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OVERALL  •  NBA  •  NCAA-B
NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Milwaukee Bucks
-5½-108
  at  5DIMES
in 4h

Break up the Lakers! LA actually has won two in a row, which is going against its plan to keep losing to improve its lottery odds. Worry not Lakers management. Your team's mini-streak is about to end with a visit from the Bucks.
The Bucks just aren't about trying to make the playoffs under Jason Kidd. They are going for playoff seeding trailing the Wizards for the No. 5 spot in the East by just one-half game.
Milwaukee went into a little tail spin dropping games to Chicago and Atlanta as it waited for its new point guard, Michael Carter-Williams, to get over his foot injury. Carter-Williams got the rust off making his Milwaukee debut a good one  with seven points and eight assists in 17:31 minutes of action two nights ago during a 104-88 home win against the 76ers. That was Milwaukee's 10th win in its last 13 games.
The Bucks' strength are their bench, chemistry and solid coaching by Kidd. The Bucks hold all those edges against the Lakers plus a rare advantage in a comparison of starting lineups.
The Lakers are off an overtime home win against the Celtics and a road victory against the inconsistent Jazz this past Wednesday. Milwaukee is a step above those teams. Before beating those teams, the Lakers had dropped 16 of 17.
The Bucks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 away matchups. They are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games versus the Lakers. The Bucks have won six of the past seven in the series, including the last four. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is red-hot cashing 23 of his last 33 NBA plays for 69 percent. The long-time wise guy is happy to offer this free selection today in addition to his premium plays.)

 


Pick released on Feb 27 at 07:26 am

NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
+5½-107
  at  BETONLINE
in 4h

Chip's NBA 3-Pack Best Bet Winners

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Chip's FREE NBA Winner

San Antonio at Sacramento 10:00 ET

Kings (+) over Spurs- What is going on with the Spurs? They have now lost four straight and are 2-5 on their current road trip after a 110-95 loss I Portland on Wednesday. Meanwhile the Kings under 'new' head coach George Karl are moving in the opposite direction with back-to back home wins. It's a long season and San Antonio is just now the same and is in a funk right now. Take the points with SACRAMENTO!


Pick released on Feb 27 at 08:38 am

NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers
-6-105
  at  5DIMES
in 4h

Martin's Thursday NBA FREE PICK

1 Unit on Portland Trail Blazers -6

The Oklahoma City Thunder are running on fumes right now.  They will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days.  Making matters more difficult is that they had to go to overtime last night in a 113-117 road loss at Phoenix.  They also remain without Kevin Durant, and Russell Westbrook is banged up with a leg injury, though he's expected to play tonight.  The Blazers are back on track after a 111-95 home win over San Antonio on Wednesday.  They will be well-rested and ready to go considering this will be just their 2nd game in 5 days.  Take the Blazers.


Pick released on Feb 27 at 12:51 pm

NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
Washington Wizards vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
+8½-105
  at  5DIMES
in 1h

Price's Thursday Free Play

1* on Philadelphia 76ers +8.5

The Key: The Washington Wizards are a mess right now.  They have lost five straight and 10 of their last 12 with their only two wins coming at home against Brooklyn and Orlando.  They are even coming off a 20-point loss at Minnesota, which is just a sign of how bad things have gotten for them.  Now, they are being asked to lay 8.5 points on the road to the 76ers, which is simply too much.  The Wizards are without two key players in Bradley Beal and Kris Humphries, while Paul Pierce is questionable to play tonight.  The 76ers have been much more competitive here of late, going 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  They clearly have not packed it in yet and will give the Wizards a run for their money tonight.  Take Philadelphia.

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Pick released on Feb 27 at 01:15 pm

NCAA-B  |  Feb 28, 2015
North Carolina vs. Miami (FL)
North Carolina
-1½-110
  at  BETONLINE
in 20h

Free play on UNC.

The Tar Heels should bounce back after their home loss to NCSU. Meeks and Johnson can score inside as The Tar Heels have a better frontcourt.

 UNC -1.5


Pick released on Feb 27 at 05:26 pm

NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
Washington Wizards vs. Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
+8½-105
  at  BMAKER
in 1h

It's hard to justify an 8.5 handicap for a team that is 1-8 ATS on the road, hobbling with a key player out (Beal) and two more that are questionable (Pierce, Humphries) as they've lost 5 in a row and playing like the Wizards of old. Washington needs to get the win but they also need to manage minutes wisely to deal with the Pistons tomorrow at home. Philly gets to come out and play loose and relaxed at home without any expectations on this team while they get the day off tomorrow. Washington should beat this team but no one should be giving them 8.5 points against anyone right now. Take the Sixers for some solid value. 

