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October 01, 2016

Ben Burns

Oct 01 '16, 7:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Missouri vs LSU
Play on: OVER 53.5 -107

WHITE HOT Ben Burns closed out Sept w/ a PERFECT 5-0 FRIDAY SWEEP. That brings him to a MASTERFUL 24-8 the L8 days. That includes a SICK 7-1 RECORD on the college gridiron. Ben is also 10-4 his L14 NFL, a SUPERB 66-38 ATS his L104. Top-Rated NFL? 52-26 ATS! Want more? Totals on a PERFECT 9-0 RUN & top-tated football was a PERFECT 4-0 last Saturday!

The LSU offense has under-achieved thus far. Thats led to an 0-4 ATS record and was among the reasons that Les Miles (and offensive coordinator Cam Cameron) just got fired. The struggling offense has also led to an 4-0 "under" mark through four games. With Ed Orgeron taking over on an interim basis and Missouri coming to town, that "under" streak should have an excellent shot at coming to an end on Saturday. 

Orgeron had this to say: "...we're going to spread the ball around a little bit, do some different things, change the style of play. There's a lot of things on offense we've done well running the football. We want to have a different passing game. We want to be more creative, find ways for the quarterback to get the ball down the field throwing it."

While the competition wasn't admittedly pretty weak, Missouri just scored 79 points last week. It was the second time in three games that Missouri topped the 60-point mark. Missouri is averaging 569.5 yard per game on the season. While the number has climbed a little from its opener, I still believe its a little too low. Take a look at the Over. 

With Thursday and Friday's winners, Ben Burns is now an EPIC 58-35 ATS w/ his 2016 football. That includes a 7-1 record with his L8 CFB and a 10-4 mark his L14 NFL. Going back further finds him at an 116-76 ATS, a SICK 60.4% with his L189 on the gridiron, all against totally unbiased lines. If this "ain't your first rodeo," you know how AWESOME those numbers are. Burns has DOMINATED the month of October throughout his career & WON HUGE each of the past three years. He was a PERFECT 5-0 on Friday and he's an AWESOME 24-8 the past eight days. His totals are a PERFECT 9-0 the last nine. Jump on board and ride the wave.

Released on Sep 28 at 09:06 pm View Archive

Brandon Lee

Oct 01 '16, 7:10 PM in 50m
MLB | Twins vs White Sox
Play on: Twins +105 at 5Dimes

10* Free MLB Pick (Twins +105) 

I like the value we are catching with the Twins as a small road dog in Saturday's meaningless game between the Twins and White Sox. Minnesota's Hector Santiago is coming off a couple of average starts, but has been throwing much better down the stretch. He been locked in on the road this season, posting a 3.65 ERA in 15 starts. What I really like is how well Santiago has thrown against Chicago. He's faced the White Sox 3 times this season and all 3 times he posted a quality start, twice throwing 7 shutout innings. He also allowed just 11 hits with 23 strikeouts in his 20 innings against them. Chicago will counter with James Shields who has been all over the place this season, with most of it being bad. He's 6-18 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.620 WHIP in 32 starts. In his last 11 starts, he's giving up 4 runs or more 7 times and 6 of those he allowed 5 or more. Give me the Twins +105! 

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Released on Sep 30 at 10:53 pm View Archive

Ray Monohan

Oct 01 '16, 7:00 PM in 40m
NCAA-F | Western Michigan vs Central Michigan
Play on: OVER 57 -105

Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan Over 58

The battle of Michigans out of the MAC takes place Saturday as the Broncos and Chippewas meet. The total here has a lot of value on the Over. Both offenses rank in the top 40 as they averaged around the 470 yardage mark per game.

With how successful the offenses have been, scoring hasn't been an issue. Western Michigan has averaged 44 points per game while the Chips have averaged 40.

Some trends to note. Over is 27-11-1 in Broncos last 39 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

These teams played to a 41-39 game last season and have always been a part of shootouts when it comes to head to head. Look for this one to be a similar game here, as both offenses can strike and strike quickly.

