Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Tennessee Titans +6
The Tennessee Titans continue to play hard for interim head coach Mike McCoy. They have gone 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall with three one-score losses against three playoff contenders in the Chargers, Texans and Seahawks. But the Titans continue to be undervalued due to their poor 1-10 SU record.
They will certainly show up for this divisional game against the Jaguars, another playoff contender. The Jaguars are getting a lot off love following consecutive wins and covers over the banged up Chargers and banged up Cardinals. But this is a brutal spot for them playing their 4th road game in 5 weeks, and I question how much they have left in the tank off an OT win at Arizona and all that travel.
A big reason the Titans are so improved here down the stretch is due to getting some key pieces back on defense, most notably DE Jeffery Simmons and LB Arden Key. This is a defense that can keep the Titans competitive, and Cam Ward is getting better and better each week. The Titans have no incentive to lose because they believe Ward is their franchise QB.
Ward threw for 256 yards and a TD on one of the best defense in the NFL last week in the Seahawks. The game before he did enough to keep them competitive against the league's top-ranked defense in the Texans in a 3-point defeat. This is actually a big step down in class for Ward here against this Jacksonville defense that can be had. It's a Jaguars defense that will be without DE Travon Walker and SS Eric Murray, plus DT Arik Armstead is questionable.
The Jaguars just aren't as good as their 7-4 record would suggest, and the Titans aren't as bad as their 1-10 record. The Jaguars are actually getting outgained on the season from a yards per play perspective. They have been fortunate in close games going 5-2 in games decided by 7 points or less. The Titans are 1-4 in one-score games.
Jacksonville could be caught looking ahead to a huge showdown with division leader Indianapolis next week at home. That game will decide whether or not they have a shot to win the AFC South. Each of the last three meetings between the Titans and Jaguars have been decided by one score. Getting 6 points at home here with Tennessee is too good to pass up. This line should be closer to 3. Bet the Titans Sunday.
No. 2 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has SEVEN Top-10 Football Finishes (#1 2024, #3 2018, #3 2017, #4 2009, #5 2014, #5 2012, #10 2008) to his credit! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 2109-1789 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $139,740! That includes a 1431-1183 Football Run over his last 2614 plays! He backed it up by finishing as No. 1 Ranked Football Capper in 2024-25!
No. 2 Ranked NFL Capper All-Time! Jack has SIX Top-10 NFL Finishes (#3 2009, #4 2023, #4 2017, #5 2024, #8 2019, #10 2008) to his credit! He is riding a 612-490 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $67,530! That includes a 339-260 NFL Run since November of 2021! He delivered an 81-56 NFL Record two seasons ago and finished as the No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2023-24 as a result! He followed it up with an 87-66 NFL Record last season to finish as the No. 5 Ranked NFL Capper in 2024-25 as well!
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