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Pick released on Feb 27 at 11:21 am

NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
Miami Heat vs. New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
+1-102
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

Jeff Allen's Free Play for Friday, February 27, 2015 is on the New Orleans Pelicans

Despite the loss of Chris Bosh, the Heat have won three of four coming out of the break beating up on muffins like the Knicks, 76ers and Magic. Most telling was the loss which was a 105-91 decision to these same Pelicans in South Beach (-2.5, 194) just six nights ago. This would have been a break out year for New Orleans if not for injuries to phenom Anthony Davis and the very underrated Jru Holiday (15.2, 3.7, 7.1) who is out indefinitely with an ankle problem. Still, the Pelicans have players Tyreke Evans (16.6, 5.4, 6.3) , Ryan Anderson and Omer Asik (7.4/9.8) have carried the load and still have an outside shot of running down the Thunder and the slumping Spurs and Mavs. The Pelicans have won three straight (8-2 L10 as a home dog) and dominated Saturday's game by getting to the line at will and then knocking down 27-31 free throws. Miami is just 1-7 ATS vs. the Southwest Division this year and that doesn't figure to improve here. Take New Orleans.

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Pick released on Feb 27 at 09:49 am

NCAA-B  |  Feb 27, 2015
Fairfield vs. Canisius
Fairfield
+8½-115
  at  BMAKER
in 1h

10-STAR FREE PICK ON FAIRFIELD +8.5

The Stags are showing some great value here as an 8.5-point road dog against the Griffins tonight. Fairfield comes into this contest off a 57-43 home win over St Peters, snapping a 10-game losing streak and I look for them to carry over that momentum against a Cansius team that just lost at home to Niagara 71-82 as a 10.5-point favorite. The Stags are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 after playing 2 straight at home and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 when listed as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points. Canisius on the other hand is just 11-28 ATS in their last 39 home games off a conference loss of 10 or more points. Roll the Stags +8.5!

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Pick released on Feb 27 at 10:33 am

NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
Miami Heat vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Miami Heat
-1-115
  at  BMAKER
in 2h



02/27 08:05 PM EST  NBA   (817) MIAMI HEAT VS (818) NEW ORLEANS PELICANS
Take: (817) MIAMI HEAT
Reason: Your free play for Friday, February 27, 2015, comes in the NBA as Miami Heat head to New Orleans to play the Pelicans. Both teams have had to deal with losing star players recently, but Miami is handling it better winning 2 in a row and 4 of 6. Luol Deng had 21 points, Dwyane Wade added 18 and the Heat rallied to defeat the Orlando Magic 93-90 in overtime Wednesday night. Hassan Whiteside added 15 points and 13 rebounds. The Heat have won three of four since losing Bosh for the season with a blood clot in his lung. The Heat is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a spread loss. New Orleans is off a win, but is 3-4 the last 7 games. Star Anthony Davis sprained his right shoulder in the first quarter of New Orleans' victory in Miami on Saturday night and has not suited up for either of the Pelicans past two games against Toronto and Brooklyn. The last game New Orleans was also without two other top players: forward Ryan Anderson (sprained right knee) and point guard Jrue Holiday (lower right leg injury). When these teams meet the Heat is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Play Miami!      


Pick released on Feb 26 at 05:25 pm

NCAA-B  |  Feb 27, 2015
Pennsylvania vs. Brown
Pennsylvania
+5½-110
  at  BETONLINE
in 1h

Play - Pennsylvania (Game 831).

Edges - Quakers: 9-2 SUATS away off a loss in this series, including 7-0 SUATS in game in which Brown owns a win percentage of less than .430; and 5-1 ATS as a dog off back-to-back losses this season. Bruins: 3-7 ATS after facing Cornell when taking on a sub .400 opponent.  With Brown off a revenge win over Cornell, and having a revenge game on deck tomorrow night with Princeton, we recommend a 1-unit play on Pennsylvania.  Thank you and good luck as always.

• Marc’s super hot hand on the NBA hardwood continues Friday night with a Top Key Play in a 100% ATS perfect winning situation.  You know what to do!


Pick released on Feb 26 at 06:10 pm

NCAA-B  |  Feb 27, 2015
Valparaiso vs. Cleveland State
Cleveland State
-3-115
  at  BETONLINE
in 4h

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #838 Take Cleveland State over Valparaiso. (Friday 10 pm ESPN U) Doc’s Sports has nailed 7 straight top play winners in college basketball and more of the same is coming this Saturday with a full card you do not want to miss highlighted by a 6-unit play (26-13 run in college basketball the last 8 Saturdays). This is a winner take all game in the Horizon League as tonight’s victory will host the conference tournament next weekend. Cleveland State is coming off an embarrassing performance against Milwaukee last Sunday and will need to win this game to clinch the No. 2 seed and a bye through the semi-finals. This game just means more to CSU and they will get it in a big way as Valpo shifts their focus to the conference tournament. 


