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December 17, 2017

Info Plays

Dec 17 '17, 4:25 PM in 5h
NFL | Titans vs 49ers
Play on: Titans +1½ -110 at 5Dimes

1* Free Play on Titans +1½ -110

Released on Dec 16 at 06:07 pm View Archive
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John Martin

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Jets vs Saints
Play on: Jets +16 -115 at Bovada

1 Unit FREE PLAY on New York Jets +16 

The New York Jets go from being 1-point road favorites at Denver to ridiculous 16-point road underdogs to the New Orleans Saints.  Is there 17 points separating Denver and New Orleans?  Of Course not.  This is a huge overreaction from their 23-0 loss to the Broncos.  Bryce Petty will get a full week of practice to get ready for the Saints, and I expect him to be much better against their defense than he was in limited action against Denver’s top-ranked defense.  The Saints suffered a number of injuries in their loss to the Falcons last week that is going to leave them short-handed in this game.  They also have a massive game on deck against Atlanta that will likely decided the NFC South.  The number is simply too big here Sunday to pass up on New York.  Give me the Jets.

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Released on Dec 16 at 09:37 am View Archive
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Jack Jones

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Cardinals vs Redskins
Play on: Cardinals +4 -110 at Bovada

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Arizona Cardinals +4 

The Arizona Cardinals continue to fight despite their gloomy playoff outlook.  They have won two of their last three games against two current playoff teams in Jacksonville and Tennessee.  And they hanged the game to the Rams in what was a much closer game than the 32-16 final would indicate. 

The thing you can count on with the Cardinals is that they will bring it defensively.  Their numbers on that side of the ball over the past three games have been outstanding.  They are giving up just 242.0 yards per game and 3.9 yards per play in their last three games overall. 

The Redskins can’t be laying any kind of price against the Cardinals here with the way they are playing right now.  They are coming off back-to-back blowout road losses by 24 to Dallas and by 17 to the Chargers.  They even had a pick-6 late in that San Diego game to get their only touchdown of the game. 

The laundry list of injuries is what has derailed Washington’s season.  They are banged up along the offensive line, at the key skill positions, and all along the front seven defensively.  They just haven’t caught any breaks in the injury department this season. 

While the Cardinals do play defense, the same cannot be said for the Redskins.  This is a Washington team that has allowed at least 30 points in six of its last eight games overall.  Blaine Gabbert has arguably been the best quarterback on Arizona’s roster and is good enough to take advantage of this soft Washington defense. 

Washington is 32-52 ATS in its last 84 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.  The Redskins are 14-28 ATS in their last 42 games as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points.  The Cardinals are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  Washington is 11-28-2 ATS in its last 41 home games vs. a team with a losing record. 

Plays against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (Washington) With a poor scoring defense, allowing 24 or more points per game, after a loss by 10 points or more are 33-11 (75%) ATS over the last 10 seasons.  Arizona is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six meetings with Washington.  Bet the Cardinals Sunday. 

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Released on Dec 15 at 09:04 pm View Archive
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Dave Price

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Texans vs Jaguars
Play on: Texans +11 -115 at Bovada

Dave’s Sunday Free Play: 

1* on Houston Texans +11 

The Key: The spot couldn’t be much worse for the Jacksonville Jaguars.  They are coming off a physical game agains the Seattle Seahawks, and it was their biggest win of the season.  Now they hold a one-game lead over the Titans for the AFC South lead.  And they still have to face the Titans once more, and the winner of that game will likely decide the division winner.  So the Jaguars can afford to lose this game and still win the division.  They will be in letdown mode off their win over the Seahawks.  The Jaguars haven’t been favored in this price range in years.   The Texans actually scored two touchdowns last week once T.J. Yates took over for Tom Savage just before half.  He can’t possibly be a downgrade, in fact I think he’s an upgrade.  Houston is 26-10 ATS in its last 36 when revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points.  Jacksonville is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite.  Bets on underdogs of 10.5 or more points off a loss by 10 points or more against an opponent that scored 30 or more points in their previous game are 30-7 ATS over the last 10 seasons.  Take Houston.

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Released on Dec 17 at 09:20 am View Archive
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Teddy Covers

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Bengals vs Vikings
Play on: Vikings -10½ -110 at 5Dimes

Take Minnesota (#312)

Cincinnati hasn’t been a double digit underdog in any game since 2008; a testament to the strength of Marvin Lewis’s tenure with the team.  Of course it is probably worth noting that Cinci went 0-3 ATS in their final three tries as double digit dogs nearly a decade ago; non-competitive in defeat.

