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October 01, 2016

Rob Vinciletti

Oct 01 '16, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | UL-Monroe vs Auburn
Play on: Auburn -32½ -106 at pinnacle

The College Football comp play is on Auburn. Game 168 at 3:30 eastern. The Tigers are off the big win over LSU and now take on an over matched LA. Monroe squad that is 0-7 to the spread with rest as a dog in this range. . Home favorites off a home dog win and a prior home game are 15-2 to the spread since 1980 vs a team off a road loss. Auburn has won all 9 meetings in the series and sometimes in games like this big favorites win and take their foot off the gas pedal. Not today. Auburn all day. On Saturday the strongest card of the College season thus far is up and led by the American Athletic Conference Game of the year. We are ranked #1 in all sports overall on several sites. Jump on now and start the Month big. For the College Football free pick. Play on The Auburn Tigers. RV

Released on Sep 30 at 10:56 pm View Archive

Stephen Nover

Oct 01 '16, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Kansas State vs West Virginia
Play on: Kansas State +3½ -115 at BMaker

I like what I'm getting with the 'dog in this matchup: A Wildcats defense that gives up the fewest yards and passing yards per game in the nation and an offense that is No. 1 in red zone percentage going 16-for-16 in scoring from inside the 20-yard line. That 100 percent red zone scoring extends to the final seven games of last season, too.
The Wildcats had a lot of youth last season. That youth is maturing this year. This is the game that shows Kansas State is a real Big 12 contender. 
Bill Snyder and his Wildcats have the right ingredients to score an upset here - good coaching, the ability to keep the ball away from West Virginia quarterback Skyler Howard, not make mistakes and take full advantage of red zone opportunities to go with a strong defense that is particularly talented at linebacker.  
Kansas State suffered a 26-13 opening-week road loss to seventh-ranked Stanford. There's no shame in that, but for some it warped the perception of Kansas State. The Wildcats give up 179 yards per game, best in the country, while surrendering just 33 points in three games. They pounded Florida Atlantic and Missouri State following the loss to Stanford. 
West Virginia had issues with its special teams last week. The Mountaineers were life-and-death with BYU before winning, 35-32, last week nearly blowing a 35-19 lead. That game was played in Landover, Md. Kansas State had a much easier time rolling past Missouri State, 35-0, in a game that was called at halftime because of lightning.
So not only are the Wildcats the fresher team, but they have a proven track record under Snyder of being great in these types of games going 20-8-1 (71 percent) ATS versus above .500 opponents. By contrast, the Mountaineers are 0-6 ATS the past six times they've faced a foe with a winning record.  

Released on Sep 29 at 05:52 pm View Archive

Tony George

Oct 01 '16, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Minnesota vs Penn State
Play on: Minnesota +3 -110 at 5Dimes

Big 10 Underdog Pointspread Winner Saturday

Courtesy of Tony George

Minnesota @ Penn State (-3)
Penn State is still licking their wounds after an absolute throttling at Michigan last week where Jim Harbaugh never called off the dogs against an injury riddled Lions defense.  I exposed this mis-match with a premium play laying 18.5 points and Michigan which was a no sweat winner for anyone who was willing to lay the points and realize Penn State is not at 100% on the defensive side of the ball.  
On the other side of the ball for Penn State is an offensive line that is not in sync, and they yielded 6 sacks last week and the offense was woeful to say the least.  This is not good news as a veteran and well coached Golden Gopher teams heads to Happy valley this week with a very formidable run game where they are out rushing opponents by 109 years per game, and a capable QB in Leidner who is a dual threat through the air on the ground.  It is troubling that Penn State is without all 3 starting LB's and allowed 365 yards rushing last week that plays right into Minnesota's strength.  
Minnesota is undefeated to date and head into this game as statement game for them with a signature win on the road against a conference opponent, and Penn State is 0-6 against the Las Vegas Line their last 6 conference games. I cannot count on Penn State to rally here with a depleted defense in search of some bodies to stop a solid run unit and a Gopher team who also has a capable QB who can utilize play action passing with success as Penn State loads up to stop the run.  
I have no issues with taking points on the road with Minnesota here who should clearly take advantage of Penn States issues on defense and the fact they are a cover machine on the road at 9-3 against the line their last 12 road games.  
Minnesota 24  Penn State 20 - Take Minnesota +3
Tony George and his wares this weekend - a 4-Pack of Winners plus my weekly Hidden gem.  CFB at 66% YTD!   Also tune in the Tony George Show on SB Nation Radio and Sirius 93 on Sunday mornings 9-11 AM EST for the breakdown and Las Vegas Twist on this Sunday's NFL Games.   

