Free Sports Picks from Top Betting Handicappers - Best Bets of the Day

Free Play – Take #912 Chicago Cubs -108 over San Diego (5:08 p.m. ET, Thursday, Oct. 2)

It’s win or go home for the Padres and Cubs today. San Diego’s bullpen has been dominant in the series. The San Diego pen has pitched 9 2/3 innings, allowing one run on three hits while fanning nine. The question is how good will these pitchers be if needed again to throw three straight days, with Yu Darvish sporting a 5.38 ERA, which blows up 7.26 on the road this season. That suggests bullpen usage for the Friars. The Chicago free swingers have five total runs in the last three starts, but starter Jameson Taillon (11-7, 3.68 ERA) has been lights out the past two months with a 1.57 ERA. Can San Diego win, for certain. However, Taillon has been outstanding and the Cubs are 10-2 after being shutout. Cubs win.

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Free Picks (911-731 long-term) 272-231 runs

1* Free Play on Cubs -110

Thursday's MLB Free Pick

PLAY ON: Cubs -108

PSP Data Driven 1* Red Sox RL.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. The Red Sox are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. The Red Sox are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games.

1* MLB - Red Sox/Yankees FREE PICK on Red Sox +150

Free Total Annihilator On Red Sox vs Yankees under 7½ -115

1* Free Pick on 49ers/Rams: under 45½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* Free Sharp Play on Rams -8½ -105

1* FREE INFO PLAY Rams -7 -110

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Rams -8½ -105

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Best Bet on Rams -9

No analysis provided.

The betting line for tonight's Thursday Night Football clash between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams has shifted dramatically in recent days, and it's starting to look like a classic case of overreaction to injury news. What opened as a modest 3.5-point spread favoring the Rams has ballooned to Rams -8.5, with some books pushing toward double digits as kickoff approaches. This surge kicked into high gear after the 49ers officially ruled out quarterback Brock Purdy (toe) for the game, bumping the line from 3.5 to 5.5 almost overnight. Now, with wide receiver Ricky Pearsall (knee) also sidelined, the market seems convinced San Francisco is primed for a rout.

Look, I get it—the 49ers are banged up, no question. But let's pump the brakes: We're not losing Hall of Famers here. Purdy, while a solid young signal caller, has shown he's replaceable in a pinch, and Pearsall is still finding his footing. Head coach Kyle Shanahan is a master tactician who's thrived on adaptability; expect him to lean hard into a ground-and-pound scheme with Christian McCaffrey, dialing up play action to keep the Rams' secondary honest. San Francisco's defense, despite some nicks, remains one of the league's stingiest units—top 10 in points allowed per game and rush defense this season. They won't roll over just because the QB room is shuffling.

On the flip side, don't sleep on the Rams' vulnerabilities. Matthew Stafford's back woes from the preseason linger as a quiet red flag; while he's looked sharp in MVP-caliber form early on, that disc issue has flared up before and could limit his mobility under pressure from the 49ers' front seven. Sean McVay's crew loves to air it out, but against a Shanahan defense? Good luck sustaining drives.

This doesn't scream blowout to me. Both teams figure to grind it out on the ground—Rams with Kyren Williams, 49ers pounding the rock to control the clock—and chew up the turf in a low scoring, sloppy affair under the lights. The total sits at 45.5, but I'd bet on the under as these NFC West rivals cancel each other out. At Rams -8.5 (or worse), this spread is inflated by panic betting, not fundamentals.

If you're patient, fading the public and waiting for a potential line dip in-game could pay off. But with value evaporating fast, I'm locking in the 49ers +8.5 now—give me the points and watch Shanahan scheme his way to a backdoor cover.

Let's cash some tickets!

