Free Sports Picks from Top Betting Handicappers - Best Bets of the Day

1* Free Sharp Play on Manchester United +165

1* Free Pick on New Mexico +105

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1 Dimer on New Mexico vs Minnesota over 43½ -105

1* Free Play on over 43½

1* FREE INFO PLAY Magic -6½ -110

Free Pick on Magic -5½ -105

1* on Hawks -2½

This total, the line sits around 248.5-249.5, but combined averages (238 PPG) and recent trends suggest caution, Miami's games have hit the under in seven of their last nine, while Atlanta's home contests against the Heat have gone over in four of the last six, creating a push-pull dynamic. Systems favor the under in high-total spots (230+) after ATS blowouts, with a 73.2% success rate since 2017.

Play on the under

ASA NBA play on: OVER 248.5 Miami Heat at Atlanta Hawks, 7:10 pm ET - We typically don’t find ourselves on OVERS when the numbers are this high but we do make exceptions when warranted. On the season the Heat are one of the better defensive efficiency teams in the league allowing 1.127-points per possession. In their last 5 games though that number has risen to 1.163PPP, 14th most in the NBA. While we’re talking defense, the Hawks have slightly below numbers in terms of dEFF on the season but with Trae Young back in the lineup they have regressed to 28th worse in points per possession allowed. The one absolute we have in this game will be tempo as these two teams are top 5 in terms of pace of play. Miami is the fastest paced team in the league at 104 possessions per game, the Hawks are 5th at 102. Logically, these two teams rely on fast break points per game and are successful when it comes to scoring on the break. Both teams average 17.5ppg on fast breaks (6th) most in the NBA. Both teams give up transition points ranking 14th and 20th in fast break points allowed per game. The Hawks make shots at the 7th best rate in the NBA 48.3% and hit 36.9% of their 3-point attempts (8th). Miami shoots it at 47% (13th) and is the 7th best 3PT% team in the league. Atlanta has allowed 126 or more points in 4 straight games, but has also scored 120+ in 4 of five. Miami held Toronto to 112 points in their most recent game but prior to that had allowed 132 and 129 to the Knicks and Celtics. With both teams looking to push tempo we expect this game to get into the 250’s. Bet OVER.

Friday's NBA Free Pick

PLAY ON: Bulls -105 (ML) 

1* Bet on Florida International/UTSA: over 59½

FREE PLAY on Florida International/UTSA over 59½

Dave's Friday Free Play:

1* on Milwaukee Bucks +5.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Milwaukee Bucks tonight as road underdogs to the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Bucks only lost by 3 as 7.5-point road dogs at Minnesota and won by 15 at Indiana in their last 2 games coming in.  They have been very competitive even without Giannis, and now they take on a Memphis Grizzlies team that has a much worse injury problem than the Bucks right now.  They have 6 guys out plus both Coward and Morant are questionable tonight.  They were just upset by the Wizards as 12.5-point favorites in their last home game and upset by the Jazz as 7.5-point home favorites in their home game prior.  They have actually played worse at home than they have on the road all year.  Take Milwaukee.

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1* NBA - Suns/Pelicans FREE PICK on Pelicans +5.5

David's NBA Free Pick

We really like the underdog in this matchup. Detroit has covered the spread in just one of its last six games as road favorites and the Jazz are 10-5 against the spread as home underdogs for the season. 

This is a 1% FREE PLAY on the JAZZ against the SPREAD.  

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Utah Jazz +10

The Utah Jazz are 12-5 ATS at home this season as one of the best home covering teams in the NBA.  It's just a different style for teams to have to prepare for as the Jazz run at a break-neck pace to take advantage of opposition having to play in altitude.  The Jazz are very good at dragging their opponents into a run-and-gun game at home.

The Pistons are coming off a pair of road wins over short-handed teams in the Blazers by 8 and the Kings by 9.  The Jazz are better than both the Blazers and Kings right now simply because they are much healthier.

Detroit hasn't won any of its last eight road games by more than 7 points.  You have to go all the way back to November 22nd to find the last time they won a road game by double-digits.  The Jazz have only lost twice at home by more than 9 points in their last nine home games, and those came to the Thunder and Rockets.  They rarely get blown out at home.  

The Jazz lost by 11 at Detroit as 10-point dogs in their first meeting this season on November 5th.  Now they are 10-point dogs again in the rematch at home this time around.  There's clearly value on Utah tonight.  Bet the Jazz Friday.

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Portland +2.5

Portland is worth a free move. This is a let down spot for the Clippers. They have two wins in a row that were both impressive over the Lakers and Rockets, but this is a tough trip to head into Portland. The Trail Blazers play extremely quick and they aren’t shy about pushing the ball in transition. This is a tough matchup for an older Clippers side as the Trail Blazers will wear them down as this game gets deeper. Grab the home side. My daily free plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on PDX +2.5 tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Los Angeles Clippers -1.5

The Los Angeles Clippers have shown some life with two of their best performances of the season in their last two games.  They beat the Lakers by 15 at home and upset the Rockets by 20 as 7-point home dogs.  They will now be playing only their 2nd game in 6 days and should put forth another big effort on the road against the short-handed Portland Trail Blazers.  The Blazers are without six key players including Jerami Grant, and both Kris Murray and Robert Williams are questionable.  There just isn't much to like about this team outside of Avidja and Sharpe, and they really missing having a true point guard since losing Jrue Holiday.  Los Angeles is 9-1 SU in its last 10 meetings with Portland.  Give me the Clippers.

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1* Free Pick on Texans/Chargers under 39½

1% GOLD RUSH on Ravens/Packers: over 40

Ricky's 1* play on SJ.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Canucks are 1-3 in their last 4 home games.

- The Sharks has won 3 of their last 5 road games.

- The Canucks are 6-10 in their last 16 games.

Verdict: The value is on the road underdog.

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #425 New England Patriots over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, December 28 FOX) The Jets are a mess and just got pounded by the Saints last Sunday. The Patriots have too much to play for in this game to take it lightly and I see them winning by 20+ points. New England beat New York by 13 points earlier this season and that was a much better team than what they will see on Sunday. The Patriots are playing for the No. 1 seed in the AFC and they are coming off a big win over the Ravens on Sunday Night Football. New England is better in all 3 phases and they will take care of business in a big way at the Meadowlands. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Holiday Card featuring top plays in NFL, NBA, and College Basketball.