After a hot start to the season, the Falcons have fallen away badly. Most of their issues though have been on offense, as their secondary has been solid all season. The Falcons own the 12th ranked defense in the league, allowing 21.4 ppg, however they also own the league’s 2nd best home ground defense, allowing just 71.8 ypg – this will come in handy against the run heavy Vikings, who run the ball a lot through Peterson (understandably). The Vikings also own the league’s 2nd ranked defense, allowing a miserly 18.4 ppg. The Vikings will be keen to make amends after dropping a key game last week to the Packers, while the Falcons haven’t put up more than 21 points in their last 5 games straight (averaging just 17.6 ppg in those 5 games). This one doesn’t look like a shoot out and should fall UNDER.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games at home. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Minnesota. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota.
For our free pick, take the UNDER 46 points BIG here.
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