Back the Over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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Released on Sep 30 at 05:26 pm View Archive

Joseph D'Amico

Oct 01 '16, 7:00 PM in 40m
NCAA-F | Rice vs Southern Miss
Play on: Southern Miss -26 -102 at pinnacle

After starting out winning just about every college football play I released (16-4) over the first 4 weeks, last Saturday, I got crushed. That just tells me, I will come back with a vengeance and redeem myself here as that is what champions do. Today, I have my coveted, NCAAF AAC GAME OF THE MONTH, 66% LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE, 12-1 (LY) HIGH ROLLER, 15-2 (4-1 TY) INSIDE INFO, and my legendary, 7-1 (LY) CRUSHER winners. I am a champion so give me just 1% of your trust and I will earn the other 99%.

Saturday's FREE NCAAF WINNER: Southern Mississippi.

Game 172.

4:00 pm pst.

Rice is way outclassed here, coming in sporting an 0-4 (1-3 ATS) record, dwelling in the cellar in both offensive (18.2 PPG) and defensive (39.2 PPG) categories. This doesn't bode well as they face a Southern Miss team posting over 41.2 PPG and possessing a stingy "D", permitting just, 19.8 PPG. QB, Nick Mullens (913 YP) and RB, Ito Smith (540 YR) will devour the Owls "D" here, so topping last season's, 65-10 drubbing, is in the cards. The Fav is 5-0 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Take the Golden Eagles. Thank you.

Released on Oct 01 at 10:53 am View Archive

Sean Murphy

Oct 01 '16, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Louisville vs Clemson
Play on: UNDER 67.5 -110

My selection is on the 'under' between Louisville and Clemson at 8 pm et on Saturday.

Louisville has been the talk of the college football world so far this season. Not only have the Cardinals gone a perfect 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS but they've also posted a 4-0 o/u record. That only serves to give us value with the 'under' here, however.

The Cardinals will face a tougher challenge this week as they hit the road to challenge the Tigers of Clemson. Having scored at least 59 points in each of their first four games, you have to think there's only one way to go from here.

While Clemson is known for its offense, the Tigers are an excellent defensive team as well. They've only really been tested twice in four games this season, but passed those tests with flying colors, holding Auburn to just 13 points and Georgia Tech to only seven, with both of those games coming on the road. The Tigers will certainly be up for this matchup against the 'it-squad' in Louisville.

Clemson hasn't exactly lit it up offensively this season, with QB Deshaun Watson struggling a little bit (relatively speaking). I don't believe this is the spot where the Tigers break out.

Note that these two teams have met in each of the last two seasons, with those games totaling only 40 and 37 points. while I'm not convinced we'll see a defensive slugfest here, I do expect the final score to fall well below the inflated total. Take the under (8*).

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Released on Sep 30 at 01:33 pm View Archive

Rocky Atkinson

Oct 01 '16, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | San Diego State vs South Alabama
Play on: San Diego State -18½ -110 at pinnacle

Rocketman Sports FREE CFB play Saturday 10-1-16 San Diego State @ South Alabama  8:00 PM EST
Play On:  San Diego State -18 1/2 The San Diego State Aztecs travel to South Alabama to take on the Jaguars on Saturday night.  San Diego State is 3-0 SU overall this year while South Alabama comes in with a 2-2 SU overall record on the season.  San Diego State is averaging 260.7 yards per game on the ground this year and 442.7 total yards per game this season.  South Alabama is allowing 240 yards per game on the ground this season.  San Diego State is 6-1 ATS last 3 years when playing in October.  South Alabama is 1-6 ATS last 3 years when playing against a team with a winning record.  San Diego State is averaging 39.3 points per game overall this year and 42 points per game on the road this season.  We'll recommend a small play on San Diego State tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky  Rocketman Sports cashed his College Football Game of the Week last week easily with Houston and his NFL Game of the Week on Seattle!  Rocketman has his College Football Game of the Week going on Saturday along with a bonus 3* CFB play!  If you enjoyed the easy no sweat winner on Houston, you'll LOVE this one!  Rocketman is on a nice current 71% run in CFB and is 143-102 58% last 245 overall CFB plays!  Get on board now and WIN BIG!  Rocketman is documented hitting 63% in CFB this year after Washington wins easily last night over Stanford! 

