Free Sports Picks from Top Betting Handicappers - Best Bets of the Day

Sunday card has the NBA PLAYOFF Opening Weekend Game of the year Headlining. NBA 3-0 Last 2 night. the ESPN Game of the Month headlines MLB and NHL Playoffs starts fast. Comp play below

The MLB Comp play for Sunday is on Kansas City at 1:35 eastern. KC looks to avoid the sweep here and they have C. Ragans going and he has been up and down thus far with a 3.94 ERA. He was solid though last out allowing just 1 hit in 6 innings vs Detroit. The Yankees have Weathers going and he was hit hard allowing 5 runs in 5 innings here vs LA earlier in the week. Rob notes that April non Division home favorites at -160 or lower are winless long term in the last game of a series where they won the first two as a favorite and scored 12 or more runs last out. We will take a shot with the Royals here today. GL Rob V-

1* Free Pick on Yankees -144

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Here's the thing with today's MLB action in the Bronx ....I've been staring at this slate, and the Kansas City Royals as a road underdog against the Yankees keeps jumping out at me for one specific reason that bettors love when it lines up: the "ace on the mound for a struggling team" angle.

Kansas City rolls in sitting at 7-14 overall, a brutal 2-9 on the road, and they've dropped their last couple games here in New York by some ugly scores. The public sees that skid, sees the Yankees at home, and piles on the favorites. That pushes the Royals into solid plus-money territory, which is exactly when these spots get interesting.

The real meat of this play, though, is Cole Ragans. He's been the one consistent bright spot in KC's rotation early on, sitting at a 3.78 ERA through his starts despite the team's woes. More importantly, look at his history against this Yankees lineup , he's owned them, posting a career 2.57 ERA in limited appearances. Guys like that tend to bring their best when everything else around them is falling apart.

On the flip side, Ryan Weathers counters for New York with a 4.29 ERA so far this year. He's shown some strikeout stuff, but lefties like Ragans have given the Yankees fits at times early in the season. Throw in the fact that road underdogs in these Sunday afternoon getaways often get overlooked after a rough series, and you've got a classic trend where the plus-money side has real life if their starter delivers.

I've seen this script before: a beat-up team gets faded hard, but their best arm keeps the game within reach and sets up a late comeback chance. Ragans has the stuff and the track record here to make that happen. If you're looking for one underdog ticket with some real backbone today, I'm rolling with the Royals to pull off the upset in the Bronx. It's not about the record , it's about the guy on the hill and the price that disrespect creates.

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Royals/Yankees OVER 7.5

The New York Yankees beat the Kansas City Royals 13-4 yesterday for 17 combined runs.  Heavy winds will be blowing out to the short porch in right field at Yankee Stadium today.  Cole Ragans is 0-3 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in four starts for Kansas City.  Ryan Weathers is 0-2 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in four starts for New York.  The Royals have a 6.52 bullpen ERA while the Yankees have a 4.22 ERA including a 5.31 ERA at home.  Give me the OVER.

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Marc David Sports' Free Pick

We really like the over in this matchup. After two unders to start the series, we expect the bats to go off in the rubber-match of the series. Colorado's Michael Lorenzen (1-2, 8.10 ERA) and Dodgers' Roki Sasaki's (0-2, 6.23 ERA) numbers speak for themselves, and we should see a favorable wind at Coors Field. 

This is a FREE PLAY on the OVER. 

Ricky's 1* play on PHO.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Thunder has loss 2 of their last 2 ATS games.

- The Thunder are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 road games.

- The Suns has won 2 of the last 3 meetings

Verdict: The value is on the Home Underdog.

For my best free pick on the board for Sunday I am looking at the NBA Playoffs and the Phoenix Suns and the OKC Thunder. Huge number here on the best team in the NBA but winning and covering are two different animals. Suns are playing good basketball and starting to get healthy. Look for them to hang with Thunder in first half and Suns should be able to keep this game close going into the 4th Quarter then hang on tight for a razor tight cover at the end. 

Play on the Phoenix Suns plus the points rotation #587

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FREE PLAY on White Sox/A's over 9

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Rangers/Mariners UNDER 7

Two dominant starters and bullpens will be up against two cold-hitting lineups today and this figures to be a pitcher's duel between the Rangers and Mariners as a result.  The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings with 5 or fewer combined runs in four of them.

Bryan Woo is 0-2 in spite of a 2.16 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in four starts for the Mariners this season.  He has allowed just 6 earned runs and 23 base runners in 25 innings.  Woo owns the Rangers, going 2-1 with a 1.78 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in his last five starts against them while allowing just 6 earned runs in 30 1/3 innings.

MacKenzie Gore is 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in four starts for the Rangers this season.  He has allowed 7 earned runs in 21 innings with 30 K's.  Gore owns the Mariners going 2-0 with a 0.50 ERA and 0.67 WHIP in three career starts against them, allowing just one earned run in 18 innings with 25 K's.

