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OVERALL  •  NFL  •  NCAA-F
NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2014
South Florida vs. Cincinnati
Cincinnati
-10½-110
  at  BMAKER
in 8h

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Cincinnati -10.5

While the Bearcats have been blown out three times this season, all three of those games came against quality opponents in Ohio State, Memphis and Miami, and two of them came on the road. After that gauntlet of a schedule, playing teams like SMU and South Florida have to feel like a breeze for the Bearcats. I look for them to make easy work of the Bulls at home in this one.

The Bearcats got back in the win column last week with a 41-3 win at hapless SMU.  It outgained the Mustangs 508-276 for the game.  The defense put forth their best effort of the season in limiting SMU to just a field goal while forcing four turnovers.  They held the Mustangs scoreless after the first quarter and cruised to a 38-point victory.

Now Cincinnati returns home, where it has one of the most underrated home-field advantages in the country. The Bearcats have gone 5-1 or better at home in five of the past six seasons. They went 6-0 in 2008, 6-0 in 2009, 5-1 in 2011, 6-1 in 2012 and 5-1 in 2013. So, in those five seasons combined, they sported a 28-3 record at home. They are a completely different animal inside the friendly confines of Paul Brown Stadium.

Despite getting five of their first seven games at home this season, the South Florida Bulls have been blown out by double-digits three times. Their only three wins have come against Western Carolina, Connecticut and Tulsa. One of those teams is an FCS opponent, while the other two are among the worst teams in the FBS. They also only won those three games all by 8 points or fewer.

This Cincinnati offense is putting up big numbers in 2014, averaging 34.3 points and 443.0 yards per game. Gunner Kiel is one of the most underrated quarterbacks in the country. He is completing 59.4 percent of his passes for 1,853 yards with 19 touchdowns against six interceptions. He should have his way with a USF defense that is giving up 29.0 points and 418.3 yards per game.

I just don’t believe that South Florida has the offensive firepower to keep up with Kiel and company in this one. The Bulls are averaging just 21.7 points and 311.3 yards per game to rank 120th out of 128 teams in total offense. That’s really bad when you consider the opponents they have faced thus far are giving up averages of 28.4 points and 400 yards per game.

I believe this line has been set lower than it should be because USF beat Cincinnati 26-20 at home last year. However, a closer look at the box score shows that the Bearcats should have won, but gave it away. They outgained the Bulls 350-241 for the game, but the Bulls got two non-offensive touchdowns on four Cincinnati turnovers, which was the difference in the game. Don’t expect the Bearcats to make the same kind of mistakes at home this time around.

Cincinnati is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games off a game with a turnover margin of +4 or better. The Bulls are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win. South Florida is 8-21 ATS in its last 29 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in its previous game. Cincinnati is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 meetings with South Florida.  Bet Cincinnati Friday.

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NCAA-F  |  Oct 26, 2014
Nevada vs. Hawaii
Hawaii
+4½-112
  at  PINNACLE
in 1d

FREE CFB play Saturday

Analysis coming!

Rocketman Sports is on a MASSIVE 32-10 76% overall football run!  Rocketman went 4-0 this past week in College Football and has now cashed 73% in CFB this year!  Rocketman is 35-15 70% with every football pick released this year!  This is my only CFB play this week and it goes on Friday night!  Get on board now and WIN BIG again!

NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2014
Troy vs. South Alabama
Troy
+14+100
  at  PINNACLE
in 8h

This game has the 1-6 Troy at the 4-2 South Alabama. We hit Troy hard on their only win this season and are backing them tonight as well. Big time point value here South Alabama should lay 2 touchdowns to no one. They struggled to beat Georgia State last week who is just 1-6. 78% of the public are laying heavy on South Alabama and this line hasn't moved much. I reached out to 3 local books all 3 told me this game would make them big money tonight. Take Troy plus the points for a 10* winner. (BE SURE TO CHECK OUT MY NFC GAME OF THE YEAR GOING DOWN SUNDAY 18-4 LAST 22 Football selections and off a 5-1 NFL SUNDAY AND 1-0 NFL MONDAY!)