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Released on Oct 01 at 10:12 am View Archive

Doc's Sports

Oct 01 '16, 8:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Michigan State vs Indiana
Play on: Indiana +7½ -120 at 5Dimes

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #200 Take Indiana Hoosiers over Michigan State Spartans (Saturday 8 pm BTN) Most experts believed that this would be a rebuilding year for Michigan State and in two months that will be evident to all. They had fool’s gold beating Notre Dame two weeks ago but came crashing down in a big way last Saturday at home against Wisconsin. As we also observed that win over Notre Dame is not that impressive since the Irish have already lost three times this season. Indiana is coming off a disappointing loss to Wake Forest last week but expect them to bounce back in a big way this Saturday since this is the opening of Big 10 Conference play. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card highlighted by our Mountain West Game of the Year. Doc’s Sports is a perfect 4-0 on Top Plays this season in College Football. Sign-up now and let 45 years of handicapping experience work for you. 

Released on Sep 26 at 09:42 pm View Archive

Brandon Shively

Oct 01 '16, 7:00 PM in 40m
NCAA-F | South Florida vs Cincinnati
Play on: Cincinnati +5½ -105 at BMaker

South Florida was a 1 point home dog  last year and are now a 5.5 point road favorite which gives us immediate line value. Cincy was a 10.5 point home favorite in 2014 and a 14 point home favorite in 2012. I don’t think this line swing is  warranted as the Bills defense is regressing quickly as they have gotten outgained by 95 and 197 yards the last two weeks.  South Florida is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 meetings and the home team is 4-0 ATS the last 4 meetings. For Houston only to lay 7.5 @ Cincy and USF laying 2 points fewer seems like a overcorrection as Cincy is still a talented team with Tuberville guiding the ship.  I wish the quarterback situation was clearer currently and I would be upgrading this pick to premium status. I still might look to play Cincinnati big Saturday night. Right now the line is at +5 which is not a football number so I am going to wait patiently until before game time and see where this line settles as we might be able to get a +6 or +6.5. The Bearcats are definitely worth a second look Saturday night (1* Cincinnati)

Don't miss Brandon's NCAAF HIGH SCORING GAME of the WEEK Saturday that comes in the SEC conference which is his specialty. Brandon's 10* NFL GAME of the WEEK is also available as he says this one has 'BLOWOUT' written all over it!

Released on Sep 30 at 12:37 pm View Archive

Jesse Schule

Oct 01 '16, 8:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Arizona State vs USC
Play on: OVER 64 -110

This is a Free 2-Team (7.5-point) Teaser W/USC+OVER.

The Trojans are 1-3, hosting the undefeated Arizona State Sun Devils, and to the untrained eye it might seem odd that USC is a double-digit favorite here. This game actually reminds me of last season, when a 3-3 USC squad was a home favorite to the then #3 ranked Utah Utes who were 6-0 at the time.

The Trojans went on to win that game by a score of 42-24, and went on to win four of their next five games, punching a ticket to the PAC12 Championship game versus Stanford. You can bet that Trojans coach Clay Helton will remind his team of that heading into this weekend's game.

Arizona State has looked terrible on defense, especially last week allowing Cal to gain a total of 637 yards. They managed to come back from a double-digit deficit by scoring 31 points in the fourth quarter to remain undefeated.

The Trojans can take a lot of positives from last Friday's loss at Utah. Freshman quarterback Sam Darnold threw for 253 yards on 18-of-26 passing, and ran for 41 yards and a TD. He looked pretty solid in his first start on the road against one of the top defenses in the conference.