Pick released on Feb 26 at 07:55 pm

NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
-5-105
  at  5DIMES
in 2h

Play on: Memphis over LAC

The Grizzlies (41-15) have won three straight in the series (winning this past Monday at LAC).  Critical...the Clippers (37-21) continue to vacillate w/o Griffin in the lineup.  Against the spread in the series we find Memphis controlling the money covering 9-of-10 in Vegas.  Memphis is 23-5 SU at home, while the Clippers are 14-13 SU on the road.  Memphis has a 50.3% vs. the Clippers 40.3% effective field percentage advantage which should help translate into another SU & ATS success for the home standing Grizzlies tonight. We'll go for Memphis here.

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Pick released on Feb 27 at 03:21 am

NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Lakers
Milwaukee Bucks
-5½-109
  at  5DIMES
in 4h

Free Pick on Bucks -

The Bucks have quietly been playing some of the best basketball of any team in the league, as Milwaukee improved to 11-4 over their last 15 with Wednesday's 104-88 blowout win at home over the 76ers.

Three of those losses during this stretch came on the road against the likes of San Antonio, Houston and Chicago, while the other was a home loss to Atlanta. Those are four really good teams and it's why I have no problem laying this number on Milwaukee against a bad Lakers team that getting a little bit of love following back-to-back wins over the Celtics and Jazz.

Simply backing the Bucks on the road has been a wise investment this season, as Milwaukee is an incredible 22-8 ATS away from home. The same can be said for backing the Bucks against bad teams, as they are 21-9 ATS this season versus teams with a losing record. Milwaukee is also a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games against a bad defensive team that is allowing opponents to shoot 46% or better from the field. These trends combine to form a strong 75% (51-17) system in favor of the Bucks. Take Milwaukee!

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Pick released on Feb 27 at 09:13 am

NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Portland Trail Blazers
Oklahoma City Thunder
+185
  at  5DIMES
in 4h

Every Friday Vernon Croy will be selecting a moneyline dog as his free pick. Vernon Croy has been exceptional at picking moneyline dogs in the NBA throughout his prestigious 16 year career so enjoy.

Take the Oklahoma City Thunder on the moneyline +185 as your free Friday night ML pick. The ML value is great Friday night with this Thunder team because they just lost last night to the Phoenix Suns. The Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on back to back days and they are a red hot 7-1 SU over their last 8 games overall. The Thunder are 22-8 SU in their last 30 games revenging a home loss against an opponent and Portland is just 4-7 SU over their last 11 games. The Thunder had outscored their opponents by an average of 15.2 ppg over their last 5 games before losing to the Suns last night and even without Kevin Durant this is a very solid Thunder team that will bounce back with a huge road win tonight. Play the Oklahoma City Thunder on the moneyline with confidence tonight. In Winning, Vernon Croy

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Pick released on Feb 27 at 09:24 am

NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings
San Antonio Spurs
-5½-113
  at  BETONLINE
in 4h

Play on Game #823 San Antonio Spurs -5.5

 

I like the Spurs tonight. I know it is hard to back the defending NBA champs right now, but I think that this is a game where they can get some of their swag back and beat up on a team that they have owned in the past. The Spurs are 9-1 SU the last 10 matchups vs. the Kings with 8 of those 9 wins coming by 6 points or more.

DeMarcus Cousins for the Kings is not expected to play tonight and I think that it is hard for the linesmakers to adjust for his loss. Cousins is worth more than the 2.5 points that the linesmakers account him for. Sacramento really does not have another scoring option down low and they will get hammered in the paint tonight and will have a hard job getting rebounds also.

The Spurs have now lost 5 straight games as they have been on a helluva road trip lately. Since the Break, they played @Clippers, then @Golden State on a back-to-back. They had to travel to Utah, then to Portland, and their offense has spuddered. This is still a team that is 100% healthy and I look for the veterans to bounce back tonight. Parker only scored 2 points last game and Ginobli only had 2 points also. Boris Diaw was 2-for-11 from the floor and the Spurs got outrebounded by 8. I think that HC Popovich ignites his team vs. a poor defending team of Sacramento that is coming off a straight up win as a homedog over Memphis the other night. I think that the starting 5 of the Spurs is at least 10 points better than the Kings. Rudy Gay can't do it himself and the loss of Cousins and Collison is big for this team. Collison is out for the season, and he can't be replaced easily.

