Free NFL Picks

Turbo version of fading an underdog off consecutive games in which they scored more points than expected, but with other factors mixed in, is 78-25-2. More straightforward is big away favorites off a home loss at 63-25-6.

Duffy is: 

15-3 Wise Guy plays.
14-6 NFL sides, 19-9 NFL totals.
Best card of year.
Four Wise Guys starting out with Sunday Morning Game of the Year.
AFC West GOY and SNF Wise Guy.
8-0 in all.

1* Free Pick on Rams -2½

1* on Rams -2½

I am looking at the Chiefs at the Denver Broncos here for my best free pick on the board here for Sunday. I was a nay sayer at the start of the season that had the Chiefs finishing under their win total and the start of the season I felt pretty good about that but with their early struggles we saw bettors jumping off them creating some value with KC. Broncos are the new bandwagon hype team winners of 7 straight games. Denver has covered 6 of the last 7 with the Chiefs head to head which should further add to the bettors on this Broncos team at home getting points. 

Play on the KC Chiefs lay the points rotation #473

***DO NOT MISS MY NFL SUNDAY TITANIUM BEST BET MY TITANIUMS ARE 40-18 69% LAST 58 AND I AM ON AN ALL SPORTS RUN ON ALL PLAYS OF 122-74 62%***

Ravens @ Browns
Sunday, November 16, 2025 | 4:25 PM ET | CBS
Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH
Records & Trends

Ravens (4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS): 2-2 ATS on road, 1-0 ATS in division, 3-1 ATS L4 games
Browns (2-7 SU, 3-6 ATS): 3-0 ATS at home, 1-2 ATS in division, 1-3 ATS L4 games

Head to Head History
Baltimore crushed Cleveland 41-17 in Week 2. Ravens have won the last 3 meetings; Browns have dropped their last 2 (both road losses). Cleveland’s lone bright spot lately: a 31-6 home rout of Miami. No visitor has scored more than 17 points at Huntington Bank Field this season (Week 3 vs. CIN).
Offensive Matchup
Baltimore boasts a top 10 rushing attack led by Derrick Henry, but Cleveland’s pass defense is stingy and Myles Garrett is a one man wrecking crew. Expect constant heat—Henry included. The Ravens explosive offense faces a Browns D that ranks 25th in points allowed yet has been lights out at home.
Underdog Angle
Cleveland is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 as a home division dog. In the Week 2 blowout, the Browns actually outgained Baltimore, posted more first downs, and ran 19 more plays—despite starting Joe Flacco.
Intangibles
Myles Garrett publicly called out the team after last week’s loss. Facing a division rival at home, the Browns will bring maximum effort. Rookie QB Dillon Gabriel keeps the offense simple against a Ravens defense that bleeds points.
Expectation
Low scoring, physical slugfest. Cleveland’s home dominance + motivation + historical cover rate as a divisional dog keeps this within a touchdown.
Pick: Browns +7.5 (BetOnline has +9 as of posting 11/15 4:45 EST)

Let's cash some tickets!

This is a play on the KANSAS CITY CHIEFS for our Sunday Free Play. The Chiefs are coming off a loss at Buffalo in their most recent game to fall to 5-4 and they are on the brink of falling out of the playoff standings. This game is huge and they are coming off their bye week which came at a great time and they have been one of the best as head coach Andy Reid and quarterback Patrick Mahomes are 34-10 when playing on extended prep times. Kansas City was outgained in its season opener against the Chargers and was outgained by the Bills in its last games but the Chiefs won the yardage battle in all seven games in-between. Denver has won seven straight games with a win over Philadelphia being the only quality one and the only one against a team with a winning record. The Broncos are 5-0 at home and have outgained all five opponents in doing so but they have played no one as the combined record of those five teams is 11-34-1 with the best of the bunch being the 3-5-1 Cowboys. They have played the No. 29 ranked schedule and are ranked No. 1 in the Luck Ratings and that says it all right there. Two key pieces remain out for the Broncos as running back J.K. Dobbins and cornerback Patrick Surtain II will not play Sunday. Here, we play against teams coming off a home win by three points or less, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 30-7 ATS (81.1 percent) since 2021. Play (473) Kansas City Chiefs

27-20 NFL Run. NFL +$18,740 L3+ Regular Seasons and +$76,060 run over the last 13 years. NFL FIVE Sunday Winners posted highlighted by a Divisional Game of the Year (13-4-1 Run). CBB 22-11 Run. More Winning Sunday!

