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PROJECTING THE NCAAB TOURNAMENT (02-23-2009) |
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Monday, 23 February 2009 |
Here is an early look at who will win their Conference Championship, what teams have already puched their ticket, and who is on the bubble.
We are closing in on March Madness, and the resumes are getting their final touches. Here is my take on the teams that will make the field of 65:
CONFERENCE CHAMPIONS (31) :
AMERICAN EAST VERMONT
ATLANTIC 10 XAVIER
ACC N. CAROLINA
ATL SUN JACKSONVILLE
BIG-12 OKLAHOMA
BIG EAST PITT
BIG SKY WEBER ST.
BIG SOUTH RADFORD
BIG-10 MICH ST.
BIG WEST LONG BEACH ST.
COLONIAL VCU
C-USA MEMPHIS
HORIZON BUTLER
IVY CORNELL
MAAC SIENA
MID AMER BUFFALO
MEAC MORGAN ST.
MVC CREIGHTON
MTN WEST UTAH
NORTHEAST ROBT MORRIS
OVC TN MARTIN
PAC-10 WASHINGTON
PATRIOT AMERICAN
SEC LSU
SOUTHERN DAVIDSON
SOUTHLAND SF AUSTIN
SWAC ALABAMA ST.
SUMMIT N. DAKOTA ST.
SUN BELT W. KENTUCKY
WEST COAST GONZAGA
WAC UTAH ST.
RESUME COMPLETE AND ARE IN (18):
CLEMSON
DUKE
WAKE FOREST
KANSAS
MISSOURI
CONNECTICUT
MARQUETTE
LOUISVILLE
VILLONOVA
W. VIRGINIA
PURDUE
ILLINOIS
BYU
ARIZONA ST.
CALIFORNIA
UCLA
FLORIDA
KENTUCKY
JUST ABOUT IN (5):
KANSAS ST 19-8 with a 37 RPI
TEXAS 18-8 with a 25 RPI
SYRACUSE 19-8 with a 33 RPI
UAB 19-8 with a 36 RPI
ARIZONA 18-9 with a 34 RPI
WORK TO DO BUT ODDS ARE THEY MAKE IT (7):
WISCONSIN 17-10 but a 29 RPI
SAN DIEGO ST 18-7 with a 40 RPI
SOUTH CAROLINA 19-6 but RPI 55
TEMPLE 17-9 with a 43 RPI
FLORIDA ST. 21-6 with a 47 RPI
MINN 20-7 with a 48 RPI
OHIO ST. 17-8 with a 44 RPI
THAT IS 61 TEAMS 4 SPOTS FOR THE REST
TEAMS ON THE BUBBLE (11)
BC 19-9 but just a 57 RPI
MARYLAND 17-9 but a 65 RPI and just 1 road win
OKLAHOMA ST 17-9 with a 46 RPI
TX A&M 19-8 with just a 56 RPI
CINN 17-10 with a 63 RPI
PENN ST. 19-8 with just a 67 RPI
TULSA 18-9 with just a 57 RPI
UNLV 20-7 with just a 49 RPI
N. MEXICO 17-10 but have an RPI of 30
ILLINOIS ST. 22-6 but poor RPI of 71
ST. MARY'S 21-5 but injury has cost them, RPI now 54
DAYTON 23-4 but horrible RPI at 85
TEAMS FROM MID TO LOW LEVEL CONFERENCES THAT COULD ROB A BID BY LOSING THEIR CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT AND STILL GET IN:
SIENA
DAVIDSON
BUTLER
GONZAGA
RECAP:
65 Tickets available, with 31 Conference Champions Guaranteed, and 18 teams that have already punched their ticket, makes 49. There are 5 that basically have to play their way out now, that are all but in, so that leaves just 11 spots, with from what I can see 18 teams that have a chance. Those 11 spots could be reduced if any of the 4 teams above lose their conference championship game. That means 7 teams on this list will be disappointed and the arguements will ensue as how they got ripped off.
The countdown is on, and the next couple of weeks will tell the story.
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