Free Sports Picks from Top Betting Handicappers - Best Bets of the Day

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Illinois +1½ -115

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Free Pick on Bills/Jaguars: over 51

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* Free Sharp Play on Bills vs Jaguars under 51½ -110

1* Free Pick on Bills/Jaguars under 52

FREE PLAY on Bills +2

1* on Bills +2

The Jacksonville Jaguars have a 13-4 record this season and finished first in the AFC South. They are 12-5 ATS, and have a 7-2 home record. The Jaguars are putting up 27.9 points per game, ranking 6th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 19.8 points per game, which is 8th. Trevor Lawrence leads the Jaguars with 4007 passing yards with 29 touchdowns. Travis Etienne leads the team in rushing yards with 1107. 

 The Buffalo Bills have a 12-5 record this season and finished second in the AFC East. They are 8-9 ATS, and are 5-3 on the road. The Bills put up 28.3 points per game, ranking 4th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 21.5 points per game, which is 12th. Josh Allen leads the Bills with 3668 passing yards with 25 touchdowns. James Cook leads the team in rushing yards with 1621. 

The Bills have lost each of their last eight road postseason games. The Bills have covered the spread in 10 of their last 12 games against teams that held a winning record. The Jaguars have been very strong at home with a 7-2 and they are 8-0, both straight up and against the spread in their previous 8 games. Buffalo is 5-1 in its last 6 but just 2-3 against the spread, and has a weaker defense than the Jaguars. They have lost their previous three games played in Jacksonville. I am going to ride with the Jags in this one. Allen is the more experienced quarterback and will make a huge play down the stretch to get Buffalo the win.

Play on Buffalo. This is a free play. 

Free Play on East Carolina +8½ -110

1* Bet on Charlotte +1½

1* Free Play on Charlotte +1½ -110

Sunday CBB Free play. My selection is on Merrimack plus the points over Saint Peter's at 2 pm et on Sunday.

I think the case can be made for the wrong team being favored in this MAAC matchup on Sunday. Merrimack has reeled off four straight wins and eight victories in its last nine games. It staged an 'upset' win at Siena on Friday but I don't think a letdown is in order on Sunday. Note that the Warriors own the better overall record in this particular matchup this season and have also faced the tougher schedule by most metrics. Saint Peter's had its three-game winning streak snapped at Mount St. Mary's on Friday. The Peacocks have gotten away a bit from what has been so successful for them as they've been pushing the pace in recent games. I do think they'll be in tough trying to pull away from a Warriors squad that has held six of its last seven opponents to 25 made field goals or fewer. Take Merrimack.

SUNDAY card has a BIG PLAYOFF RED ZONE PLAY, THE WILD CARD TOTAL OF THE YEAR, A TOP PLAYER PROP and HOOPS. NHL Comp play below

The NHL Comp play is on Winnipeg at 2 eastern. The Jets finally snapped their losing streak at 11 games with a solid 5-1 win over LA. NJ has lost the last 2 and were out scored 16-2. On the road they have lost 4 of the last 5. In the series Winnipeg has won 4 of the last 5. The Jets are in a nice system that pertains to home favorites off a win that snapped a long losing streak and we will back them today. GL RV

The Pelicans have more talent than what their record shows. They should have their confidence up after halting a nine-game losing streak with a 21-point victory against the Wizards. Prior to their losing streak, the Pelicans had won five in a row.

The Magic have key injuries - Jalen Suggs and Franz Wagner are each out - and are a hard-to-believe 3-16 ATS in their last 19 games. This includes a 1-11 ATS mark when laying more than two points.  

Zion Williamson is averaging a team-high 22.8 points for New Orleans and is expected to play as is Trey Murphy III, who during the past three games is leading the NBA in scoring averaging 38.6 points during this span. 

*Free Play Under* The Memphis Grizzlies are off a heartbreaking loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder on Friday night. Memphis is 14-7 to the under off a loss, and they should show up ready to play defense and get things back on track in this one.