Released on Sep 29 at 09:50 am View Archive

Ben Burns

Oct 01 '16, 7:30 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Missouri vs LSU
Play on: OVER 53.5 -107

WHITE HOT Ben Burns closed out Sept w/ a PERFECT 5-0 FRIDAY SWEEP. That brings him to a MASTERFUL 24-8 the L8 days. That includes a SICK 7-1 RECORD on the college gridiron. Ben is also 10-4 his L14 NFL, a SUPERB 66-38 ATS his L104. Top-Rated NFL? 52-26 ATS! Want more? Totals on a PERFECT 9-0 RUN & top-tated football was a PERFECT 4-0 last Saturday!

The LSU offense has under-achieved thus far. Thats led to an 0-4 ATS record and was among the reasons that Les Miles (and offensive coordinator Cam Cameron) just got fired. The struggling offense has also led to an 4-0 "under" mark through four games. With Ed Orgeron taking over on an interim basis and Missouri coming to town, that "under" streak should have an excellent shot at coming to an end on Saturday. 

Orgeron had this to say: "...we're going to spread the ball around a little bit, do some different things, change the style of play. There's a lot of things on offense we've done well running the football. We want to have a different passing game. We want to be more creative, find ways for the quarterback to get the ball down the field throwing it."

While the competition wasn't admittedly pretty weak, Missouri just scored 79 points last week. It was the second time in three games that Missouri topped the 60-point mark. Missouri is averaging 569.5 yard per game on the season. While the number has climbed a little from its opener, I still believe its a little too low. Take a look at the Over. 

With Thursday and Friday's winners, Ben Burns is now an EPIC 58-35 ATS w/ his 2016 football. That includes a 7-1 record with his L8 CFB and a 10-4 mark his L14 NFL. Going back further finds him at an 116-76 ATS, a SICK 60.4% with his L189 on the gridiron, all against totally unbiased lines. If this "ain't your first rodeo," you know how AWESOME those numbers are. Burns has DOMINATED the month of October throughout his career & WON HUGE each of the past three years. He was a PERFECT 5-0 on Friday and he's an AWESOME 24-8 the past eight days. His totals are a PERFECT 9-0 the last nine. Jump on board and ride the wave.

Released on Sep 28 at 09:06 pm View Archive

Brandon Lee

Oct 01 '16, 7:10 PM in 6h
MLB | Twins vs White Sox
Play on: Twins +105 at 5Dimes

10* Free MLB Pick (Twins +105) 

I like the value we are catching with the Twins as a small road dog in Saturday's meaningless game between the Twins and White Sox. Minnesota's Hector Santiago is coming off a couple of average starts, but has been throwing much better down the stretch. He been locked in on the road this season, posting a 3.65 ERA in 15 starts. What I really like is how well Santiago has thrown against Chicago. He's faced the White Sox 3 times this season and all 3 times he posted a quality start, twice throwing 7 shutout innings. He also allowed just 11 hits with 23 strikeouts in his 20 innings against them. Chicago will counter with James Shields who has been all over the place this season, with most of it being bad. He's 6-18 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.620 WHIP in 32 starts. In his last 11 starts, he's giving up 4 runs or more 7 times and 6 of those he allowed 5 or more. Give me the Twins +105! 

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Released on Sep 30 at 10:53 pm View Archive

Steve Merril

Oct 01 '16, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | UL-Monroe vs Auburn
Play on: UL-Monroe +33 -110 at betonline

This line opened +33.5 and sharp money quickly dropped it a point early in the week.  Auburn defeated LSU last Saturday and are now in a major non-conference flat spot this week.  The Tigers go from being a 3-point home underdog last week to a huge home favorite this week, plus Auburn has a major look-ahead game on deck at Mississippi State next week.

Auburn is not an explosive offensive team as they have scored 18 points or less in three of their four games this season.  UL Monroe is only 1-2 SU, but they are 3-0 ATS as they've been competitive.  The Warhawks also have the advantage of a bye week entering this game with extra time to rest and prepare as a big underdog.  UL Monroe has averaged 6.0 yards per play (versus opponents that allow just 5.9 yppl), while the Warhawks defense has permitted only 5.8 yards per play (versus opponents that average 6.1 yppl).

Released on Oct 01 at 12:37 am View Archive

Matt Fargo

Oct 01 '16, 4:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | San Jose State vs New Mexico
Play on: New Mexico -10½ -110 at pinnacle

San Jose St. heads to New Mexico following a bad loss at Iowa St. last week. The Spartans are 1-3 on the season including a 0-2 record on the road where they have lost by 35 and 3 points. They played without senior quarterback Kenny Potter last week and the duel threat is the best player on the offense and the bad news for them is that he has been downgraded to doubtful for this week. New Mexico opened the season with a big win over South Dakota but has since lost two straight games. However, those were on the road so heading home should get the Lobos back on track. Even though they are just 1-2, the Lobos have won the yardage battle in all three games including their strength, the rushing game. New Mexico averages 314 ypg on 6.3 ypc and this has been the strength of this team for years and Saturday they catch a great matchup. San Jose St. has been outrushed in all three games against FBS opposition and by an average of 135.7 ypg. This line has risen a pretty big amount but it was a bad opening line based on the status of Potter who was still questionable early in the week. San Jose St. has been horrid in this role as they are 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games as underdogs. New Mexico meanwhile is coming off its bye week which comes at an ideal time after having to travel to the east coast in its last game. The Lobos are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games after a bye week while going 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. 10* (212) New Mexico Lobos