NCAA-F  |  Oct 25, 2014
UMass vs. Toledo
UMass
+17-115
  at  BMAKER
in 1d

Massachusetts is just 2-6 on the season but it is much better than that record shows. Four of those losses have been by five points or less including three by a field goal or less so a few breaks here and there and the record could be a lot better. The Minutemen won just one game in each of the past two seasons but have already surpassed those totals thanks to its current two-game winning streak. Defeating Kent and Eastern Michigan may not be overly impressive but both wins were blowouts and they outgained the two opponents by 141 and 282 yards respectively. Toledo is coming off its bye week following a loss at Iowa St. which snapped its three-game winning streak. The Rockets are now laying their biggest number of the season which I feel is unjustified against one of the better teams in the MAC that are getting a different perception by the public. They have been outgained on four of their six games against teams from the FBS as their defense has been horrendous. That is not a good sign for a Massachusetts team that is starting to hit its stride offensively, averaging 39.8 ppg over its last four games. We don't need the outright victory here as getting this many points against a horrific defense is a sure take. That defensive ineptness is backed up by a situation where we play on road underdogs in the second half of the season that are averaging between 5.6 and 6.2 yppl going up against teams allowing between 5.6 and 6.2 yppl. This situation is 31-7 ATS (81.6 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (149) Massachusetts Minutemen

Matt rolls into Saturday as he looks to add to his HUGE start to the season! He is showing a +$6,082 profit in CFB YTD and he extends it with NINE Big Winners! He follows up his OUTSTANDING 20-9 record in CFB the last 4 Saturdays while adding to his EPIC +$39,171 overall football run! How about a PERFECT 9-0 CFB Saturday SWEEP!

NCAA-F  |  Oct 25, 2014
USC vs. Utah
USC
+1-110
  at  5DIMES
in 1d

Free Pick for Saturday October 25

USC -1

The Trojans have way more talent than Utah. The most talented team does not always win but when the most talented team is USC and you only have to give up a point you take.

Further, this Utah team is hardly a juggernaut, they got more credit for going to the Big House and winning because nobody wanted to believe Michigan was all that bad - they are terrible. Jump all over this value with visiting USC.  

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2014
South Florida vs. Cincinnati
Cincinnati
-10-106
  at  PINNACLE
in 8h

Play on Game #112 Cincinnati

 

I like Cincinnati to win this game and cover. This is a revenge game from last year when Cincy lost SU 26-20 as a 10.5 point road favorite @ South Florida. It was embarrassing for them as they had 4 costly turnovers in that game and they should have won easily, after outgaining South Florida 350-241.

Cincinnati has the better offense by 132 yards over South Florida and they have played some tough defenses in Miami Fl, Memphis, and Ohio State this season. For South Florida, this is a team that continues to struggle on offense as they have gotten outgained in 5 of their 7 games this season and overall they are losing the stats by 107 yards a game.  The QB's of South Florida are only completing 46% of their passes with a 6TD/8 INT mark and is no comparison to Gunner Kiel for Cincy, who has a wide arsenal of weapons to spread the ball too. He is the AAC's top rated QB is TD's and in Pass efficiency.

Now, Cincinnati's defense as struggled unexplainably. Last season they only gave up 21 ppg, and in 2012 they only allowed 18.5 ppg. This year, they are giving up 34.5 ppg and I think that the defense is much better than we are seeing. They have experience in the front 7 and the secondary. They do have new defensive coordinators which can explain for some of it, but I know HC Tommy Tubberville prides on defense and they will start to improve. This is a great game for the defense to tighten up vs. a South Florida team that has only scored over 17 points once this season. That was last week vs. Tulsa when they actually got outgained by 76 yards so don't let the 38-30 score fool you. Tulsa was actually up 30-14 in the 3rd quarter. After battling so hard to come back and get the win, I expect a letdown to be in store tonight as this is South Florida's 3rd road game in 4 weeks now. With Cincy being 8-2 ATS the last 10 meetings, I look for them to get their revenge in this game and smash the gas on Friday night.

