Quintana and that should work to his advantage the first time teams see him. The Cardinals’ Adam Wainwright hasn’t been good this season but he’s been much better of late. The Cubs have several hitters struggling, so I don’t expect to see an explosion on Saturday. This one should stay low scoring, so take the UNDER in our Saturday Free Play selection. Doc’s is looking forward to a big second half.

1* Free Pick on Giants -130