Free Sports Picks from Top Betting Handicappers - Best Bets of the Day

1% GOLD RUSH on Patriots +1½

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Kansas City minus the points over Los Angeles at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The Chargers got the better of the Chiefs in their Week 1 matchup in Brazil and we won with Los Angeles in its overtime triumph over Philadelphia earlier this week. With that being said, I won't hesitate to go the other way and fade the Chargers on Sunday as they travel on a short week against a desperate Chiefs squad. It seems like we've been referring to Kansas City as 'desperate' for months now. It still holds plenty of truth though as the Chiefs try to avoid missing the playoffs for the first time in an eternity. I like the way this one sets up for Kansas City as it catches Los Angeles in a clear letdown spot and starting a banged-up quarterback in Justin Herbert. Credit the Chargers for gutting out a win on Monday night, but it certainly wasn't pretty and that one easily could have gone the other way. The Chiefs ran into an elite Texans defense last Sunday night and predictably couldn't get anything going in yet another crushing defeat. I think we'll see QB Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City offense silence the doubters for at least one week as they pick up a much-needed victory, by margin, at home. Take Kansas City.

New York Jets vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Analysis
The Jacksonville Jaguars (9-4 SU) are riding high atop the AFC South, but this matchup against the struggling New York Jets (3-10 SU) presents a potential trap game. While the Jaguars are favored by a hefty 13.5 points at home, I believe the line is inflated, making the Jets an intriguing underdog play. Let's break it down.
Team Records and ATS Trends

Jets: 7-6 ATS overall, including 3-2 ATS on the road and a strong 5-3 ATS in their last eight games. Despite their dismal straight-up record, they've been competitive against the spread, especially lately.
Jaguars: 8-5 ATS overall, with an impressive 5-1 ATS at home and a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last four outings. Jacksonville has been dominant, winning four straight games, including a statement victory over the division-rival Indianapolis Colts last week.

The Jets, meanwhile, were blown out by the Miami Dolphins in their most recent game, extending their playoff drought to 15 consecutive years—the longest active streak across the four major North American sports leagues.
Injury Report

Jets: Running back Breece Hall is questionable and quarterback Tyrod Taylor is listed as out. Brady Cook will get the start, which could impact their already sputtering offense.
Jaguars: No major injuries reported, giving them a clear health advantage.

Offensive and Defensive Struggles
The Jets have been abysmal on both sides of the ball. Over their last four games, they've averaged just 15.3 points per game (PPG), highlighting their offensive woes. Defensively, they've been equally vulnerable, allowing 20 or more points in each of their last six contests.
In stark contrast, the Jaguars have been explosive, averaging 30.8 PPG over the same four-game span. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has been sharp, but notably, he's never been installed as this large of a favorite in his career, which could add pressure in an unfamiliar role.
Situational Factors and Letdown Potential
Jacksonville's recent surge is undeniable, but this screams "letdown spot." Coming off an emotional high from their big win over the Colts, the Jaguars might overlook a Jets team that's been eliminated from playoff contention and has little to play for beyond pride. Adding to the lookahead factor, Jacksonville faces a tough road trip to Denver next week, followed by another divisional clash in Indianapolis—games that could demand more focus.
Despite their record, the Jets have shown some ATS heat with that 5-3 mark in their last eight. My betting model also favors New York here, projecting value on the underdog side.
Line Movement and Value
The lookahead line was Jaguars -9.5, but it opened at -8.5 and has ballooned to -13.5, likely due to Jacksonville's hot streak and New York's blowout loss. This movement feels overreactive, creating a "hold your nose" underdog opportunity. I'd advise shopping for the best number—aim for +13.5 or better if possible.
Final Pick
In a game where the spread seems too wide for a Jaguars team in potential regression mode, I'm backing the Jets +13.5. It's not pretty, but the value is there.

Let's cash some tickets!

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Chicago Bears -7.5

Note: My favorite way to play the Bears is in a 6-point teaser at -1.5 with the Patriots +7.5 or better at -125 or better.  Currently widely available at the time of this writing on Friday.