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Released on Sep 30 at 05:10 pm View Archive

Scott Spreitzer

Oct 01 '16, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Kansas State vs West Virginia
Play on: Kansas State +3½ -115 at BMaker

I'm taking the points with Kansas State on Saturday.  We had the Mountaineers last week and watched them fail to put away a BYU team that was ready to fold the tent.  WVU made late-game mistakes, including a major unforced miscue inside the Cougar 10-yard line in a spot that would have likely wrapped-up the cover.  But the Mountaineers have been known to make their share of mistakes, while Bill Snyder-coached teams rarely beat themselves.  K-State is 16-for-16 in the redzone this season and brings the better stop-unit to the battle, ranked 7th against the run, and #1 in pass defense and total yards allowed per game.  The Wildcats have already traveled to Stanford where they were within six points at 19-13 with less than three minutes to go in the game until a late, Christian McCaffrey 41-yard TD run. Until then, K-State had held Stanford to 231 yards of total offense in 57+ minutes of action.  The Wildcats enter on a 20-8-1 ATS record against teams with a winning record, while the Mountaineers have dropped six in a row ATS against teams with a winning record.  We'll back Kansas State as they aim for their 5th straight win & cover over West Virginia.  Kansas State plus the points on Saturday.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.

Released on Sep 28 at 10:19 pm View Archive

Ray Monohan

Oct 01 '16, 7:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Western Michigan vs Central Michigan
Play on: OVER 57 -105

Western Michigan vs. Central Michigan Over 58

The battle of Michigans out of the MAC takes place Saturday as the Broncos and Chippewas meet. The total here has a lot of value on the Over. Both offenses rank in the top 40 as they averaged around the 470 yardage mark per game.

With how successful the offenses have been, scoring hasn't been an issue. Western Michigan has averaged 44 points per game while the Chips have averaged 40.

Some trends to note. Over is 27-11-1 in Broncos last 39 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

These teams played to a 41-39 game last season and have always been a part of shootouts when it comes to head to head. Look for this one to be a similar game here, as both offenses can strike and strike quickly.

Back the Over.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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Released on Sep 30 at 05:26 pm View Archive

Joseph D'Amico

Oct 01 '16, 7:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Rice vs Southern Miss
Play on: Southern Miss -26 -102 at pinnacle

After starting out winning just about every college football play I released (16-4) over the first 4 weeks, last Saturday, I got crushed. That just tells me, I will come back with a vengeance and redeem myself here as that is what champions do. Today, I have my coveted, NCAAF AAC GAME OF THE MONTH, 66% LAS VEGAS STRIP MOVE, 12-1 (LY) HIGH ROLLER, 15-2 (4-1 TY) INSIDE INFO, and my legendary, 7-1 (LY) CRUSHER winners. I am a champion so give me just 1% of your trust and I will earn the other 99%.

Saturday's FREE NCAAF WINNER: Southern Mississippi.

Game 172.

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Rice is way outclassed here, coming in sporting an 0-4 (1-3 ATS) record, dwelling in the cellar in both offensive (18.2 PPG) and defensive (39.2 PPG) categories. This doesn't bode well as they face a Southern Miss team posting over 41.2 PPG and possessing a stingy "D", permitting just, 19.8 PPG. QB, Nick Mullens (913 YP) and RB, Ito Smith (540 YR) will devour the Owls "D" here, so topping last season's, 65-10 drubbing, is in the cards. The Fav is 5-0 ATS the L5 meetings in this series. Take the Golden Eagles. Thank you.

Released on Oct 01 at 10:53 am View Archive

Sean Murphy

Oct 01 '16, 8:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Louisville vs Clemson
Play on: UNDER 67.5 -110

My selection is on the 'under' between Louisville and Clemson at 8 pm et on Saturday.

Louisville has been the talk of the college football world so far this season. Not only have the Cardinals gone a perfect 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS but they've also posted a 4-0 o/u record. That only serves to give us value with the 'under' here, however.

The Cardinals will face a tougher challenge this week as they hit the road to challenge the Tigers of Clemson. Having scored at least 59 points in each of their first four games, you have to think there's only one way to go from here.

While Clemson is known for its offense, the Tigers are an excellent defensive team as well. They've only really been tested twice in four games this season, but passed those tests with flying colors, holding Auburn to just 13 points and Georgia Tech to only seven, with both of those games coming on the road. The Tigers will certainly be up for this matchup against the 'it-squad' in Louisville.

