Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Pelicans/Rockets OVER 230
The Houston Rockets should be able to let their hair down today and hang a big number on the New Orleans Pelicans to break out of their recent offensive funk that has mostly come against very good defensive teams. The Pelicans are not that.
New Orleans ranks 9th in pace and 28th in defensive rating to profile as an OVER team. They have gone 3-1 OVER in their last four games overall. They have finished with 229 or more combined points in five consecutive games, including 235 or more in four of them. This is a low total for a game involving the Pelicans.
The first and only meeting between the Pelicans and Rockets this season was a shootout. The Pelicans won 133-128 (OT), but it was tied 119-119 at the end of regulation for 238 combined points, which would easily top this 230-point total in the rematch. The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings with 232 or more combined points in five of those six. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.
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