Free Sports Picks from Top Betting Handicappers - Best Bets of the Day

Free Play on Tigers +106

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Miami Marlins +110

The Miami Marlins have gone 4-0 in their last four games overall while outscoring the opposition 29-5 in the process.  They are only 1.5 games back in the wild card after this recent surge with a lot to play for right now.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing their way out of contention.  They have gone 1-7 in their last eight games overall to fall 6 games back in the wild card.  Their offense is broken right now scoring 2 runs or fewer in six of their last eight games.

It won't get any easier against Miami's Tyler Phillips, who has been dominant at home this season.  Phillips is 2-1 with a 1.68 ERA at home while allowing just 10 earned runs in 53 2/3 innings.  He fired 6 shutout innings in a 6-0 victory over the Pirates in his lone career start against them.

Speaking of broken, Braxton Ashcraft has regressed in a major way over the past month.  He has gone 2-2 with a 7.88 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 21 earned runs and 7 homers in 24 innings.  Ashcraft allowed 2 earned runs in 5 innings of a 8-3 loss to the Marlins in his lone career start against them on June 12th.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Marlins Thursday.

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FREE PLAY on White Sox -123

UNDER 7.5

Seattle and New York have value to the under. Seattle with go with Logan Gilbert, who owns a 3.42 ERA this season. He’s shown some solid bright spots, but has been on the wrong end of run support. Max Fried has battled injuries, but when he’s in this rotation he has pitched exceptionally well. His ERA is just 2.88 and he has avoided the big inning typically. He’s allowed 3 runs or less in all but 2 starts this season and this is a great matchup against a Seattle team struggling right now. Back the Under. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the UNDER. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Thursday FREE MLB O/U Play

2-0-1 WEDNESDAY! EN FUEGO! 378-314 55% +3082 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for today, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

Thursday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Yankees -135 

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Rocketman Sports FREE MLB play Thursday 8-13-26

Seattle @ NY Yankees  (1:35 PM EST)
Play On:  NY Yankees -135

The Seattle Mariners take on the Yankees in New York on Thursday afternoon.  Seattle is 56-66 SU overall this year while the Yankees come in with a 68-52 SU overall record on the season.  Seattle is 23-36 on the road this year.  Seattle is 19-31 overall over the past 2 months including 0-6 over the past week.  Seattle is 19-42 this year when the money line is +125 to -125.  Seattle is 2-11 this year as a road underdog of +100 to +150.  Max Fried has a 1.83 ERA over the past 2 months.  Fried is 54-26 in his career when the money line is -100 to -150.  Logan Glibert is 0-1 with an 8.44 ERA vs NY Yankees this year.  Gilbert is 1-2 with a 6.14 ERA in all starts vs Yankees last 3 years.  Gilbert is 2-4 with a 7.02 ERA in his career vs Yankees.  The Yankees are 7-2 last 3 years at home vs Seattle.  We'll recommend a small play on the NY Yankees today!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

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1* MLB - Red Sox/Blue Jays FREE PICK on Blue Jays +145

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Boston Red Sox -150

The Boston Red Sox have lost five in a row including the first three games of this series to the Toronto Blue Jays.  Look for them to bounce back and avoid the sweep with a win in Game 4 today due to their starting pitching advantage.  Payton Tolle is 7-6 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 19 starts this season, and 4-3 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in nine road starts.  Max Scherzer is 1-4 with a 7.25 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in nine starts this season, and 1-4 with a 9.82 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in six home starts.  Scherzer has given up 9 earned runs and 5 home runs in 11 innings in his last two starts against Boston.  Give me the Red Sox.

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1* Free Pick on Packers/Steelers over 39½

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Steelers +2½ -110

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

7 pm, the (103) Green Bay Packers may start Jordan Love, prompting this spread. One series won't change how bad the Packers will be on defense without Parsons and with key players resting. The host (104) Pittsburgh Steelers have a new coach and some solid quarterbacks looking to prove they belong, like Howard from Ohio State's championship game and Allar from Penn State, in a vanilla offense with a big arm never allowed to unload. Steelers will be able to run all over this Packers defense and win it by a field goal. Grab the points and the (104) Pittsburgh Steelers for my free winner. ** Have two premium NFL wagers locked and loaded** 

1* Free Play on Lions/Bengals over 36½ -110

1* Free Pick on Steelers +2½ -110

1* on Steelers +2½

1* FREE INFO PLAY Steelers +2 -110

For my best free pick on the board here for Thursday I am looking at preseason NFL action and the Cincinnati Bengals hosting the Detroit Lions. Lions are a Super Bowl contender and with those big expectations comes bettors that should flock to this kind of plus points but the Lions over recent history really do not play much of their talent in these games where as on the other side Cincinnati really has some positional battles going on. We will see some from Joe Burrow here on Thursday but really it’s the competition between Sean Clifford,Joe Flacco and Josh Johnson the latter two with a ton of NFL experience. Look for the Bengals to set the tone from this game on that they will be a factor in the AFC.