The Nets are the second slowest paced team in the NBA. They just don't have the firepower to win higher scoring games consistently,  so they are going to try to keep things slowed down.

Memphis should win and hold the Nets to a low enough number to keep this under.

Take the under.

(A big 4-1 day yesterday! MAAC Total of the MONTH is up for Sunday and my NFL Wild Card ATS Best Bet is up. Join in! 

1* Free Pick on 49ers/Eagles under 44½ -110

Free Total Annihilator On 49ers vs Eagles over 44 -110

Bearcats have been much less fortunate and have a deceptive record based on Luck Factor:

Cincinnati -2.3 vs UCF +1.9 → Luck Gap 4.2

Luck factor quantifies the gap between a team’s actual wins and its expected wins based on underlying efficiency. It incorporates high-variance elements such as turnover margin, fumble recovery rates, performance in one-score games, and even officiating variance to isolate how much randomness influenced the final record. Positive readings indicate teams that benefited from favorable outcomes, while negative readings identify teams that were disproportionately unlucky—most often in volatile areas like turnovers.

From a handicapping perspective, this creates a clear market inefficiency: teams riding extreme positive luck tend to be overvalued by the market, while teams suffering negative luck are frequently undervalued. The strongest betting edge emerges when there is a significant luck-factor disparity between two opponents.

Joe Duffy is 7–3 Saturday and now 240–181 overall (+4,239 units). NFL remains elite at 64–36 (64%, +2,499) with both the NFC and NFL Games of the Week on today’s card, part of two Wise Guys among five NFL playoff winners.

Basketball continues to deliver with College Hoops at 74–43 (63%, +2,683) and all basketball at 85-59 (+2,035), and today’s card features five NBA plays, led by the highest-rated Wise Guy selection.

PSP Data Driven 1* Blazers.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games. New York is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road.

Free Pick on Capitals -140

ASA NBA play on UNDER 235.5 San Antonio Spurs at Minnesota Timberwolves, 7:10pm ET - These two teams met in late November on this same court and produced 237 total points but it took hot shooting to get there. Minnesota attempted just 87 field goals but hit 56% overall and made 17/37 3-pointers. Those numbers are well above their season average of 48.5% FG% and 37.1 3PT%. The same can be said about the Spurs who shot 52% overall in that game but were 8/33 from beyond the arc. San Antonio attempted just 84 field goals in the game. These are two of the best FG% defenses in the NBA with the Spurs allowing the 5th lowest FG% at 46.1%, the Wolves are 7th allowing an average of 46.2%. We expect both teams to struggle offensively in this game as both defenses rank 4th (Minn) and 6th (SAS) in defensive efficiency. Both teams are coming off games yesterday and NBA teams playing without rest generally stay UNDER the total. 7 of the last nine meetings between these two teams has resulted in less points being scored than this O/U number. Bet UNDER!

Knights vs Sharks NHL Free Pick 

The Trend(s): The San Jose Sharks are 18-5 (78%) with a positive return of investment on 28% against the puckline as home underdogs. They've won 13 of those 23 games outright, and the Vegas Golden Knights have losing records, 8-9 SU, 4-13 against the puckline, as road favorites. 

The Bet: SHARKS (2%). 

Ricky's 1* play on SJ.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Golden Knights are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games.

- The Sharks are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games.

- The Sharks is 6-3 in its last 9 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division

Verdict: The value is on the Home underdog.

David's NFL Free Pick

We really like the under in this matchup. Both yesterday's Wild Card games flew over the total, but we think this game in Foxborough will stay under. The Chargers boast one of the best defenses in the NFL and although New England QB Drake Maye is an MVP candidate, he'll face a tough test here in his first playoff start. 

This is a 1% FREE PLAY on the UNDER. 

1* Best Bet on Patriots -3½

No analysis provided.