Arizona State has failed to cover in seven of it's last nine road games, and the over is 6-1 in it's last seven overall.



Jesse Schule

Released on Sep 28 at 07:32 am View Archive

Kyle Hunter

Oct 01 '16, 9:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Oregon vs Washington State
Play on: Washington State +2½ -100 at pinnacle

*3 Star CFB Free Pick* The Washington State Cougars are coming off a bye week. Mike Leach has been really upset with his teams play so far this year, and I believe they are capable of far more than they have shown thus far. The Cougars have covered six straight contests against Oregon, so they matchup well with the Ducks.

Oregon's Dakota Prukop isn't a bad fit for this offense, but he isn't the perfect pit that the Ducks have had in the past. Speaking of bad fits, Oregon's defense has been really bad under Brady Hoke so far this year. Oregon is sending a lot of blitzes and they are leaving themselves susceptible to the quick passing game. Why is that important? Because that is exactly what Washington State does on a consistent basis. 

Luke Falk is a great fit for the Air Raid offense, and I expect huge numbers from him in this game. Both teams will score a lot here, but I like Washington State's chances. The public is still backing Oregon, but I think Oregon has slipped a couple notches from where they were a couple years ago. 

Washington State has a really good home field advantage. Take Washington State plus the points. 

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Released on Sep 30 at 03:54 pm View Archive

October 02, 2016

Art Aronson

Oct 02 '16, 1:00 PM in 18h
NFL | Panthers vs Falcons
Play on: Panthers -3 -120 at betonline

1* Free Play Carolina Panthers.

Setting the scene: Carolina went to the Super Bowl last season, but has gotten out to a poor start so far in 2016/17, coming into Week 3 sitting at 1-2. Atlanta returns home after two straight road victories, most recently pulling away for the 45-32 win at New Orleans on Monday night. We think the “hungry” visitors are the correct call in this matchup.

The Panthers: It’s been a tough start to the year for Carolina. But with three straight divisional contests, starting with Atlanta, then Tampa Bay at home next week, followed by a game at New Orleans before their “bye,” we’re expecting the Panthers and to risk life and limb today. Also note that Carolina is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road fav of three points or less and interestingly, 6-2 ATS in its last eight games played in the month of October.

The Falcons: They look primed for a letdown here after their big win over the Saints on national television. And with two tough road games on deck, including at Denver and Seattle, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side getting caught “looking ahead” to that difficult part of its schedule.

The bottom line: Also note that Atlanta is a poor 2-9 ATS in its last 11 following a divsional contest and 0-6 ATS off a win against a division rival. Consider a second look at the PANTHERS in Week 4.

AAA Sports

Released on Sep 27 at 04:23 pm View Archive

Marc Lawrence

Oct 02 '16, 1:00 PM in 18h
NFL | Seahawks vs Jets
Play on: Jets +2½ -104 at pinnacle

Play - NY Jets.

Edges - Jets: 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS as a host versus NFC West opponents; and 7-1 ATS home off non-division foe before back-to-back away games. Seahawks: 1-8 ATS away off division games when facing an AFC opponent; and 1-3 ATS last four visits here. With New York head coach Todd Bowles 6-1 ATS in his NFL career as a dog, we recommend a 1* playing the Jets.  Thank you and good luck as always.

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Released on Sep 30 at 06:58 pm View Archive

Jack Jones

Oct 02 '16, 4:25 PM in 22h
NFL | Rams vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals -7½ -110 at pinnacle

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Arizona Cardinals -7.5

The advance line on this game was Arizona -10.5.  But after the Cardinals played terrible in an 18-33 road loss to the Bills, and the Rams beat the Bucs 37-32 on the road, this line has now been bet down to 7.5.  It's a classic overreaction from last week's results.

The Cardinals are still one of the best teams in the NFL.  They gave the game away last week against the Bills by committing five turnovers.  They actually outgained the Bills 348 to 296 for the game.