Brandon is the #5 NCAAF capper in the nation as says this is his ONE and ONLY SEC Game of the Year on Saturday. Brandon is hitting on 69% of his College Picks (#3 in the nation) and is advising a STRONG wager this Saturday as he is dialed in on this BIG WINNER.  Do not miss out as Brandon once again delivers with a HUGE Saturday 4 Pack that will rock the books. Act Now-Win BIG!

NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2014
Troy vs. South Alabama
Troy
+14½-108
  at  5DIMES
in 8h

Free Pick on Troy Trojans +

The Trojans are showing some decent value here catching two touchdowns plus the hook against a South Alabama team that they have beat outright each of the last two years. The Jaguars aren't a good enough team to be laying this many points against most FBS squads. While Troy is just 1-6, we have seen South Alabama struggle against similarly bad teams. They beat a Kent State team that is now 1-6 by just 10-points and last week barely squeaked by with a 3-point win over a 1-6 Georgia State squad. The public has been all over South Alabama in this one and the line has barely moved, giving a good indication that the sharps are pounding the Trojans.

South Alabama's leading rusher Jay Jones is questionable with a leg injury and hot having him on the field would definitely be a big blow for the Jaguars. Jones has rushed for 393 yards with an impressive 4.7 yards/carry. His loss becomes even more important when you factor in that South Alabama is not a good passing team. The Jaguars rank just 86th in the country through the air, averaging a mere 209.8 ypg.

Another key here is that South Alabama's defense has not performed well against the run. The Jaguards are giving up 168.3 ypg on the ground and that's with giving up a combined 94 yards rushing in their two games against Kent State and Idaho. Just a couple weeks ago we saw Troy put up 360 rushing yards on New Mexico State, so there's plenty of reason to expect their offense to have some success.

One other aspect here that can't be overlooked is that South Alabama could have a difficult time giving Troy their full attention with two huge road games against a couple of the top Sun Belt contenders in Louisiana-Lafayette and Arkansas State on deck.

The fact that Troy gave up 53 points and finished with a -3 turnover margin in their last game against Appalachian State also sets the Trojans up in a favorable spot. Troy is 26-12 ATS in their last 38 after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse and a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 42 or more points. Take the Trojans!

NFL  |  Oct 26, 2014
Oakland Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns
Oakland Raiders
+7-105
  at  PINNACLE
in 2d

1* Free Play Oakland Raiders.

The 0-6 Oakland Raiders are in Cleveland to take on the 3-3 Browns. Both teams are coming off losses. After losing 31-28 to the Chargers two weeks ago, Oakland would fall 24-13 at home to the Cardinals last week. It’s the worst start to a season for the Raiders since losing their first 13 games in 1962: "This is as bad as you're going to get through the first part of the season," safety Charles Woodson remarked after the loss to Arizona. "We haven't won a game. How much worse can it get than that, than not winning a game?" Rookie QB Derek Carr has looked brilliant at times and pretty ordinary in others so far this year, he had four TD’s in the loss to the Chargers, but finished just 16 for 28 for 173 yards vs. the tough Cardinals defense. Carr though catches a break this week in playing against a Cleveland Browns unit which ranks 23rd in opposing passing yards. After a big 31-10 win over rival Pittsburgh, the Browns looked disastrous in last week’s 24-6 setback at Jacksonville. Cleveland settled for field goals in two trips inside the 20-yard line and failed to convert on fourth-and-1 at the 24. The Browns entered the weekend with the third best rushing attack, but looked anemic, 30 attempts for 69 total yards in the end. Despite the Raiders being winless this year, I believe these teams are moving in opposite diretions right now. Oakland has performed well vs. two playoff bound teams over the last two weekends, Cleveland continues to do what it does best and that is to show a ton of inconsistency from game to game. I think “sprinkling a little” on the money line isn’t a bad idea here either; consider a second look at the visitors in this one.

