Free Sports Picks from Top Betting Handicappers - Best Bets of the Day

1* Free Play on Rays -112

1% GOLD RUSH on Phillies -1½

Free Play – Take #963 Toronto +117 over Tampa Bay  (6:40 p.m. ET, Monday, May 4)

World Series participant Toronto is trying to reach .500 after a plethora of injuries to start the year. Tampa Bay is up to its old tricks, having no expectations, yet sitting at 21-12, the second-best record in the American League. The Rays have gotten tremendous pitching in winning 9 of 10, permitting 13 total runs. With that, they are 9-1 UNDER, having hit that eight consecutive times. However, no streak lasts forever, and teams like Tampa Bay, when the money line is +125 to -125, after eight or more consecutive UNDERs, are only 16-48 in their next outing.

DOUG UPSTONE is rolling at 48-30 the last 24 days on all picks. Doug’s on fire in hockey on sharp runs of 6-1, 13-6 and 53-29, plus a 11-3 surge in baseball, at 118-85 long-term run! And a solid 12-7 in the NBA and 22-12 in the playoffs!

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Dave's Monday Free Play:

1* on Phillies/Marlins OVER 8.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the OVER 8.5 tonight between the Phillies and Marlins.  Aaron Nola is 1-3 with a 6.03 ERA and 1.56 WHIP this year and one of the more overrated starters in the majors.  Jason Junk is 2-2 with a 3.00 ERA in 6 starts for the Marlins, and advanced numbers indicate regression coming especially with only 21 strikeouts in 33 innings.  Nola has yielded 11 ER and 4 HR in 15 2/3 innings in his last 3 starts against the Marlins.  Take the OVER.

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Here’s a fresh take on tonight’s Rays-Blue Jays matchup that feels worth circling on a quiet Monday slate. I’ve been watching this AL East battle for years, and the story tonight boils down to a sharp pitching mismatch in a building that usually rewards the home side.

The Tampa Bay Rays roll into this one sitting at 21-12 overall and a very comfortable 11-4 at Tropicana Field. That’s not just a nice record, it’s the kind of home dominance that tends to show up in the win column when the favorite is getting the run they deserve. Toronto, meanwhile, is 16-18 and a rough 6-10 on the road, where they’ve struggled to put consistent innings together away from home. Divisional games like this already carry extra weight, but when one team is playing above .600 at home and the other is barely scraping .400 away, the angle writes itself.

What really tips the scales, though, is the starting pitching. Nick Martinez has been outstanding for the Rays, 2-1 with a 1.70 ERA and a WHIP that barely cracks 1.00 through his first handful of starts. He’s limiting hard contact and keeping runners off the bases, which plays perfectly in a park that already suppresses offense. On the flip side, Eric Lauer has been banged around to the tune of a 6.00 ERA and 1-3 record. That’s not a small-sample fluke; it’s a guy who’s been giving up runs in bunches lately, and facing a Rays lineup that’s been clicking on both sides of the ball.

Look back over the recent trends and you see the Rays winning nine of their last ten games, including a strong 4-1 clip in the most recent stretch. They’ve been outscoring opponents comfortably and their bullpen has been reliable once the starter hands the ball over. Toronto has shown flashes, 6-3 in their last nine overall, but the road woes and the head-to-head history in St. Petersburg (where the total has gone under in eight of the Jays’ last ten visits) suggest this could be a low-scoring grind that favors the team with the better arm on the mound.

I’m not one to chase every favorite, but this feels like the kind of spot where the market is respecting the Rays’ recent form and home edge without overreacting. Around -118 to -120 feels like the right price for a club that’s simply playing better baseball right now. If you’re looking for a Monday night play with some legs, backing Tampa Bay to handle business at home checks the boxes: pitching advantage, venue edge, and a team that’s been cashing tickets lately.

Marc David Sports' Free Pick

We really like the home team in this matchup. The line appears to be influenced by Rays' RHP Nick Martinez' (2-1, 1.70)  6.66 ERA in six career outings (four starts) against Toronto, but the last start was in 2024 and the one before that in 2017. He's held the current Toronto lineup to a .232 AVG over 56 at bats. Blue Jays' LHP Eric Lauer (1-3, 6.00) has a 7.08 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in seven career appearances (four starts) against the Rays with more meetings in recent seasons.  

 This is a FREE PLAY on the RAYS!

Free Total Annihilator On Flyers vs Hurricanes under 5½ -120

1* Free Play on Orioles +190

Monday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Cubs -1.5 (-105) 

Public betting and odds report!

Opener: Royals -120, Guardians +100
Best lines: Royals -115, Guardians +115
Best totals: OVER 9.5 (+122), UNDER 9 (-105)
Splits on side: 47% of bets, 49% of money on Guardians
Splits on total: 71% of bets, 73% of money on OVER

Total higher than the recent starts goes over to the tune of +245 units. Also of the total is higher than both the pitchers and teams recent games it goes over 245.94 units. Outlaw line kept this from being a premium bet, but still strong wager!

Coming off a 4-0 sweep, the Grandmaster stays hot with another strong card tonight. Strength across MLB, NBA, and NHL continues to drive results.

Full NBA coverage with all 4 sides and totals, plus Flyers-Hurricanes side and total and MLB total. A balanced, high-value card ready to deliver. 