My lone concern with the Bears is this is a sandwich spot in between the loss to Green Bay last week and with the Packers on deck next week.  However, they trail the Packers by 0.5 games in the division now, so if they lose and the Packers win in Denver next week's game won't be for first place.  So they have to be motivated and focused to handle their business first, and I think they will be this week.

The Bears have gotten healthier the last couple weeks on defense and have proven what they are capable of when that's the case.  Two weeks ago they pulled the 24-15 upset in Philadelphia as 7-point dogs.  They dominated that game with 425 total yards while outgaining the Eagles by 108 yards.  They rushed for 281 yards on a very good Philadelphia defense.

The Bears were nearly as impressive in defeat last week losing 28-21 in Green Bay with a chance to win the game late before a INT in the end zone.  They were likely going for 2 and the win had they scored.  They were only outgained by 22 yards by the Packers, who I believe to be a Top 5 team in the NFL right now.

Leading receiver Rome Odunze (44 receptions, 661 yards, 6 TD) sat out the Green Bay game with a foot injury.  He is expected back this week.  The Bears would be at full strength on offense if he returns as they are now one of the healthiest teams in the NFL.  They have three LB's back from injury that they didn't have earlier this season in TJ Edwards, Noah Sewell and Ruben Hyppolite II.  They have CB's Jaylon Johnson and Tyrique Stevenson back from injury now, and CJ Gardner-Johnson has been a great addition.  The only starter they are missing on defense is CB Kyler Gordon.

As much as I like the Bears right now due to their improved health, this play is more of a fade of the Cleveland Browns than anything.  Shedeur Sanders won his first start in Las Vegas against the hapless Raiders.  But their last two games were very concerning, and it's not exactly his fault, it's just that everyone around him is going down.  It's like he's being set up to fail.

The Browns lost 26-8 to the 49ers at home two weeks ago and were upset 31-29 by the Titans as 3.5-point home favorites last week.  Now they must hit the road where they are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS this season while getting outscored by 12.3 points per game even when you factor in that 14-point win in Vegas.

The injury report is brutal for the Browns, especially on offense.  They will be down at least three starters on the offensive line in RT Jack Conklin, RG Wyatt Teller and C Ethan Pocic.  LG Joel Bitonio is questionable, and LT Dawand Jones is on IR.  So they would be down the five starters on the O-Line they expected to have at the beginning of the season if Bitonio cannot go.

TE David Njoku suffered an injury last week that will keep him out this week.  WR Cedric Tillman and WR Malachi Corley are questionable, while backup RB Dylan Sampson is out.  Defensively, the Browns haven't been the same since DT Maliek Collins went on IR.  They are much more susceptible to the run without him, as evidenced by allowing 184 rushing yards to the Titans last week.  DT Adin Huntington and CB Denzel Ward are out, and DT Mason Graham is questionable as well.  They have one of the worst injury reports in the NFL going into this week.  Bet the Bears Sunday.

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1* Free Pick on Giants -2½

Sunday card has 4 big plays including a TOP Red Zone release in Early in AFC East, the NFC South Game of the Year, 14-0 Packers vs Broncos system plus 100% SNF. There is also NBA and CBB. Comp play below.

The NFL Comp play is on the Eagles at 1 eastern. The Eagles look to bounce back off a 3 game losing streak and a tough OT Loss on MNF to the Chargers. Now they get the remedy, a home game against the Raiders. Rob notes that home favorites of 13 or less are 8-0 to the spread off a road favored loss where they had 4 or more turnovers and are taking on a team off a home dog loss. The Raiders were down 17 late in the 4th when Denver took their foot off the gas in a 7 point win that was much worse than the final score. The Eagles also fit another system that has cashed all but one time since 1990 for home favorites in non division games that are off a Monday night football road favored loss if they rushed for more than 70 yards and lost the game prior to MNF and they are taking on a team off a home loss. Look for Philly to coast to a cover. GL Rob V-

SU:8-0 

AT:  8-0

Eagles  VS  Raiders  home  -12.5

Rocketman Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 12-14-25

Buffalo @ New England  (1:00 PM EST)
Play On:  Buffalo -1

The Buffalo Bills travel to New England to take on the Patriots on Sunday afternoon.  

