Free Sports Picks from Top Betting Handicappers - Best Bets of the Day

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Grizzlies -11½ -115

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Free Pick on Packers/Bears: over 46½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* Best Bet on Packers +1

No analysis provided.

1* Free Play on under 45½

1* on Packers +2

FREE PLAY on Packers/Bears under 45½

1* Free Play on Boise State -3 -110

Ricky's 1* play on SJ.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- San Jose is 4-2 in its last 6 games.

- Seattle is 1-4 in its last 5 games on the road.

- Seattle is 1-10 in its last 11 games.

Verdict: The value is on the Home favorite.

1% GOLD RUSH on Titans +3

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers: NFL Week Analysis
Team Records and Betting Trends
Both teams sit at .500 with 7-7 straight-up (SU) records, making this a pivotal clash in the NFC South standings. Tampa Bay has struggled against the spread (ATS), posting a 5-9 overall mark, including a dismal 1-7 ATS in their last eight games and 0-4 ATS in their last four. They've leaned toward overs with an 8-6 over/under (O/U). Carolina, conversely, has been more reliable ATS at 8-6 overall and 4-2 ATS at home, with a balanced 7-7 O/U.
Betting Lines and Movement
The line opened with Tampa Bay as 2.5-point favorites but has shifted to a consensus -3 across most books, indicating sharp money or public action on the Bucs. The total started at 44.5 and has risen to 45.5 at many sportsbooks, with some offering 46, suggesting expectations for increased scoring as bets come in. Keep monitoring—if it dips back to 2.5, that could present even better value on Carolina.
Recent Form and Context
This matchup carries massive divisional implications. Tampa Bay enters with extra rest following a Thursday Night Football loss to Atlanta, marking their second straight defeat after also falling to the Saints. They've dropped five of their last six games overall and failed to cover in their last four outings. Carolina, fresh off a loss to the Saints, has shown resilience, particularly at home where they recently upset the Rams.
Both squads are middling overall, but context matters. The Panthers have tightened up defensively since a blowout loss to Buffalo earlier in the season, allowing fewer points and playing with more cohesion.
Statistical Breakdown
Offensively, the Buccaneers average 23.4 points per game (PPG) and remain a high upside unit when healthy, capable of explosive outputs. Carolina lags at 18.9 PPG overall but elevates to 22.3 PPG in home games, where quarterback Bryce Young has thrived in the passing game.
Defensively, Tampa Bay surrenders 25.3 PPG and has been vulnerable against teams with competent aerial attacks— a potential exploit for Young. Carolina allows 22.6 PPG but has improved markedly post-Buffalo, making them stouter than the numbers suggest.
Matchup Analysis
Tampa Bay's offense is clicking with key players healthy, posing a threat to rack up points against Carolina's defense. However, their own defensive woes—especially against the pass—could be exposed by Young's home-field proficiency. The Panthers have proven reliable as betting underdogs, particularly at home, where they've covered well and shown grit.
Contrastingly, backing a slumping Buccaneers squad that's lost five of six and failed to cover repeatedly feels risky. Carolina has historically struggled as favorites but excels in the home underdog role, as evidenced by their recent win over the Rams. This setup favors a competitive, back-and-forth affair rather than a Bucs blowout.
Prediction and Betting Angle
In a toss-up between two average teams, we're siding with the home underdog. Back Carolina +3, with an eye on line movement—if it reverts to +2.5, that's prime territory. The Panthers' home form, defensive improvements, and Young's passing edge make them a strong play here. For added value, sprinkle on the Carolina moneyline (+130 or better implied); they have a legitimate shot to win outright and shake up the NFC South. Expect the total to climb further, but the spread value lies with the Panthers keeping it close—or pulling the upset.
Take Panthers +3

Let's cash some tickets!

Sunday NFL Headlines on an 18-7 run. TOP Early Red Zone release, along with Late Afternoon 16-1 6* Side and top total. 2X PERFECT SNF Game of the Month and NBA/CBB Hoops. NFL Comp play below

The NFL Comp play is on Minnesota at 1 eastern. The Vikings are in a nice 7-0 system that plays on road favorites with a .880 or less win percentage that rushed for less than 140 yards in a road dog win last week if the total is 41 or less and they are taking on a team off a home loss. The system is rare with just 7 games since 1990. The Vikings looked good in a road win at Dallas last week and now take on a NYG Team playing for a 1st round pick with just 2 wins thus far. The Vikings have put up 30+ in back to back weeks and have won 5 of the last 6 in the series. NY has lost the last 8 and has allowed 27 or more in each of the last 4 games. Look for the Vikings to get another cover here. GL Rob V-

SU:7-0 

ATS: 7-0 

Team: 26.0

Opp:11.7

Vikings  Giants   away-   -3             43.5

As the 2025 NFL season nears its conclusion, the Kansas City Chiefs are navigating uncharted waters, missing the playoffs for the first time since 2014, a period that predates Patrick Mahomes' arrival by three years and marks only the second year under head coach Andy Reid. The blow is compounded by Mahomes' season-ending torn ACL, abruptly halting a remarkable run of 10 consecutive playoff appearances, including three straight Super Bowl berths. This streak ranks as the second-longest in NFL history, behind only the New England Patriots' 11-year dominance from 2009 to 2019, and it was the league's active longest, surpassing the Buffalo Bills' six seasons. Now sitting at 6-8, the Chiefs have endured their most losses since the forgettable 2-14 campaign of 2012, their last losing season. Remarkably, seven of their eight defeats this year have come by a single score, ending a streak of 16 consecutive wins in such tight games. The disparity is stark: a 112-34 record in Mahomes' starts versus 10-8 without him. Looking ahead, Reid will be 68 next season, older than any coach to hoist the Lombardi Trophy, casting some doubt on immediate rebound prospects, though Mahomes could have ample chances in the latter stages of his career.