Guardians vs Royals MLB Free Pick 

The Angle(s): Cleveland right-hander Tanner Bibee (0-4, 4.08 ERA) while solid at home, he’s been lit up on the road with a 7.90 ERA over three starts, two of which went over the total. The Royals turn to Michael Wacha (2-2, 3.13 ERA), who opened the season strong but has given up 10 runs on 15 hits over his last two outings, ramping up the volatility. Kansas City has averaged 5.8 runs per nine over its last 10 games, and Cleveland’s offense was on a heater before a 7-1 loss to Oakland on Sunday.

The Guardians have more overs than unders after scoring just one run in their previous game, and as a tasty extra nugget, they are 7-0 straight-up after scoring one run in their last outing.

The Bet: OVER (3%). 

1 Dimer on Dodgers vs Astros over 9 +100

1* on Astros +183

Jack's Free Pick Monday: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-125)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the Houston Astros that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  The Dodgers also have the rest advantage playing just their 4th game in 5 days, while the Astros will be playing their 6th game in 5 days and returning home from a 6-game road trip.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is 2-2 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in six starts this season.  He has allowed just 12 earned runs and 38 base runners in 37 2/3 innings.  He is backed by a solid Los Angeles bullpen that has posted a 3.83 ERA this season.

The tired Astros will go with opener Steven Okert before giving the bulk of the innings to rookie Ryan Weiss.  Okerk has posted a 4.20 ERA while allowing 7 earned runs in 15 innings this season.  Weiss is 0-2 with a 6.65 ERA and 1.99 WHIP this season, allowing 16 earned runs, 6 homers and 43 base runners in 21 2/3 innings.  

Houston also has the worst bullpen in baseball with a 6.20 ERA this season.  And they likely won't have the services of their best reliever in Bryan Abreu after he pitched two innings yesterday.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Monday.

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All signs point to the Knicks in game one. The Knicks are at home, they have a rest advantage, and Embiid came up limping at the end of Game 7 for Philadelphia. The Knicks have also won 7 of the last 9 games against the 76ers. The 76ers are  5-1 ATS and 4-2 SU as an underdog since April 21. The Knicks are hard to figure out; take the points in this one.

Play on Philadelphia. This is a 3% play.

My selection is on New York minus the points over Philadelphia at 8 pm et on Monday.

We'll lay the points with the Knicks on Monday as they open their much-anticipated second round series against the 76ers. Philadelphia of course completed a massive series comeback against the Celtics, defying the odds with three straight wins to take it in seven games. I don't feel the Sixers are well-positioned to keep their three-game ATS winning streak going on Monday, however, noting that they haven't delivered the cash in more than three games in a row a single time going back to December 23rd. The Knicks also enter on a three-game ATS winning streak but they have three streaks lasting even longer to their credit since January 21st alone. I look for New York to grab the upper hand in Game 1 on Monday and will note that the straight-up winner is 24-2 ATS in Philadelphia's last 26 contests. Take New York (8*).

1 Unit FREE PLAY on 76ers/Knicks OVER 213

The Philadelphia 76ers are a much more potent offensive team with Joel Embiid in the lineup.  This OVER 213 has some value when you compare it to the totals between these teams from the regular season.  The four totals in the regular season were 224.5, 227.5, 233.5 and 230.5.  Embiid played in two of those games including the highest-scoring game of the season series with 249 combined points.  So this total being at 213 for Game 1 is too low, especially with Game 1's tending to be higher scoring as both teams feel each other out.  Give me the OVER.

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(#1) Anaheim Ducks | ATS | . 

Although I liked Edmonton in the last series, there's nothing against this Ducks team. They are strong, young & resilient which propelled them to the series win over the B2B defending Western Conference champs. Anaheim's very well coached and could definitely pull off another upset in this series. 

Vegas lost one of three home games in the last series & even though it's probably the better team on paper, winning in May/June is the only thing on these team's minds at the moment. When they met during the season, all three games went in favor of Anaheim, all in a one goal game. This one should be close, whoever gets the win and perhaps overtime. 

Burns' Prediction: 4-3 Ducks.

Ricky's 1* play on ANA.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Ducks are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.

- The Ducks are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

- The Ducks  are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

Verdict: The value is on the road Underdog.

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Braves +144

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

Braves +135

Atlanta is worth a free move against the Mariners. The Braves continue to be one of the hottest teams in baseball and they’re doing it with timely pitching and clutch hitting. send out Ritchie, who will be making just his third start, but he’s been inefficient. Seattle counters Logan Gilbert, who has had a tough go of it so far. He is 1-3 and has struggled with command, which bodes well for Braves offense that isn’t afraid to take walks. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the BRAVES ML. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Monday FREE MLB ML Play

3-2 Sunday! Including a HUGE 5* top play W! EN FUEGO! 243-207 54% +1566 since Mid-Dec! The wins keep stacking. The board is live and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for today, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a Top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he's locked in right now. Clients are cashing, the consistency is showing, and he's climbing the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.

1* Free Sharp Play on Braves vs Mariners under 7½ -110

For my best free pick on the board I am looking at NBA playoff action and the San Antonio Spurs hosting the Minnesota Timberwolves. Yes this isnt the most contrarian play on the board thats for damn sure but I am liking it a lot. Bettors should gravitate to the abundance of points here and the Wolves but it took everything the Wolves had to win that series missing their key start I think the Spurs are not gonna have any mercy for them here in game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals.  Look for the Spurs to take the Wolves behind the woodshed here tonight. 

Play on the San Antonio Spurs lay the points rotation #720

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PSP Data Driven 1* Under.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Under. The Under is 4-2 in Minnesota's last 6 games. The Under is 4-1 in San Antonio's last 5 games.