Free NBA Picks & Today's ATS Expert Basketball Betting Predictions

For my best free pick on the board for Friday I am looking at the NBA and the Detroit Pistons hosting the New York Knicks. Definitely a chance for a statement win for the Detroit Pistons who will be on a back to back spot that’s why we get such a bargain of a number. Sure this New York Knicks team is good but on the road they are just better than mediocre. Knicks have covered 8 straight games that cover streak should have the bandwagon guys out in full mass in this one. 

Play on the Detroit Pistons minus the points rotation #532   

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Free Pick on Heat +6½ -110

Take: 534. Boston Celtics

Boston has been one of the league’s most dominant home teams, and their defensive efficiency spikes at TD Garden. Miami’s offense has been inconsistent on the road, especially in late-clock situations, and Boston’s perimeter pressure forces them into tough mid-range attempts. The Celtics’ depth and spacing give them a strong edge here.

1* Best Bet on Pistons +105

No analysis provided.

1 Dimer on Pistons +1½ +100

Heat vs Celtics NBA Free Pick

The Angle: This looks like a good spot to fade the Boston Celtics following their 19-point win in Houston on Wednesday. They'll host a Heat team coming off a 127-115 loss to Atlanta, but note that Miami is 17-7 against the spread off a loss. 

The Bet: HEAT (2%). 

Stellar 67% (40-20), +$17,930 NBA totals run ($1,000 bets) dating back to December 09, 2025! For Friday, Mike has BIG B€TS on Pacers v. Bucks & Knicks v. Pistons!

Boston has been the sharper side in this matchup when it comesto betting this game. Boston is  8-1 straight-up and 8-1 ATS  going back to the 2023-24 playoffs. Tatum isn’t playing for Boston, and Hero is expected out for Miami. Boston made some moves at the deadline, and it may help the offense's production even more. Miami likes to play at pace, but the Celtics have shown the ability to slow Miami down. Boton likes the half-court game and will rely on their three-point shots.

Play on Boston. This is a FREE PLAY!.

T.M. Selection: Boston.

The Celtics are firing on all cylinders right now, having won four straight, most recently a dominant 114-93 win over the Rockets. Boston is 16-8 at home, while Miami is just 11-15 on the road. The Heat are off a difficult 127-115 loss at home to the lowly Hawks and they have a more winnable game in the Nation's capital up next; I'll recommend a "second look" at the home side in what I feel sets up as a great situational play on the C's!

T.M. Prediction: 125-102 Boston.

Friday's NBA Free Pick

PLAY ON: Knicks -1 

1* Free Play on Pelicans +10½ -107

Friday NBA Free play. My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Minnesota at 8:10 pm et on Friday.

The Timberwolves are rolling right now, winners of five of their last six games, going 4-2 ATS over that stretch. I can't help but feel they're in for a letdown on Friday, however, as they return home off a successful three-game road trip that culminated with a 128-126 win in Toronto - a place they rarely win - on Wednesday. The Pelicans come off an overtime loss in Milwaukee two nights ago. That marked their third straight defeat but they remain a solid bet recently having gone 5-2 ATS over their last seven contests. Note that New Orleans took Minnesota down to the wire in consecutive games at home back in early December but ultimately fell short on both occasions (it did go 2-0 ATS). I think the T'Wolves are simply laying too many points again in this rematch. Take New Orleans.

Dave's Friday Free Play:

1* on Indiana Pacers -1.5

The Key: The Indiana Pacers have had the last 2 days off and are playing some of their best basketball of the season over the last couple weeks. The Milwaukee Bucks are 3-8 SU & 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games without Giannis. They are the much more tired team playing their 3rd game in 4 days and coming off a OT game against the New Orleans Pelicans. Take Indiana.

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PSP Data Driven 1* Over.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Over. The Over is 7-3 in Memphis' last 10 games. The Over is 4-1 in Memphis' last 5 games against an opponent in the Northwest Division.

1* NBA - Clippers/Kings FREE PICK on Kings +4

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Clippers/Kings UNDER 222.5

The Clippers are a dead nuts UNDER team as it is ranking 28th in pace. They are especially a dead nuts UNDER team after trading away James Harden now.

His replacement in Darius Garland remains injured, leaving the Clippers without a point guard. They are going to have to rely on defense even more until he returns.

The Sacramento Kings are also in no hurry ranking 18th in pace this season. They rank 28th in offensive rating as well.

The Clippers and Kings have combined for 221 or fewer points in each of their last six meetings, including 205 or fewer four times. This total of 222.5 is too high for a game involving these two teams in their current state. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Portland Trail Blazers -6.5

The Portland Trail Blazers have lost 6 straight against a pretty tough schedule of top contenders in the Celtics, Raptors, Knicks, Cavs and Suns. Now they take a big step down in competition tonight against the Memphis Grizzlies and should get back to playing how they were prior to this skid. They went 9-2 SU & 9-2 ATS in their previous 11 games. They are much healthier now after having the last two days off. The Grizzlies traded away Jaren Jackson Jr. and will be one of the worst teams in the NBA the rest of the way. They will be paying their 5th game in 8 days tonight. Give me the Blazers.

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