Clemson hasn't exactly lit it up offensively this season, with QB Deshaun Watson struggling a little bit (relatively speaking). I don't believe this is the spot where the Tigers break out.

Note that these two teams have met in each of the last two seasons, with those games totaling only 40 and 37 points. while I'm not convinced we'll see a defensive slugfest here, I do expect the final score to fall well below the inflated total. Take the under (8*).

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Released on Sep 30 at 01:33 pm View Archive

Rocky Atkinson

Oct 01 '16, 8:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | San Diego State vs South Alabama
Play on: San Diego State -18½ -110 at pinnacle

Rocketman Sports FREE CFB play Saturday 10-1-16 San Diego State @ South Alabama  8:00 PM EST
Play On:  San Diego State -18 1/2 The San Diego State Aztecs travel to South Alabama to take on the Jaguars on Saturday night.  San Diego State is 3-0 SU overall this year while South Alabama comes in with a 2-2 SU overall record on the season.  San Diego State is averaging 260.7 yards per game on the ground this year and 442.7 total yards per game this season.  South Alabama is allowing 240 yards per game on the ground this season.  San Diego State is 6-1 ATS last 3 years when playing in October.  South Alabama is 1-6 ATS last 3 years when playing against a team with a winning record.  San Diego State is averaging 39.3 points per game overall this year and 42 points per game on the road this season.  We'll recommend a small play on San Diego State tonight!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky  Rocketman Sports cashed his College Football Game of the Week last week easily with Houston and his NFL Game of the Week on Seattle!  Rocketman has his College Football Game of the Week going on Saturday along with a bonus 3* CFB play!  If you enjoyed the easy no sweat winner on Houston, you'll LOVE this one!  Rocketman is on a nice current 71% run in CFB and is 143-102 58% last 245 overall CFB plays!  Get on board now and WIN BIG!  Rocketman is documented hitting 63% in CFB this year after Washington wins easily last night over Stanford! 

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Released on Oct 01 at 10:12 am View Archive

Chase Diamond

Oct 01 '16, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Wisconsin vs Michigan
Play on: Michigan -10 -113 at pinnacle

Huge game for Michigan here as the 4-0 Badgers come in to play the 4-0 Wolverines. For Michigan this is a huge statement game as this team has lost 11 straight games to ranked teams and for my money coach Jim Harbaugh is the best on College. This line has been set high for a reason Michigan has been crushing teams and this is the biggest game for them this reason so I expect a all out blowout mode effort. Jim Harbaugh's teams have gone 26-10 72% ATS when favored by more than 3 points and add to it that unbeaten teams with a 4-0 or better record have been a money burning 23% ATS cover since 1980 when getting 8 or more points away from home and on back to back away games. Only 44% backing home Michigan but add me to that list the plus points just looks to tempting and when I see that and backed with these numbers I go MICHIGAN. 15* Michigan******Don't miss all my big plays today pick up a 3 day pass and get today Sunday and Monday for one super low price or get 7 days for 199.99.

Released on Oct 01 at 12:01 pm View Archive

Jack Jones

Oct 01 '16, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | North Carolina vs Florida State
Play on: Florida State -10½ -103 at pinnacle

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Florida State -10.5

I’m going with the Seminoles -10.5 as my free pick in this game against UNC as I think they will continue the momentum they built up last week. After all, they have to impress the rest of the way if they want to get back in the four-team playoff conversation.

Impress they did last week as they rolled a very good South Florida team 55-35 on the road. They scored 38 straight points during one stretch, and this game wasn’t even as close as the final score. The Seminoles outgained the Bulls by 197 total yards in the game.

The key was getting Dalvin Cook and the running game going. The Seminoles racked up 647 total yards of offense, 478 of which came on the ground. Cook had 267 yards and two touchdowns, while Jacques Patrick added 124 yards and a score. Look for the Seminoles to stick with the run this week against one of the worst teams against the run in college football.

UNC gave up 240 rushing yards per game and 5.2 per carry in 2014 and 247 yards per game and 5.1 per carry in 2015. It hasn’t been much better against the run this season, allowing 240 rushing yards per game and 5.0 per carry thus far in 2016.

The Tar Heels haven’t proven they can stop the run in any game this season. They gave up 289 yards to Georgia, 182 to Illinois, 209 to woeful James Madison, and 281 to Pittsburgh last week. Their defense is the reason I give them no shot of being competitive against the Seminoles this week.

UNC was very fortunate to beat Pitt last week at home as well.  It trailed 36-23 with less than six minutes remaining before scoring two touchdowns, including the game-winner with only two seconds left to win 37-36 as 7.5-point favorites.  It was another poor performance for a Tar Heels' defense that is allowing 30.0 points per game this season.

