Sports Handicapper Alex Smart's Picks & Predictions

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Alex Smart's Premium Picks Streaks & Trends

Sport	W-L	Profit	Win Pct	Since	Archive
NBA	409-328	$5,619	56%	2017-11-17	View Picks
MLB	216-175	$3,120	55%	2018-05-06	View Picks
NHL	137-101	$2,890	58%	2017-10-04	View Picks
Football	354-300	$2,216	54%	2017-09-02	View Picks
NFL	91-62	$2,127	59%	2017-12-16	View Picks
NCAA-F	226-191	$1,631	54%	2017-09-02	View Picks
All Sports	1211-1106	$908	52%	2019-03-16	View Picks
WNBA	68-55	$771	55%	2017-08-11	View Picks
Basketball	930-853	$676	52%	2017-11-23	View Picks
CFL	6-3	$280	67%	2018-09-08	View Picks
NFLX	8-5	$250	62%	2017-08-19	View Picks
NCAA-B	47-41	$232	53%	2019-03-05	View Picks

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Jazz vs Bulls	UNDER 218½ -109	Premium	114-83	Win	100	Show
Utah ranks 2nd in defensive rating in the NBA and just 19th in offensive output, thus making playing defensive hoops a priority. The Jazz have kept 4 of their L/7 opponents under the 98 point plateau and Im betting will be ready to once again play some staunch defensive hoops in this spot vs the Bulls. Considering the Bulls are ranked 27th in offence in the league this season behind the 20th ranked pace , I wont be surprised if their output is limited, which in turn will help keep this score on the low side of the total. CHICAGO is 21-12 UNDER when the total is 210 to 219.5 this season. NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - after a win by 6 points or less against opponent after a loss by 6 points or less are 69-33 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
Wolves vs Grizzlies	OVER 216 -109	Premium	112-99	Loss	-109	Show
The Grizzlies are 7-3 in their last 10 home games and it began with a 108-106 victory over Minnesota on Feb. 5. Note: MINNESOTA is 12-1 OVER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite this season with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored.With that said, Im betting the Wolves come here and force, and push the Grizzlies into a back and forth scoring fest , which the Grizzlies have looked comfortable in of late with their last four games seeing a combined 249.7 ppg scored with all four easily going over the set total. Over is 13-5 in Timberwolves last 18 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.Over is 17-7 in Timberwolves last 24 games playing on 1 days rest.Over is 17-7 in Timberwolves last 24 road games.Over is 7-3 in Timberwolves last 10 vs. NBA Southwest.Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Memphis.Over is 7-2 in Grizzlies last 9 vs. a team with a losing straight up record. Play on the OVER
Lipscomb vs NC-Greensboro	NC-Greensboro +1½ -115	Premium	86-69	Loss	-115	Show
The matchup pits the two teams with the most wins remaining in the NIT bracket. My own projections make NC Greensboro as -3 favorite thus giving us value on this pickem line according to my estimations. Bison are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.Bison are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.Bison are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Bison are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games. Spartans are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 home games.Spartans are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Spartans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Spartans are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.Spartans are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Play on NC Greensboro to cover
Villanova vs Purdue	Villanova +3½ -108	Premium	61-87	Loss	-108	Show
The defending national champion Villanova Wildcats head into this 2nd round game against Purdue as underdogs. Villanova has to fight hard to get past a nasty St.Marys team that claws and scratches itself to being competitive. Meanwhile, Purdue had an easy go of it vs Old Dominion in a DD win. This matchup, will feature a Purdue team ranked 12th in the Big Ten in three point defense going against a Villanova side that depends on taking foes out with downtown treys. Another negative for Purdue , is their inability to convert on FTs which is of ultimate importance in a game that is expected to be fairly close. I know the Wildcats are not as strong as last years version, but they must be respected getting points vs a Boilermakers team that has not travelled all that well this season. Note: Coach Jay Wright is 14-1 in its last 15 NCAA Tournament games. Wildcats are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 vs. Big Ten.Wildcats are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games. Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Boilermakers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Boilermakers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big East.Boilermakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win. Note: G Phil Booth of Villanova in the 70th game in his career against non-Big East opposition . . . is 63-7 SU for a (.899) win %. . His team has 13 straight NCAA tourney victories when he plays . One more here today vs a Gaels team that might have to experience an emotional letdown scenario at the worst possible time. Play on Villanova to cover
Maryland vs LSU	UNDER 146½ -110	Premium	67-69	Win	100	Show
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Veterans Memorial Arena - Jacksonville, FL Tigers can score, but their a below average team from beyond the arc. LSU shoots just 32.1 percent from downtown, which ranks No. 286 out of 353 Division I teams. With that said, Im betting Maryland slows down the explosive Tigers by derailing their transition game , and holding down their opponents from beyond the arc, which will translate into a lower scoring game than the lines-makers are expecting. MARYLAND is 11-4 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season with a combined average of 129.9 ppg scored. MARYLAND is 7-1 UNDER in road games versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game this season with a combined average of 127.7 ppg going on the board. MARYLAND is 8-2 UNDER as an underdog this season with a combined average of 128.7 ppg scored. Turgeon is 7-0 UNDER after a game forcing opponent to commit 5 or less turnovers as the coach of MARYLAND with a combined average of 127.3 ppg scored. CBB Neutral court teams against the total (MARYLAND) - in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences, playing their 2nd game in 3 days are 237-161 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play UNDER
Islanders vs Flyers	UNDER 5½ +100	Premium	4-2	Loss	-100	Show
The Islanders have been shutout in back to back games and are having problems burying the biscuit. NYI plays a very deliberate transition style game anyway, and when they are struggling to score they are in trouble. Add to that their on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 5 days and 4th in 7th days, Im expecting a very conservative effort in this early afternoon game vs division rival Philadelphia, a side that has lit them up in recent meetings by scores of 4-1 and 5-2. NY ISLANDERS are 28-7 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 5 days this season. NY ISLANDERS are 11-3 UNDER revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 3 or more goals this season. NY ISLANDERS are 16-5 UNDER L/21 against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game. Play UNDER
Florida vs Michigan	OVER 120 -110	Premium	49-64	Loss	-110	Show
NCAA Tournament - Second Round - Wells Fargo Arena - Des Moines, IA I know these teams play stringent defensive ball, but Im betting on them eclipsing this total based on my projections which estimate both will hit the 60 point plateau in a back and forth affair. Beilein is 90-59 OVER after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers as the coach of MICHIGAN. MICHIGAN is 12-4 OVER (after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half over the last 2 season. CBB teams where the total is 119.5 or less (MICHIGAN/FLORIDA) - in a game involving two good free throw shooting teams (69-73%) are 60-22 OVER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER