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SUNDAY, 11/16:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Sunday is with the Denver Broncos plus the points versus the Kansas City Chiefs. Denver (8-2) has won seven games in a row after their 10-7 victory at home against Las Vegas as an 8.5-point favorite last Sunday. the Broncos have covered the point spread in 22 of their last 28 games after failing to score more than 14 points in their last game. They finally get their bye week after this game — and they are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games playing right before their bye. Kansas City (5-4) had won three games in a row before their 28-21 upset loss at Buffalo as a 2.5-point road favorite on Sunday. The Chiefs have not failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games in November. They are also 11-19-1 ATS in their last 31 games against fellow AFC West rivals. Take Denver minus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports is on a 16 of 21 (76%) All-Sports run with featured 25*/20*/10* plays after a 3-0 CFB S-W-E-E-P on Saturday — capped by CA$HING their 25* CFB Mountain West Conference Total of the Year with the Wyoming-Fresno State Under — to fuel their 34 of 50 (68%) All-Sports featured plays winning streak! Frank is on a 7 of 9 (78%) NFL featured plays run — and now he furthers his 5 of 6 (83%) NFL Game of the Month mark and his 6 of 8 (75%) NFL TOTALS TEAR with a 25* NFL Divisional Total of the Month this afternoon! DO NOT MISS OUT!

1* Free Pick on Broncos +4½ -115

1* NFL - Lions/Eagles FREE PICK on OVER 46.5 

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Philadelphia Eagles -2.5

The Philadelphia Eagles are a bunch of winners.  It may not always be pretty, but like the Kansas City Chiefs for so many years, the Eagles are just finding ways to get the job done.  They have wins over the Chiefs, Rams, Packers and Bucs this season en route to a 7-2 SU & 6-3 ATS start.  They have taken out most of the top contenders in the NFC, and now they are going to take out another in the Detroit Lions Sunday night.

The Eagles should still be very fresh after having a bye prior to their 10-7 win at Green Bay on Monday Night Football.  They are one of the healthiest teams in the NFL right now and as healthy as they have been all season.  Their entire offensive line and every important playmakers is available for Jalen Hurts, and the defense is fully healthy as well and got even better with the addition of Jalen Phillips at the trade deadline.

The Lions are getting too much respect for a blowout win over the Commanders last week.  That's a Commanders team that is decimated with injuries right now and one that continues to get blown out every week because of it.  Keep in mind the Lions lost at home to the Vikings the week prior as 9.5-point favorites.  

The Eagles have a big advantage over the Lions in the health department in this one.  Detroit has a laundry list of injuries.  The Lions will be without TE Sam LaPorta, DE Josh Paschal, CB Terrion Arnold, S Kerby Joseph and DE Marcus Davenport.  Another six players are questionable, including projected starters in LT Taylor Decker, RT Penei Sewell, TE Brock Wright and CB Amik Robertson.  The Lions already have 13 players on IR.

Weather will be a factor here with temps in the 40's and 15-20 MPH sustained winds in Philadelphia.  Jared Goff never plays as well outdoors in the elements.  The Eagles are built for these conditions, running the football with Barkley and Hurts and moving the chains on the ground.  The Lions were held to 98 rushing yards by the Chiefs and 65 by the Vikings in recent losses, and I think the Eagles will shut them down on the ground as well.

The Eagles are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games under Nick Siriani when playing two games following a bye week winning by 17.6 points per game in this spot.  They are also 7-1 SU off a bye, so the bye tends to have a very positive effect for them for two straight weeks.  Goff has scored 24 points or fewer in seven of nine outdoor games with Detroit when there are 10-plus MPH winds, averaging just 19.4 points per game in these nine windy outdoor games.  Bet the Eagles Sunday night.

No. 2 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has SEVEN Top-10 Football Finishes (#1 2024, #3 2018, #3 2017, #4 2009, #5 2014, #5 2012, #10 2008) to his credit! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 2083-1765 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $140,080! That includes a 1405-1159 Football Run over his last 2564 plays! He backed it up by finishing as No. 1 Ranked Football Capper in 2024-25!

No. 2 Ranked NFL Capper All-Time! Jack has SIX Top-10 NFL Finishes (#3 2009, #4 2023, #4 2017, #5 2024, #8 2019, #10 2008) to his credit! He is riding a 604-480 NFL Run that has his $1,000/game players winning $70,520! That includes a 331-250 NFL Run since November of 2021! He delivered an 81-56 NFL Record two seasons ago and finished as the No. 4 Ranked NFL Capper in 2023-24 as a result! He followed it up with an 87-66 NFL Record last season to finish as the No. 5 Ranked NFL Capper in 2024-25 as well!

This pro football money train stays right on track with Jack's Sunday NFL 7-Play Power Pack for $79.95! Leading the charge is his ONE & ONLY 25* AFC GAME OF THE YEAR! Knowing you get this top play alone makes this package worth the price of admission! But you'll also receive FOUR 20* Top Plays upon purchase today folks!

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1* Free Pick on Eagles -1½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1% GOLD RUSH on Cowboys/Raiders: under 50