1* Free Pick on 49ers +5½

1 Dimer on 49ers vs Rams under 44 -105

1* Free Play on 49ers +9

49ers +9

The 49ers and Rams clash on Thursday Night Football in a pivotal NFC West showdown. San Francisco will be without Purdy, Pearsall, and Jennings, pushing the line to +9. Still, the downgrade to Mac Jones shouldn’t justify such a steep move, especially with the Niners’ elite Run D. If LA builds a lead, their ground game becomes predictable. Kyle Shanahan holds a 10-4 record against McVay, proving he knows how to scheme this matchup. While the Rams have momentum, the 49ers remain too physical to get blown out. Expect Los Angeles to pull out the win, as Stafford always seems to struggle vs. the Niners, this one sees SF stay inside the number. Niners +9 is the play. My daily free plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the 49ers ATS tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Thursday 5* FREE NFL ATS Play

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1* Free Pick on Rams -8½ -105

FREE PLAY on 49ers +9

Wait just a minute here. A team that is 0-4 overall SU, including 0-3 on the road is laying points on the highway to a squad that is 2-0 SU at home and the home team is a perfect 4-0 SU in their games? That makes no sense—but it makes dollars.

One of our famed anti-splits angles applies here and oh you will make a fortune in the NBA with our anti-splits bets, but that’s another story. Home field advantage is worth about three points and the SU records indicate NMS is the better team, especially with home/road splits. 

When a horrific road team is not getting at least 4.5 points to a good home team (defined by SU records), listen to what the oddsmakers are telling you as going with such road teams is 704-555-27 under specific situations that apply in this game. 

We have contrarian indexes worldwide: offshore, Vegas, all US states where betting is rightfully legal, and still substantial “outlaw” intel from other states. This as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. Public underdogs are particularly big fades. The PicksDepot contrarian index has this as a strong bet. 

A super sharp who knows football inside out, has assure me SHSU has a monster upside with third down conversions and will explode tonight in that category and with a win. 

·      Today: Duffy with 3 ET MLB Wise Guy, 2 MLB bets tonight and the TNF NFL side and total

Let’s CRUSH THE BOOKS on the diamond today as the BEST BIG GAME HUNTER ON THE PLANET does what I do best…GETS YOU PAID IN BIG GAME RELEASES: TIGERS/GUARDIANS, PADRES/CUBS, and the RED SOX/YANKEES GAME 3 WINNERS. Get all 3 & go 3-0.

Thursday’s FREE NCAAF WINNER: New Mexico State Aggies.

Game 304.

6:00 PM PST/9:00 PM EST.

GET READY TO BUST THE BOOKS in college football this week. I have several of my STRONGEST NCAAF plays of 2025 for you. All my weekend winners will be posted by late afternoon THURSDAY.

Sports fans, I've been doing this for almost 50 years, and for the life of me, I just don't see why Sam Houston is laying wood on the road in this matchup. Yes, I understand New Mexico State is a “less-than-stellar”, opponent (to put it lightly), adversary. But they are playing at home, they have won a couple of games this season, and they come into this game returning home following two away contests. Head-to-head, these two teams split matchups the last two seasons. As far as Sam Housto goes, I understand this team has played four decent opponents: Western Kentucky, UNLV, Hawaii, and Texas. Obviously, they are not supposed to win or cover against any of those foes. But they have looked downright deplorable, with a defense that has allowed a combined 171 points. Yes, it is true, the Aggies statistics offensively are some of the worst in the nation, ranking 120th in points scored, 126th in total yards, 136th in rushing yards, and 43rd in passing yards. Their defense isn't that much better, my friends. But the Beakats have turned the ball over four times, and are only accounting for 16.3 points per game, and are being outscored by an average of 26.5 points per game. They can't stop the pass at all, and their opponent has a decent quarterback. I just feel making them a favorite here is a mistake. Looks like the odd makers are setting a trap. But we're not gonna’ fall for. Take New Mexico State. Thank you.

