1* Free Pick on Canisius +105
This is a battle between the two teams at the bottom of the MAAC, but the wrong side is favored here. Rider is sitting on a miserable 3-22 record and has managed only two conference wins all season long.
Canisius is currently mired in an 11-game losing streak, but they have still been the more competitive team. The Golden Griffins have more than double the total wins of Rider and possess a much higher ceiling on the offensive end.
Kahlil Singleton and Bryan Ndjonga both average over 13 points per game for the Griffs. They should have a field day against a Rider defense that allows nearly 77 points per game and ranks near the bottom of the country in efficiency.
Rider is especially bad at defending the perimeter, giving up almost nine three-pointers per contest. Canisius has the shooters to stretch the floor and exploit those wide-open looks all night.
The Broncs have also been a nightmare for bettors when expected to win. They are winless against the spread this season in the rare spots where they have been listed as the favorite.
Canisius moves the ball much better in the half-court, averaging significantly more assists per game than a stagnant Rider offense. While Anthony Benard is out and Andreo Ash is questionable, the Griffs' primary scoring options are healthy and ready to go.
Rider just gave up 86 points in a double-digit loss to Sacred Heart and has shown no signs of fixing their defensive rotations. Even on the road, Canisius has the better talent and the better shooting to pull off the minor upset.
We are getting plus-money on the better team in a matchup where both sides are desperate to snap a slide. Trust the Golden Griffins to finally break their losing streak against the worst team in the conference.
I like the Canisius ML (+105).
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