The Bengals were non-competitive in defeat again last week, walloped 33-7 at home by a Bears team that came into the game with a 3-9 record.  The quotes coming out of Cinci’s locker room after the defeat weren’t particularly positive, to put it mildly.  Andy Dalton: “We didn’t have a lot of energy.” George Iloka: “We came out flat.” Brandon LaFell: “We laid an egg.”  So what changes this week?  Not much!

Cinci is an injured riddled mess right now.  Their entire starting linebacking corps has been unable to practice this week.  Don’t expect LB’s Vontaze Burfict, Kevin Minter or Nick Vigil to suit up on Sunday.  CB Dre Kilpatrick is still in concussion protocol, unlikely to see action.  CB Darqueze Dennard was limited on Thursday, as was safety Shawn Williams.  RB’s Joe Mixon and Giovani Bernard are both banged up, as is TE Tyler Kroft, DE Carlos Dunlap and offensive tackle Eric Winston. 

It’s looking more and more like Marvin Lewis’s extended tenure as the Bengals head coach is coming to a close.  Veteran teams at the tail end of disappointing seasons with a lame duck head coach are not generally ‘bet-on’ squads on the highway against elite defensive foes.  And when that elite defensive foe is coming off a loss, like the Vikings are, it’s a particularly bad spot for the road underdog.

While Cinci’s injury list continues to grow, the Vikings should get starting CB Xavier Rhodes back in the lineup this week, and they could have LT Reilly Reiff and TE Kyle Rudolph healthy as well.   Right tackle Mike Remmers and center Pat Elflein are both expected back in the starting lineup this week after missing the game against Carolina last Sunday.

And the Vikings have proven they can beat teams by margin. Eight of their ten wins have come by eight points or more; not a squad giving up late backdoor touchdowns to kill their pointspread backers.  This is NOT too much of a price to lay backing a legit Super Bowl contender at home against a team that showed nothing but ‘quit’ last week.  Take the Vikings.

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Released on Dec 15 at 02:21 pm View Archive
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Dustin Hawkins

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Jets vs Saints
Play on: Jets +16½ -115 at GTBets

Free Play on Jets +16½ -115

Released on Dec 17 at 06:07 am View Archive
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Bobby Conn

Dec 17 '17, 4:25 PM in 5h
NFL | Patriots vs Steelers
Play on: Patriots -2½ -120 at 5Dimes

1* Free Play on Patriots -2½ -120

Released on Dec 16 at 08:07 pm View Archive
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Scott Rickenbach

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Ravens vs Browns
Play on: Browns +7 -105 at Bovada

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Game #322 Sunday Free Pick Cleveland Browns (+) vs Baltimore Ravens @ 1 ET - The Ravens are off of a tough 1-point loss at Pittsburgh where they allowed 545 yards. The Browns are also off of a tough loss (in OT) versus Green Bay last week but at least Cleveland gets the benefit of being at home again this week. Baltimore is traveling for the 2nd straight week while the Browns are hosting for a 2nd straight week. Cleveland is going to continue to fight hard as they battle for that elusive first win of the season and this is their final chance to do it for the home fans as their last two games of the season are on the road. The Ravens are 3-8 ATS as a favorite between 3.5 and 9.5 points. Baltimore is also an ugly 4-10 ATS in games against teams with a losing record. As a road fave of 3.5 to 7 points, the Ravens are 8-15 ATS. Free Pick CLEVELAND

Released on Dec 17 at 07:11 am View Archive
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Art Aronson

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Eagles vs Giants
Play on: Giants +8 -110 at BMaker

1* Free Play on the New York Giants.

Eli Manning and the Giants are playing for pride the rest of the way. Last week New York fell 30-10 to Dallas. Injuries and other issues led to the Giants miserable season, but they won’t be going down without a fight. They also play with revenge after falling to the Eagles 27-24 earlier in the year. Philadelphia comes in off a 43-35 win at the Rams, but the victory came at a major cost, as starting QB Carson Wentz has now been lost for the remainder of the season to injury. Note that Philadelphia is just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 played on “turf,” while New York is 2-1 ATS this year off a division game, 2-1 ATS after a loss to a division rival and 4-3 ATS after two or more consecutive losses. Consider the GIANTS in this one.

AAA Sports

Released on Dec 12 at 07:00 am View Archive
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Doug Upstone

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Bengals vs Vikings
Play on: UNDER 42 -110

After an all-out effort on Monday night against Pittsburgh and still coming up short, Cincinnati fans probably wanted a refund after the Bengals were a no-show in ugly home whipping by Chicago. With no playoffs and Marvin Lewis probably done as the Cincinnati head coach, the Bengals are not likely to find many points against the NFL's No.3 scoring defense. Plus, Minnesota is even better at home, ranked first and conceding just 13.8 PPG. Coming off a loss to Carolina and having Green Bay on deck, I am not sure we will see Minnesota's A-Game. With Cincy 13-3 UNDER off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite, let's back the lower score. 