I really liked what I saw from the Cardinals in Week 2 when they were bouncing back from a 21-23 loss to the Patriots.  They came back and throttled the Tampa Bay Buccaneers by a final of 40-7 at home.  I look for them to take out their frustrations on the Rams this week as well.

Yes, the Rams scored 37 points against the Bucs last week, but their offense isn't fixed.  They only managed 3120 total yards against the Bucs, which usually wouldn't equate to 37 points.  Remember, they had scored a combined nine points in their first two games without scoring a touchdown.

The Rams still have the worst offense in the NFL.  They are averaging 15.3 points and a league-low 262.7 yards pr game on the season.  They simply do not have the firepower to keep up with the Cardinals, who are putting up 26.3 points and 369 yards per game.

This Rams defense isn't all that special either as it is allowing 366 yards per game.  The Cardinals still have a great defense as they are giving up only 322 yards per game and 5.0 per play.  The Rams are getting outgained by 103.3 yards per game on the season, which is the worst mark in the NFL.

Plays against road teams (LA RAMS) - off two or more consecutive upset wins as an underdog, with a winning record on the season are 61-30 (67%) ATS since 1983.  Los Angeles is clearly overvalued due to back-to-back wins over the Seahawks and Bucs.  It's time to sell high on the Rams.

The Cardinals are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS loss.  Arizona is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five meetings with Los Angeles.  Bet the Cardinals Sunday.

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Released on Oct 01 at 12:38 am View Archive

Teddy Covers

Oct 02 '16, 1:00 PM in 18h
NFL | Bills vs Patriots
Play on: Bills +7½ -115 at 5Dimes

Take Buffalo (#255)

Teddy enters the weekend riding a smoking’ hot 32-15 (68%) all sports run. He is hitting 73% in the NFL through the first three weeks of the season, picking up right where he left off during last year's epic 56-27 (67%) campaign; making big $$ for himself and his clients RIGHT NOW! The Patriots have survived the Tom Brady suspension pretty darn well, going 3-0 SU and ATS without their four time Super Bowl winning QB.  But with Brady on the way back next week, facing a divisional rival with a real chip on their shoulder, I’m expecting the Patriots to be tested on Sunday in a clear flat spot for the home favorite.
New England doesn’t have a healthy quarterback right now.  Jimmy Garappolo has been upgraded to probable, but he’s dealing with consistent pain from his shoulder injury.  Jacoby Brissett has a bad thumb, and if the rookie third stringer gets playing time here, it’s probably good news for Buffalo backers.
And the Pats are an overvalued commodity this week.  Think about their season.  They started with an upset win over Arizona, devalued now because Arizona hasn’t looked anything like the elite squad they were last year in early season play.  The Pats nearly blew a big lead against Miami, which looks worse now because the Dolphins have looked pretty awful since.  And their blowout against the Texans was certainly aided by the tough travel spot for the road team with a young QB on a short week.  
Yet the markets are viewing New England like those three wins were as dominant as could be, against elite competition.  They weren’t.  And when a very public team like the Patriots go 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS to open the season, the markets force bettors to lay a premium to back New England.
New England’s national TV games were both double digit pointspread covers (Arizona and Houston), but the Bills national TV game was a bad home loss to the Jets, another key piece of the ‘added value on Buffalo’ piece of the equation.  And the markets love Belichick and hate Rex Ryan; yet another factor inflating this pointspread by a notch or two.
Five of the last seven meetings between these two teams have been one score games.  The Bills gave the Pats fits in both meetings last year.  The Bills offense has gotten untracked, hanging 64 points on two solid defensive foes over the past two weeks, including their ’save our season’ win against Arizona last Sunday.  And the Bills powerful defensive line is poised to put pressure on Garappolo, forcing a young QB into mistakes, the same way they forced an elite QB into numerous mistakes last week.  I’m taking the points, but I’ve got a percentage of my personal wager on the moneylline — Buffalo is live to pull off the upset.  Take the Bills.