AAA Sports

NCAA-F  |  Oct 25, 2014
Texas vs. Kansas State
Texas
+10-105
  at  BMAKER
in 1d

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #193 Take Texas Longhorns over Kansas State Wildcats (Saturday 12 pm ESPN) The Longhorns are getting better under new coach Charlie Strong and have only been dominated one time this year. Kansas State is coming off a big victory against Oklahoma last Saturday, a game the Sooners gave away with three miscues in the kicking game. Therefore I do not believe Kansas State is good enough to be laying double digits in this game. Texas seems to play to the level of their competition and you can bet they will be pumped up for this game. Texas has covered 9 of their last 12 games when they are and underdog on the road. The Wildcats win this game but it comes much closer than what the experts believe. Doc’s Sports nailed their NFL Game of the Year last week when the underdog Chiefs beat the Chargers straight-up. Expect more of the same this weekend with a full slate of winners on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday you cannot afford to miss. 

NCAA-F  |  Oct 25, 2014
North Carolina vs. Virginia
North Carolina
+7-110
  at  BMAKER
in 1d

North Carolina +7 1.1* Free Play (12:30pm ET)

Virginia wins with their defense and they haven’t faced an offense as good as North Carolina.  Both BYU and UCLA had similar QB and attacks and Virginia lost both of those games.  I don’t think Virginia’s offense is good enough to cover a TD spread even though the Tar Heels have shown nothing on defense.  Marqise Williams should be able to move the ball effectively enough to score some points.  Virginia’s head coach Mike London has been in this spot before and I wouldn’t be surprised if North Carolina came in and won and Virginia’s season got away from them.  The last two years Virginia’s talented defense has had no answer for North Carolina’s spread offense.

NCAA-F  |  Oct 25, 2014
Northern Illinois vs. Eastern Michigan
Northern Illinois
-20½-105
  at  BOVADA
in 1d

Sporting a 5-2 SU record and with four of its next six games on the road, Northern Illinois won't screw around when it visits Eastern Michigan on Saturday afternoon. The Huskies already have one loss in the MAC West Division and they can't afford another.

As a conference guest, NIU has been a dominant force notching a solid 35-13 SU and 26-18-2 ATS record in its last 48 games. In their last 11 on the MAC road, the Huskies have posted an incredible 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS mark. Northern Illinois has pounded Eastern Michigan lately too. In their last 17 games against the Eagles, the Huskies own a proud 14-3 SU and 10-6 ATS record.

It won't take much to fade EMU. The Eagles have been one of college football's worst since 2007 notching a dismal 21-70 SU and 32-51-1 ATS mark including a pathetic 4-35 SU and 12-26-1 ATS in this set battling an opponent that checks in off a straight up win. To make matters worse, MAC home dogs in conference play are a ridiculous 13-68 SU and 25-54-2 ATS provided they arrive off a road game. If our "play against" host enters off a straight up loss and is priced as a pup of +10.5 or more, this conference trend slips all the way down to an awful 1-17 SU and 3-15 ATS.

Defensively, EMU is one of the worst allowing an average of 39.6 points and 521.1 yards per game. Rest assured, NIU's high-octane offense (avg 32.1 points and 476.1 ypg) will move the football up and down the field all day long against the Eagles. Take Northern Illinois. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.

