Feb 03 '26, 8:00 PM in 9h
NCAA-B |
Indiana State vs Evansville
Play on:
Indiana State -125 at Draft Kings
1* Free Pick on Indiana State -125
Indiana State has the clear edge tonight because their offensive efficiency is simply too much for Evansville to handle. The Sycamores are one of the top shooting teams in the Missouri Valley and they move the ball better than almost anyone in the country.
Evansville struggles to close out on shooters and that is a recipe for disaster against this Indiana State lineup. The Aces give up way too many open looks from beyond the arc and rank near the bottom of the conference in defensive eFG%.
Indiana State enters this game with a clean bill of health and no major injuries to their starting rotation. They have had two full days of rest since their last game on Saturday and should be fresh for this road trip.
Evansville relies heavily on forcing turnovers to stay competitive in conference play. However, Indiana State is extremely disciplined with the ball and rarely gives away cheap possessions.
The Sycamores also dominate the defensive glass and limit teams to one shot per trip. Evansville lacks the size and athleticism to create the second-chance points they need to keep pace.
The line is short because of the home-court factor, but the talent gap here is much wider than the price suggests. Indiana State has the better shooters, better ball handlers, and a more consistent defensive identity.
Expect the Sycamores to control the tempo and use their floor spacing to pull Evansville's bigs out of the paint. This creates easy lanes for their guards and will likely lead to a comfortable lead by the second half.
I like the Indiana State ML (-125)
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