Free play on the match taking place in Brazil between Joinville and Sao Paulo. I think we see a 1-1 final score.
Sao Paulo 1
1* on the draw at +213
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Play on Game #148 Arizona Wildcats (9/03/2015)
This is a huge mismatch for Texas- San Antonio in their first game of the season. UTSA only returns 6 starters this season. I will also note that this offense only threw for 5 TD's last season. They lose ALL of their starting wide receivers and now the leading receivers on the team are their tight end and running back. The new quarterback will not have much time in the pocket in this game as the Arizona pass rush will be fierce (Scooby Wright for Arizona was PAC 12 DPOY last season with 14 sacks and 15 TFL). The UTSA offensive line lost 179 career starts after last year and now they have only have 2 offensive linemen that have started more than one game. Arizona has a HUGE advantage at the line of scrimmage in this game. On defense, UTSA returns ZERO defensive linemen and also lose 110 starts in the secondary. Arizona returns 85% of their offense from last season and have 2 transfers ready to step in on the offensive line.
UTSA played @ Arizona in 2013 and were listed as a 24.5 road dog and Arizona won 38-13, barely covering the spread. The spread for this game is about 7 points more but the difference is that UTSA had 18 returning starters in 2013 and now have only 6. The other difference is this is Rich-Rod's 4th year as the Arizona head coach and now his recruits are fitting into the spread offense and they are even more high-powered.
Arizona is led by QB Anu Solomon who shined last season as a freshmen. Arizona scored 42 or more points in 5 games so obviously they have the offensive firepower. I will also note they opened the season last year with a big 58-13 win vs. UNLV as a 23.5 point home favorite. They then traveled on the road to play UTSA where they only won 26-23. Playing on the road, they still outgained UTSA by 105 yards in Solomons 1st career start on the road. Solomon is back at home for this game and in his 2nd year with the offense, look for a lot of points to be put on the board from the Wildcats.
Arizona will remember the close game from last season and will be highly motivated to step on the gas early and often in this one. This game has 'Blowout' written all over it. I know this spread is big, but I think we will see a final score in the 52-13 range. I will say that Arizona will have this spread covered by at least a touchdown and even a late score by UTSA will not make a difference. Arizona -31.5 is definitely worth a closer look on Thursday Night.
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The Bears of 2014 were a rabble and they're now significantly worse with key players such as Brandon Marshall and (the oft injured but talented) Charles Tillman, as well as a host of role players now gone. They have a new head coach and a QB in Jay Cutler who throws picks regularly. If you are a Bears supporter and thought last season was bad, strap yourself in because you aint seen nothing yet!
The Packers high octane offense will be ready to roll again this season and we don't need to say a lot about them - they should chalk up 12-13 wins and win the NFC North again. Rodgers is arguably the best QB in the game and the fact that the Packers should have made the Superbowl last season should see them very motivated. Games against the weaker sides like Chicago will be important and this one should be pretty one sided.
Take the Packers -6 points here.
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Western Kentucky has nine starters back on defense– a defense that ranked 111th against the run, 121st against the pass and 120th in total yards per game allowed (128 teams ). So having those 9 starters back, from that type of unit may not necessarily be a good thing. HC Derek Mason has placed the Commodores dead last in the conference according to alot of pundits. But Im not sold on the fact that the Commodores are that bad of a team. I know their opponents in game 1 of their non conference schedule Western Kentucky is one one of the most explosive College Football teams in the nation behind Brandon Doughty, but Im betting the Commodores 2nd year 3-4 defense will improve enough under Masons tutelage to slow down this monster attack. Remember Vandy has a defensive front seven that returns five starters and they all play tenacious smash mouth football that is contagious to the rest of D . Yes, I know Vandy has alot of question marks on offense, but even the most pedestrian attack has been able to slice and dice the Toppers D in the past, and until they show improvement Im betting against them.
Play on Vanderbilt to cover 1/2 unit comp selection
Last season I finsihed my College Football Camapign 4th overall in the nation, and on a 86-56 61% run and Im expecting another viable season in 2015-16.
Play on: Oklahoma State (137) -22 over Central Michigan
With issues at quarterback last season no one in Stillwater thought frosh QB Mason Rudolph would lead the Cowboys to two huge wins at the end of the season vs. hated OU and Washington in the Cactus Bowl, but he did. Oklahoma State shows with 16 starters, but they did lose Roland and Hill their top running tandem. The rest of the skill set is loaded, so once the newcomers carrying the pigskin become acclimated the offensive attack should once again become a dangerous product every week. On defense the Cowboys finished ranked #91 in total defense, and clearly need to improve that side of the ball to become a major player in conference. Six units on last year’s schedule scored 35 or more points. But, this time around they are more experienced, and don’t open with Florida State (31-37) as they did in 2014. Again, critical will be a defense that allowed 5.8 yards per play last season, and their projected improvement.
