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October 02, 2022

Jeff Alexander

Oct 02 '22, 9:30 AM in 5h
NFL | Vikings vs Saints
Play on: Vikings -3 -120 at SC Consensus

1* NFL - Vikings/Saints FREE Pick on Vikings -3

Sunday's Free NFL Pick is on the Minnesota Vikings as a 3-point favorite against the New Orleans Saints. This will be the first game off the board on Sunday (9:30 EST), as we get our first taste of London action in 2022. This is an easy play on Minnesota laying only a field goal. Even though the Saints lost head coach Sean Payton, there was a lot of hype around this team. Some were even picking them to win the Super Bowl. That was clearly a mistake given what we have seen thru the first 3 weeks. New Orleans is 1-2 and should be 0-3, as they were lucky to win Week 1 at Atlanta. The offense hasn't been able to get anything going and now will be without starting quarterback Jaimes Winston. Vikings are 2-1 with their only loss coming against what looks like a very good Eagles team on the road. I'm just not buying the Saints defense being able to make enough stops to keep this close. Bet the Vikings -3! 

**3x NFL Handicapping CHAMPION (6 Top 10 Finishes)** When it comes to beating the NFL odds, few can match the long-term success of Jeff Alexander! 

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Released on Oct 01 at 08:54 pm View Archive
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Jack Jones

Oct 02 '22, 1:00 PM in 9h
NFL | Browns vs Falcons
Play on: OVER 47 -110

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Browns/Falcons OVER 47

These are two of the best offenses in the NFL and two of the worst defenses in the league squaring off Sunday.  Both teams are 3-0 OVER the total this season because of that fact.  It will be more of the same Sunday as these offenses do whatever they want against these defenses.

Atlanta is averaging 26.7 points per game this season behind Marcus Mariota, who has proven to be one of the most improved quarterbacks in the NFL.  He is completing 63.3% of his passes and averaging 8.1 yards per attempt, while also rushing for 92 yards and a pair of scores.  They have a balanced attack and are averaging 5.9 yards per play, which ranks 9th in the NFL.  And it has come against some stiff competition as the Rams and Saints have two of the better defenses in the league.

Don't look now but Jacoby Brissett is also one of the most improved quarterbacks in the league.  He is quickly forming a chemistry with Amari Cooper.  The Browns are scoring 28.3 points per game and averaging 378.7 yards per game, ranking 5th in total offense this season.  The Browns are rushing for 191 yards per game and 5.0 per carry behind a great offensive line, and the two-headed monster of Chubb and Hunt at running back.

The Browns should be able to run wild on this Falcons defense, which is allowing 27.0 points per game, 380.7 yards per game and 6.0 yards per play, which ranks 25th in the NFL.  The Falcons are allowing 4.8 yards per carry on the ground and haven't really faced a good rushing attack yet.  They will really get exposed by Cleveland, and Brissett should have plenty of big play opportunities off the play-action.

The Browns were expected to have a good defense this season, but that just hasn't been the case.  They rank 18th in the NFL in giving up 5.6 yards per play this season.  They are also giving up 24.0 points per game despite playing three terrible offenses in the Jets, Panthers and Steelers.  This will be the best offense they have faced yet.

The Browns have some serious concerns in the injury department on defense.  They could be without their top two pass rushers in Myles Garrett and Jadeveon Clowney, which would make the task of trying to coral Mariota that much more difficult.  They are allowing 6.9 yards per pass attempt, which ranks 20th in the NFL.  