Plays against any team (N CAROLINA) – after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game against opponent after gaining 6.5 or more rushing yards/attempt last game are 51-23 (68.9%) ATS over the last five seasons.

Jimbo Fisher is 15-4 ATS after having won two of his last three games as the coach of Florida State. North Carolina is 9-30 ATS in its last 39 games after scoring 31 points or more in two straight games. The Seminoles are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.  Bet Florida State Saturday.

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Released on Sep 30 at 02:54 pm View Archive

Doc's Sports

Oct 01 '16, 8:00 PM in 6h
NCAA-F | Michigan State vs Indiana
Play on: Indiana +7½ -120 at 5Dimes

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #200 Take Indiana Hoosiers over Michigan State Spartans (Saturday 8 pm BTN) Most experts believed that this would be a rebuilding year for Michigan State and in two months that will be evident to all. They had fool’s gold beating Notre Dame two weeks ago but came crashing down in a big way last Saturday at home against Wisconsin. As we also observed that win over Notre Dame is not that impressive since the Irish have already lost three times this season. Indiana is coming off a disappointing loss to Wake Forest last week but expect them to bounce back in a big way this Saturday since this is the opening of Big 10 Conference play. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card highlighted by our Mountain West Game of the Year. Doc’s Sports is a perfect 4-0 on Top Plays this season in College Football. Sign-up now and let 45 years of handicapping experience work for you. 

Released on Sep 26 at 09:42 pm View Archive

Dennis Macklin

Oct 01 '16, 2:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Oregon State vs Colorado
Play on: Colorado -19 -102 at pinnacle

DMack's Free Play in NCAAF action for Saturday, October 1st, 2016 is on the Colorado Buffalos

It's taken a while for McIntyre to get his kids into place but we've seen nothing but good things happening in Boulder. Buffs off first win vs. Oregon and that with a backup redshirt frosh. who threw for 333 and ran for 135 more. Colorado can score on anyone. The argument here is that who is Colorado to lay three touchdowns to anyone ??? Noted ... but .... McIntyre has won seven straight as a home favorite and is on a 9-2 run overall. Prefer to think that hard playing Buffs are ready for more.

The Mack Attack is No.1 in the network for college football at 24-11 and looking for a lot more today. Packages locked and loaded and ready to role including Side and Totals of the Week. Any one or three day package gets three comp plays in the bases (12-6 L18) as well. Check all the boards in every sport for DMack and you'll know what to do!

Released on Oct 01 at 09:23 am View Archive

Scott Rickenbach

Oct 01 '16, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Tennessee vs Georgia
Play on: Georgia +4 -107 at 5Dimes

Free Pick: Rickenbach NCAA FB Game #178 - Georgia Bulldogs (+) vs Tennessee Volunteers @ 3:30 ET Saturday - Very good set-up for the Bulldogs here. Georgia is a home dog for the first time in 5 years and yes I am well aware of the fact that an injury will keep Bulldogs star RB Nick Chubb out of this game. The fact is that he got injured on the first play of last year's meeting between these teams and yet Georgia still jumped out to a 24-3 lead by late in the 2nd quarter. The Vols managed to rally back and get the win over the Bulldogs in that game though and that makes this a nice revenge spot for Georgia. Last week's results help a lot here because Tennessee finally got the monkey off of their back in last week's win over Florida as the Gators had beaten the Vols 12 straight times. That is the type of win that can take a lot out of a team and now the Volunteers go on the road for their first true road game of this season. As for the Bulldogs, they are off of an embarrassing loss at Ole Miss and that means they will be fired up for this week's contest after suffering their first loss of the season last week. Look for the Dawgs to get their revenge and send the Vols to their first loss of the season but I am grabbing the generous points here (currently +4) in case it does end up being a tight loss for Georgia. Note that the Bulldogs are 11-5 in their last 16 against Tennessee. Also, that was such a huge win for the Volunteers last week and they are 1-5 ATS the last 6 times in their next game after facing Florida. Don't be surprised if the Vols come out flat in this game. Free Pick on GEORGIA Saturday afternoon. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach

Released on Oct 01 at 09:37 am View Archive

Jim Feist

Oct 01 '16, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Wisconsin vs Michigan
Play on: OVER 44.5 -105

10/01 12:30 PM  CF   (161) WISCONSIN VS (162) MICHIGAN. Take: over
Reason: Your free play for Saturday, October 1, 2016 is in the Big 10 battle between Wisconsin and Michigan. A low total here with some powerful defenses, but the Wolverines have a a strong set of offensive weapons. They have the best wide receivers in the Big 10 and just dismantled a good Penn State defense with 324 yards rushing. Michigan is on a 12-0 run over the total, including 8-0 at home. The Wolerines also survived a scare against Colorado, erasing a 14-point deficit in 45-28 win. This is their fifth straight home game. Michigan is also 9-0 over the total vs. a team with a winning record. Play Wisconsin/Michigan Over the total. 

