Free Sports Picks from Top Betting Handicappers - Best Bets of the Day

English Premier League Take Newcastle/Chelsea UNDER 2.5 (7:30 a.m. EST, Saturday Dec 20)

We were on the Chelsea UNDER last week for our free pick and despite a 2-0 halftime lead for Chelsea vs Everton, there were no goals in the second half and we cashed that ticket. We will strike again here as we think there is nice value getting the under at plus-money. Five of the last seven meetings, including the last two, where Newcastle was the home side have gone under 2.5. Chelsea have scored only a single goal in their last two EPL road tilts, including laying a goose egg last road match at Bournemouth. Despite notching two goals at home last week vs. Everton, something just seems off with this team recently and we don’t see them getting more than a goal here and another shut out is certainly a possibility. They have one goal total in the last four visits to Newcastle. Newcastle was shut out vs. Sunderland last time out, so suddenly they have lost offensive form as well. We think this will be a low scoring match and expect to cash this plus-money ticket.

1* Free Sharp Play on Lazio -152

1* NCAAF - Miami/Texas A&M FREE PICK on Texas A&M -3

Free Play Under- Mercyhurst and Binghamton projects as an ugly lower scoring game. These two teams have very little innovation on their offensive sets. Mercyhurst plays at the slowest pace of anyone in the country and their totals are rarely set this high. Look for both teams to be sloppy and this to stay under. 

#627 ASA PLAY ON North Carolina -3.5 over Ohio State, Saturday at 3 PM ET - This one is being played on a neutral court in Atlanta. OSU has been disappointing this year despite their 8-2 record. We think they are overvalued right now and should be a larger dog in this game. Their 2 losses came at home vs Illinois and @ Pitt who has proven to be just not a very good team. In fact, Pitt lost at home vs Quinnipiac the game before beating Ohio State and then lost their next 2 home games after that win vs Texas A&M and Hofstra. We were on OSU vs an OK but not great West Virginia team a week ago and it was simply a poor pick. The Buckeyes won in OT but never led by more than 3 and trailed for most of the game (down 14 midway through the 2nd half) and that game was in Cleveland. UNC’s resume is much more impressive as their only loss was vs Michigan State and they’ve already beaten Kansas and Kentucky. The Heels have the better offensive and defensive efficiency numbers and should control the boards as well. They are the tallest team in the nation and they rank in the top 20 in rebound rate. The Buckeyes don’t score a lot from deep (under 30% of their points come from 3) so they rely on scoring inside the arc and at the FT line. Problem here is, UNC ranks 3rd nationally allowing teams to shoot only 40% from 2 point range and they rarely send teams to the FT line allowing only 10 made freebies per game (12th fewest in the country). We like Carolina at this short number.

Free Play – Take UNDER 58 #293-94 Tulane vs Mississippi (3:30 p.m. ET, Friday, Dec. 20)

For the middle game on Saturday, the total has dipped from 57 to 55.5, only to go up to 58 on Friday. These two met in the latter stages of September in Oxford, as they are in this encounter, with Ole Miss toppling Tulane 45-10. We can see the Green Wave giving a better showing, particularly in the first half, familiar with the location, and the Rebels may not take this rematch as seriously without their head coach. Ole Miss is likely to wear down Tulane in the second half to pull away 37-17 for the UNDER.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Eagles -7 -110

1* Free Pick on Eagles -6½

Rockets vs Nuggets NBA Free Pick

The Angle: These two teams rank among the most profitable ATS plays this season, but the spot favors the Houston Rockets, who are a perfect 2-0 ATS as road underdogs. The Denver Nuggets sit at 6-5 ATS as home favorites overall but have struggled at 1-4 ATS in their last five such games. Houston's edge in this specific situational matchup makes them the sharp play.

Play on: ROCKETS (2%). 

PSP Data Driven 1* Bruins.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games. Vancouver is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games.

MASSIVE Saturday card has 2 BIG NFL Plays and 2 BIG CFB Plays one is an Executive Level TIER 1. We have have a Triple Perfect  NBA and College Hoops Power systems. NHL Compo total below.

The NHL Comp play is on the Over 6 goals in the Pittsburgh vs Montreal game at 7:10 eastern. In the series the last 4 here have gone over with each game having at least 7 goals. The Penguins are over .500 despite losing the last 7. They have gone over in 4 of the last 5 and were shutout for just he 2nd time this season last out so expect a more spirited effort here. The game fits a nice scoring system tonight that has cashed over 80% long term. Look for both teams to find the back of the net multiple times here. Play this one OVER. GL Rob V-

David's College Football Free Pick

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line looks mispriced  given that James Madison covered in its first, and thus far only, game as an underdog (against Wisconsin), and here the smaller program seems undervalued against the prominent Oregon Ducks.

This is a 1% FREE PLAY on the DUKE against the SPREAD. 

