ASA Free WNBA play on NY Liberty -4.5 vs Dallas Wings, 8pm ET - We are not about to get in the way of the Liberty train right now as New York is playing at another level right now with a healthy Ionesco back in the lineup. The Liberty just beat the two best teams in the Western Conference at home, the Lynx and Aces, covering both spreads in the process. They hung 99 points on the Lynx who have the best defensive efficiency rating in the league at 0.961-points per possession. In comparison, the Wings defense is 7th in dEFF at 1.024PPP allowed. Dallas is 4-2 SU in their last six games and statistically playing well but those numbers and wins come against Seattle, Chicago, Connecticut and Toronto, bottom teams in the league. The two losses in that 6-game stretch came against Las Vegas and Minnesota, both by 8 or more points. Don’t be misled by each teams last 5 games Net rating as the Liberty’s +1.6 comes against a very tough schedule. As we mentioned, the Wings last 5-games weren’t nearly as tough and they have a worse Net rating of -0.7. New York is looking for payback here after losing to the Wings on this same court in late May. The Liberty are 44-14 SU at home since 2024 as a home favorite with an average margin of victory of +7.4PPG. Lay it with New York.
1* Bet on Sky/Mercury: over 174½