Green Bay Packers -8
The Packers will have an emotional night as Bart Starr returns and they retire Brett Farve number 4 jersey. The Packers offense should be able to score a good amount of points vs this Bears defense. The Packers defense also got back on track last week and it will continue in this one.
Pick= Packers -8
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In Italy, take Livorno and Novaro to draw at +198.
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Thanksgiving Day Feast. The menu: 2 Big Sides, 2 Sweet totals and a Top Rated Dessert as we have you covered from Soup to nuts in NFL and College football. Free College hoops play below.
On Thanksgiving Day the College hoops play is on the Dayton Flyers +2 points at 9:00 eastern. The flyers are taking on Iowa tonight in a battle of 3-0 teams in a neutral court game. Dayton has played solid defense allowing just 55 per game so far and they are 30-7 vs non conference teams, 8-3 vs teams who average 77 or more points and 15-5 vs teams who allow 65 or less points. Iowa is just 2-9 to the spread in neutral court games and 17-38 with 5 or 6 days rest. We will back the better defensive team here tonight with Dayton. On Turkey day we have a tantalizing card up with a 6* Triple perfect NFL Totals and 3 more plays all are from Multiple perfect systems that are Thursday specific and are derived from the fines data available. In College Football its a Quad system Rivalry Game of the year. Dont miss this power packed feast all day and night. Jump on now and cash out big. For the free play in NCAAB action take the 2-3 points with Dayton. RV
After a hot start to the season, the Falcons have fallen away badly. Most of their issues though have been on offense, as their secondary has been solid all season. The Falcons own the 12th ranked defense in the league, allowing 21.4 ppg, however they also own the league’s 2nd best home ground defense, allowing just 71.8 ypg – this will come in handy against the run heavy Vikings, who run the ball a lot through Peterson (understandably). The Vikings also own the league’s 2nd ranked defense, allowing a miserly 18.4 ppg. The Vikings will be keen to make amends after dropping a key game last week to the Packers, while the Falcons haven’t put up more than 21 points in their last 5 games straight (averaging just 17.6 ppg in those 5 games). This one doesn’t look like a shoot out and should fall UNDER.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Minnesota. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota.
For our free pick, take the UNDER 46 points BIG here.
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We want NO PART of a home Dog Auburn team that's lost 3 of their last 4 SEC games (1-3 SU & ATS) by a TD or more. Not impressed with their victory last Saturday as they were -33 point favorites in a non-conference battle against an over-matched Idaho squad. This Saturday they return to the SEC to host Alabama, who's won 8 STRAIGHT games since their only loss back on September 19th. That loss woke 'Bama up and they've been playing better football during the last 2 months while posting a 5-2 ATS record in their last 7 games. With recent losses by Ohio State, Baylor and TCU, #2-ranked Alabama will secure their NCAA Playoff spot with a solid victory against SEC rival Auburn. This line has move up since opening at -13 points as the public continues to back Alabama, so be careful as this is an in-state rivalry game that have ended closer than expected in several previous meetings, such as last year's 55-44 home victory from Alabama, barely covering the -10 point spread. That rivalry factor moves this play to a 10* rating and bettors should consider Teasers, or wager before this line moves any higher. 10* Play On ALABAMA
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are on the bubble as far as the playoffs are concerned, and they need a win here at Stanford, and possibly some help from teams like Nebraska, Penn State or TCU. The Cardinal's playoff hopes are a little slimmer, but they've already punched a ticket to the PAC12 Championship Game, and a win over the Irish could keep them in the discussion. My money is on a Stanford team that has a far more impressive body of work.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Christian McCaffrey - The Heisman hopeful ran for 192 yards on 29 carries last week, and he also rank back a 98 yard kick for a TD. He should find plenty of room to run against a Notre Dame team that surrendered 214 rushing yards to Boston College last week.
2. Injuries - The Irish are really banged up, and last week they lost leading rusher C.J. Prosise to a high ankle sprain. He's not likely to play on Saturday versus Stanford.
3. X-Factor - The Cardinal are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 home games, and they've covered in seven of their last nine versus a team with a winning record.
Selection: This is a play on the Stanford Cardinal (Free)
Oregon State +35 1.1* Free Play
This is not one you'd run to play, but it is one of college football's oldest rivalry games. You have the tendency to throw things out at the end of the day. Oregon is getting so much credit for how they have played of late, but just a few weeks ago we were having a very different discussion. Oregon's defense is still not above average, and I could see Oregon State taking big chances down field that will pay off in this game as Oregon's secondary is a major weakness, and a big reason why they haven't held any opponent under 20 points in a game. Oregon State's players are treating this like a bowl game which means we will get max effort. If you are looking to play this like I am I would wait for the last possible second as I see this climbing to 37 or higher by game time. I also don't see how Oregon gets up for this game, they don't have anything to play for, they also just got done playing USC and Stanford so even though it's a rivalry game I don't see this team having great intensity. I would predict Oregon 49, Oregon State 27.
1* Free Play Patriots.
Tom Brady. Brock Osweiler. We could leave it at that and just say "enough said" and that would be ample reason enough to take the Patriots in this matchup. Osweiler looked alright vs. a struggling Bears team last week but now faces a much stiffer test obviously in defending champion New England. It's true that the Pats haven't completely dominated their last two opponents, winning 27-26 over the Giants and then holding on for a victory over the revenge minded Bills last Monday. Remember, Brady and New England beat both of these teams with significant injuries on both sides of the ball, a clear testament to how deep and well coached the Patriots really are. And how awesome Brady really is. Both the Giants and the Bills gave New England their best shots and the injured Pats STILL won. Is there any question in your mind that if New York and Buffalo played as well as they did in those contests, that they'd both have beaten the Broncos easily? Beating Jay Cutler and the Bears is one thing, but beating Brady and an albeit injured Patriots team is quite another. This is what Brady and head coach Tom Belichick live for. These are the moments that these two almost always dominate in. The fact that the team is injured is not going to matter. Brady or Osweiler? We'll highly recommend a second look at NEW ENGLAND in this one.