While I can't back this play up with many strong trends, I just feel like this is a great time for the Spurs to bounceback and flex their muscles vs. a team that is banged up and that they have owned in the past. With a road game at Phoenix tomorrow night, the Spurs know the importance of winning this game tonight. The Spurs are a #7 seed in the East and they know that they need to beat the teams they supposed to beat. I don't care if they are playing on the road tonight. This is a team that has the better overall talent by far, especially when you take away Cousins who account for almost 25% of the team's points and rebounds. Lay it with the Spurs tonight. They win this one in the 107-89 range.

 

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Pick released on Feb 27 at 09:34 am

NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings
San Antonio Spurs
-5½-113
  at  BETONLINE
in 4h

The Kings are 2-1 under new head coach George Karl including winning both games at home. They defeated Memphis outright on Wednesday by 12 points and while that was certainly a quality win, the Grizzlies were in a bad spot there as they were coming off back-to-back road wins over the Blazers and Clippers. Overall, Sacramento is 13-17 at home and putting together consecutive wins has been a real issue as it is 0-11 in its last 11 games following a victory while going 1-7 ATS over the last eight games. The Spurs ending to their rodeo roadtrip is not going very well as they have dropped their last four games. Three of those came against playoff teams with the other coming against a Utah team that is playing very well right now. Right now San Antonio is in seventh place in the Western Conference and is ahead of Oklahoma City by just 2.5 games so this has turned into a big game with Phoenix on deck tomorrow night. The Spurs have not been great on the road but even with the recent slump, they are 14-8 following a loss this season. Even though San Antonio lost the first meeting here this season, it is 6-2 ATS the last eight meetings in Sacramento. Play (823) San Antonio Spurs

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Pick released on Feb 27 at 09:36 am

NCAA-B  |  Feb 27, 2015
Valparaiso vs. Cleveland State
Cleveland State
-3½-105
  at  5DIMES
in 4h

I'm recommending a play on Cleveland State minus the points on Friday night. Valpo blew a big opportunity against a very beatable opponent on Wednesday night. The Crusaders had their chance to wrap-up the Horizon League title against a weak Detroit Titans' squad, but laid a serious egg and lost 63-60. Valpo has made over 46% of their shots this season, but made just 16-of-46 on Wednesday night against a Titans' team that allows the opposition to nail 44.5% of their shots (260th). Valparaiso choked - simply put. Life gets tougher tonight for the Crusaders, playing on the road against a Cleveland State team that has something to play for, also. The Vikings are one of three teams at 11-4 in conference play, just one game behind Valpo for the best record in the Horizon League. They're 12-2 SU at home and the joint will be jumping with Wolstein Center front and center on ESPNU. The Vikings are also in revenge after suffering a 2-point loss at Valpo earlier this season. Cleveland State had a chance, losing by only a bucket, despite making just 36% of their FGA, including 28% from behind the arc. The Crusaders had a big opportunity on Wednesday and failed. Tonight, I expect CSU to take advantage in the final regular season contest. I'm laying the points with Cleveland State on Friday night. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.


Pick released on Feb 27 at 10:28 am

NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings
San Antonio Spurs
-7-115
  at  BMAKER
in 4h

Play Against home underdogs  like SACRAMENTO after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, having a winning 25% to 40% win percentage on the season. What this NBA system has proved is a below average team has a game in which they really overachieve, reality comes calling and they are just 8-27 ATS the next time out the last five years. 

My Top Plays are 78-40, 66.1%, up +3362 SU units, I'm a Sensational 44-18 in the NHL. Huge WINNING Weekend Ahead, Consider 3-Day Pass!


Pick released on Feb 27 at 11:35 am

NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
+3½-108
  at  PINNACLE
in 1h

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Indiana Pacers +3.5

The betting public is all over the Cleveland Cavalliers right now.  They have won 18 of their last 20 games overall and are playing the best basketball in the NBA.  However, they are only 3.5-point favorites tonight over the Indiana Pacers despite the heavy action from the betting public.

Oddsmakers will gladly let the public keep betting the Cavaliers.  This has actually been a reverse line movement as it opened at Cleveland -5, and it's currently down to -3.5 even with the public all over Cleveland.  That's an obvious sign that the big money is on the Pacers, and I can see why.

For starters, Cleveland is in a terrible spot tonight.  It is in a huge letdown spot off its 110-99 win over the Warriors last night.  It is also a very tired team right now as it will be playing the second of a back-to-back and its 5th game in 8 days.  There aren't many tougher situations in the NBA than that.

