Sports Handicapper Alex Smart's Picks & Predictions

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play OVER

Colorado has played really  good hoops this season, but here on the road where they are just 1-1 in true away games  Im betting they are at a disadvantage vs a Arizona State side that has won 6 of their 7 home games. Tonight I look for the Sun Devils downtown shooting prowess to  be effective vs the Buffaloes pac defence which is not as proficient at stopping beyond the arc attempts as is it in close conversion attempts. COLORADO is 2-12 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA ST is 12-3 ATS  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  80% or more ) over the last 3 seasons.

Buffaloes  have lost their six games visits to Arizona State by an average of 13 points per game. Rinse and repeat. 

Play on Arizona State to cover 

The Bucks took 128-102 win against the New York Knicks on Tuesday with the comfortable margin of victory allowing them to limit the minutes of their starters. Im betting they will be very fresh here and ready to really bring some heat on the Celtics offensively . That in part is why the books laid such a big side number on this game, also factoring in the Celtics fatigue factor with this being a back to back situation for them, and also taking into consideration that HC Stevens left alot of the starters in for more minutes than expected. While the side, is to inflated to have me on the Bucks I do expect their motivation to really see them show no mercy tonight and for the proud Celtics to fire back with some offensive  fire works of their own in chase mode which Im betting sees a score that eclipses this total. 

Teams like the Celtics  are 12-0 OVER L/12 as a dog with no rest after they had 3 or fewer double digit scorers with the combined average score clicking in at 236.7 ppg.

he Bucks are 9-0 OVER L/9  as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 45 rebounds per game with a combined average of 234.3 ppg scored. 

NBA team (MILWAUKEE) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a road favorite, off a home blowout win by 20 points or more are 31-10 OVER L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

The Magic have won 4 of their L/5 games and have covered 7 of their L/8 as they are playing their best hoops of the season at the moment as they come off a victory vs Lakers last night. This will be the Magics 2nd straight game in  LA as they now face the mighty Clippers in a back to back situation. I know it might seem like the Magic are at a huge disadvantage , but they are very well conditioned , and will not easily run out of fuel here down the stretch vs a far more talented team, which gives credence to a competitive effort and if need be a back door cover. . Note: Teams playing on back to back nights in LA are a profitable bet , going 82-64-1 ATS  L/147 for a 56% conversion rate for bettors in their escape from LA game. 

ORLANDO is 14-4 ATS  after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

The Magic are 14-1 ATS L/15 as a dog with less than two days rest off a win as a road dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent. 

NBA Teams like the Magic  are 40-11 ATS L/51 as a road dog off a win as a road dog when they lost 4 straight vs current opponent. 

NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (ORLANDO) - in non-conference games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 54-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Orlando to cover 

New Orleans is hosting a Jazz team that has won 10 games in a row and currently playing their best hoops of the season.  With Pelicans key contributors Brandon Ingram (knee), Jrue Holiday (elbow), JJ Redick (hamstring) and Derrick Favors (hamstring), all   day to day and less than 100% the home side is at a disadvantage. Note: Utah has won and covered their L/4 trips to the Bayou and get Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation in this spot.

The Pelicans are 0-12-1 ATS /0-13 SU L/13 at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a dog after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. 

NBA Teams like the Pelicans  are 0-11 ATS /SU as a home dog with more than one day of rest off a win as a road dog.

NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (UTAH) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 32-1 L/23 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by +9 ppg which qualifies on a ATS parameter. 

Play on Utah to cover 

GOALTENDERS: CAROLINA - PETR MRAZEK, COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS

Both theses teams play a similar tight forechecking type of defensive hockey, that results in consistent low scoring outputs, both from themselves and their opponents. For example Columbus has won back to back games by 3-0 nothing scores, while, Carolina has shut out 2 of their L/3 opponents but scored just 5 goals in in total in thier L/3 trips to the frozen pond. Im betting on more of the same tight defensive play and top tier goaltending when both sides meet tonight. 

 CAROLINA is 6-0 UNDER in road games revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent by 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored.(Columbus won both meetings this season, by one goal counts)

 COLUMBUS is 9-1 UNDER  in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored.COLUMBUS is 8-0 UNDER after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season with a combined average of 3.9 gpg scored.

NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (COLUMBUS) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more against opponent after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game are 71-29 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER