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OVERALL  •  NBA  •  NFL  •  NCAA-F  •  NHL
NFL  |  Nov 24, 2014
NY Jets vs. Buffalo Bills
NY Jets
+3-120
  at  BOVADA
in 2h

Jack's Free Pick Monday: New York Jets +3

Due to massive amounts of snow in Buffalo this week, the Buffalo Bills won’t be able to play at Ralph Wilson Stadium. The NFL has decided to move their game against the New York Jets to Ford Field in Detroit at the home of the Lions on Monday, November 24th.

Buffalo (5-5) suffered its second straight defeat with a 9-22 road loss at Miami last Thursday. New York (2-8) put an end to its eight-game losing streak with a 20-13 home win over Pittsburgh last time out on November 9th.

This line is very interesting to me. The Bills were going to be 4.5-point home favorites over the Jets had this game been played in Buffalo. When you factor in three points for home-field advantage, that means oddsmakers believe the Bills would be a 1.5-point favorite on a neutral field. This is essentially a neutral field in Detroit, so the Bills should only be 1.5-point favorites. I believe we are getting some value in backing the Jets as 3-point underdogs in this one.

I am also not so sure that the Bills are the better team. The Bills are probably about right where they should be at 5-5. They are dead even in yardage differential with their opponents, which is a number that would resemble a .500 team. They have a poor offense that ranks 25th in the league at 321.6 yards per game, and a solid defense that ranks 6th at 321.6 yards per game allowed.

The Jets, meanwhile, are much better than their 2-8 record would indicate. They are only getting outgained by 4.4 yards per game on the season, which is a number that would also resemble a .500 team. They rank 26th in total offense at 319.4 yards per game, and 7th in total defense at 323.7 yards per game. They have simply been on the wrong end of the turnover battle all season prior to their +4 performance against the Steelers last time out.

Winning the turnover battle helped the Jets to an impressive 20-13 home win over the Steelers. It was a rare occurrence for the Jets, who only forced three turnovers through their first nine games of the year. They were simply unlucky up to that point, and should receive much better fortune in the second half in this department, which started with that game against Pittsburgh.

The Jets come into this game on two weeks’ rest having last played on November 9th. They certainly needed this break as they were probably pretty fatigued having to play 10 straight weeks to open the season. I believe they will come back rejuvenated, especially since they beat the Steelers prior to their bye, which would have made these two weeks off much more enjoyable and productive.

I know that the Bills beat the Jets 43-23 in their first meeting this season, but that was a very misleading final score. The Jets actually outgained the Bills 312-280 for the game, or by 32 total yards. The Bills simply took advantage of six turnovers by the Jets in the win. They scored 43 points on 280 total yards, which is unheard of. Now, the Jets will be wanting revenge in the rematch on Monday.

Plays on all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NY JETS) – revenging an upset loss against opponent as a favorite, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the season are 24-4 (85.7%) ATS since 1993. The Jets are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 35 or more points. New York is 47-28 ATS in its last 75 road games versus division opponents.  Bet the Jets Monday.

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Pick released on Nov 24 at 12:06 pm

NBA  |  Nov 24, 2014
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
+5½-115
  at  BMAKER
in 2h

FREE PLAY for 11/24

Charlotte Hornets +5.5

The Key: This is a tough spot for the Clippers playing their second road game in as many days. The Clippers are just 3-9 ATS on the season and 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing without a day of rest. LA is coming off a 107-91 loss in Memphis so it should be noted that it is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games following a loss and 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after allowing 100 points or more. The Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400 while the Hornets are on a 15-2 ATS run versus teams with a win percentage of .510 to .600. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Take the points.

Lethal 13-2 (87%) L15 7* Top Plays! Dave's 7* MNF GAME OF THE YEAR is ready to roll! 5-1 (83%) NCAAB Hot Streak continues with his 78-37 ATS Monday NCAAB *CA$H COW*!


Pick released on Nov 24 at 11:30 am

NBA  |  Nov 24, 2014
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
+12½-103
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

Off a PERFECT 6-0 SWEEP on Sunday, Ben Burns is stepping out HUGE on Monday.

Ben has BIG plays going on both the Saints/Bengals AND the Jets/Bills games. 

Here, he takes a look at tonight's Portland/Philly contest.