Despite the setbacks, Week 16 presents a prime betting opportunity for the Chiefs as 2.5-point road favorites against the Tennessee Titans, where Tennessee is receiving its fewest points as an underdog all season. This matchup highlights Kansas City's underlying strengths, as they remain one of just three teams league-wide ranking in the top 10 for yardage on both offense and defense. In contrast, the Titans languish in the bottom 10 in those categories, operating in a sluggish, self-induced haze. Tennessee's dismal 2-15 ATS record following away games against NFC opponents further tilts the scales. Reid's proven acumen shines here, boasting a 26-9 ATS mark on the road with sub-.500 teams throughout his career, suggesting the Chiefs are far from a lost cause.

Enter Gardner Minshew, the Chiefs' new quarterback, whose gunslinger mentality injects fresh energy. Minshew holds a flawless 4-0 straight-up and ATS record on the road when his team enters off back-to-back losses, precisely the situation at hand. This quirky stat underscores his potential to ignite a turnaround. While the Chiefs' long-term outlook carries uncertainty, this spot demands a measured approach rather than rash dismissal. The alignment of factors,KC's balanced metrics, Tennessee's woes, Reid's historical edge, and Minshew's niche success, makes laying under a FG with Kansas City a compelling choice for a hard-fought road cover and victory.

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Cleveland Browns +11

The Buffalo Bills used a ton of energy in coming back from a 21-0 deficit to beat the New England Patriots in their biggest game of the season last week.  I have to think there will be a natural letdown for the Bills this week after the nature of that comeback victory and what it meant for them.  The Cleveland Browns play much better at home than they do on the road, especially defensively.  The Browns only give up 18.8 points per game at home.  They actually have a better defense than the Bills, who have cluster injuries on the defensive line and in the secondary.  The Bills gave up 31 points to the Patriots and 34 to the Bengals the last two weeks.  Shedeur Sanders should get some help this week with a couple starters returning along the offensive line.  The Browns should be able to run the football on the Bills to take some pressure off of him as well.  The Bills have given up 246 rushing yards to the Patriots, 202 to the Bucs and 197 to the Dolphins in recent weeks.  Cleveland has just one home loss by more than 7 points all season.  Give me the Browns.

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1* Free Pick on Cardinals +3

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Detroit Lions -7

The Detroit Lions are 15-0 SU & 14-1 ATS in their last 15 games following a loss.  They are coming off a 41-34 loss in Los Angeles against what most believe is the best team in the NFL in the Rams.  The Lions are in must-win mode the rest of the way if they want to make the playoffs, and they will be putting their best foot forward this week against the Pittsburgh Steelers.

With Pittsburgh's win over Miami on Monday Night Football, the Steelers now have the assurance that they can afford to lose their next two games as long as they beat the Baltimore Ravens in Week 18 and still win the division.  Knowing they have that in the back of their minds, it wouldn't be surprising to see the Steelers fail to show up this week.

It's a short week for the Steelers as well after playing a very physical game with the Dolphins in the cold Monday night.  Injuries are starting to pile up for Pittsburgh as they will be without LB T.J. Watt, LB Nick Herbig and CB James Pierre on defense.  Their offensive line is a mess as they are already down LT Broderick Jones and swing tackle Calvin Anderson, who are both on IR.  They are down to a 4th-stringer at tackle, LG Isaac Seumalo is out with a triceps injury, and C Zach Frazier was held out of practice Thursday before getting a limited in Friday with a triceps injury as well.

The Lions are 5-2 SU & 4-3 ATS at home this season outscoring opponents by 11.6 points per game.  They were last seen beating Dallas 44-30 as 3.5-point home favorites.  Their offense is basically fully healthy right now and one of the best offenses in the NFL.  They rank 1st in scoring offense at 30.6 points per game, 4th in total offense at 379.9 yards per game and 1st at 6.4 yards per play.  They have been playing even better on this side of the ball since Dan Campbell took over play-calling duties.

I just don't think the Steelers are equipped to keep up in a shootout.  They rank 27th in total offense at 288.1 yards per game.  They have a very predictable offense that is all dink and dunk to tight ends and running backs, with the occasional big play to their only proven receiver in DK Metcalf sprinkled in.

The Lions have some injuries in their secondary, but the Steelers aren't the team that can exploit it.  And when you look at the numbers, the Lions have actually been the better defensive team this season.  Pittsburgh is 28th in total defense at 363.3 yards per game while Detroit is 21st at 337.9 yards per game.  The Steelers are one of the most fraudulent teams in the NFL, and they will get exposed by a much superior Lions team that simply wants it more this weekend.  Bet the Lions Sunday.

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1* NFL - Steelers/Lions FREE PICK on Steelers +7

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Patriots/Ravens OVER 48.5

The Key: These are 2 of the better offenses in the NFL right now largely due to how healthy they are.  The Patriots are scoring 27.3 PPG this year.  The Ravens have scored at least 22 points in 7 of their last 8 games overall.  The only game they didn't they had 5 turnovers against the Bengals to keep taking points off the board.  Both offenses are much healthier and better than both defenses.  The Patriots just yielded 35 points to the Bills last week and lost a lot of guys to injury in that game.  They will be without LB Robert Spillane, and DE Barmore, LB Landry, LCB Davis III and CB Jones are all questionable and have missed practice this week.  The Ravens will be without CB Awuzie, plus SS Hamilton and NT Jenkins are questionable.  Baltimore yielded 27 points to Pittsburgh and 32 to Cincinnati in 2 of its last 3 games.  There will be no wind or precipitation in Baltimore Sunday night so this should be a shootout.  Take the OVER.

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Monday's CFB Free Pick

PLAY ON: Washington State +1.5