Sports Handicapper Alex Smart's Picks & Predictions

Drexel  lost at home to Hofstra 72-59 on January 25 and according to my power rankings do not matchup well vs Hofstra. Considering how over powering the  Pride have  been as visitors this season recording a   a 6-1 record in CAA play with the  average ppg diff in their wins clicking in at  10.3 points it will be an easy decision to lay the points here with the top tier road warrior. 

HOFSTRA is 7-1 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games this season.HOFSTRA is 14-2 ATS (when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season.

CBB Road teams as an favorite or pick (HOFSTRA) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half are 63-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a 67% conversion rate.

Play on Hofstra to cover 

GARDNER WEBB is 8-1 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% or better  of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.GARDNER WEBB is 12-3 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.Craft is 20-8 ATS in road games against conference opponents as the coach of GARDNER WEBB.

Gardner Webb is 3-0 SUL/3 in this series. 

The Milwaukee Bucks key players Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton took part in the all star game and Im betting will be a bit of an emotional letdown situation on the road today vs a stumbling Motown side Im sure their overlooking. The Bucks have had a propensity to play down to their opponents this season, and with Philadelphia on board for this weekend in a key eastern conference battle, they could easily just go through the motions here, while Detroit will look at this as a big time redemption game , and an opportunity to get some pride and momentum back after a nasty first half of the season. 

 Casey is 18-6 ATS  in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses in all games he has coached .

NBA Teams like the Pistons are 19-3-1 ATS at home with more than two days of rest off a loss as a road dog in which they scored fewer than 10 fast break points. 

NBA Home underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog are 27-7 ATS L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Detroit to cover 

Columbus plays a conservative disciplined brand of defensive hockey, and they consistently find a way to keep games chippy and physical while taking teams out of their offensive flow.  Rinse and repeat here tonight vs Philadelphia as they will be very stringent after suffering a 5-1 loss to the Flyers in the first part of this home and home series. 

COLUMBUS is 6-0 UNDER  in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season with a combined average of 2.3 gpg scored.

COLUMBUS is 15-2 UNDER  in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season.

NHL Road teams where the total is 5.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, high scoring team (2.9 or more goals/G) vs an avg. scoring team (2.5-2.9 goals/G) - 2nd half of the year are 47-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Utah has lost 2 straight and 4 of their L/6 , but the two wins came at home, where they play their best hoops, as their 10-1 record as hosts would indicate. Tonight against a strong looking UCLA group, Im betting they find a way to win, with the extra motivation of revenge for a earlier lopsided loss to the Bruins in LA a couple of weeks ago. Note: Utah is 16-4-1 ATS at home with same-season conference revenge under head coach Larry Krystowiaki and a perfect 12-0 ATS when they own a win percentage of less than .655.

UCLA is 0-7 ATS at road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. UCLA is 0-8 ATS in road games after having won 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons.

 The Utes  are  3-11 ATS vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents over the last 3 season.

Utah is 16-4-1 ATS at home with same-season conference revenge under head coach Larry Krystowiaki. 

CBB road team (UCLA) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, in a game involving two marginal winning teams (51% to 60%) are 19-47 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Utah to cover 

Chicago was   playing alot of offensive back and forth affairs before the all star break, but Charlotte does not have the fire power to take part in that type of affair ranking 30th in the league in offence, and will look to slow this game down behind the 30th ranked pace in the NBA . This Im betting has a direct effect on this total to the under. 

The Bulls are 0-17-1 UNDER L/18 as a favorite off a 10+ loss in a road game when they are off two losses as dogs with a combined average of 184.2 ppg scored with non of the tilts in the subset going over this total. 

The Hornets are 1-13 UNDER L/14 on the road after a game as a road dog in which they scored 15 or more points in the second than the first half with a combined average of 192.9 ppg .NBA Teams like the Hornets are 0-13 UNDER L/13  with more than two days of rest off a win as a dog facing an opponent averaging more than 30 points from 3s with the combined average score of 208 ppg going on the scoreboard. 

NBA team (CHARLOTTE) - off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog, second half of the season are 32-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

 analysis to follow- thank you for your patience 

I know Chicago lost 6 straight entering the All Star break, but thats makes them all the more hungry, and now  Im betting they are more than capable of taking out a inconsistent Charlotte side that has lost 20 of their 30 road games this season, with average overall diff clicking in at -8.9 ppg. 

The Hornets are 0-12 ATS /SU L/12 on the road with rest off a game as a dog after out scoring their opponent in the paint by double digits.

The Hornets are 1-16 ATS /0-17 SU as a road dog off a road game facing an opponent averaging less than 20 fouls-against per game.

NBA Favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 33-0 L/5 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +13.2 ppg which qualifies under the perimeters of this side wager. 

NBA favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - average 3PT shooting team (33-36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are 28-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on Chicago