NCAA-F  |  Oct 25, 2014
San Jose State vs. Navy
Navy
-8½-115
  at  PINNACLE
in 1d

Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick  ---Navy Midshipmen -8.5---

With starting quarterback Keenan Reynolds expected to return to action and Navy coming off a much-needed bye, I look for the Midshipmen to have their way against the Spartans. Last year Navy put up 432 rushing yards on San Jose State in a thrilling 58-52 win. The Midshipmen can expect to have another field day on the ground in this one. Navy comes in 3rd in rushing in 2014 at 342.1 ypg and will be going up against the Spartans 106th ranked run defense (218.5 ypg). Unlike last year, the San Jose State doesn't have the offensive fire-power to keep this one close. The Spartans are 107th in scoring at 22.0 ppg. I believe the only reason this spread isn't double-digits is because San Jose State has the 12th ranked defense in the country. However, that's because they lead the country in pass defense (94.5 ypg). Being able to stop the pass is about as absolutely worthless against a team like Navy, who is averaging 11 pass attempts all season. Navy should have no problem winning here by at least 10 points. BET THE MIDSHIPMEN!

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NCAA-F  |  Oct 25, 2014
Rutgers vs. Nebraska
Nebraska
-17½-109
  at  PINNACLE
in 1d

I'm laying the points with Nebraska on Saturday.  Full analysis posted later.

Scott Spreitzer is off another winning NFL weekend and it all began with last Thursday's win with the Jets. Grab Scott's next NFL THURS NIGHT KNOCKOUT! Scott enters week-8 on 54-31 & 71-44 winning NFL runs. Kick off the new week with the winner between the Chargers & Broncos!

NCAA-F  |  Oct 24, 2014
Oregon vs. California
Total
79½ un-110
  at  BMAKER
in 11h

This is a Free #NCAAF play on ORE@CAL to go UNDER the total. 

The Oregon Ducks will be in Santa Clara Friday night, taking on a much improved California team. Both these teams rank in the Top 10 in the nation in scoring, and because of that bettors are expecting this to be a high scoring contest. The total for this game opened at 77 (already sky high), but has been bet up as high as 80. That's an awful lot of points for a game that has the potential to be a one-sided affair. 

Cal has scored an awful lot of points against soft defenses, putting up 60 versus Washington State, 59 versus Colorado, and 45 in a loss at Arizona. They lost at home to the Washington Huskies by a score of 31-7 two weeks ago, and Oregon's defense is at least as capable as Washington's. 

These teams play every year, and six of the last seven meetings have gone under the total. None of the last 10 games between these two teams has seen a combined 80 points. None of Oregon's seven games so far this season have seen 80 points scored. 

California has only seen 80+ points in one of it's four home games, and of course those were all at Memorial Stadium in Berkley, while this game is in Stanta Clara at the home of the NFL's San Francisco 49ers.

 Take UNDER. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule

NCAA-F  |  Oct 25, 2014
UCLA vs. Colorado
UCLA
-14-110
  at  BOVADA
in 1d

UCLA -14

The Bruins have dominated Colorado since the Buffaloes joined the Pac-12, eclipsing 40 points in all three meetings. Colorado has dropped 16 straight to ranked teams, and the Buffaloes have lost 27 of 31 conference games since joining the Pac-12.

Pick= UCLA -14

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NCAA-F  |  Oct 25, 2014
Georgia Tech vs. Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
-3-108
  at  PINNACLE
in 1d

Ross Benjamin has been on an absolute torrid run in college football going 9-0 the last 3-weeks, and 11-1 the last 4-weeks. His football pay selections overall have gone a sizzling 16-4 L20!


Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh 3:30 PM ET
Game 139-140
Play On: Pittsburgh -3.0

The Panthers are far from a bad team, but you just don’t know what Pitt team will show up, the one that knocked off Boston College and Virginia Tech, or the one that was beaten at home as a 20.5 point favorite by Akron. Despite the inconsistencies, the Panthers match up very well versus Georgia Tech. They’re stout against the run, and they possess a very good rushing attack that averages 239-yards per game, and 5.2 yards per carry. Georgia Tech has had no answer for stopping the run this season, and their vaunted rushing attack will be neutralized in this one.

Any conference home favorite of 6.0 or less, coming off a conference home underdog straight up win by 3-points or more, and they have a winning percentage of less than .600, has gone 20-1 SU&ATS since 1999. Play on Pittsburgh minus the small number as a free selection.