Released on Sep 30 at 07:56 pm View Archive

Ari Atari

Oct 01 '16, 2:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Ohio vs Miami (OH)
Play on: Ohio -3 -108 at pinnacle

Very popular pick and for a good reason. The Bobcats are the play here but I recommend only a small free pick wager while you take advantage of a VERY HOT CAPPER in ARI ATARI. 11-3 hot streak. 57-38 NCAAF record. 

Ari Atari is your College Football guy. Trust in the numbers and you'll be rewarded. 


Oklahoma vs. TCU ($19)

2 Overs (Tally Up!) ($29)

Michigan State Vs. Indiana ($19)


Released on Sep 30 at 12:25 pm View Archive

Brandon Shively

Oct 01 '16, 7:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | South Florida vs Cincinnati
Play on: Cincinnati +5½ -105 at BMaker

South Florida was a 1 point home dog  last year and are now a 5.5 point road favorite which gives us immediate line value. Cincy was a 10.5 point home favorite in 2014 and a 14 point home favorite in 2012. I don’t think this line swing is  warranted as the Bills defense is regressing quickly as they have gotten outgained by 95 and 197 yards the last two weeks.  South Florida is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 meetings and the home team is 4-0 ATS the last 4 meetings. For Houston only to lay 7.5 @ Cincy and USF laying 2 points fewer seems like a overcorrection as Cincy is still a talented team with Tuberville guiding the ship.  I wish the quarterback situation was clearer currently and I would be upgrading this pick to premium status. I still might look to play Cincinnati big Saturday night. Right now the line is at +5 which is not a football number so I am going to wait patiently until before game time and see where this line settles as we might be able to get a +6 or +6.5. The Bearcats are definitely worth a second look Saturday night (1* Cincinnati)

Don't miss Brandon's NCAAF HIGH SCORING GAME of the WEEK Saturday that comes in the SEC conference which is his specialty. Brandon's 10* NFL GAME of the WEEK is also available as he says this one has 'BLOWOUT' written all over it!

Released on Sep 30 at 12:37 pm View Archive

Freddy Wills

Oct 01 '16, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Wisconsin vs Michigan
Play on: Wisconsin +10½ -106 at pinnacle

Wisconsin +10.5 1.1% Free Play

I looked back I am 15-2-1 ATS backing Wisconsin over my 8 year career!

I like this play with the Badgers as they got a relaxing win over Michigan State last week that nobody is taking seriously considering the way Notre Dame looked.  Wisconsin is a solid team all around and this game is going to come down to whether or not Michigan can score through the air.  Wisconsin is super solid defending the run having only allowed 1 rushing TD and they have kept all 4 opponents under their season average for rushing yards per carry.  Meanwhile Michigan has been pretty inconsistent running the ball which raises some red flags for me.  Michigan vs. Colorado rushed for just 4.10 ypc while Colorado has allowed 4.28 on the season.  Michigan vs. UCF, Wolverines averaged just 2.90 ypc and UCF is allowing 3.88 on the season.  Hawaii game was a little different as they rushed for 7.85 and Hawaii is allowing 6.36 so they are pretty bad.  Hawaii had a dreadful travel spot playing in Sydney, Australia, back to Hawaii (30 hours of travel time), and then another 30 hours of travel time to Michigan all in an 8 day span.  Penn State is awful this year and we saw it against Pitt when the Panthers ran all over Michigan.  My point is I don’t think Michigan’s rushing offense is top 25 and you can bet Wisconsin’s run defense is in the top 25 having proven themselves vs. LSU and Michigan State.

When Michigan can’t run the ball they struggle.  There were 3 games when they did not have a rushing TD a year ago and they went 1-2.  Their lone win against Indiana they did not cover the spread, and when you look at their game against Michigan State they averaged 1.88 ypc and lost as well.  Wisconsin does not give up the big play, and I can’t rely on Wilton Speight to score TD’s in the red zone which is what will have to happen in this one for them to cover 10.5 points.  Wisconsin has only allowed 2 passing TD’s and they have 6 interceptions.

This is going to be a very good game with two of the top 30 teams in yards per play allowed and plays per game allowed.  This game should be shortened quite a bit and I’m getting 10.5 points with a very low total of 44.5 which is intriguing.  If Wisconsin was not in a bad spot following Michigan State and with Ohio State on deck I would absolutely make this a more confident play, but at the end of the day I am still very confident.  I really liked what I saw from QB Alex Hornibrook on the road last week against the Spartans.  This kid is very calm cool and collected.  He throws an accurate ball and has poise.  I just do not really see a lot that separates these two teams at this point and Michigan typically carries an inflated number because of their brand.


Teaser of the Week - 24-5 ATS Run since 2014 Season!