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #116 Take Over in Marshall Thunder @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (Friday 12 pm FS1) First place in the Eastern Division of Conference USA is on the line when 7-0 WKU takes on 6-1 in Marshall. Both teams can light up the scoreboard and thus we will not worry if WKU can cover the double digit spread and instead just focus on the over. When these two teams met last year 133 total points were scored. WKU is averaging 43 points per game and they should have no problem reaching that total again on Friday. WKU has gone over the posted total in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record. Do not miss Doc’s Sports Weekend Football Card highlighted by a top play on Saturday you do not want to miss. Doc’s Sports has shown a profit for four straight weeks in football and now is the time to jump on board with a handicapper that has 44 years of experience
Free Pick on Packers -
I think last week’s big win over the Vikings was just the beginning of a late season surge for the Packers, as I expect this team to get back to the form that saw them open the season 7-0. The thing about Green Bay’s 30-13 win over the Vikings is that it could have been an even bigger blowout. The Packers had to settle for 5 field goals in that contest.
The win over Minnesota also put Green Bay back in the drivers seat in the NFC North. However, there’s no time to relax, as they still have to play the Vikings again in Week 17 and both are currently sitting at 7-3. The last thing this team wants to do is follow up that big victory with a loss at home to the Bears.
Chicago is certainly going to be up for this game against their division rivals, but it’s also a tough spot for the Bears. Chicago had won 2 straight before last week’s loss to the Broncos, where they were a failed 2-point conversion away from sending the game into overtime. Close losses like that can be difficult to bounce back from, especially on the road with a short week of rest.
The other factor here that can’t be overlooked is the fact that this is a prime time home game for Green Bay. It’s no secret that Rodgers and the Packers are at their best at home and rarely does Rodgers disappointment in the national spotlight at Lambeau. Green Bay is also going to be motivated here due to losing their last home game against Detroit, which brings up an interesting stat, as the Packers haven’t lost consecutive home games with Rodgers at quarterback since his first year as the starter.
Chicago is just 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games with a total set at 45.5 to 49 points and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 when they come in having won 2 of their last 3. The Packers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 after playing their previous game on the road and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 off a road win. Take Green Bay!
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10* FREE NFL PICK (Eagles +2.5)
The perspective on the Eagles couldn't be much worse right now, as they were just embarrassed on their home field last week by the Buccaneers 45-17. Philadelphia clearly wasn't emotionally up for that game as they allowed Tampa Bay to pile on 283 rushing yards. I look for the defense to bounce back in a big way against the Lions, who are getting way too much respect here after winning 2 straight. Detroit is as one dimensional as the come offensively. The Lions rank 8th in the league in passing (265.3 ypg), compared to just 32nd in rushing (71.1 ypg). That plays right into the strength of the Eagles defense, which is much better against the pass than the run. The other key thing is the Lions offense has been far from impressive in their two wins and I just don't see them scoring enough here to pull out a win over Philadelphia. Give me the Eagles +2.5!
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5* Free Play on Iowa. Hawkeyes are one win away from completing a perfect regular season, but you wouldn't know that based on this line. Iowa is a very small favorite on the road at a 5-6 Nebraska team and we'll gladly lay that unbelievably small price with the far better team. Iowa doesn't rack up many style points, but their old school style of running the ball, not committing turnovers, and playing great defense has earned them a spot in the Top 4.
Nebraska has had a number of tough losses this year and are better than their record indicates, however, they are not good enough to hang with a legit Top 4 team. While these teams have nearly identical stats in terms of scoring offense (Iowa averages 34.2 ppg this season, 32.1 ppg in Big Ten while Nebraska averages 336 ppg this season and 32.1 ppg in Big Ten) the Hawkeyes have a massive advantage in defense (Iowa allowing 9 ppg fewer both overall and in conference). Hawkeyes lost this game at home by three points in the last meeting, but committed four turnovers in that defeat. Hawkeyes with all the motivation in the world to win this game and finish the regular season with a perfect record and adding to their already profitable 12-2 ATS record in road games.
5* Free Play on Iowa. Sam Martin has a full weekend card of football action ready to go, including a TOP-RATED 25* CFB "BLACK REIGN" going on Friday night! Join Sam all weekend long and score a huge profit with the Whiz Kid!
11/26 06:00 PM CB (509) DAYTON VS (510) IOWA (11/25 04:34 PM)
Take: (510) IOWA
Reason: Your free play for Thursday, November 26, 2015 is in college hoops between Dayton and the Iowa Hawkeyes. Iowa looks to continue its impressive early season run when it takes on unbeaten Dayton in the first round of the AdvoCare Invitational on Thursday night in Orlando. The Hawkeyes come into the tournament after a week of rest following an 89-61 rout of Marquette with an experienced group that has high expectations after winning 22 games last season. Iowa has shot 50.8 percent from the field and drained 31 shots from 3-point range in the first three games with balanced scoring, led by 6-9 forward Jarrod Uthoff. Uthoff is averaging 16.3 points, 5.7 rebounds and two blocks while shooting 54.5 percent. The Hawkeyes are on a 7-2-1 ATS run, 5-2-1 ATS following a win. The Hawkeyes have won both meetings in the series, including an 84-75 triumph in the 2012 NIT. Play Iowa!