Sports Handicapper Alex Smart's Picks & Predictions

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Alex Smart's Premium Picks Streaks & Trends

Sport	W-L	Profit	Win Pct	Since	Archive
All Sports	127-77	$4,630	62%	2021-04-21	View Picks
Basketball	158-108	$4,026	59%	2021-03-17	View Picks
NBA	128-81	$4,001	61%	2021-03-17	View Picks
MLB	421-375	$2,665	53%	2019-04-01	View Picks
NHL	8-4	$393	67%	2021-04-29	View Picks

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Nationals vs Diamondbacks	Nationals -117	Premium	4-11	Loss	-117	Show
Nationals starter Joe Ross (RHP2-2, 4.26 ERA, 28 SO) is 2-0 with a 1.17 ERA in three starts against the D-backs. He struck out seven and allowed two runs with three hits and five walks in his last outing on Sunday at Yankee Stadium. Rinse and repeat here vs a side he owns. ROSS is 15-2 ( against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record) Diamondbacks are 0-9 in their last 9 games as an underdog. The Nationals are 8-0 L/8 on the ML when Joe Ross starts as a favorite after he averaged more than 4 pitches per batter in his last start. Play on the Washington Nationals to win
Angels vs Red Sox	Red Sox +106	Premium	0-9	Win	106	Show
Dylan Bundy (RHP 0-4, 5.03 ERA, 43 SOD) is winless in his seven starts this season. The right-hander was removed in the fourth inning of his previous start after the Dodgers scored six earned runs on five hits. Rinse and repeat as Im betting the BoSox to pound away here and get us the win. The Angels are 0-9 L/9 after they lost by one run which was the case yesterday. Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. American League East. Angels are 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. MLB Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - poor fielding team - averaging 0.75+ errors/game on the season, after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games are 10-30 L/5 seasons for ago against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Boston to win
Phillies vs Blue Jays	Blue Jays +128	Premium	0-4	Win	128	Show
Aaron Nola(RHP3-2, 3.59 ERA, 53 SO) threw a career-low 58 pitches in four innings in Sunday's loss to the Braves. Since he threw a shutout on April 18 against the Cardinals at Citizens Bank Park, Nola is 2-1 with a 5.09 ERA in four starts and today Im betting his problems continue vs an explosive Blue Jays batting order that according to my power rankings matches up well vs the righty.Phillies are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings in Toronto. Phillies are 3-7 in their last 10 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Phillies are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.Phillies are 3-8 in their last 11 during game 2 of a series.Phillies are 2-6 in their last 8 interleague road games. Phillies are 3-11 in their last 14 interleague games as a favorite. Play on Toronto to win
Bruins vs Capitals	Bruins -123	Premium	2-3	Loss	-123	Show
East Division Playoffs - First Round - Best Of 7 - Game 1 The Bruins posted a 12-4-1 record to finish the regular season, and will have forward Charlie Coyle back in the lineup to solidify their third line after he missed the final four games due to injury. In a series like this between tough veteran sides, it will come down Im betting to goaltending and with that said, depth favors the Bruins, with rookie phenom Jeremy Swayman playing behind veteran Tuukka Rask between the pipes. Bruins win game 1
Bulls vs Nets	UNDER 235 -110	Premium	91-105	Win	100	Show
Brooklyn has solidified its defensive play of late as they prepare for post season hoops and nothing changes here today vs the Bulls. Meanwhile, the Bulls continue to play good defense and have held 3 of their L/5 opponents to 99 point ore less. This afternoon Im betting on a continuation of this type of top tier D by both sides in a games that Im betting stays under the the offered total. CHICAGO is 13-3 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 215.4 ppg going on the board. CHICAGO is 12-2 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents this season with a combined average of 216.1 ppg scored. Under is 9-0 in Bulls last 9 overall. Under is 6-0 in Bulls last 6 games as an underdog. Under is 9-4 in Nets last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (CHICAGO) - off an home win scoring 110 or more points, on Saturday games are 42-17 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 45-18 L/24 seasons for a 72% conversion rate of bettors. Play UNDER
Lakers vs Pacers	UNDER 226½ -109	Premium	122-115	Loss	-109	Show
The Lakers who are ranked No.1 in the NBA in defensive efficiency opus operandi bases it successes and failures on playing a tough defensive system that plays a great deal to transitional play. Considering Indiana runs a all out take no prisoners style of hoops its obvious that two different styles will go head to head here. However Im betting on the superior side solidifying that future play off game plan by making sure their will is imposed, which will see this game grind at a slower pace than the lines-makers expect or project. Also generally speaking afternoon action has a way of being slower paced than games played later in the day or night, thus adding to my belief that this combined score fails to eclipse the total. Note: Indiana is off a big time offensive slugfest last time out losing 143-132 to the Bucks , and Im betting they will regress here with less energy and offensive efficiency. INDIANA is 21-8 L/29 UNDER after scoring 130 points with the average combined score clicking in at 210.6 ppg. INDIANA is 13-3 UNDER in home games after allowing 130 points with a combined average of 201.8 ppg. LA LAKERS are 28-11 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or more of their attempts this season with the combined average score of 212.1 ppg going on the board. LA LAKERS are 32-15 UNDER (+15.5 Units) versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season with the average combined score clicking at 215.1 ppg . LA LAKERS are 22-7 UNDER as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season with a combined average of 215.1 ppg scored. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (INDIANA) - in a game involving two explosive offensive teams (102 or more PPG) after 42+ games, after scoring 130 points or more are 68-34 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 67% conversion rate. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA LAKERS) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better are 150-96 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 61% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
Celtics vs Wolves	Celtics +4½ -105	Premium	124-108	Win	100	Show
Boston was locked into a spot in the play-in tournament after its 102-94 loss in Cleveland on Wednesday night and find themselves in that spot because of injuries that have seen them struggle down the stretch. However, Boston is still a viable opponent for this afternoons competition the Minnesota Wolves who despite of playing better are still a non play off side with some major inconsistencies. Celtics are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest. Timberwolves are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite. Celtics are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Minnesota. Celtics are 7-0-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Play on Boston to cover

