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Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Rangers/Rays UNDER 7.5

The Texas Rangers have scored 0, 0 and 2 runs in losing three of their last four games to the Seattle Mariners to close out the season.  I think they were feeling the pressure of trying to win the AL West and did not respond very well at the plate.

It won't get any easier for them today against Tyler Glasnow, who is 10-7 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.083 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 4-3 with a 3.18 ERA and 0.882 WHIP in 10 home starts.  Glasnow owns the Rangers, going 3-0 with a 0.46 ERA and 0.559 WHIP in three career starts against them while allowing just one earned run and 11 base runners in 19 2/3 innings with 26 K's.

Jordan Montgomery has been the ace of this Texas staff this season.  He is 10-11 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in 32 starts this season, including 3-6 with a 2.73 ERA and 1.112 WHIP in 15 road starts.  Montgomery has really come up clutch down the stretch in these big games, going 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing just 2 earned runs in 20 innings.

The UNDER is 4-0-1 in Rangers last five games overall.  Runs will be hard to come by against these two starting pitchers in Game 1 of this series.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

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The under is 6-4 over the last 10 meetings. The Rangers struggled down the stretch scoring runs and it cost them. They were shut out in the final game of the season which cost them the division. Over the last five games that Texas played, the games averaged just 5.2 total runs a game. The Rays, things have been a bit more boisterous, especially with their own offense scoring nine runs or more in three of their last five. playoff games seem to be more tightly played, especially the opening games. This is a good pitching matchup and I look for this game to go under the number.

Play on the UNDER. This is a free play.

1* Free Sharp Play on Rangers

1* FREE PLAY Rangers RUNLINE.

In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to recommend a second look at Texas on the runline option. Texas is the only AL club to actually score more runs and hit more homers than the Rays. The "form" of these two starting pitchers also clearly favors the visitors, as Jordan Montgomery (10-11, 3.20 ERA), was 2-0 with a 0.67 ERA over his final four starts for the Rangers, while Tyler Glasnow (10-7, 3.53) finished 3-3 with a pedestrian 4.86 ERA over his final six starts. Consider laying the price for the Rangers on the RUNLINE option in Game 1!

AAA Sports

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR TUESDAY, 10/3:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Monday is with Over the Total in the game between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Minnesota Vikings listing both starting pitchers Kevin Gausman and Pablo Lopez. Toronto (89-73) has lost two games in a row going into the postseason after their 12-8 loss at home to Tampa Bay on Sunday. The Blue Jays have played 6 of their last 9 games Over the Total after a game where 17 or more combined runs were scored. They have played 51 of their last 73 road games Over the Total with the Total set at 7 or lower. Minnesota (87-75) had their two-game winning streak snapped with a 3-2 loss in Colorado against the Rockies with the bullpen blowing a save opportunity. The Twins have played 17 of their last 25 games Over the Total after a blown save in their last game. They have played 23 of their last 34 games Over the Total after a game where neither team scored more than three runs. Take the Over listing both starting pitchers. Best of luck— Frank.

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Frank is on an 11 and 17 (65%) All-Sports run plays after a WINNING 3-0/2-0-1/2-1 Sunday in the NFL with featured plays (depending on one’s number with the Kansas City-NY Jets Under last night)! Frank is also on a 31 of 45 (69%) NFL TOTALS TEAR with featured 25*/20*/10* plays — and now he furthers his 65 of 98 (66%) NFL Totals featured plays mark with tonight’s Seattle-NY Giants’ O/U winner! CA$H-IN Frank’s Monday Discounted Deal — IT’S A STEAL!

Tuesday MLB Free play. My selection is on Arizona over Milwaukee at 7:05 pm et on Tuesday.

The Diamondbacks would be right to play the 'nobody believes in us' card as they enter the postseason as decided underdogs against the Brewers. While Milwaukee has plenty of playoff experience, it hasn't enjoyed a ton of success. Rookie Brandon Pfaadt will take the ball for Arizona in Game 1 on Tuesday. He'll have the advantage of having never faced any of the Brewers current hitters before. While few were playing much attention, Pfaadt did guide the D'Backs to some key victories down the stretch, recording a 2.94 ERA and 1.17 WHIP over his final three regular seaosn outings. Brewers ace Corbin Burnes pitched well in his last two starts but Milwaukee is just an even 6-6 in his last 12 outings. Here at home he wasn't exactly his dominant self this season, logging a 4.27 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 14 starts. Arizona's bullpen pitched effectively down the stretch to help the team sneak into the playoffs. Note that D'Backs relievers combined to post a 2.61 ERA and 0.87 WHIP over the last seven games of the regular season. Take Arizona.

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #402 Minnesota Golden Gophers over Michigan Wolverines (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 7 NBC) Michigan will be playing their second straight road games and I do not see them blowing out another conference opponent. Michigan had a perfect start last week against Nebraska, but Minnesota will try and grind the clock on them and keep the scoring in the forties. Minnesota has been scoring points in their last two games and if they reach the twenties in this game, that should be enough to get the cover. Michigan has not looked great against subpar opponents and playing in back-to-back road games will not allow them the cover in this night game at Minnesota. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring MLB Playoff Picks, WNBA Finals Picks, and all the other sports including daily props. Get in on the action now and let 52 years of handicapping experience work for you.