Released on Oct 01 at 01:56 pm View Archive

Bill Biles

Oct 02 '16, 8:30 PM in 1d
NFL | Chiefs vs Steelers
Play on: Steelers -4½ -110 at betonline

Steelers -4.5

The Steelers can not wait to get back on the field after the embarrassing loss to the Eagles last week. This time they are at home, and they are getting one of the best players in the league back from suspension in Leveon Bell.  Look for the Steelers to play a solid football game and win this one by a touchdown or more.

Pick= Steelers -4.5

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Released on Sep 30 at 10:10 am View Archive

Mike Lundin

Oct 02 '16, 1:00 PM in 18h
NFL | Seahawks vs Jets
Play on: UNDER 40 -102

#NFL Free Pick from Mike Lundin
Play: Under
Rating: 5*

The New York Jets enter the game with a 1-2 record while averaging 20.7 points per game. They did however manage just a field goal and turned the ball over eight times(!) in last week's 24-3 loss at Kansas City. Ryan Fitzpatrick threw six interceptions and he has seven INTs on the season, considerably more than his three touchdown passes. 

The Seahawks are 2-1 with both wins coming at home. They struggled big time in a 9-3 loss at LA in Week 2 but bounced back with a 37-18 rout against the Niners last week where they held SF to 254 total yardage and 12 first downs. We can note that the under is 4-0 in Seahawks last four games following a straight up win of more than 14 points and 12-4 in their last 16 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game (SF had 119 passing yards last game).

Both teams are coming into this contest banged up on the offensive side of the ball. Seattle's star QB Russell Wilson is battling an ankle injury and suffered a MCL sprain on top of that in the last game. New York meanwhile has issues with its receiving corps as Eric Decker (who leads the team with 194 yards receiving) might sit out with a shoulder injury and Brandon Marshall has been impeded with a knee sprain. It will be tough for Fitzpatrick to bounce back from the worst performance of his career under those circumstances.

Yes, the under is the "square bet" and we've seen the line for the total drop a bit from the opener, but I still think there's value betting on this contest to go under the total. 

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Released on Sep 30 at 12:15 pm View Archive

Michael Alexander

Oct 02 '16, 1:00 PM in 18h
NFL | Browns vs Redskins
Play on: Browns +7½ -103 at pinnacle

Rating: 2 Unit NFL Free Pick

Boy, what a show this would have been if RG3 was not hurt, as the brows roll into Washington to take on the Redskins.  Washington is coming off a  close 2 point road win over the Giants, despite a 457-403 yard deficit. The win last week now has the underdog 9-1 in the last 10 Washington games.  In addition,  Washington is coming off two division games in a row. Last week Cleveland QB Kessler was 21 of 33 so maybe the Browns might have finally found their quarterback?   They just barely lost to Miami as they missed a last minute game winning field goal.  Washington QB, Cousins also looks like he got it going last week as he had a 44 and 55 yard touchdown passes in quick fashion.  However, I believe that being favored by this high a number is a bit too much to ask them to cover.  I'm taking Cleveland!

Released on Oct 01 at 12:51 pm View Archive

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Don't have time to research and just want some advice on who to go with? Our who to follow page is designed just for that purpose. We list our recommended handicappers based on the time of the season in each sport to help you maximize your profits

Help Making Your Own Sports Picks

If you are satisfied with the money you are making on the free picks and not quite ready to get going on a premium subscription, I want to make sure you are aware of a number of useful tools and resources on our site. 

Make sure you get the best available odds for every wager you make by checking out our betting odds and lines section. Here you will find a full schedule of today's games as well the betting percentages and direct links to any premium picks, just in case you are looking for some advice. 

I also recommend checking out our teaser sheets and power rankings, as well as our articles section for great betting related articles and podcasts. 

Our number one goal is to help you beat the books on a more consistent basis. If there's any we can do to help or any questions that you want answered, please don't hesitate to send us an email at [email protected]