Its true. Portland has been playing well. Philadelphia has not. 

That said, I feel this line is pretty generous. 

While the 76'ers had the day off, the Blazers played yesterday, a 94-88 victory at Boston. 

Playing their third game in the past four days - and perhaps patting themselves on the back a little - I feel the Blazers may not be fully focused on lowly Philly. 

The 76'ers haven't seen this many points for a home game all season. They're 5-1 ATS the last six times that they were home underdogs of 12.5 or more points. Consider Philadelphia.


Pick released on Nov 24 at 08:41 am

NBA  |  Nov 24, 2014
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Portland Trail Blazers
-12-110
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

On Monday the free NBA Dominator play is on the Portland Trailblazers. Game 703 at 7:05 eastern. The Blazers are rolling and have won 6 straight. They are 8-2 ats this month and 5-0 ats vs an opponent who allows 99 or more points per game. The Sixers have dropped 40 of 65 to the spread when the total is 200 to 205 and have dropped 5 of 7 to the spread vs winning teams. Last season the Blazers were 34 point winners here. The winning team in this series has covered 29 of 20 times. Look for a solid Blazer team to lay it on the Sixers here tonight. On Monday there are 4 Powerful plays up. The Triple Perfect Monday night football side. An NBA Total and 2 Big Power play in College Hoops. Football is ranked #1 on several high end leader boards and hoops is hot. Jump on now and put the Most Powerful data in the industry on your side. For the free play. Take Portland. RV


Pick released on Nov 24 at 01:37 am

NHL  |  Nov 24, 2014
Philadelphia Flyers vs. NY Islanders
Philadelphia Flyers
+145
  at  5DIMES
in 2h

Free pick on the Flyers +145

The Islanders are hot and off a sweep of the Pittsburgh Penguins. They played a home and home series with Tampa Bay and split and then played home and home with one of the best teams in hockey and won both so I expect a possible letdown tonight. Small play on the underdog that has plenty of value.

Philadelphia +145


Pick released on Nov 24 at 01:43 pm

NFL  |  Nov 24, 2014
NY Jets vs. Buffalo Bills
Total
42 ov-105
  at  5DIMES
in 2h

Free Pick on Jets/Bills OVER

What was originally scheduled to be a home game for the Bills on Sunday, will now be played at Detroit's Ford Field tonight. I believe this has created some exceptional value on the OVER, as we are to have ideal conditions inside the Dome. Both of these teams have some fast players who should be able to take advantage of the fast playing surface at Ford Field, which should lead to a bunch of big plays and quick scores.

It's also worth noting that these two teams have a history of going over the total. They combined for 66 points at New York back in Week 8 with a total set of just 40 points. In the last 9 meetings between these two teams, 7 have gone OVER the total, with the fewest combined points in all 9 games being 37.

The situation also presents a great possibility for a high-scoring game. Buffalo has barely been able to get any practice time in because of that huge snow storm and neither squad will be benefiting from the emotional lift of the home fans. I believe this weird scenario is going to take away from the defensive intensity of both squads.

Adding to all of this is a great system. The OVER is 106-66 over the last 10 seasons in games with a total set between 35.5 to 42 points in a matchup of two average defensive teams (allowing 295 to 335 yards/game) at least 9 games into the season. That's a 62% system backing this one to finish above the mark. Take the OVER!

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Pick released on Nov 24 at 11:14 am

NFL  |  Nov 30, 2014
Washington Redskins vs. Indianapolis Colts
Washington Redskins
+10½-130
  at  5DIMES
in 5d

1* Free Play Washington Redskins.

RG III and company kept it close in San Francisco last weekend and I think the offensive unit will have a much easier time moving the ball against the Colts; while I won’t go so far as to call for an outright upset, I do believe this is too many points to be giving up to this hungry visiting side. Washington is just 3-8, but its overall stats simply aren’t that horrible. 7th overall in passing, 16th in rushing yards, 10th in opponent passing yards and 11th in opponent rushing yards. How about the Colts? Indianapolis is No. 1 in the league in passing, but just 17th in rushing yards. It’s also dismal defensively, 27th in opponent passing yards and 17th in opponent rushing yards. Washington will have its opportunities on offense today. The Colts are on the road in Cleveland the following week, so this doesn’t set up as a “look ahead” spot, but note Andrew Luck and the Indinapolis offensive line looked pretty shaky vs. the Jaguars, Luck finished 21 of 32 for just 253 yards with one TD pass and ran eight times for 49 yards; but note that he was sacked five times, fumbled three times and lost two, all in the first half. As a situational handicapper, these are the types of suspect lines I always keep my eyes open for, consider a second look at WASHINGTON in this one.

