Eagles vs. Chargers Picks & Prediction

1* Free Pick on Eagles/Chargers: over 41½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Eagles/Chargers under 42 -110

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Best Bet on Eagles -2½

No analysis provided.

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Philadelphia -1 1/2

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Ricky's 1* play on PHI.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Philadelphia is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games.

- Philadelphia is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference

- Philadelphia has won 3 of their last 5 road games.

Verdict: The value is on the road favorite.

1% GOLD RUSH on Chargers +2½

Head-to-Head History

Chargers have historically owned the series, but the only prior meeting in Los Angeles went to Philadelphia 26-24.
Most recent matchup: 2021 in Philadelphia → Chargers won 27-24.
Chargers have taken 3 of the last 4 meetings overall.
Last 4 H2H games all finished with both teams scoring 24+ points (average total: 53.5 PPG).
Recent trend: 6-1 to the Over between these franchises (though the sample is old).

Current Records & Betting Trends

Both teams enter 8-4 straight up.
Eagles: 7-5 ATS | 4-2 ATS on the road | 2-2 ATS last 4 | 3-3 O/U on road
Chargers: 6-6 ATS | 4-2 ATS at home | 6-6 O/U overall
Chargers have won & covered their last 3 home games.
Eagles have lost & failed to cover their last 2 games.

Team-Level Performance

Chargers rank as a solidly average offense and one of the league’s better scoring defenses (top-8 in points allowed).
Eagles’ offense has cratered over the last month, averaging just 15.5 PPG over the L4, while the defense has carried them (allowing 16.0 PPG in that span).

Key Injuries

Eagles: OUT – DT Jalen Carter (massive loss to interior pass rush & run defense), RT Lane Johnson (Eagles are historically poor without him protecting Hurts’ blindside; OL run-blocking also suffers).
Chargers: Justin Herbert is expected to play. RB Omarion Hampton is also expected back — big boost to a ground game that has been solid.

Matchup Angles

Eagles got gashed for 200+ rushing yards by Chicago last week. The Chargers, with a healthy Hampton and Herbert’s play-action threat, should be able to exploit that softness on the ground.
Conversely, the Chargers rank bottom-10 against the run. If Saquon Barkley and the Eagles can re-establish the run game, it should open the RPO and play-action game for Jalen Hurts — an area where Hurts has historically feasted on the road.
With Jalen Carter sidelined, Herbert should have cleaner pockets and more time to attack downfield against an Eagles secondary that can be had when the pass rush disappears.

Bottom Line
This has all the makings of a competitive, relatively high scoring affair despite the low total (41.5). Both offenses have clear paths to success on the ground, which should loosen up the passing games and keep the clock moving less than usual. The last four meetings all cleared 48+ points, and the personnel/matchup weaknesses line up for both sides to reach the 20s again.
Play: Over 41.5

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