College Football MAX Rating Play - 63% ATS for career - 79-47 ATS!

Released on Sep 28 at 11:16 pm View Archive

Jesse Schule

Oct 01 '16, 8:30 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | Arizona State vs USC
Play on: OVER 64 -110

This is a Free 2-Team (7.5-point) Teaser W/USC+OVER.

The Trojans are 1-3, hosting the undefeated Arizona State Sun Devils, and to the untrained eye it might seem odd that USC is a double-digit favorite here. This game actually reminds me of last season, when a 3-3 USC squad was a home favorite to the then #3 ranked Utah Utes who were 6-0 at the time.

The Trojans went on to win that game by a score of 42-24, and went on to win four of their next five games, punching a ticket to the PAC12 Championship game versus Stanford. You can bet that Trojans coach Clay Helton will remind his team of that heading into this weekend's game.

Arizona State has looked terrible on defense, especially last week allowing Cal to gain a total of 637 yards. They managed to come back from a double-digit deficit by scoring 31 points in the fourth quarter to remain undefeated.

The Trojans can take a lot of positives from last Friday's loss at Utah. Freshman quarterback Sam Darnold threw for 253 yards on 18-of-26 passing, and ran for 41 yards and a TD. He looked pretty solid in his first start on the road against one of the top defenses in the conference.

Arizona State has failed to cover in seven of it's last nine road games, and the over is 6-1 in it's last seven overall.



Jesse Schule

Released on Sep 28 at 07:32 am View Archive

Dave Price

Oct 01 '16, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Minnesota vs Penn State
Play on: Penn State -2½ -118 at pinnacle

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Penn State -2.5

The Key: James Franklin is in a must-win situation here for Penn State.  He'll have his players ready when Minnesota visits Happy Valley on Saturday.  Penn State would have been a much bigger favorite than -2.5 had this been the first game of the season.  So I think there's some value here, especially with this being the first road game for Minnesota.  I think Minnesota's 3-0 start is fools' gold.  The wins have all come at home against Oregon State, Indiana State and Colorado State.  And Minnesota failed to cover against both Oregon State and Colorado State, beating them both by only a touchdown.  Penn State will easily be the best team that Minnesota has faced.  Minnesota will be the third-best team Penn State has faced after losing on the road to both Pitt and Michigan.  A blowout road loss to Michigan last week is why Penn State is only a 2.5-point favorite here, but Michigan is a national title contender.  The Nittany Lions are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 home games after losing 2 of their last 3 games.  The Golden Gophers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.  The Nittany Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.  Take Penn State.

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Released on Sep 30 at 10:27 pm View Archive

John Ryan

Oct 01 '16, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Navy vs Air Force
Play on: Air Force -7 -103 at pinnacle

HUGE Card for NCAAF with SIX 25* SIM ALGORITHM Titans. He has made the Dime Player over $13K spanning a 60% ATS run over 84 releases stemming back to last season. 

10* graded play on Air Force as they take on Navy in NCAA action set to start at 3:30 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that AF will win this game by at least 10 points.

Technical Discussion Points The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Air Force is a solid 97-46 ATS (+46.4 Units) when they score 28 or more points since 1992. Navy has been a money burning 40-72 ATS (-39.2 Units) when they allow 28 or more points since 1992; 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when they allow 35 to 41 since 1992; 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) when they allow 6.5 or more total yards per play since 1992. Air Force is a solid 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when they rush for 300 or more yards over the last 3 seasons.

Take Air Force

Released on Oct 01 at 10:22 am View Archive

Bill Biles

Oct 01 '16, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Purdue vs Maryland
Play on: Maryland -10½ -104 at pinnacle

Maryland -10.5

Maryland has gone from turning the ball over 36 times last season to being 1 of only 2 teams to have no turnovers on the year. Purdue has turned it over 10 times in three games, and its minus-six turnover margin is third-worst in the country. Maryland wins this one by 2 touchdowns or more.

Pick= Maryland -10.5

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Released on Sep 29 at 03:59 pm View Archive

Kyle Hunter

Oct 01 '16, 9:30 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Oregon vs Washington State
Play on: Washington State +2½ -100 at pinnacle

*3 Star CFB Free Pick* The Washington State Cougars are coming off a bye week. Mike Leach has been really upset with his teams play so far this year, and I believe they are capable of far more than they have shown thus far. The Cougars have covered six straight contests against Oregon, so they matchup well with the Ducks.

Oregon's Dakota Prukop isn't a bad fit for this offense, but he isn't the perfect pit that the Ducks have had in the past. Speaking of bad fits, Oregon's defense has been really bad under Brady Hoke so far this year. Oregon is sending a lot of blitzes and they are leaving themselves susceptible to the quick passing game. Why is that important? Because that is exactly what Washington State does on a consistent basis. 

