Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Texas Tech -1.5
The Texas Tech Red Raiders are 7-1 in their last eight games overall with wins over Duke and BYU. Their lone loss came on the road at Houston in a 69-65 defeat as 7.5-point dogs. Houston is blowing the doors off everyone else right now.
After a soft non-conference schedule, the Baylor Bears have been exposed in Big 12 play. They have gone 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall with their lone win coming over Oklahoma State.
The Bears weren't even competitive in home losses to Iowa State by 10 and Houston by 22, as well as a road loss to Kansas by 18. They don't play defense and they don't rebound, which will be a big problem here against Texas Tech.
Baylor ranks 96th in adjusted defense and 307th in offensive rebound rate on defense. The Bears allow opponents to grab 34.1% of their own misses. Texas Tech is 34th in adjusted defense and 81st in offensive rebound rate, grabbing 34.2% of their own misses. The Red Raiders will dominate on the glass which will be the difference in this game. Bet Texas Tech Tuesday.
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