Again, that is very concerning since that has come against Flacco, Mayfield and Trubisky.  And Garrett has actually been on the field for all of it.  They will be in a world of hurt if he doesn't play, and he's currently doubtful.  Both offenses will have their way in this one.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

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Released on Sep 30 at 03:12 am View Archive
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Dave Price

Oct 02 '22, 1:00 PM in 9h
NFL | Bills vs Ravens
Play on: Ravens +3½ -115 at Ace

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Baltimore Ravens +3.5

The Key: The Baltimore Ravens can match the Buffalo Bills score for score in this game.  They are scoring 33.0 PPG this year and Lamar Jackson is a front-runner for the MVP award with how well he is playing.  The Ravens are getting a lot healthier on both sides of the ball, while the Bills are worse off in the injury department this week.  They were without 14 starters at one point against the Dolphins last week.  They just played in the Heat in Miami and will still be feeling fatigued from that tough game.  The Bills are still getting treated as the best team in the NFL when they are far from it right now due to all these injuries.  They will likely get upset again this week, and the price on the Ravens catching 3.5 points at home is too good to pass up.  Take Baltimore.

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Released on Sep 30 at 04:38 pm View Archive
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Rob Vinciletti

Oct 02 '22, 1:00 PM in 9h
NFL | Titans vs Colts
Play on: UNDER 43 -108

NFL on Sunday with the Rare 6* Top play on Sunday night, an Early 5* Side our Top Unsurpassed Totals Play and The Executive LEVEL Tier 1. We also have a Late season MLB Power System play. NFL Comp play below + Bonus total

The NFL Comp play is on Tennessee at 1:00 eastern. The Titans fit a Powerful system that plays on road dogs of less than 4 if they are 1-2 and off their first win. The Titans fit a subset of this system that is perfect. The Colts are off a huge Home dog win over KC and this could be a bit of as flat spot. The Titans have covered 4 of 6 here and the road team has covered 6 of 7 in the series. The Colts have failed to cover 5 of 6 in division play and 6 of 8 after allowing 250+ pas yards. Look for the Titans to get the cover. A RARE 6* is up on Sunday night Football. We also have our Exclusive Executive Level TIER 1 in late afternoon, an early 5* Perfect system side and our Unsurpassed Totals selection. NFL is off fast cashing 15 of 19. Jump on now as we stay hot. For the NFL Comp play. Take Tennessee. Rob V-

SU: 7-1-0 

ATS: 8-0-0

Team  25.1

Opp  13.4 

Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot

Oct 01, 1989 pro Sunday 4 1989 Steelers Lions away 0-3 10-0 7-0 6-0 23-3 2.5 44.5 20 22.5 -18.5 2.0 -20.5 W W U 0

Oct 01, 1989 pro Sunday 4 1989 Colts Jets away 0-7 0-3 7-0 10-0 17-10 3.0 44.0 7 10.0 -17.0 -3.5 -13.5 W W U 0

Sep 30, 1990 pro Sunday 4 1990 Oilers Chargers away 7-0 7-7 0-0 3-0 17-7 2.5 40.5 10 12.5 -16.5 -2.0 -14.5 W W U 0

Sep 27, 1993 pro Monday 4 1993 Steelers Falcons away 7-14 17-3 7-0 14-0 45-17 3.0 43.0 28 31.0 19.0 25.0 -6.0 W W O 0

Sep 27, 1998 pro Sunday 4 1998 Cardinals Rams away 0-7 17-3 0-0 3-7 20-17 3.5 40.5 3 6.5 -3.5 1.5 -5.0 W W U 0

Sep 24, 2000 pro Sunday 4 2000 Packers Cardinals away 7-0 10-3 6-0 6-0 29-3 1.5 41.5 26 27.5 -9.5 9.0 -18.5 W W U 0

Sep 30, 2018 pro Sunday 4 2018 Lions Cowboys away 7-3 3-10 0-7 14-6 24-26 2.5 44.0 -2 0.5 6.0 3.2 2.8 L W O 0

Sep 29, 2019 pro Sunday 4 2019 Jaguars Broncos away 3-7 3-10 14-0 6-7 26-24 2.5 38.0 2 4.5 12.0 8.2 3.8 W W O 0

Oct 02, 2022 pro Sunday 4 2022 Titans Colts away      3.0 42.5

Released on Oct 01 at 10:36 pm View Archive
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Stephen Nover

Oct 02 '22, 1:00 PM in 9h
NFL | Chargers vs Texans
Play on: Chargers -5½ -110 at circa

Some of the stars are missing, but the Chargers still hold a massive talent edge on the Texans. It's a circle-the-wagons game for the Chargers, too, after their 38-10 home loss to Jacksonville last Sunday.