#455/456 ASA FREE PLAY ON Under 42.5 Points – Arizona Cardinals vs Houston Texans, Sunday at 1 PM ET - Texans defense is elite and clearly one of the best in the NFL. They have allowed 20 or less points in 11 of 13 games this season. The Texans give up the fewest total yards per game at 266 YPG and they allowed just 4.9 YPP. They allowed a league low 1.37 points per drive and Houston leads the NFL in defensive success rate vs the pass. That’s bad news for an Arizona offense that passes on over 65% of the offensive snaps, 2nd most in the NFL. The Cardinal offense was on a decent roll after QB Brissett took over, but they’ve now been held to 17 points in back to back games. We don’t expect them to reach that number on Sunday. Brissett will be under pressure in this game as Arizona allows over an 8% sack rate which is 26th in the NFL. Houston’s defense is 6th in the NFL in sack rate and sacks per game. Houston relies on their defense and their offense just does enough to win games. The Texans are outside the top 20 in both YPG and YPP on offense and they’ve been held to 20 points or less in 8 games this season. Arizona’s defensive numbers don’t look great but they’ve faced a number of high level offenses including 6 top 10 offenses in their last 8 games. Houston’s offense stays conservative and does just enough to win here while shutting down the Cardinal offense. Under is the play.

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Chargers/Chiefs UNDER 41

The Key: Both the Chiefs and Chargers are really hurting along the offensive line right now.  Justin Herbert not only is playing with a broken hand, but he is playing behind one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL.  He was under pressure on 70% of his drop backs last week against Philadelphia and he was sacked a season-high 7 times.  The Chiefs are down 3 starters on the offensive line in LT Simmons, RT Taylor and RG Smith.  They will also be without starting WR Hollywood Brown this week.  It's easy to see why both of these offenses are struggling.  But both teams are led by 2 of the best defenses in the NFL.  The Chiefs are 7th in scoring defense at 19.4 PPG and 9th in total defense at 303.7 YPG despite facing a very difficult schedule of opposing offenses.  The Chargers rank 4th in total defense at 282.2 YPG.  Temperatures will be in the teens Sunday in Kansas City and I just can't see Herbert and company sniffing 20 points.  This feels like a 20-17 or 20-13 type win for the Chiefs in the freezing cold.  Take the UNDER.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Houston Texans -9.5

The Houston Texans are 8-2 SU & 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall since a 0-3 start.  They now trail the Jaguars by just one game in the AFC South, so they cannot afford to take their foot off the gas now.  That's why I'm not concerned about it coming off three straight huge wins over the Bills, Colts and Chiefs with two of those on the road.  Now they get to let their hair down and take a big step down in class here against the Arizona Cardinals, who are one of the worst teams in the NFL in their current state.  The Cardinals have lost five straight and are 1-9 in their last 10 games.  They are coming off a 45-17 home loss to the Rams.  It was the 3rd time in 5 games they have given up at least 41 points.  Their defense has no hope with all they are missing due to injury.  And it's even worse on offense right now down two starting receivers in Marvin Harrison Jr. and Xavier Weaver, and down their two best backup receivers in Jones and Dortch.  They are down two starters on the offensive line in LT Paris Johnson Jr. and LG Evan Brown as well.  The Texans are fully healthy with the exception of SS Jaylen Reed, but they have plenty of depth there to make up for it.  Give me the Texans.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Juventus +160

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #483 Miami Dolphins over Pittsburgh Steelers (8:15p.m., Monday, December 15 ESPN) Just do not trust the Steelers to be consistent following their big win over Baltimore last Sunday. Miami is riding high winning 4 straight games, and I think they will be able to take this game down to the wire on Monday Night Football. Pittsburgh has a key injury on offense and if he is not 100% they are not the same team. The Dolphins won the last meeting with the Steelers, and I feel we will be on the correct side backing the underdog. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Card featuring top plays in basketball, hockey, and FCS Football.