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February 11, 2016

ASA

Game Details
Feb 11 '16, 8:30 PM in 14m
NCAA-B | Appalachian State vs Texas State
Play on: Texas State -4½ -102 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

ASA PLAY ON Texas State -4.5 over Appalachian State, Thursday at 8:30 PM ET

Texas State is happy to be at home.  They’ve spent much of the last 2 weeks on the road.  After playing 4 consecutive road games, TSU finally was able to play at home last Saturday.  The problem is, they played one of the top teams in the conference UT Arlington and lost by 12.  Texas State showed us something in that game.  They got down big trailing by 29 points in the 2nd half.  However, they battled back and made it respectable showing us this is a gritty team.  Now they get another shot at home against a team that is much more on their level.  App State comes in with a 6-17 record and we’re guessing a different mindset.  That’s because the Mountaineers lost both games of a 2 game homestand including an excruciating 1 point loss to La Monroe on Saturday.  Now going on the road we think it will be tough for this team to rally.  While App State will have problems focusing here, TSU will not.  This is a revenger for them.  They played one of their worst games of the season @ Appalachian State earlier this year and lost by 20.  The Mountaineers shot a whopping 62% from inside the arc and 81% from the FT line in that game.  The interesting thing is, TSU was actually favored by 3 in that game.  Now they are laying just a point or two more at home in a great revenge spot.  We’ll take Texas State here.

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Pick Released on Feb 11 at 04:21 pm View Archive
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Art Aronson

Game Details
Feb 11 '16, 8:35 PM in 19m
NHL | Stars vs Blackhawks
Play on: OVER 5.5 +112
Game Analysis

1* Free Play OVER Stars/Hawks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest. 

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Recent history: Both teams are coming off some pretty high-scoring affairs: Chicago lost to San Jose 2-0 last time out, but previous to that had won 5-4 in OT at Arizona, before hammering the Stars 5-1 in Dallas. The visitors will be looking to avenge that loss, note the Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in four straight games after having played to four straight UNDERs.

Antti Niemi: The former Blackhawks goaltender has a deplorable 4.02 GAA in losing seven consecutive starts in Chicago.

ATS statistics: Note that Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in in six of ten this season in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while Chicago has seen the total sail above the posted number in nine of 16 vs. teams with winning records.

The bottom line: A couple of the best in the West going head to head in this one, it was a high-scoring shootout when they got together last week and all signs do indeed point to another goal-fest; consider a second look at the OVER in this one.

AAA Sports

Pick Released on Feb 10 at 06:46 pm View Archive
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Jimmy Boyd

Game Details
Feb 11 '16, 9:00 PM in 44m
NCAA-B | Iowa vs Indiana
Play on: Indiana -2½ -102 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

Free Pick on Indiana -

The Hoosiers come into this game off an ugly 63-68 loss at Penn State, which I believe is a big reason why we are seeing such great value here with Indiana at basically a pick'em at home agains the Hawkeyes. Iowa has been one of the biggest surprises in the country this season, but this is no easy task for Iowa on the road against a Hoosiers team that is a perfect 13-0 at home this season. 

All 4 of Iowa's losses have come on the road, including a recent loss on 1/28 at Maryland. The Hawkeyes lost 68-74 to the Terrapins as a 5.5-point underdog, yet are only a 2.5-point dog on the road against the Hoosiers. That speaks volumes to the value we are getting with Indiana, who simply doesn't get the respect they deserve. 

The Hoosiers are 27-11 ATS in their last 38 home games with a line of +3 to -3, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 after 15+ games against a top caliber team that is outscoring opponents by 12+ points/game and 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games after 15+ games against strong offensive teams scoring 77+ points/game. Take Indiana! 

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Pick Released on Feb 11 at 10:30 am View Archive
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Dave Price

Game Details
Feb 11 '16, 9:00 PM in 44m
NCAA-B | Oregon vs California
Play on: California 0 -110 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

Dave's Thursday Free Play:

1* on California PK

The Key: The California Golden Bears want revenge from a tough 65-68 loss at Oregon as 3.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season on January 6.  They should have their revenge at home this time around considering the Bears simply do not lose at home.  In fact, California is 14-0 at home this season with an average margin of victory of 15.8 points per game.  It has gone 5-0 at home in Pac-12 play this season with wins over Colorado by 14, Utah by 13, Arizona State, Arizona and Stanford by 15.  Take California.

Dave finished as the #1 Ranked Capper Overall in 2012 by a LANDSLIDE! He is riding a 2252-1942 Overall Run that has his $1,000/game investors up $86,090! Dave also finished ranked as the #4 NCAAB Capper in 2012-13! He has put together a 322-259 NCAAB Run over the long haul as well as a 73-53 Run on NCAAB 7* top plays! Come get your hands on his 7* FSU/Syracuse ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* for only $39.95 to receive his favorite play Thursday! Check out the UNBEATEN 100% Angle in his game report before unloading on his easy winner! Dave's selection is guaranteed or tomorrow's NCAAB picks are FREE!

Pick Released on Feb 11 at 01:43 pm View Archive
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Mike Lundin

Game Details
Feb 11 '16, 9:00 PM in 44m
NCAA-B | Iowa vs Indiana
Play on: Iowa +2 -105 at BMaker
Game Analysis

#CBB Free Pick from Mike Lundin
Play: Iowa Hawkeyes
Rating: 5*

This looks like a good spot to back the Iowa Hawkeyes on the road at Indiana Hoosiers Thursday night. Iowa is sitting top of the Big 10 standings and has won 12 of its last 13 games and three in a row. It's 4-1 ATS in its last five overall and 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games against teams with winning records. The Hawkeyes' won 77-63 at Indiana in the last meeting on March 3 last year to end a three-game skid in the series. They've covered the spread in 16 of the last 21 meetings overall and are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings at Indiana. The Hoosiers were off a pair of wins before falling 68-63 at Penn State last Saturday, the same PSU team Iowa had pummeled 73-49 earlier in the week. Iowa has a better defense and a better bench, and I like the Hawkeyes in tonight's Big 10 matchup. 