No Joey Bosa, Keenan Allen and Rashawn Slater. But Justin Herbert showed his guts throwing for nearly 300 yards last week despite a painful rib injury. The gutty Herbert can be counted on - and that's what matters here. He's thrown for at least 300 passing yards during his last six road contests. It's a plus if Pro Bowl center Corey Linsley can return.

Joshua Palmer is one of the better No.3 wideouts in the league. So the loss of Allen isn't that severe. Khalil Mack is back to being a pass rushing terror so the Chargers still can bother Davis Mills without Bosa.

The bar is not set high at all here for the Chargers. The Texans are spunky, but devoid of talent. They are winless and probably the worst team in the NFL. Houston has gained the fourth-fewest yards while allowing the third-most yards. They have the worst run defense in the league by a wide margin surrendering 202.3 yards on the ground.

So this game set up well for Austin Ekeler, who is overdue to have a big rushing game to go with his strengths as a pass-catching running back.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is having a banner NFL season going 15-6-1 on his plays looking to beat the NFL for the 27th time in the last 30 years. Stephen has five premium plays today in addition to this free selection headed by his AFC Game of the Month and Sunday Night Blockbuster. Stephen also is having a huge college football season going 22-10 on his premium/free plays.)

Released on Oct 01 at 10:23 pm View Archive
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Sean Murphy

Oct 02 '22, 1:00 PM in 9h
NFL | Jets vs Steelers
Play on: Jets +3½ -108 at linepros

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on New York plus the points over Pittsburgh at 1 pm et on Sunday.

Despite checking into this game 1-2 and coming off a lopsided defeat at the hands of the Bengals, the Jets do still have a lot going for them right now. New York has a stud number one wide receiver on its hands in rookie Garrett Wilson. It has also shown promise on defense, particularly in the secondary where rookie Sauce Gardner has been terrific. While the return of QB Zach Wilson offers some reason for pause, I'm willing to back the Jets in an underdog role against a shaky opponent here. Pittsburgh was fortunate to stay competitive against the Browns last week. It's only a matter of time before we see rookie Kenny Pickett take over for Mitchell Trubisky at quarterback but until then, this is a very limited Steelers offense. Defensively, Pittsburgh is sorely missing T.J. Watt and I do think Wilson can find some success through the air in his return. After all, would New York rush him back if it didn't feel he was ready to take over the job? Joe Flacco has been slinging it through the first three weeks of the season and certainly could have handled the starting job for one more week. As with most games involving Pittsburgh these days, I'm anticipating a close-to-the-vest, tightly-contested affair that likely goes down to the wire on Sunday, and that favors the underdog Jets. Take New York.

Released on Oct 01 at 03:59 pm View Archive
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Jim Feist

Oct 02 '22, 1:00 PM in 9h
NFL | Seahawks vs Lions
Play on: UNDER 48 -110

Seattle opened up the season with that emotional win at home over former QB Russell Wilson and the Denver Broncos, 17-16. Since then, they have lost to the 49ers, 7-27, and then lost last week at home to Atlanta, 23-27. They lost to the Falcons despite have more yards, more plays and a +2 turnover ratio. As for Detroit, this team has been scoring points, scoring 35 vs the Eagles, 36 vs the Commanders and 24 last week vs the Vikings. A late loss to the Vikings last week, 24-28, dropped them to 1-2 on the season. Injuries have hit the Lions offense with WR Amon-Ra St Brown and RB D'Andre Swift both out for this game. Those injuries will definitely curtail this Lions offense this week. Seattle has gone under in eight of their last 10 road games. They are also 9-20 O/U in their last 29 overall games. Normally I wouldn't like under in this game, but I don't expect much out of Seattle and with the injuries on the Lions key offensive players, I'll take the UNDER today.

