Free Sports Picks from Top Betting Handicappers - Best Bets of the Day

1 Dimer on Tigers vs Reds over 8½ -118

1* Free Sharp Play on Reds +121

My selection is on the 'under' between Tampa Bay and Montreal at 7 pm et on Friday.

Tampa Bay's gameplan in this series is pretty clear at this point. It wants to drag Montreal into a fight and ultimately bully its way to a series victory. So far, it has employed that strategy to mixed results through two games with the series tied 1-1 entering Game 3 in Montreal on Friday. I think we're in for another relatively low-scoring, tight-checking affair as the series shifts to the Bell Centre. While the Canadiens are known for their offensive prowess, the 'under' is now 15-7 over their last 22 games. They've actually been trending in the wrong direction offensively for weeks, scoring two goals or less in five of their last eight contests. Tampa Bay has posted a 4-9 o/u record over its last 13 contests. Since the beginning of April, the Lightning have played four road games, producing two goals or less in all four contests including a 2-1 defeat here in Montreal on April 9th. I expect a more disciplined game from both teams on Friday after Games 1 and 2 were penalty-fests. Take the under (8*).

Free Pick on Lightning -115

Celtics vs 76ers 
7 EST, Friday 
5-Unit bet on the Celtics priced as a 7-point favorite. 

The 76ers are coming off an incredible road win priced as a 14.5-point underdog at the Boston Garden Tuesday. That type of loss gets a superior team refocused to regain control of the playoff series and home court advantage. The Philadelphia fan base is feeding off their NHL Flyers and their remarkable run to get into the playoffs and now up 3-0 against the Pittsburgh Penguins. Teams from the same city can feed off the successes of each other during the playoff runs, but this is a big ask for the 76ers, who will again be without their former MVP Center Joel Embiid.  

Analytically, road favorites of four or more points that are coming off a loss priced as a favorite have bounced back well compiling a 21-6 SU (78%) and 19-7-1 ATS record for 73% winning bets since 2002. If that loss occurred at home, these embarrassed teams respond to the tune of a 7-1 SUATS record for 88% winning bets. 

In fact, home teams that are coming off a playoff upset road win are 123-114 SU (52%), but 95-140-2 ATS. If these teams are priced as home dogs of any size, they fail miserably with a 17-42 SU (29%) and 20-37-1 ATS record for just 35% winning bets since 2002.  

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Over in Cleveland @ Toronto (7:07p.m., Friday, April 24 MLB.tv) The Blue Jays are struggling this season, and I just do not believe Max Scherzer has much left in the tank. For Toronto to win his starts, they will need to score a bunch of runs and that sets up a strong play with the over. SP Scherzer is 1-2 this season with a 7.16 E.R.A. and a 1.29 WHIP. His opponent on the mound is Gavin Williams, and he has 17 walks in just over 29 innings of work. He has been living dangerously to start this season, and it will eventually catch up with him on Friday. Play the over in this matchup.

PSP Data Driven 1* Guardians.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. Cleveland is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games against Toronto. Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home.

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Cleveland Guardians -123

The Cleveland Guardians have the starting pitching advantage in this one and it's not even close.  Gavin Williams is 3-1 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in five starts this season giving up only 7 earned runs in 29 2/3 innings with 40 strikeouts.  Max Scherzer is 1-2 with a 7.16 ERA in four starts for the Blue Jays, giving up 13 earned runs and 4 home runs in 16 1/3 innings.  Williams has a 2.76 ERA in three previous starts against the Blue Jays.  Give me the Guardians.

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1* Free Pick on Twins/Rays over 7½

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Tampa Bay Rays -118

I love the spot for the Tampa Bay Rays tonight.  They had yesterday off while the Minnesota Twins were completing a 3-game series in New York against the Mets.  All three of those games were decided by 2 runs or less, and each of their last six games have been decided by 3 runs or fewer so their suspect bullpen has had heavy usage.

The Rays have been a potent offensive team this season scoring 4.8 runs per game while scoring at least 5 runs in nine of their last 12 games overall.  They get to face their former teammate in Taj Bradley for the first time and will clearly have the perfect scouting report on him.  Look for this to be the game Bradley regresses in a major way.

Drew Rasmussen is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He has gone 1-0 with a 2.75 ERA and 0.61 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 6 earned runs and 12 base runners in 19 2/3 innings.  Rasmussen has held the Twins to one earned run and 5 base runners in 8 innings in his last two starts against them.  Bet the Rays Friday.

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Twins vs Rays MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): Fade city on the slumping Minnesota Twins, stuck in a 1-6 funk. Taj Bradley (3-0, 1.63 ERA) has been sharp, but Rays' Drew Rasmussen (1-0, 2.75 ERA) shut down Minnesota last year, holding the Twinkies to one run on four hits over eight IP across two Rays victories.

The Bet: RAYS (3%). 

1* Free Play on over 9

Free Total Annihilator On Phillies vs Braves over 9 -115

1* MLB - Pirates/Brewers FREE PICK on Pirates -127

1*

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Lakers +9½ -110

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

OVER 205.5

Locking this in early. Houston and LA shift the series to Houston and we’re on the over in Game 3. The Lakers surprised everyone with two wins in LA and have control of the series right now. This game should be wide open and we’re going to see Houston throw everything they have at the Lakers. Expect plenty of tempo both ways and for these two teams to get out in transition. Houston has to pick up the pace offensively as they’re at their best when they can open up a lot of shooting lanes. Grab the over. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER (up to 207.5). The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Friday FREE NBA O/U Play

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Lakers vs Rockets over 206½ -110

1* on A's +137

Marc David Sports' Free Pick

We really like the road team in this matchup. The Mariners are 1-8 away from home but we think this price is an overreaction to that record and that they should be a bigger favorite. They're 2-0 in George Kirby's last two starts with Kirby (3-2, 2.97 ERA) giving up just three runs over 13.1 innings. 

This is a FREE PLAY on the MARINERS -1.5. 

1* Free Play on Oilers -124

1% GOLD RUSH on Oilers -1½

1* Best Bet on Oilers -1½

No analysis provided.

FREE PLAY on Cubs +153

Friday's Free MLB Pick 

PLAY ON: Cubs +147