The Rangers have the 4th-best bullpen in baseball with a 3.03 ERA while the Mariners have the 8th-best with a 3.27 ERA thus far.  Seattle is hitting .214 as a team which is only better than the White Sox and Reds.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

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FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SUNDAY, 4/19:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Sunday is with the money-line on the Toronto Blue Jays versus the Arizona Diamondbacks listing both starting pitchers Kevin Gausman and Ryne Nelson. Toronto (7-13) has lost four games in a row after their 6-2 loss on the road against the Diamondbacks last night. The Blue Jays have won 43 of their last 72 games against teams that are winning 54-62% of their games. They have also won 36 of their last 65 games against teams from the National League. Arizona (13-8) has won four games in a row — but they have lost 17 of their last 24 home games with the Total set in the 7-7.5 range. The Diamondbacks have also lost 9 of their last 15 games at home when Nelson is on the mound when priced as a money-line favorite up to -150. Take Toronto with the money-line listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck — Frank.

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AAA Sports' Selection: Texas Rangers/Seattle Mariners (UNDER).

Texas will start MacKenzie Gore -- has a 0.50 earned run average in three career starts against the Mariners.

That includes a game against them already this season when he went five innings and didn't give up any runs.

The UNDER is 4-1 over the L5 games between these two teams.

Seattle will start Bryan Woo -- has started the season really well again even with an 0-2 record.

The Mariners will look to build off of yesterday's result and only allowing one run in that game.

We're on the UNDER.

Orlando looked great in beating Charlotte, but they looked awful against Philadelphia. Detroit is the number one seed, and they were able to hold the fort when Cunningham went down. Detroit's problem last season was closing out games in the playoffs. Cunningham is still their one and only main scorer, so when this game gets into the final minutes, things could get interesting. I think Orlando will keep game one close and stay within the number.

This is a FREE PLAY!.

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Take LAFC/San Jose UNDER (7 p.m. EST, Sunday April 19) This is a major Western Conference clash between two title contenders and these have been the best two defensive sides in MLS this season (along with Seattle). They have allowed a combined four goals through 14 combined matches! Not only is this a big match for Western Conference status, but this is a great test for the Earthquake to show how solid they really are this season. Two seasons ago this was one of the worst sides in MLS but they rebuilt quickly and have a great squad this season. LAFC probably has the best chance to represent the west in the MLS Cup, so San Jose will want to play well here and we think they lean into their defense. These sides are behind the Vancouver Whitecaps in the Western Conference standings, and that team has an easy matchup Friday, so both sides here will want to keep pace. These matchups have generally been high scoring, but the Earthquake are a more focused defensive side this season and we think they will treat this like a playoff matchup and dig deep defensively.

1* Free Sharp Play on Braves vs Phillies under 8½ -110

1% GOLD RUSH on Bruins +1½

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Over on Sunday, April 19:

The matchup sets up cleanly for a higher scoring game because both teams lean heavily on pace and young offensive talent while lacking defensive consistency. Portland’s perimeter defense has been one of the softest units in the league, especially on the road, and San Antonio’s young core thrives when they can push tempo and attack in transition. The Spurs’ ball movement offense tends to generate clean looks early in the shot clock, and Portland’s defensive rotations often break down against teams that move the ball quickly.

On the other side, the Blazers have enough scoring punch to hold up their end of the total. San Antonio’s defense has struggled to contain dribble penetration and pick and roll actions, which is exactly where Portland creates most of its offense. Add in two bottom tier defenses, two teams that prefer to run, and the likelihood of long stretches of up and down play, and this matchup has all the ingredients for an Over.

My selection is on Portland plus the points over San Antonio at 9 pm et on Sunday.

No one is giving the Trail Blazers much of a chance in this series and they enter Game 1 as double-digit underdogs on Sunday. While I certainly don't think Portland wins this series, I do think the opener may be its best shot of at least giving San Antonio a run. The Spurs reeled off three straight wins SU and ATS before dropping their regular season finale at home against Denver. That was despite having key contributors in and out of the lineup to rest up for the playoffs. With that being said, San Antonio enters the postseason having gone a middling 9-8 ATS over its last 17 games. It did handle Portland 112-101 without its fully complement of players on April 8th and that victory is undoubtedly fresh in the minds of most bettors. If the Blazers couldn't hang without Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle in the lineup for the Spurs, how can they possibly stay competitive here? It's worth noting that the Blazers got to the free throw line just 10 times in that contest - matching a season-low. I expect Portland to make the necessary adjustments and ultimately take a more aggressive, 'nothing-to-lose' type of approach on Sunday. For its part, the Portland checks in 8-3 ATS over its last 11 games. Take Portland (8*).

Free Play – Take #952 San Antonio -6.5 (1st Half) over Portland (9:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, April 19)

The NBA Sunday slate of playoff games has some chalky point spreads, including this contest. Portland is much improved, playing defense, something they’ve been allergic to for years. San Antonio has a team capable of winning an NBA championship, seemingly only lacking in experience. With that, I can see the Spurs players really excited to see what they can do, especially early, and like that San Antonio is 34-12 ATS on the 1st half line after having won six or seven of their last eight games. Next, I found that April road underdogs of six or more points vs. the first half line, after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, are a substandard 11-36 ATS.

DOUG UPSTONE is heating up at 16-7 the last nine days on all picks. Dating back to last year, Doug is on a 14-6 NBA Playoff run, on a sharp 44-24 in hockey, plus on a 102-75 baseball run! 

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Upstone is a highly decorated betting expert with 29 monitored titles in various sports and 114 Top 10 finishes in his stellar 23-year career. Get Doug’s Best Bets, Top Plays, Super Systems and terrific trends.