Central Michigan brings back just 10 starters from a 7-6 season, have QB Cooper Rush (3,157) returning with great experience under his belt. However, the Chips have a new HEAD COACH John Bonamego. He brings two decades of experience from the coaching ranks. In the NFL he was an assistant with the Jaguars, Packers and Saints. In CFB he tendered at Maine, Lehigh and Army, while playing for Central Michigan in college. Because of the coaching move there were changes in some of the assistants. As far as the schedule, the Chips have done very well inside their home openers, but as a sampling the last four were Chattanooga (20-16), New Hampshire (24-21), SE Missouri State (38-27) and South Carolina State (21-6). Obviously, Oklahoma State is a major step up in class. What will be tested is the CMU defense that finished #29 nationally allowing just 355.5 yards per game last season. In addition, they have lost 6 starters and a projected player is lingering with a leg injury. Pending weather conditions in Michigan the Cowboys should be able to strike often against the depleted opposition.
In the last seven games of 2014 the Cowboys were booked as an underdog at the Westgate Super Book on the Las Vegas Strip. OSU laid double-digits four times last season splitting 2-2 ATS. Central Michigan shows 1-5 ATS L6 at home and 3-13 ATS in September, while the Cowboys roll 3-0 ATS in game #1 of the season.
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1* Free Play UNDER WKU/Vandy.
WKU owned one of the countries top offensive units last year and it will once again be a strength of for the 'Tops this season. If Western Kentucky wants to take its play to the next level though, clearly it needs to improve on the defensive side of the ball this season and the team draws a great opponent in its opener to test its new unit. The Hilltoppers got some good news in the offseason when UAB decided to shutdown its football program at the end of last year, making its players available for transfer and immediate eligibility. WKU would quickly grab senior Jontavious Morris, who upgrades the defensive line and the defensive unit as a whole. On the other side of the field, Derek Mason's start as Head Coach got off to a rocky start in 2014/15 as Vanderbilt would win just three games overall, while going a miserable 0-8 in the SEC. Vandy had no consistency at the QB position and it's going to be an issue again this year as new Offensive Coordinator Andy Ludwig is still trying to decide who will start as neither Wade Freebeck or Johnny McCrary have played well enough to stake a claim as the No. 1 guy. The offensive line was atrocious last season, the team averaged a league-worst 3.4 YPC, while also struggling to protect the QB. The Commodores though will benefit from more experience on both sides of the ball in 2014/15, but all signs once again point to a long and frustrating season. While there's sure to be some spectacular offensive plays in this one, we feel that the combination of WKU's improved defensive unit and Vanderbilt's issues at QB will result in this one falling UNDER the posted number.
Mike's MLB *Best of the Rest*
Play: San Francisco Giants
I think we're getting a great price on the Giants here as they take on the Los Angeles Dodgers for the middle-game of a three-game series at Dodger Stadium. Madison Bumgarner will take the ball for the visitors coming off five consecutive Ws surrendering just a total of six runs on 23 hits over 37 2/3 frames. He's held the ball in the park in each of those contests and recorded 12+ strikeouts no less than three times. He's 2-0 with a 1.31 ERA in three starts against the Dodgers on the season and has their current batters limited to a .197 AVG. Zack Greinke will take the ball for the Dodgers and he's impressed lately as well coming off seven scoreless innings of a 1-0 win at Cincinnati. He allowed three runs on seven hits and two walks in six innings against the Giants earlier this season though. The Giants' relievers have been more reliable than the Dodgers' this season posting a 3.21 ERA compared to a 4.04 mark for the Dodgers' bullpen and a marathon match last night won't help matters for the home-team.
- San Francisco is 16-5 in Bumgarner's last 21 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- San Francisco is 5-1 in the last six meetings and 5-1 in Bumgarner's last six starts vs. Los Angeles.
- Los Angeles is 2-5 in its last seven games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
- Mike Lundin is 13-4 (76%) with his last 17 Top Rated 10* Selections. Don't miss out on Tuesday's Top Rated 10* MLB *BIG HITTER*.
Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Texas Rangers -107
The Texas Rangers are playing great baseball right now. They have won four of their last five to get to 68-62 on the season while currently holding on to the final wild card spot in the American League. I look for them to bounce back from a loss yesterday in Game 1 of this series with San Diego.