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Western Kentucky/Delaware OVER 61

Two teams that are all offense and no defense square off Friday night in what should be a shootout between the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the Delaware Blue Hens.  These are also two offenses that like to play with tempo and two offenses that rank in the Top 25 in pass rate.  The forecast looks great for a shootout as well with temps in the 60's, very light winds and no precipitation.

Western Kentucky ranks 24th in tempo snapping the ball every 24.3 seconds.  The Hilltoppers are scoring 35.0 points per game, averaging 447.8 yards per game and 6.2 yards per play.  They are averaging 321.4 passing yards per game behind QB Maverick McIvor, who has already thrown for 1,475 yards and 11 TD in just five games.

Delaware ranks 32nd in tempo snapping the ball every 24.7 seconds.  The Blue Hens are averaging 31.0 points per game, 418.8 yards per game and 6.0 yards per play despite playing a  pretty tough schedule of opposing defenses.  QB Nicholas Mincucci is completing 65.2% of his passes with an 8-to-2 TD/INT ratio while also rushing for 4 scores.  Senior WR Kyle Duplessis has 20 receptions for 306 yards and 2 TD, while senior RB Jo'Nathan Silver has 326 rushing yards and 3 TD on 7.2 per carry.

Against the only non cupcake that Western Kentucky has faced this season, the Hilltoppers allowed 45 points and 508 total yards to Toledo.  Delaware is allowing 26.2 points per game, 407.8 yards per game and 5.9 yards per play this season.  The Blue Hens found themselves in a 44-41 shootout with UConn and 85 combined points in their last home game.  It should be more of the same Friday night in this matchup of two dead nuts OVER teams.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

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Huge Card up with the Thursday night Game of the Year in the NFL, A 12-0 CFB System Play and our Strongest MLB Wild Card Total. WNBA Comp play below.

The WNBA Comp Play is on the Over 160 points tonight in game 1 of the WNBA Finals between Phoenix and Las Vegas. This game should be a tight contest as these two outside of the last encounter have some close finishes and the total tonight is around 10 points lower than the average seasonal total in this series.  Home teams in round 3 with a total of 156 or more have gone over every time off a home favored win where they scored at least 80 points. Look for this one to go over the total. GL Rob V-

1% GOLD RUSH on San Jose State -2½

Friday CFB Free play. My selection is on Colorado State plus the points over San Diego State at 10:30 pm et on Friday.

This sets up as a strong bounce-back spot for the Rams after their 20-3 no-show at home against Washington State. That game was more about the Cougars responding with intensity after being embarrassed in the Apple Cup than it was about Colorado State regressing. I expect a much more engaged effort from the Rams here, especially with the prospect of a three-game skid looming.

San Diego State enters off an unsightly 6-3 victory at Northern Illinois. While that technically got the job done, it didn’t do much to inspire confidence in the Aztecs’ offensive ceiling. This is not a team I want to be laying more than a field goal with, especially against a CSU squad that has already shown it can hang around in a tough environment — as it did earlier this season in a road cover at Washington.

The Rams are more balanced offensively than their last result would suggest, and defensively they’ve held their own against stiffer competition than what San Diego State brings to the table. Given the setup and matchup, I see this as a down-to-the-wire type of game.

Take Colorado State plus the points.

For my top free pick in college football this Friday, I'm focusing on the BYU Cougars hosting the West Virginia Mountaineers. West Virginia has struggled early, entering with a 2-3 record, while BYU is riding high as an undefeated 4-0 team, making them a popular choice among bettors. The Cougars have covered the spread in four of their last five games, keeping them firmly on the radar. In contrast, West Virginia has failed to cover in their last two outings. However, I’m not sold on BYU’s resume. Their wins over Stanford, ECU, and Colorado don’t justify laying this many points against a capable Mountaineers squad.

**Play: West Virginia + the points (Rotation #311)**

***Don’t miss my TITANIUM BEST BET in college football this Friday! I’m 10-2 (83%) in my last 12 Titanium Best Bets, and over the past two seasons, I’ve gone 104-73 (59%) in college football picks.***