Released on Oct 01 at 03:07 pm View Archive
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Info Plays

Oct 02 '22, 1:00 PM in 9h
NFL | Bills vs Ravens
Play on: OVER 51 -110

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Bills vs Ravens over 51 -110

Released on Oct 01 at 05:00 pm View Archive
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Joseph D'Amico

Oct 02 '22, 1:00 PM in 9h
NFL | Bears vs Giants
Play on: Giants -3 +100 at circa

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Sunday’s FREE WINNER: New York Giants.

Touchdown Play.

Game 256.

10:00 am pst/1:00 pm est.

The NFC East is always one of the most competitive divisions in all of football. With a win here on Sunday, the New York Giants can certainly make a name for themselves in the division. They face a team that despite being 2-1, is in real trouble. Justin Fields just isn’t getting the job done. The only thing keeping them alive at all is the fact that they can run the ball. But they rank 32nd in passing. They’ve also turned the ball over four times. This doesn’t bode well because they’re going up against a Giants defense that’s allowing less than 20 points per game. On the flipside, Saquon Barkley will run amok against the 30th ranked rush defense of Chicago. I will also tell you that I have a lot more faith in Daniel Jones than I do Justin Fields. I look for New York to bounce back here, especially after suffering their first defeat of the season last week. They are a better team with a better quarterback and a more reliable running game. The Bears are 1-4 ATS the last five on the road, 5-15 ATS the last 20 versus the NFC, and 4-10-1 ATS the last 15 overall. Take the Giants. Thank you.

Released on Oct 01 at 12:43 pm View Archive
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Marc Lawrence

Oct 02 '22, 1:00 PM in 9h
NFL | Titans vs Colts
Play on: Titans +4 -110 at circa

Play - Tennessee Titans (Game 253). 

Edges - Titans: 6-2 ATS last eight divisional road games …

Colts:1-6 ATS last seven divisional home games … With the Colts coming off a SU upset win over Kansas City in which they were outyarded, we recommend a 1* play on Tennessee. Thank you and good luck as always.  

**Selection ratings are:

1* free play,

2* opinion play,

3* top quality selection,

4* top quality strong selection,

5* top quality exceptional selection,

10* top quality highest rated selection.

Note: the majority of top selections appear on Marc’s Preferred Picks Executive LTS Service.

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Released on Sep 30 at 05:32 pm View Archive
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ASA

Oct 02 '22, 1:00 PM in 9h
NFL | Chargers vs Texans
Play on: Texans +6 -110 at BetVegas

#260 ASA FREE PLAY ON Houston Texans +6 over LA Chargers, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - The Chargers are simply too banged up to be laying this number on the road. QB Herbert will most likely play but he’s nowhere near 100%. His ribs are in bad shape and he’s playing in a lot of pain. Last week in their home loss vs the Jags, Herbert has his lowest QBR since the start of last year and he averaged only 6.6 yards per pass attempt. He did practice on Thursday but sat out the early portion of the week. We like this spot even if he does play but we wouldn’t completely rule out the Chargers sitting him this week to try and get him healthy moving forward. His top WR Allen is out this weekend along with another starting WR Guyton. Two starting OLinemen are out and DE Bosa will sit as well. This is a mash unit right now. Houston isn’t great by any means but they’ve shown some fight this year to say the least. They tied Indy to start the season and hung tough @ Denver losing by 7 in week 2. Last week they lost @ Chicago by a FG when Houston QB Mills threw an interception at his own 26 yard line in a tie game with about 1:00 minute to go. That led to the Bears game winning FG. LAC can’t run ranking last in YPG on the ground at 59 and last in YPC at 2.6. They rely very heavily on an injured Herbert making plays to now back up WR’s. Houston’s defense has been solid vs the pass this year allowing opposing QB’s just a 55% completion rate (2nd best in the NFL) and just 207 YPG through the air (11th best). The Texans improved at the end of last year and covered 3 of their last 4 games and this year they are 2-0-1 ATS. We feel they are a dangerous home dog in this spot and getting nearly a TD with the LAC situation is too much.