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Released on Dec 15 at 08:10 pm View Archive
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Dennis Macklin

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Ravens vs Browns
Play on: Ravens -7 -110 at 5Dimes

DMack's Free NFL Play for Sunday, December 17, 2017, is on the Baltimore Ravens

Cleveland just keeps finding ways to lose and are running out of time to avoid a 0-16 bagel. That said, despite losing their last two home game in overtime, they may want to leave it all on the field in Chicago next week. The Ravens are 17-2 over the L9 in the series and easily dispatched Cleveland 24-10 in Week Two as the Browns turned the ball over five times. Baltimore is still in the thick of the wildcard race and needs a win here so they won't overlook the brownies here. Flacco has the offense humming now producing 82 points the last two games and rolling to nine touchdowns in the teams L22 drives. Cleveland has a penchant for giving it up late, outscored 90-37 in the second half of their L6 games and that seals the deal for us.

Released on Dec 14 at 09:10 pm View Archive
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Jimmy Boyd

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Ravens vs Browns
Play on: OVER 40 -110

Free pick on Browns OVER

I just don't think the mark here is high enough for Sunday's AFC North clash between the Ravens and Browns. I'm not expecting a 38-31 shootout or anything like that, but I don't think it's asking a lot for these two to eclipse 40 points. 

Cleveland's offense has shown some flashes since they added in Josh Gordon. He's caught 7 passes for 154 yards and score in two starts since returning from his suspension. I think he's starting to find his rhythm with DeShone Kizer and could be in store for a big day. Keep in mind the Ravens recently lost their best corner in Jimmy Smith and without him in their last game, Pittsburgh's Antonio Brown had 11 catches for 213 yards. Roethlisberger also connected 10 times with Jesse James and 9 times with Le'Veon Bell, as he threw for 506 yards. 

As for the Ravens offense, I think they were so bad early on that people are overlooking their strong showings of late. Baltimore's 38 points were definitely aided by the Steelers missing star linebacker Ryan Shazier, but they also had 44 the week before against Detroit and are averaging 31.3 ppg over their last 6. Cleveland's defense is better than it gets credit for, but it's also allowed 27 or more in 4 of their last 6 games. 

It's also worth noting that Baltimore has trended towards playing in high-scoring games than expected when coming off a heartbreaking division loss. The OVER is 16-6 in their last 22 games when they are coming off a loss by 3-points or less to a division rival. OVER is also 5-1 in their last 6 road games and 6-0 in their last 6 games played in December. Take the OVER! 

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Released on Dec 14 at 07:40 am View Archive
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Stephen Nover

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Ravens vs Browns
Play on: OVER 40 -112

Can you name the team that has scored the most points during the last two weeks in the NFL? You might be surprised to know it's the Ravens. They are averaging 41 points in their last two games and 30.8 points a game in their past six games.  Joe Flacco is coming off his two best games of the season and Alex Collins has emerged as a good runner ranking third in the league with a 5.1 yards per carry average. The Browns rank 29th in scoring defense allowing 25.8 points per game. They are down several key defenders due to injury and trade.  Baltimore's defense was just torched by Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers. Roethlisberger threw for 506 yards in a 39-38 win against the Ravens last Sunday night. Some of that was due to the Ravens missing their top cornerback, Jimmy Smith. He's out for the season.  DeShone Kizer is no Roethlisberger. But Kizer is improving each week, has a big arm and excellent mobility. The Browns have stocked up on their weapons. Kizer has two dangerous wide receiving targets now with Josh Gordon and Corey Coleman. So the Browns are fully capable of helping this total go Over, too.  Weather shouldn't be a problem with only a slight wind and temperatures in the 30s. The condidtions were much worse in Cleveland last week yet both the Packers, with backup quarterback Brett Hundley, and the Browns were able to move the ball with a combined 48 points being scored.  (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is recognized as one of the top NFL 'cappers in North America with the record to prove it. Stephen is zooming in on his 22nd winning NFL season in 24 years cashing nearly 60 percent of his premium/free plays during the past eight weeks. Fresh off a Thursday winner with the Broncos, Stephen has one of his strongest packages of the season going Sunday headed by his NFL Chalk Game of the Month.) 