NFL  |  Oct 26, 2014
Detroit Lions vs. Atlanta Falcons
Detroit Lions
-3½-108
  at  PINNACLE
in 1d

There are huge red flags for the Atlanta Falcons right now. After starting the season out on a positive note, they have since lost 4 straight, both SU and ATS. Most of the games haven't even been close to sniffing a point spread cover. The defense is undermanned and in disarray, allowing way too many points to give their offense any shot. Atlanta currently ranks 29th in total passing yards per game and 27th in rushing yards. The long trip to London won't do them any favors either. All of the quotes coming out of Falcons camp have been negative, with Roddy White and the veterans extremely frustrated. This O-line can't protect Matt Ryan, and as a result he is taking a beating.

The Lions meanwhile continue to look strong. They've won 2 in a row behind a solid defense, especially the front 7. With Atlanta's line decimated by injuries, the Lion's D-line will have no trouble putting pressure on Ryan. On the other side of the ball, Detroit can pick it's poison, either focusing on the ground attack or the passing game. Either way they will be able to exploit this Falcon's defense and cruise to a rather easy victory. Take the Lions.

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NFL  |  Oct 26, 2014
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals
-2½-117
  at  BETONLINE
in 2d

Take the Arizona Cardinals as your free winner of the week from Steve Williams. Steve continues to impress with his 10-2 ATS mark in totals and 64 % ATS overall record this season. Thursday Night Smasher wins with the over in Denver. Don't miss our CFB Triple Play and NFL Total of the Year. Get the plays big bettors will be on.

Cardinals host the Eagles in a battle of 5-1 teams. Philly will have their hands full on defense against the tough Arizona WR corp.  Eagles prone to giving up big plays on defense. Also Sproles not yet 100 % after knee sprain two weeks ago.  Cardinals off win over the Raiders. Bruce Arians is proving last year's 10-6 record (missed playoffs) was no fluke. This team seems to be on a mission to make sure they don't miss out this year. Arians is 11-3-1 ATS last 15. Cardinals are 7-3-1 ATS last 11 at home.

We expect a close hard fought game between two of the better teams in the NFL today. Home-field the edge here.  Cardinals pull this one out by seven, 28-21.

Don't miss our Total of the Year. Goes this Sunday!  We are 10-2 ATS on totals this season.

NCAA-F  |  Oct 25, 2014
Michigan vs. Michigan State
Michigan State
-16½-115
  at  BMAKER
in 1d

The Michigan Wolverines have found out recently what a "Little brother' does when they grow up.....They kick the crap out of their bigger brother. That is what has been happening and will continue to happen this weekend in East Lansing. i see The Spartans of Michigan State controlling all aspects of this game. The Spartans will be able to move the ball against the Wolverine and the Spartan defense will be able to contain the Wolverines offense much as they did last year. Granted the Spartans defense isn't as good as last year but neither is the Wolverine’s offense.

I think Michigan will keep it close on emotion at the start but Sparty will pull away in the second half and win BIG.

Play on Michigan State.

This is a 1* Free Play

NFL  |  Oct 26, 2014
Miami Dolphins vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars
+7-135
  at  5DIMES
in 2d

ANDRE RAMIREZ NFL DIAMOND GAME OF THE YEAR

TODAY'S WINNER: JAGUARS +7 POINTS

Today we are laying the money on the Jaguars +7 points.The Jaguars should have received a nice confidence boost after breaking their nine-game losing streak with a home victory against the Browns. We like Miami much more in an underdog role than as chalk where they are 0-3 ATS the past three
times laying more than four points. Ryan Tannehill has picked up his game, though, since being disrespected by Joe Philbin throwing for 799 yards in his last three games. Blake Bortles is Jacksonville's future. That future isn't quite now as Bortles has turned the ball over 12 times in four starts.  According to my algorithms, I have Miami winning 17-14, 13-10, and the Jaguars winning 21-17. Lay the money on the Jaguars plus the points.