List of accomplishments

Year	Accomplishment	Record	Win %	Profit
2015	#1 in WNBA	49-32	60.5%	$1,499
2014 -2015	#1 in NBA	192-148	56.5%	$3,378
2018 -2019	#2 in NHL	97-67	59.2%	$2,592
2017 -2018	#2 in NBA	228-179	56%	$3,541
2016 -2017	#2 in CBB	274-223	55.1%	$3,265
2016 -2017	#2 in NBA	238-189	55.7%	$3,458
2016 -2017	#2 in Basketball	512-412	55.4%	$6,723
2014	#2 in WNBA	31-27	53.5%	$167
2014	#2 in CFB	92-64	59%	$2,222
2014 -2015	#2 in Basketball	430-378	53.2%	$2,339
2014 -2015	#3 in CFL	8-5	61.5%	$260
2014 -2015	#3 in NHL	66-60	52.4%	$834
2017	#4 in CFB	109-80	57.7%	$2,017
2017	#4 in All Sports	1055-947	52.7%	$3,438
2015 -2016	#4 in CFL	8-6	57.1%	$100
2017 -2018	#5 in CFL	19-12	61.3%	$565
2017 -2018	#5 in NHL	70-55	56%	$1,397
2016	#5 in CFB	136-113	54.6%	$1,243
2012	#5 in All Sports	103-74	58.2%	$2,276
2013 -2014	#6 in CBB	221-190	53.8%	$1,502
2017 -2018	#7 in Basketball	497-441	53%	$2,110
2019 -2020	#8 in NHL	75-64	54%	$793
2019	#8 in MLB	261-235	52.6%	$2,291
2017	#8 in Football	158-131	54.7%	$1,236
2012 -2013	#8 in Basketball	209-174	54.6%	$1,798
2016 -2017	#9 in CFL	5-3	62.5%	$175
2012	#9 in CFB	24-16	60%	$670
2017	#10 in PRENFL	5-3	62.5%	$170
2016	#10 in Football	190-167	53.2%	$684
2012 -2013	#10 in NBA	95-76	55.6%	$1,228

Service Alex Smart's Bio & About Section

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.

My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.