Released on Dec 15 at 07:08 am View Archive
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Mike Williams

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Texans vs Jaguars
Play on: Texans +11 -115 at Bovada

1* on Texans +11 -115

Released on Dec 17 at 08:03 am View Archive
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Vic Duke

Dec 17 '17, 4:25 PM in 5h
NFL | Patriots vs Steelers
Play on: OVER 53½ -118

Patriots/Steelers 4:25: Both QBs - Brady and Roethlisberger have had huge games against their respective opponents. Today, I see a similar result. The Steelers miss Shazier bad. Last week Baltimore, laboring in the bottom of NFL offensive production, thrashed them for 413 yards! Brady has Gronk back today and that will be a huge boost. New acquisition Kenny Britt could also be available for extra depth. Brady sports a 114.8 QB rating with 70% completion and 21:3 TD:INT ratio. On the other hand, Roethlisberger has been nearly as hot vs NE. He sports a solid 98.2 QB rating, 63% completions and a 15:5 TD:INT ratio. Patriots have been decimated by injuries defensively, and are playing many young players. That should translate into getting scorched by the number of Steeler skill weapons including Antonio Brown, RB Bell, TE James. Steelers 8-1 O/U as dogs of less than 7 points against a .500 or greater opponent. Series 5-2 O/U at Heinz Field. 

Released on Dec 17 at 02:14 am View Archive
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Bobby Wing

Dec 17 '17, 4:25 PM in 5h
NFL | Patriots vs Steelers
Play on: OVER 53½ -118

1 Unit Free Pick: Patriots vs Steelers over 53½ -118

Released on Dec 16 at 08:07 pm View Archive
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Scott Spreitzer

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Jets vs Saints
Play on: Jets +16½ -115 at GTBets

I'm recommending a play on the New York Jets plus the points on Sunday.  The look-ahead line at Westgate was 10 1/2 for this contest and we see the Saints as a 16 1/2 point favorite as we post this play.  It's also a tough spot for New Orleans with this game sandwiched between two games against the Falcons. The Jets' offense sputtered in Bryce Petty's start in place of the injured Josh McCown, but Petty is likely to have more control of the offense this week and will be up to NFL speed after facing the NFL's top-ranked defense in Denver. The Saints aren't bad on defense, overall, but you can run on them and I believe the ground game will fare better, allowing Petty a better chance to manage the game.  Finally, NFL home teams have covered just 77 of the last 202 chances if they're off a SU road loss and their opponent is off a road loss by 14 or more points.  I'm recommending a play on the Jets plus the points.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.

Released on Dec 17 at 05:03 am View Archive
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Sal Michaels

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Eagles vs Giants
Play on: UNDER 40½ -110

Free Play on Eagles vs Giants under 40½ -110

Released on Dec 17 at 09:04 am View Archive
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Totals Guru

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Texans vs Jaguars
Play on: OVER 38 -110

Free Total Annihilator On Texans vs Jaguars over 38 -110

Released on Dec 17 at 07:09 am View Archive
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Mike Lundin

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Packers vs Panthers
Play on: Packers +3 -110 at BMaker

#NFL FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN

The Green Bay Packers have been without their star quarterback Aaron Rodgers for the last seven weeks, but he's expected to be back under center for Sunday's matchup with the Carolina Panthers. 

Rodgers has been out since breaking his collarbone in a Week 6 loss to the Minnesota Vikings, but the Pack added the All-Pro quarterback to the active roster yesterday, and with that roster move he's officially clear to start Sunday. 

The Packers have kept their playoff hopes alive (although slim) by going 3-4 in his absence and they're just one game out of a wild-card spot in the NFC. I think Rodgers' return will give Green Bay a massive boost giving the visitors the edge in this contest. 

The Carolina Panthers have won four of their last five and defeated Minnesota 31-24 last week. Possible let down spot here after snapping Minnesota's eight-game win streak, and I'm taking the points on the Packers in this matchup. We can also note that the underdog is 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 in this series.

My free pick is on Green Bay Packers. 

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Released on Dec 17 at 05:30 am View Archive
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Brandon Lee

Dec 17 '17, 4:05 PM in 5h
NFL | Rams vs Seahawks
Play on: Rams +2½ -109 at betonline

10* FREE NFL PICK (Rams +2.5)

I would have to lean towards taking Los Angeles and the points in this one. As much respect as I have for Seattle and how well they play at home, especially this time of year, I think they are battling too many injuries right now. Prior to last week’s game at Jacksonville, they were already down three big time defensive players in Richard Sherman (CB), Kam Chancellor (S) and Cliff Avril (DE).

Against the Jags, Bobby Wagner (LB) had to leave with a hamstring injury and K.J. Wright (LB) was forced out with a concussion. I have a hard time seeing Wagner play and if he does he won’t be 100%. As for Wright, he's listed as doubtful. 