Released on Oct 01 at 12:01 pm View Archive
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Jimmy Boyd

Oct 02 '22, 1:00 PM in 9h
NFL | Chargers vs Texans
Play on: UNDER 45 -110

1* Free Pick on Chargers/Texans under 45 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Released on Sep 26 at 06:36 pm View Archive
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Mike Lundin

Oct 02 '22, 8:20 PM in 16h
NFL | Chiefs vs Bucs
Play on: Bucs PK -110 at SC Consensus

Mike Lundin's Chiefs vs Bucs NFL Free Pick October 2, 2022

The Chiefs are 2-1 on the season, but they've looked out of sorts since routing Arizona in their season opener. Tampa Bay will be looking to bounce back from a flat outing in a 14-12 home loss to Green Bay. Tom Brady has been money ATS off a loss throughout his career and the Bucs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss.

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Released on Oct 02 at 12:58 am View Archive
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John Martin

Oct 02 '22, 8:20 PM in 16h
NFL | Chiefs vs Bucs
Play on: Chiefs PK -105 at linepros

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Kansas City Chiefs PK

The Kansas City Chiefs should be a 3-point favorite or higher against the Tampa Bay Bucs this week.  The Chiefs are coming off an upset loss to the Colts in a game they never should have lost when you look at the stats.  The Chiefs outgained the Colts 5.2 to 3.8 yards per play.  Their defense is playing at a very high level this season, especially when it comes to rushing the passer.  That makes this a great matchup for them against a banged up Tampa Bay offensive line that just cannot protect Tom Brady.  The Bucs are only averaging 17.0 points per game and 297.3 yards per game on offense.  I think these teams are pretty close to even on defense, but the Chiefs are in much better shape offensively right now.  Look for them to take out their frustration from that loss to the Colts last week on the Bucs this week.  They also have Super Bowl revenge in mind after losing to the Bucs and Brady a few years ago.  Give me the Chiefs.

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Released on Sep 30 at 04:43 pm View Archive
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Brandon Lee

Oct 02 '22, 8:20 PM in 16h
NFL | Chiefs vs Bucs
Play on: Bucs PK -110 at Ace

Sunday's NFL Free Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers PK

I will take my chances with the Bucs as a Pick'em at home against the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football. I'm a little surprised Tampa Bay isn't getting more love in this matchup. I know it's been a bit of a struggle early on for Tom Brady and the Bucs offense, but a lot of that has had to do with guys not being on the field. Even more than that, is the schedule. Tampa Bay has played 3 really good defenses to start the year in the Cowboys, Saints and Packers. 

While Kansas City's defense is much improved over a year ago, it's still just a middle of the pack unit. The secondary was exposed by Justin Herbert and the Chargers in Week 2, as he did as he pleased in that game. I think we see Tom Brady finally get on track this week. 

As for Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense, it looked like they were going to be even better than they had been with Tyreek Hill after torching the Arizona on the road in Week 1. Thing is, this offense has went right back to looking like the offense we saw for most of the second half of last season in their last two games. The running game is hit or miss and really struggles to pick up the 1-2 yards needed on 3rd and short. The offensive line is also not protecting Mahomes well at all. 

I think Mahomes and that offense are going to have a really tough time against a very talented Tampa Bay defense, who has 10 sacks thru their first 3 games. Tampa Bay bounces back after the loss last week to Green Bay and improves to 3-1 on the year. Give me the Bucs PK! 

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