AAA Sports


Pick released on Nov 24 at 03:15 am

NHL  |  Nov 24, 2014
Philadelphia Flyers vs. NY Islanders
NY Islanders
-154
  at  BETONLINE
in 2h

The Islanders have won eight of their last nine and managed to pick up both wins in a back to back series against the hot Pittsburgh Penguins Friday-Saturday. They'll host a Flyers team that snapped a four game losing skid as they defeated the Blue Jackets two days ago but I fear the visitors will struggle to follow that up with another win. 

The Flyers have found themselves on the losing side in the majority of their games on the road winning only two of their eight contests away from home, while the Islanders have the exact opposite record home at Nassau Coliseum. Look for Jaroslav Halak to stay hot as he has won six straight starts overall behind a 1.31 goals-against average and two shutouts. Bad news for Philly as they've not been able to find the net regularly recently getting outscored 17-10 over their last five games. Ron Hextall's team is struggling on the penalty kill big time giving up a goal on six of its last 15 penalties and is sitting at the bottom of the table allowing its opponents to convert on their power play 71.9% of the times for the season.

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Pick released on Nov 24 at 01:45 pm

NBA  |  Nov 24, 2014
Phoenix Suns vs. Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors
-5-103
  at  PINNACLE
in 3h

Monday's Free Pick ---Toronto Raptors -5---

The Raptors are showing some solid value here as a mere 5-point home favorite. Toronto has one of the top home records in the league at 8-1 (6-3 ATS) with their only loss coming against the Bulls. They are outscoring opponents 106.7 to 92.2 at Air Canada Centre and I look for them to win here by 6+ rather easily. Phoenix is getting a little too much respect for a 4-game road winning streak, as it's come against the likes of the Celtics, Pistons, 76ers and Pacers. This is the final game of their 6-game road trip. They have already secured a winning record at 4-1 and could have their eyes set on returning home for the holiday.

Key System - Suns are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games off 2 consecutive road wins by 10 or more points. BET THE RAPTORS -5!

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Pick released on Nov 24 at 09:56 am

NBA  |  Nov 24, 2014
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Portland Trail Blazers
-12-105
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

SPORTSATARI is on FIRE! 12 total wins in a row without a loss! 8-1 NFL in November. 3 NFL Weekends in a row without a loss!

The Only capper over 60% (#1 Overall)

FREE PICK: Portland -12

When will the bleeding stop for Philly? Not tonight. The Blazers are too tough on defense and too balanced on offense to hang out in the dumps with the 76ers. The Blazers took care of the Celtics 94-88 and will have to turn around on a back to back for this one. That's the only disadvantage which is offset by a bench that can still cover this spread against the Philly starters. 

Every game matters and the coaching staff will make sure the Blazers don't take this game lightly. The last 6 meetings between these 2 teams has seen the line push twice (Blazers covered 3 times and Philly covered 1). An even number spread of 12 allows the likelihood of a push to exist and it could very well happen. I've got this capped with Portland winning by 12+ and I wouldn't recommend you taking it +12.5 or higher. Consider buying the half point if it moves or Consider 3 BIG WINNERS TODAY!

3PM ET! 10* SportsAtari's EPL SOCCER 'ABSOLUTE LOCK' 

NFLSportsAtari's 10* 'MONDAY NIGHT FREE CASH' & JETS/BILLS 7* 'NEW VENUE SAME RESULT'

*Apologies to anyone who purchased a pick on the JETS/BILLS for Sunday, you don't need to purchase it again because it's a new line, new venue but the SAME RESULT!! 


Pick released on Nov 23 at 10:30 pm

NFL  |  Nov 24, 2014
NY Jets vs. Buffalo Bills
NY Jets
+2½+104
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

It has been a tough week for the Buffalo Bills. They massive snow storm in Buffalo has the caused the loss of practice but more importantly they game has been moved to Detroit. They have not had the proper time to practice to prepare for Michael Vick and the New York Jets.