Note that: 
- Mike Lundin has lost back-to-back CBB plays, but he's still on an INSANE 15-5 RUN with College Basketball picks. He's off a winning day on the pro hardwood to improve to 57-39 L96 NBA selections, and he has a ***SPECIAL PRICED*** NBA 2-Pack ($20) locked and loaded for Thursday as well as an NHL total. A Top Rated 10* CBB pick is to be added to Thursday's card, so sign up for a 1 Day All Sports All Access Pass now to make sure you get all Mike's winning picks Thursday. 

Pick Released on Feb 11 at 02:23 am View Archive
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Jamie Michaels

Game Details
Feb 11 '16, 9:00 PM in 44m
NCAA-B | Oregon vs California
Play on: Oregon 0 -102 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

1* Free Pick on Oregon pk

The #11 Oregon Ducks (20-4, 9) have at times looked inconsistent, winning big games against top teams and losing to bottom-half inner-conference rivals. But they are riding a 6-game winning streak and face 4 of their final 5 games against the bottom half of the Pac-12, starting with their trip to California. The Golden Bears (15-8, 5-5) are undefeated at home, with wins to then #12 Arizona and #21 Utah. They have lost 5 of their last 8 games, with their 3 wins coming at home by an average of 3.7 points, including the 1-point upset over Arizona. It was their second game without leading scorer Tyrone Williams who is out with a broken hand. Williams scored 16 points with 6 rebounds and an assist in a 65-68 loss with the Ducks on January 6. The Ducks will have to do a better job of containing Jaylen Brown who now leads the Golden Bears with 15.8 points per game and racked up 20 in their first meeting. The Ducks average 78.1 points per game, but are scoring over 80 points during their 10-1 winning streak. Moreover, their defense is only allowing opponents to score 67.4 per game. Cal’s defense is right there at 66.7 points allowed per game, but offensively, they are scoring 74.3 and averaging only 69.8 during their recent 3-5 slump. Haas Pavilion is a tough place to play, but this is a case of 2 teams trending in opposite directions, and I think we see the Ducks hand the Golden Bears their first loss of the season in front of the home crowd. Take Oregon for the win!

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Pick Released on Feb 11 at 11:12 am View Archive
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Tony Stoffo

Game Details
Feb 11 '16, 11:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Oregon State vs Stanford
Play on: OVER 137 -105
Game Analysis

Oregon State’s rebounding margin of minus-7.5 in conference games is last in the Pac-12. The Beavers were outrebounded 46-29 in a 78-72 loss to the Cardinal on Jan. 6. Oregon State forward Daniel Gomis is expected to miss his third straight game due to a shin stress fracture. The Over is 7-0 in Oregon State's last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 18-8 in last 26 overall and 11-5 in the Beavers' last 16 vs. Pacific-12.

Stanford ranks 11th in rebounding in the Pac 12 at minus-5.9. Forward Michael Humphrey has averaged 9.7 points and 6.2 rebounds in his last 13 games. He played just two minutes in last Saturday’s 76-61 loss to Cal due to a bruised thigh. The Over is 8-0 in Stanford's last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record, 4-1 in last 5 games following a straight up loss and 4-1 in the Cardinals' last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Head to Head the Over is 9-0 last 9 meetings.

Take the Over for your Free Play

Pick Released on Feb 11 at 11:57 am View Archive
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Teddy Davis

Game Details
Feb 11 '16, 11:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Oregon State vs Stanford
Play on: Stanford -2½ -103 at 5Dimes
Game Analysis

Stanford is coming into this game with 3 consecutive losses, but all 3 of those were on road and they will be motivated here for a big bounce back.  Oregon St has won 2 in a row with both those being @ home vs Utah by only 2 and Colorado by only 4.  Those games could have gone the other way pretty easily.  Oregon St has yet to win a road conference game and I see no reason why that would change tonight.  Oregon St is just 3-13 ATS L16 road games vs a team with a winning home record.  

Pick Released on Feb 11 at 01:05 pm View Archive
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February 12, 2016

Red Dog Sports

Game Details
Feb 12 '16, 2:00 PM in 17h
Soccer | AC Ajaccio vs Clermont Foot
Play on: Draw +212 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

draw +212

Take the draw when Ajaccio plays Clermont on Friday. These two teams are located in France. I think we see a 0-0 or 1-1 final. The total is set at 2 so they are expecting a low score.

Ajaccio 1

Clermont 1

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Pick Released on Feb 10 at 01:25 pm View Archive
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Marc Lawrence

Game Details
Feb 12 '16, 6:00 PM in 21h
NCAA-B | Princeton vs Cornell
Play on: Cornell +8½ -105 at BMaker
Game Analysis

Play - Cornell.

Edges - Big Red: 10-2-1 ATS home off a loss of 20 or more points. Tigers: the visiting teams 2-8 ATS in this series. With Princeton eyeing up a bigger battle with Columbia tomorrow night, we recommend a 1* play on Cornell.  Thank you and good luck as always.

> Marc’s red-hot hand on the hardwood continues Friday night with another 10* College Hoops Play in a 100% ATS perfect winning situation.  Get it now and win good again with Marc tonight!

Pick Released on Feb 11 at 06:46 pm View Archive
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