Sports Handicapper Rob Vinciletti's Picks & Predictions

The N.L. Totals System is on the OVER in the Arizona at NY. Mets game at 7:10 eastern. The game has 2 Undefeated systems in play. First if you are curious about home teams like the Mets that scored 18+ runs on the road last out. Dont be. These teams a re 4-0 OVER vs a team with rest and those 4 games have averaged 14 runs. Additionally road dogs with rest like Arizona that scored 6+ runs in a home dog win they are Perfect to the Over in April games vs a team that is 666 or better. E. Rodriguez goes for Arizona and he was hit hard here in a start last season and things wont be much easier now with Soto in the lineup. The Mets are off fast and should score here. They have Peterson going and he has a 3.29 ERA so AZ Should get a few runs here. In the series 8 of 10 have gone over and thats the call tonight

OU:4-0-0 

2017/07/14boxFri2017homeAstrosCharlie MortonTwinsJose Berrios-1669.0914-52-19-116.0O5W10-5

2023/08/22boxTue2023homeRaysZack LittellRockiesTy Blach-2908.5915-80-18-117.5O8W12-4

2024/07/19boxFri2024homeAthleticsJP SearsAngelsGriffin Canning-1188.5914-91-110-107.5O10W13-3

2024/09/20boxFri2024homeDodgersRyan BrasierRockiesKyle Freeland-2558.599-51-13-101.5O2W6-4

2025/04/2919:10Tue2025homeMetsDavid PetersonDiamondbacksEduardo Rodriguez-1488.5

At 10 eastern the Round 1 top play is on the LA. Clippers. The Historical Sequence scenario favorites the Clips here as Game 5 teams have not had much of a home court advantage in this set up. The Nuggets are in a system where round 1 home dogs are 0-8 straight up and to the spread off a road dog win at +4 or more if the total is 205 or more and the opponent has a Win percentage of .666 or less. Look for the Clippers to cover

SU:0-8 

ATS: 0-8

04/29/202522:00Tue2024NuggetsClippershome-2&22208.5

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied WLLW @ HHVV:

Considering win order; considering site order: The team tied WLLW with site order HHVV (Denver) has the following best-of-7 playoff series :

series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 45-37 (.549)

series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 13-9 (.591)

series record, NBA only, all rounds: 16-7 (.696)

series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 5-2 (.714)

Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 47-35 (.573)

Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 12-10 (.545)

Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 14-9 (.609)

Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 3-4 (.429) Denver  Teams are 2-5 ATS in those 7 games

Tuesday Rob has his NBA ROUND 1 GAME OF THE YEAR. There is also a Double Perfect NHL Blue Line Banger and MLB. Comp play below.

At 7 eastern at the Madrid Open we will back the OVER 22.5 Games in the Draper vs Berrettini match. Draper has won both meetings including once this season. While Draper has had the better season he is not a top level clay court player so should he win here it will likely be a long er match, perhaps 3 sets. Berrettini has had an average year thus  far winning 12 of 20 matches. His Big serve keeps him in matches even against more well rounded opponents. Look for this one to go Rob V-

At 10 eastern the NHL Game 5 Power Play is on LA. Look for a Bounce back here as the Kings blew a 2 goal lead and lost in overtime. LA has won the last 4 here at home in the series and they fit a powerful 8-0 system for game 5 home teams that lost in Overtime. They also fit a 20-7 Game 5 round 1 historical system. Look for LA To take game 5.

SU:8-0 

Apr 29, 202522:00Tue2024KingsOilershome1&1-----1346.5

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied WWLL @ HHVV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team tied WWLL with site order HHVV (Los Angeles) has the following best-of-7 playoff series 
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 128-58 (.688)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 35-14 (.714)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 51-29 (.638)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 18-9 (.667)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 129-57 (.694)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 36-13 (.735)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 58-22 (.725)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 20-7 (.741) LAK

At 12 noon eastern at the Madrid Open we will back the OVER 22.5 Games in the Draper vs Berrettinin match. Draper has won both meetings including once this season. While Draper has had the better season he is not a top level clay court player so should he win here it will likely be a long er match, perhaps 3 sets. Berrettini has had an average year thus  far winning 12 of 20 matches. His Big serve keeps him in matches even against more well rounded opponents. Look for this one to go over

The Champions League total on Tuesday at 3 eastern is on the Under 2.5 goals in the Arsenal vs Paris St.Germain match. Arsenal is unbeaten in 11 Champions League home games with 9 wins and without conceding a goal. Four of their five meetings have stayed under 2.5 goals. These two met here in October with the Gunnars emerging with a 2-0 clean sheet win. PSG just had their bid for a Perfect Ligu1 season stopped with a Loss to Nice. Wi this the first leg we should see a conservative methodical approach as neither team will want o have a big deficit in the 2nd leg. Both teams have scored an Identical 30 goals in Champions League Play. PSG has the big game experience having been here last season while Arsenal has not made it this far since 2009. PSG has trouble scoring on Arsenal but should be tough here as well. Look for this game to stay Under