List of accomplishments

Year	Accomplishment	Record	Win %	Profit
2015	Ranked #1 in WNBA	49-32	60.5%	$1,499
2014 -2015	Ranked #1 in NBA	192-148	56.5%	$3,378
2017 -2018	Ranked #2 in NBA	228-179	56%	$3,541
2016 -2017	Ranked #2 in CBB	274-223	55.1%	$3,265
2016 -2017	Ranked #2 in NBA	238-189	55.7%	$3,458
2016 -2017	Ranked #2 in Basketball	512-412	55.4%	$6,723
2014 -2015	Ranked #2 in Basketball	430-378	53.2%	$2,339
2014	Ranked #3 in WNBA	31-27	53.5%	$167
2014	Ranked #3 in CFB	92-64	59%	$2,222
2014 -2015	Ranked #3 in NHL	66-60	52.4%	$834
2017	Ranked #4 in CFB	109-80	57.7%	$2,017
2017 -2018	Ranked #5 in CFL	19-12	61.3%	$565
2017 -2018	Ranked #5 in NHL	70-55	56%	$1,397
2017	Ranked #5 in All Sports	1055-947	52.7%	$3,438
2014 -2015	Ranked #5 in CFL	8-5	61.5%	$260
2016	Ranked #6 in CFB	136-113	54.6%	$1,243
2012	Ranked #6 in All Sports	103-74	58.2%	$2,276
2015 -2016	Ranked #7 in CFL	8-6	57.1%	$100
2013 -2014	Ranked #8 in CBB	221-190	53.8%	$1,502
2016 -2017	Ranked #9 in CFL	5-3	62.5%	$175
2012 -2013	Ranked #9 in Basketball	209-174	54.6%	$1,798
2017 -2018	Ranked #10 in Basketball	497-441	53%	$2,110

Service Alex Smart's Bio & About Section

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.

My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigous event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.