Making matters worse for the Cavaliers is that they are expected to be without starting point guard Kyrie Irving, who suffered a shoulder injury against the Warriors.  Irving is averaging 21.7 points and 5.2 assists this season, and the Cavaliers clearly will miss their floor general.

The Pacers come into this game playing their best basketball of the season.  They are 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.  Their only two losses during this stretch came at home to San Antonio (93-95) and at Oklahoma City (92-105).  They have beaten Golden State (104-98), Cleveland (103-99) and Detroit (114-109) at home, while also going on the road and topping Charlotte (103-102), New Orleans (106-93) and Philadelphia (106-95) during this stretch.

As you can see, they are one of only two teams to beat the Cavaliers in Cleveland's past 20 games.  Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Cleveland is 3-11 ATS in road games off a home game this season.  Indiana is 11-2 ATS in home games when playing 4 or less games in 10 days over the past two seasons.  The Pacers come into this game on two days' rest and will be ready to go.  Bet Indiana Friday.

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Pick released on Feb 27 at 12:06 pm

NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
Miami Heat vs. New Orleans Pelicans
Total
196 ov-109
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

 

FREE FRIDAY NBA

Courtesy of Tony George Sports

 

Miami @ New Orleans

Antonio Davis being out is a big blow to the Pelicans, however Miami needed OT to beat lowly Orlando in their last game, and no Bosh is a big blow to Miami.  Both teams playing with one hand behind their back without their best players on the floor.  New Orleans just beat Miami by 14 points as a 2 point pup on the Feb. 21, and now are a home dog?  This line perplexes me and scares me because it looks to good to be true, and that usually is a go against scenario.  I have been impressed by the play of Quincy Pondexter for the Pelicans.  Both teams are using plug in players , and Miami has signed some players on short contracts while they find some chemistry and the trade getting Dragic is paying off so far, he has averaged 14 ppg the last 3 games and Chalmers has even stepped up for the Heat.

All that said, there are no explosive players on the floor and Miami is a serious UNDER bet on the road this year going 21-9 ATS on the unders on the road, and only scoring 92 ppg on the road this season.  BUT HANG ON BOYS!  All trends usually reverse and even out at some point, and looking at the recent trend angles, this series has OVER written all over it, as well as tonight's contest. 

These two scored 196 in their last game 6 days ago, the Over in this series at New Orleans is 9-2 the last 11, and 5-1 on the OVER in this series last 6 meetings overall, Miami is 4-0 on Overs after a ATS loss, and New Orleans is 7-0 on Overs their last 7 games on 1 day rest, and they also are 5-1 on Overs in their last 6 games overall.  New Orleans offense is clicking even without Davis their last 5 games, and while I see a tight game tonight, I also see both teams exceeding the 196 Las Vegas  line and I have this one to come in at 201 on my power ratings which is a 5 point overlay.  The side play in my opinion is a coin toss.

FREE Pro Pick on the OVER 196 – Griz / Hat tonight.

 

 

Off a rare loss last night and on a solid 8-3 run headed into the weekend with all hoops plays, Cash out my Totals Best bet Winner tonight in the NBA on TGIF.  Get paid twice today!


Pick released on Feb 27 at 01:16 pm

NBA  |  Feb 27, 2015
Utah Jazz vs. Denver Nuggets
Utah Jazz
-4½-110
  at  BMAKER
in 3h


The Free NBA System Play for Friday is on the Utah Jazz. Game 821 at 9:05 eastern. The Jazz are off a an upset loss at home vs the Lakers and that sets them up in a nice system that has covered 10 of 11 times since 2007. We are playing on certain road teams that are off a home favored loss at -5 or more and a spread loss of 10 or more vs an opponent like Denver that failed to cover by 7 or more points as a home dog. Denver has packed it in and has lost 15 of the last 17. They are 0-7 ats at home off a dog loss and have failed to cover 14 of 18 off a loss of 10+ points. They are just 2-8 ats in Division play. Utah has covered 3 of 4 off a favored loss and 6 of 8 in division play. they are 4-0 ats of late in the series and are 14-3 ats with home loss revenge. For all the reasons above we will recommenced the Utah Jazz. On Friday we have another powerful Triple play card led by the 21-0 Horizon League power play on ESPN U. In the NBA a Double system Dominator and a Big Blowout system.  Jump on now and start the weekend off big with this Exclusive data  that wont be seen anywhere else. For the free play. Take Utah. RV


Pick released on Feb 27 at 01:18 pm