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My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over Green Bay at 8:15 pm et on Thursday.

Bettor sentiment couldn't be any lower when it comes to the Falcons. They're off to an 0-2 start to the season and fresh off an embarrassing 34-3 rout at the hands of the division-rival Panthers, at home no less. I'm confident we'll see Atlanta bounce back with a much better performance in Green Bay on Thursday. The Packers aren't exactly rolling as they needed everything they had in the tank to rally for a 20-17 overtime win over the Jets on Sunday. That came on the heels of a lopsided defeat against the Vikings in Week 1. Of course, Green Bay's injury woes on the offensive line are the big story entering this contest. It remains to be seen whether they can keep QB Jordan Love clean in this game but regardless of that, I expect Atlanta to take this game down to the wire at the very least as it tries desperately to avoid an 0-3 start to the season. Take Atlanta (8*).

1* Free Pick on Falcons/Packers: over 43

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* Free Pick on Falcons +5½

1% GOLD RUSH on Packers -5

1* FREE INFO PLAY Falcons vs Packers under 43 -110

Chargers +7.5 at Bills

You know I like a dirty dog, and it doesn't get much dirtier than this.

The Chargers look like a mess. They're 0-2 both SU and ATS, and now they travel east to face a Bills team that has won and covered both games. Buffalo leads the league at 38.5 PPG and has scored at least 36 in each outing. They also have extra rest coming off TNF. Josh Allen has been phenomenal, with 9 total TDs and no INTs.

LA's start is historically bad. They're the first team in NFL history to open 0-2 against two clubs that lost 14+ games the prior season. The offense has struggled and mistakes have piled up, including 6 fumbles and 2 interceptions last week.

So why the Chargers? This is a classic buy-low spot.

The line move: The lookahead had Buffalo -2.5. It opened -4.5 and has since crossed a key number. The Bills have heavy backing, so I expect it to keep climbing.
Bills defense: It has been leaky. If LA cleans up the mistakes, Herbert and Omarion Hampton should be able to move the ball.
History: The Chargers have covered 5 of their last 6 vs Buffalo.
Role reversal: LA was favored in both prior games. Now they're the underdog.
The trend: Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points, off a home loss of 10+ in the first month of the season, are 26-6.
Motivation: Harbaugh will have this group ready. They also have a brutal schedule ahead and need to figure it out fast.

Meanwhile, will Buffalo be locked in? I'm not so sure. This is the sandwich game of a 3-game homestand, and they could get comfortable against a struggling team at Highmark. It's a desperate Chargers team against an overconfident Bills team, and we'll back the contrarian side.

Shop for the best number. Take Chargers +7.5.

Let's cash some tickets!

Seahawks -7

Seattle’s defense is the difference for me here. The Seahawks have allowed just 17 points through two games, and now they draw Marcus Mariota with Jayden Daniels sidelined. That’s a tough assignment against a Seattle front that should control the line of scrimmage. Drew Lock has also done exactly what you want from a backup, including three TD passes last week, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba remains a matchup problem. Seattle has won 15 of its last 16 road games, so traveling east doesn’t scare me much. Washington has too many problems to solve against one of the league’s best defenses. Lay the touchdown. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the SEAHAWKS ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

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WEEK 4 CFB / WEEK 3 NFL! 437-374 54% +2503 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s plays up soon. A BIG 5× Play Card is up for NFL Week 3, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”