Luke Falk is a great fit for the Air Raid offense, and I expect huge numbers from him in this game. Both teams will score a lot here, but I like Washington State's chances. The public is still backing Oregon, but I think Oregon has slipped a couple notches from where they were a couple years ago. 

Washington State has a really good home field advantage. Take Washington State plus the points. 

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Released on Sep 30 at 03:54 pm View Archive

Joe DelPopolo

Oct 01 '16, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Northern Illinois vs Ball State
Play on: Ball State -4 -110 at pinnacle

Free Pick

Ball State -4

**#3 College Handicapper**

**25-Unit College Top-Play goes Saturday**

Released on Sep 30 at 10:52 pm View Archive

Michael Alexander

Oct 01 '16, 3:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Northern Illinois vs Ball State
Play on: Ball State -3½ -104 at pinnacle

Rating: 2 Unit NCAAF Free Pick

Northern Illinois comes into this one really struggling at they are 0-6 ATS.  Their defense has also been horrible as they rank 120th in total defense. Ball State comes into this one a solid 3-0 ATS this year, with 252 passing yards and 74 rushing yards from their quarterback in a late win over FAU. I can't see taking anyone other than Ball State as a small favorite.

Released on Oct 01 at 12:32 pm View Archive

October 02, 2016

Art Aronson

Oct 02 '16, 1:00 PM in 23h
NFL | Panthers vs Falcons
Play on: Panthers -3 -120 at betonline

1* Free Play Carolina Panthers.

Setting the scene: Carolina went to the Super Bowl last season, but has gotten out to a poor start so far in 2016/17, coming into Week 3 sitting at 1-2. Atlanta returns home after two straight road victories, most recently pulling away for the 45-32 win at New Orleans on Monday night. We think the “hungry” visitors are the correct call in this matchup.

The Panthers: It’s been a tough start to the year for Carolina. But with three straight divisional contests, starting with Atlanta, then Tampa Bay at home next week, followed by a game at New Orleans before their “bye,” we’re expecting the Panthers and to risk life and limb today. Also note that Carolina is 3-1 ATS in its last four as a road fav of three points or less and interestingly, 6-2 ATS in its last eight games played in the month of October.

The Falcons: They look primed for a letdown here after their big win over the Saints on national television. And with two tough road games on deck, including at Denver and Seattle, it’s not too hard to imagine the home side getting caught “looking ahead” to that difficult part of its schedule.

The bottom line: Also note that Atlanta is a poor 2-9 ATS in its last 11 following a divsional contest and 0-6 ATS off a win against a division rival. Consider a second look at the PANTHERS in Week 4.

AAA Sports

Released on Sep 27 at 04:23 pm View Archive

Marc Lawrence

Oct 02 '16, 1:00 PM in 23h
NFL | Seahawks vs Jets
Play on: Jets +2½ -104 at pinnacle

Play - NY Jets.

Edges - Jets: 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS as a host versus NFC West opponents; and 7-1 ATS home off non-division foe before back-to-back away games. Seahawks: 1-8 ATS away off division games when facing an AFC opponent; and 1-3 ATS last four visits here. With New York head coach Todd Bowles 6-1 ATS in his NFL career as a dog, we recommend a 1* playing the Jets.  Thank you and good luck as always.

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Released on Sep 30 at 06:58 pm View Archive

Mike Lundin

Oct 02 '16, 1:00 PM in 23h
NFL | Seahawks vs Jets
Play on: UNDER 40 -102

#NFL Free Pick from Mike Lundin
Play: Under
Rating: 5*

The New York Jets enter the game with a 1-2 record while averaging 20.7 points per game. They did however manage just a field goal and turned the ball over eight times(!) in last week's 24-3 loss at Kansas City. Ryan Fitzpatrick threw six interceptions and he has seven INTs on the season, considerably more than his three touchdown passes. 

The Seahawks are 2-1 with both wins coming at home. They struggled big time in a 9-3 loss at LA in Week 2 but bounced back with a 37-18 rout against the Niners last week where they held SF to 254 total yardage and 12 first downs. We can note that the under is 4-0 in Seahawks last four games following a straight up win of more than 14 points and 12-4 in their last 16 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game (SF had 119 passing yards last game).

Both teams are coming into this contest banged up on the offensive side of the ball. Seattle's star QB Russell Wilson is battling an ankle injury and suffered a MCL sprain on top of that in the last game. New York meanwhile has issues with its receiving corps as Eric Decker (who leads the team with 194 yards receiving) might sit out with a shoulder injury and Brandon Marshall has been impeded with a knee sprain. It will be tough for Fitzpatrick to bounce back from the worst performance of his career under those circumstances.

Yes, the under is the "square bet" and we've seen the line for the total drop a bit from the opener, but I still think there's value betting on this contest to go under the total. 

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Released on Sep 30 at 12:15 pm View Archive

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