Yovani Gallardo has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season. The right-hander is 11-9 with a 3.14 ERA in 27 starts. He has really turned it on of late, going 3-0 with a 1.62 ERA in his last three starts. Gallardo has allowed just two earned runs over 18 2/3 innings in his last three starts against San Diego for a 0.96 ERA.
Andrew Cashner is no better than an average starter in this league. The right-hander has gone 5-13 witha 4.05 ERA and 1.377 WHIP over 25 starts and six relief appearances this season. He's 1-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.620 WHIP over his last three starts as well.
Texas is 8-2 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss by 4 runs or more this season. San Diego is 0-6 (-7.2 Units) against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 or better this season. The Rangers are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite. Texas is 6-1 in Gallardo's last seven starts. Bet the Rangers Tuesday.
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #160 Take Boise State Broncos over Washington Huskies (Friday 10:15 pm ESPN) Chris Petersen returns to Boise, ID to lead his Huskies into battle with the Broncos. Boise State really put it together last year late and expect that momentum to carry over into this season when some feel they have a chance to run the table and make the four team playoff. Despite having two high draft picks on defense, Washington was not a very good team in 2014 and I do not see things getting any better this year in a loaded PAC-12. There is also revenge for the Broncos as Washington beat them in their last meeting, 38-6, in the game I believe drove Chris Petersen out of Boise. Do not miss Doc’s Sports Opening Weekend Card of College Football. Doc’s Sports went a perfect 7-0 in 2013 picking up $3,000 in profits for $100 bettors. Jump on board the victory train now and let 44 years of handicapping experience work for you.
This selection isn't so much due to liking Western Kentucky, but "playing against" Vanderbilt. Western Kentucky's been a solid team for 2 straight years, going 8-4 SU in 2014 & 8-5 SU last season while beating Central Michigan in their Bowl game. On the other hand, Vandy ended the 2014 season at 3-9 SU, with their only 3 wins coming against outgunned football programs like U. Mass, Charlestown South & Old Dominion- All are more known for their Basketball teams than their Football programs. Vandy averaged just 17 points per game last year and was held to 17 points or less in 8 of their 12 games. They ended at 0-8 SU in the Dog role and that's exactly where they find themselves to open this season- As home Dogs hosting Western Kentucky. On Thursday Western Kentucky starts their 2nd season behind HC Jeff Brohm, who finally got everything together near the end of last season while finishing on a 5-0 SU & 3-2 ATS winning run. Combine last season's late improvement with that confidence building Bowl victory and you MUST back Western Kentucky to beat up on a rebuilding Vandy team.
10* Play On Western Kentucky
#185/186 – Over the Total (63.5), Bowling Green vs Tennessee, Saturday at 4:00 PM ET @ Nashville, TN
Bowling Green has an uptempo offense that really presses to get as many plays run as they can. Last year the Falcons put up 30 PPG on 433 YPG. They expect to be better on offense this year after losing only 1 starter. The key returning player in QB Matt Johnson who many feel is an NFL prospect. He threw for 313 yards in last year’s opener but was injured and lost for the season. He’s back full strength operating behind an offensive line with all 5 starters back. In last year’s opener BG & Western Ky put up 90 points on a whopping 1,100 yards! We expect the BG defense to be poor again this year with just 5 starters back. They allowed nearly 500 YPG last year and allowed 40+ points 6 times! Tennessee’s offense has some momentum coming into the season after putting up 45 points on a decent Iowa defense in the Tax Slayer Bowl. Their QB Dobbs is a dynamic athlete who is very mobile, but he can throw the ball as well. He took over as the starter last year in October vs Alabama and the Vols went onto score 34 PPG in his 6 starts. Those were against SEC (and one Big Ten) defenses. UT should have a field day offensively on Saturday. Both teams will put points on the board and OVER is the winner on Saturday.
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09/02 07:05 PM EST MLB (971) CLEVELAND INDIANS VS (972) TORONTO BLUE JAYS
Take: over the total.
Reason: Your free play Wednesday, September 2nd, 2015 is in the MLB contest between the Cleveland Indians and the Blue Jays from Toronto. Toronto is a small park, great for hitters, and the Indians are 8-2-2 over the total on astroturf, plus 11-4 over against the American League East. Starter Trevor Bauer has a 12.46 ERA against Toronto, which is no surprise as the Blue Jays are tops in baseball in runs scored led by a powerhouse lineup. The Over is 13-3 when the Indians face a right-handed starter and they face aging righty R.A. Dickey (4.25 ERA). Toronto is on a 9-3 run over the total and the Over is 11-5-2 when Dickey faces a team with a losing record. Play the Indians/Blue Jays over the total.