The Jets are coming off a bye week following a surprising win over the red hot Pittsburgh Steelers. That win snapped an eight game losing streak by the Jets.

The Bills haven’t been a good team offensively this year. They are averaging less than 100 yards rushing and 230 yards passing per game. This should be a game the Jets win easily.

Play on the Jets.


Pick released on Nov 24 at 12:06 pm

NCAA-F  |  Nov 29, 2014
Minnesota vs. Wisconsin
Wisconsin
-13-115
  at  BMAKER
in 4d

This week's FREE  CFB Winner is on the Wisconsin Badgers.  Spot plays have worked for us all year. This is a spot to grab the home standing Badgers who escaped with a narrow win at Iowa.  Minnesota won on the road at Nebraska last week. Now they head to Madison where the Badgers are notoriously tough.  We expect a let down from the Gophers in this spot.  Badgers will let Gordon and troops pound away on the Minnesota defense that's beat up from the tough Nebraska game.

Badgers last two home games were blowout wins over Nebraska and Maryland.  Expect more of the same here.  Take the Badgers by 21 over  Minnesota as your free CFB Winner on Saturday Nov 29.

Steve Williams' Game of the Year Weekend was a HUGE Success. 4-1 ATS on our highest rated selections so far this season. Topped off with our NFL Game of The Year on the Patriots. We are on a 9-3 ATS run. 64 % ATS overall the entire season.

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This week's FREE  CFB Winner is on the Wisconsin Badgers.  Spot plays have worked for us all year. This is a spot to grab the home standing Badgers who escaped with a narrow win at Iowa.  Minnesota won on the road at Nebraska last week. Now they head to Madison where the Badgers are notoriously tough.  We expect a let down from the Gophers in this spot.  Badgers will let Gordon and troops pound away on the Minnesota defense that's beat up from the tough Nebraska game.

Badgers last two home games were blowout wins over Nebraska and Maryland.  Expect more of the same here.  Take the Badgers by 21 over  Minnesota as your free CFB Winner on Saturday Nov 29.


Pick released on Nov 24 at 12:38 pm

NBA  |  Nov 24, 2014
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Charlotte Hornets
Los Angeles Clippers
-4½-113
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

I'm recommending a play on the Clippers on Monday night.  When the Clippers left California for their current east coast road trip, we stated it would be good for the Clips to get away from home as they look to find a rhythm that has escaped them in the early going.  We also felt games against Orlando, Miami, and Charlotte would afford Doc Rivers' troops a chance to garner three victories.  So far so good.  The Clippers beat the first two teams mentioned before getting knocked around in Memphis on Sunday.  Chris Paul played well against the Grizzlies, but the Clippers were pushed around inside and Blake Griffin had a poor night from the field, making just 5-of-17 shots.  Charlotte doesn't have the "goods" to hang with Griffin or DeAndre Jordan for that matter and I expect a refocused effort from the visitors from the west coast. While the Hornets have dropped five straight games (0-3-2 ATS), the Clippers have yet to drop two straight games this season.  We believe they'll rebound with a win on Monday.  I'm recommending a play on the Clippers minus the points.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.

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Pick released on Nov 24 at 03:29 am

NCAA-F  |  Nov 29, 2014
Oregon vs. Oregon State
Oregon
-20-102
  at  PINNACLE
in 4d

112914

Play on:  Oregon (397) over Oregon State @ 8:00 Eastern

Talk about a traditional College Football game we have a classic on Saturday out on the left coast when the Ducks and Beavers do battle in Corvallis.  In the series the Ducks have carved out 6 straight victories, including last year’s 36-35 win.  Oregon (-33) competed this past weekend with a staggering 44-10 win over Colorado which guarantees a spot in the PAC-12 Championship game.  QB Mariota is now ranked #2 in QBR at 97.7.  Also, if you have not been current with the playoff standings, the Ducks (10-1) are ranked #2 behind the Crimson Tide. The Beavers (5-5) are coming off a 37-13 loss at Washington.  The Huskies scored 14 points in the first quarter and never looked back.  Oregon State was throttled again, because of their inept running attack that booked just 47 yards rushing at 2.0 yards per carry. Oregon last faced Oregon State in Corvallis in 2012 with the Ducks winning 48-24.  We all know this is a rivalry game The Civil War to be exact, but can the Beavers be competitive? Our knee-jerk opinion, not really, as the Ducks have the ability to just out score Oregon State.  First off, Oregon is ranked #2 on offense averaging 45.8 points per game with 537 yards on average.  Offensively, the Beavers are #71 scoring 26.3 yards points per game with 386 yards per outing.  Defensively, Oregon State shows inconsistencies ranked #66 with opponents gaining 392 yards per game and 30.2 points per game.  From the technical standpoint the road team in the series is 7-0-1 ATS, while the Ducks have covered 4 straight at Oregon St.  Additionally, the Ducks have covered 6 straight in conference.  In contrast Oregon State is 4-10 ATS at home and 1-6 ATS L7 times out…Oregon 49 Oregon State 17.