1% GOLD RUSH on James Madison/Oregon: under 47½

Illinois State vs Villanova 
7:30 EST, Saturday, December 20 
FCS Championship – Semifinals 
Villanova Stadium 
7-Unit bet on the OVER currently priced at 52.5 points

The following NCAAF betting algorithm has compiled a 17-8 OVER record good for 68% winning bets since 2015. The required criteria are: 

Bet the OVER in the postseason. 

Both teams have won 9 or more games. 

The opponent has covered the spread by 42 or more points spanning their previous five games. 

Ranked Top-10 in NFL and CFB and get the rest of the CFB Bowl games including the 10-UNIT Bowl game of the Year that has won in 7 in the past 8 years - for 50% off. Price is already adjusted.

Ricky's 1* play on SJ.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- San Jose is 4-2 in its last 6 games.

- Seattle is 1-4 in its last 5 games on the road.

- Seattle is 1-10 in its last 11 games.

Verdict: The value is on the Home favorite.

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Cleveland Browns +11

The Buffalo Bills used a ton of energy in coming back from a 21-0 deficit to beat the New England Patriots in their biggest game of the season last week.  I have to think there will be a natural letdown for the Bills this week after the nature of that comeback victory and what it meant for them.  The Cleveland Browns play much better at home than they do on the road, especially defensively.  The Browns only give up 18.8 points per game at home.  They actually have a better defense than the Bills, who have cluster injuries on the defensive line and in the secondary.  The Bills gave up 31 points to the Patriots and 34 to the Bengals the last two weeks.  Shedeur Sanders should get some help this week with a couple starters returning along the offensive line.  The Browns should be able to run the football on the Bills to take some pressure off of him as well.  The Bills have given up 246 rushing yards to the Patriots, 202 to the Bucs and 197 to the Dolphins in recent weeks.  Cleveland has just one home loss by more than 7 points all season.  Give me the Browns.

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Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Detroit Lions -7

The Detroit Lions are 15-0 SU & 14-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a loss.  They are coming off a 41-34 loss in Los Angeles against what most believe is the best team in the NFL in the Rams.  The Lions are in must-win mode the rest of the way if they want to make the playoffs, and they will be putting their best foot forward this week against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

With Pittsburgh's win over Miami on Monday Night Football, the Steelers now have the assurance that they can afford to lose their next two games as long as they beat the Baltimore Ravens in Week 18 and still win the division.  Knowing they have that in the back of their minds, it wouldn't be surprising to see the Steelers fail to show up this week.

It's a short week for the Steelers as well after playing a very physical game with the Dolphins in the cold Monday night.  Injuries are starting to pile up for Pittsburgh as they will be without LB T.J. Watt, LB Nick Herbig and CB James Pierre on defense.  Their offensive line is a mess as they are already down LT Broderick Jones and swing tackle Calvin Anderson, who are both on IR.  They are down to a 4th-stringer at tackle, LG Isaac Seumalo is out with a triceps injury, and C Zach Frazier was held out of practice Thursday before getting a limited in Friday with a triceps injury as well.

The Lions are 5-2 SU & 4-3 ATS at home this season outscoring opponents by 11.6 points per game.  They were last seen beating Dallas 44-30 as 3.5-point home favorites.  Their offense is basically fully healthy right now and one of the best offenses in the NFL.  They rank 1st in scoring offense at 30.6 points per game, 4th in total offense at 379.9 yards per game and 1st at 6.4 yards per play.  They have been playing even better on this side of the ball since Dan Campbell took over play-calling duties.

I just don't think the Steelers are equipped to keep up in a shootout.  They rank 27th in total offense at 288.1 yards per game.  They have a very predictable offense that is all dink and dunk to tight ends and running backs, with the occasional big play to their only proven receiver in DK Metcalf sprinkled in.

The Lions have some injuries in their secondary, but the Steelers aren't the team that can exploit it.  And when you look at the numbers, the Lions have actually been the better defensive team this season.  Pittsburgh is 28th in total defense at 363.3 yards per game while Detroit is 21st at 337.9 yards per game.  The Steelers are one of the most fraudulent teams in the NFL, and they will get exposed by a much superior Lions team that simply wants it more this weekend.  Bet the Lions Sunday.

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Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Patriots/Ravens OVER 48.5

The Key: These are 2 of the better offenses in the NFL right now largely due to how healthy they are.  The Patriots are scoring 27.3 PPG this year.  The Ravens have scored at least 22 points in 7 of their last 8 games overall.  The only game they didn't they had 5 turnovers against the Bengals to keep taking points off the board.  Both offenses are much healthier and better than both defenses.  The Patriots just yielded 35 points to the Bills last week and lost a lot of guys to injury in that game.  They will be without LB Robert Spillane, and DE Barmore, LB Landry, LCB Davis III and CB Jones are all questionable and have missed practice this week.  The Ravens will be without CB Awuzie, plus SS Hamilton and NT Jenkins are questionable.  Baltimore yielded 27 points to Pittsburgh and 32 to Cincinnati in 2 of its last 3 games.  There will be no wind or precipitation in Baltimore Sunday night so this should be a shootout.  Take the OVER.

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Monday's CFB Free Pick

PLAY ON: Washington State +1.5