As loud and as crazy as the home crowd will be, I don’t think it will be enough to help this defense slow down this high-powered Rams offensive attack. Keep in mind Seattle had their fair share of troubles against this Rams offense in the first meeting and at that point only Avril had been lost on defense.

The other big key here for me is I don’t like how the Seahawks offensive line matches up with this Rams talented defensive front. Seattle’s inability to keep LA’s defensive linemen out of their backfield is why they have struggled so much against this team. In the last 4 meetings against the Rams, the Seahawks are averaging just 15 ppg. Keep in mind Seattle went up against a similarly strong defensive front last week and Wilson had three interceptions and was sacked twice. Wilson only threw for 198 yards in the first meeting with LA.

Seahawks home field edge also hasn’t all that great against good teams, as they are a mere 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record. Give me the Rams +2.5!

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Released on Dec 15 at 04:40 pm View Archive
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Pro Computer Gambler

Dec 17 '17, 4:25 PM in 5h
NFL | Titans vs 49ers
Play on: 49ers PK -125 at 5Dimes
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. 

(EXTRA) NFL TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: Perhaps even more powerful than that system...
The Patriots are 19-0 ATS (+16.05 ppg) when they are off a loss and they are not laying more than a field goal.

Released on Dec 14 at 05:58 pm View Archive
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Larry Ness

Dec 17 '17, 4:25 PM in 5h
NFL | Titans vs 49ers
Play on: Titans +2 -110 at Bovada

My 1* Free Play is on the Tennessee Titans (4:25 EST).

The 8-5 Tennessee Titans are in San Francisco to take on the 3-10 49ers and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.

The 49ers look poised for a letdown here in my opinion after winning three of their last four. 

The Titans on the other hand will be the more “desperate” team today as last week’s loss at Arizona dropped them a game behind Jacksonville for the AFC South lead. 

Tennessee’ QB Marcus Mariota bruised his knee in last week’s loss: “Frustration is an understatement,” Mariota assessed afterwards. “The defense played lights out, special teams did their job and I have been hurting our team and I have to find ways to get better and improve.”

San Fran QB Jimmy Garoppolo is 2-0 for his new team, last week he went 20 of 33 for 334 yards, one TD and one INT in the 26-16 victory over the Texans. 

I’ll point out though that Tennessee is still 6-4 ATS in its last ten non-conference games, while San Francisco is only 2-7 ATS in its last nine in the same position. 

The book is out on Garoppolo now, who I think will struggle against the Titans aggressive defense. Mariota is under a great deal of pressure to step up and perform this week and I think he’ll be up to the task. 

For all the reasons listed above, consider a play on Tennessee in this matchup.

Good luck…Larry

Released on Dec 16 at 09:34 am View Archive
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Ray Monohan

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Bengals vs Vikings
Play on: Vikings -12 -110 at Bovada

Minnesota -12

The Vikings have value here against Cincinnati on Sunday. 

Minnesota has been absolutely dominant this season and catch a Bengals team that simply has not been good this season. 

Cincinnati is just 2-4 on the road and has averaged just 19.3 points per road contest. They simply just haven't been able to get anything generated as Andy Dalton and AJ Green both have struggled to gain any sort of momentum they typically have.

Along with that, the Vikings 5-1 SU record at home adds a lot of value to this. They are a solid 5-1 ATS in that span, allowing just 13.8 points against. 

Some trends to note. Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.

Minnesota is just simply better and should run away with this one.

Back Minnesota.

Good Luck, Razor Ray.

Sunday 5* FREE NFL ATS Play

Released on Dec 17 at 10:11 am View Archive
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Marc Lawrence

Dec 17 '17, 1:00 PM in 2h
NFL | Texans vs Jaguars
Play on: Texans +11½ -117 at betonline

Play - Houston Texans (Game 315).

Edges - Texans: 5-1 ATS last six games as a visitor in this series… Jaguars: 0-4 ATS home in division games following consecutive home games; and NFL home teams are 6-12 SU and 3-15 ATS in division games after facing Pete Carroll’s Seattle Seahawks … With Texans’ QB TJ Yates 5-0 ATS as a dog in his NFL career, we recommend a 1* play on Houston. Thank you and good lucks as always.

> Marc’s red-hot winning run on the gridiron continues Sunday with his once-a-year 10* NFL Game Of The Year.  Best of all it’s loaded with amazing 100% NEVER LOST winning angles inside the game that are 33-0 ATS.  If you’re serious about winning then you know exactly what to do!

Released on Dec 16 at 09:57 am View Archive
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