 Last Saturday we suffered our first loss in the TRIPLE CROWN format that enlists three key releases.  It was the first loss in almost three months.  The Triple Crown Package is now 16-2 (89%) this year with selections 41-13 (76%).  Over the last two weeks we have had solid earners, including the 20* College Game of the Year (Western Kentucky) and Sunday the 10* NFL NON-CONFERENCE GOY winner on the Rams.  Saturday we will have our SEC GAME OF THE YEAR and more Triple Crown winners.  Also, don’t miss our College Basketball selections (#5), as we are 16-8 ATS. This year we were #1 in MLB TOTALS, #1 in College Football and #5 OVERALL MONEY WON. Good Luck.


Pick released on Nov 24 at 03:44 pm

NBA  |  Nov 24, 2014
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Charlotte Hornets
Los Angeles Clippers
-4½-105
  at  5DIMES
in 2h

LA Clippers (-5) at Charlotte Hornets 7:05 ET

4% LA Clippers (-5)

If the playoffs were to begin tomorrow, neither of these teams would qualify for the post-season party.  For the Clippers, you can blame their opening week funk in which they began the season on a 1-6 ATS slide.  The fortunes for LAC have turned around more recently!  For Charlotte, the opposite has been true.  A 4-2 SU start has disintegrated quickly. 

At 7-5 SU, there is still plenty of upside for the Clippers this season. A team that went 63-32 SU last year, amidst late season turmoil regarding ownership, was expected to bounceback strong this season. The talent is there with the likes of PG Paul and big man Griffin to challenge every team in the West.  Such was not the case last night, when Memphis, their playoff adversary from the previous 2 years, dominated them 107-91.  Key issue for the Clippers, as it has been all season, was their work on the boards.  Last night, they were outrebounded by Memphis 52-32.  For the season, the Clippers have a -6 net rebound margin, among the worst in the league.  But, the Clippers have been resilient this season, turning in a record of 3-1 ATS following a defeat.  In addition, this has historically been a strong team in the 2nd of back-to-back games on the road.  On November 20th, LAC followed up a 114-90 road win at Orlando with a 110-93 victory at Miami.  The Clippers are in the midst of a 7/11 day road trip to end November.  More on that later this week … as we will find a great play against spot to profit!    

The Hornets have lost their way, as they enter tonight on a 5-game losing streak.  After ascending to the .500 mark last year, and projected to be a winning team this season, the Hornets enter on a 5-game losing streak.  HC Clifford says their body language and confidence are sending negative signals.  It certainly would not have gotten better last night, when the Hornets rallied from being 9 down at the half in Miami, but fell short, 94-93 for their 5th straight loss.  Al Jeff went for 25/12, while Lance and Kemba combined for 33.  But, it was all for not!  Consider it to be no coincidence that glue guy, Michael Kidd Gilchrest, has missed the last 6 contests.

Again this season, the Western Conference is superior to the East. The proof is in the pudding!  Consider that all Eastern Conference teams are 85-111 SU.  All Western Conference teams are 112-86 SU. Searching for the difference in those records, leads us to the fact that when West plays East, the record is 45-19 SU.  A microcosm of that is that the Clippers are on a recent 18-4 SU run vs. the East and have won 6/7 of late vs. Charlotte.  The Hornets, conversely, are on a 1-6 SU slide vs. Western Conference opponents.  Let’s play the Clippers’ bounceback, while following the negative momentum of the home team, all backed by the strong West to East dichotomy.


Pick released on Nov 24 at 12:58 pm