Play on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points rotation #106

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Free Pick on Bengals -6½ -110

The Packers roll into Pittsburgh Thursday night for the first full preseason game of the year, and the total is sitting right in that familiar 36.5 to 37.5 window. I’m on the under, and the deeper you dig into the league-wide and team numbers the more it feels like the right side of the math.

League-wide, the 37 threshold has been a reliable separator for years. Closing totals of 37 or higher have gone under at a 56.4 percent clip since 2010, a sample that runs well over 900 games. Since 2014 the under on those 37-plus numbers is even cleaner at 60.7 percent, returning solid units at standard pricing. The reverse holds too. When the number opens at 37 or lower the over hits closer to 59 or 60 percent. This matchup is perched right on the line, but the historical lean still favors the lower side once you account for how little the real starters play these days. Last year only 9.8 percent of preseason pass attempts came from quarterbacks who ended up starting Week 1. That is a sharp drop from the 30-plus percent range we saw a decade ago, and it means more backup-driven football, more conservative play-calling, and fewer explosive finishes.

The Steelers themselves have been a quiet under machine at home in the exhibition season. From 2002 through 2025 Pittsburgh as the home team went under in 67.4 percent of its preseason games, a 14-29-2 record that has produced double-digit units over the long haul. That is not a small-sample fluke. It lines up with the physical, run-heavy identity the organization has carried for years, even when the first-team defense sits most of the night. Green Bay has not been as extreme, but the Packers still play a brand of football that keeps games from turning into track meets, especially on the road in August.

Add the outdoor night setting in western Pennsylvania and the picture gets clearer. Early-season humidity and potential weather keep the ball on the ground more than the public expects. Combined scores in Week 1 preseason games have historically averaged just under 39 points against posted numbers that often sit in the mid-to-high 30s. When you stack the league-wide 56-to-60 percent under rate on 37-plus totals with Pittsburgh’s strong home under history, the edge starts looking real. At -110 a 56 percent hit rate over a 100-game sample nets you positive return after the juice. A 60 percent clip turns it into a steady grind that keeps bankrolls healthy over time.

There is the Rodgers-McCarthy reunion angle, and yes, the veteran may take 30 or 40 snaps against his old club. Even if he does, the majority of the game still belongs to the second and third units still working through timing and communication. Those groups rarely light up the scoreboard in Week 1. I like this under. It matches the long-term numbers, the team-specific home trend, and the reality of limited starter volume. Keep the stake sensible, enjoy the nostalgia, and let the points stay low.

Ricky's 1* play on MIN.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Phillies are 2-4 in their last 6 games.

- The Twins are 5-3 in the last 8 head to head meetings.

- Aaron Nola is 1-4 in his last 5 starts for the Phillies.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

(#917) Philadelphia Phillies vs. (#918) Minnesota Twins | OVER | . 

Aaron Nola (3-9, 5.47 ERA) vs. Taj Bradley (9-4, 3.76 ERA) . 

Aaron Nola has been significantly better lately, especially over his past couple of starts. However, he's still giving up multiple runs in almost every outing. Nola got a bit knocked up in his last start as well, picking up a knee injury. But, he's ready to make the start on Thursday in the "Field Of Dreams" game against the Twins. 

Although Taj Bradley has been brilliant this season, I don't know how well he's going to fare against the Phillies in this one. Bradley has allowed three runs in each of his first two outings in August & he allowed four runs (three earned runs) in his only start ever against Philadelphia. I like the "over" in this one. 

Burns' Prediction: 7-4 Phillies.

Our selection is on the Philadelphia Phillies to defeat the Minnesota Twins on Thursday at 7:30pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Philadelphia will start Aaron Nola who just got injured in his last start but made some good pitches in that game and was respectable.

The Phillies bring in a two game losing streak into today's Field Of Dreams game.

They still have a better record on the road this season than at home, making this series a great opportunity to get some more wins.

Minnesota will start Taj Bradley who has not been as good in games played away from home (this game is in Dyersville, Iowa).

The Twins have also been shaky lately, losing seven of their L11 games.

We're on the Phillies.

AAA Sports

1* Free Sharp Play on Colts -2½ -110

1* Free Play on over 185½

1 Dimer on Cardinals +1 -110

1* Bet on Sparks/Liberty: over 185½