Sports Handicapper Alex Smart's Picks & Predictions

Alex Smart

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Alex Smart's Premium Picks Streaks & Trends

Sport W-L Profit Win Pct Since Archive
Basketball 206-152 $4,134 58% 2021-03-17 View Picks
All Sports 321-266 $2,417 55% 2021-04-21 View Picks
MLB 26-14 $1,372 65% 2021-04-21 View Picks
NFL 19-13 $390 59% 2018-11-18 View Picks
Football 4-1 $300 80% 2021-01-17 View Picks
NFLX 5-3 $188 63% 2019-08-24 View Picks
WNBA 3-2 $80 60% 2021-07-09 View Picks
NCAA-F 21-19 $15 53% 2020-12-12 View Picks

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

PICKS IN PROGRESS

Jul 27 '21, 8:10 PM
Play Type: Premium Pick
MLB | Tigers vs Twins
Play on: UNDER 9 +101
Game Analysis

The Twins are 0-8L/8 when Kenta Maeda starts after a quality start in his last outing which is the case. 

Under is 5-2-1 in Tigers last 8 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 5-2 in Tigers last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 4-0-1 in Twins last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.

Play on the UNDER 

Pick Released on Jul 27 at 10:57 am
Jul 27 '21, 7:05 PM
Play Type: Premium Pick
MLB | Brewers vs Pirates
Play on: Brewers -123 at William Hill
Game Analysis

National League Central-leading Milwaukee has won seven of the 10 meetings against the Pirates, who reside in the Central cellar. For his career, Brett Anderson the Brewers starter is 4-1 with a 2.82 ERA in seven starts against Pittsburgh and once again has the edge needed for a Milwaukee victory. 

Brewers are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. National League Central.Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a left-handed starter.Brewers are 41-20 in their last 61 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Brewers are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.Brewers are 10-4 in their last 14 vs. National League Central.

The Pirates are 0-12 L/12 on the ML off a game as a dog in which they did not score after the third inning.Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Pirates are 1-8 in their last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.

Play on the Milwaukee Brewers to win 

Pick Released on Jul 27 at 10:30 am
Jul 27 '21, 8:10 PM
Play Type: Premium Pick
MLB | Tigers vs Twins
Play on: Tigers +180 at William Hill
Game Analysis

Twins do not deserve to be this big a favorite here vs the Tigers today  according to my projections and are just  are 2-7 in their last 9 games as a favorite. This bet Im making is based on value . 

Twins are 2-7 in their last 9 home games vs. a left-handed starter like Alexander . Twins are also  1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30 ( Alexander qualifies). 

Play on the Detroit Tigers to win 

Pick Released on Jul 27 at 09:27 am

List of accomplishments

Sports
Year Accomplishment Record Win % Profit
2015 #1 in WNBA 49-32 60.5% $1,499
2014 -2015 #1 in NBA 192-148 56.5% $3,378
2018 -2019 #2 in NHL 97-67 59.2% $2,592
2017 -2018 #2 in NBA 228-179 56% $3,541
2016 -2017 #2 in CBB 274-223 55.1% $3,265
2016 -2017 #2 in NBA 238-189 55.7% $3,458
2016 -2017 #2 in Basketball 512-412 55.4% $6,723
2014 #2 in WNBA 31-27 53.5% $167
2014 #2 in CFB 92-64 59% $2,222
2014 -2015 #2 in Basketball 430-378 53.2% $2,339
2014 -2015 #3 in CFL 8-5 61.5% $260
2014 -2015 #3 in NHL 66-60 52.4% $834
2017 #4 in CFB 109-80 57.7% $2,017
2017 #4 in All Sports 1055-947 52.7% $3,438
2015 -2016 #4 in CFL 8-6 57.1% $100
2017 -2018 #5 in CFL 19-12 61.3% $565
2017 -2018 #5 in NHL 70-55 56% $1,397
2016 #5 in CFB 136-113 54.6% $1,243
2012 #5 in All Sports 103-74 58.2% $2,276
2013 -2014 #6 in CBB 221-190 53.8% $1,502
2019 #7 in MLB 261-235 52.6% $2,291
2017 -2018 #7 in Basketball 497-441 53% $2,110
2019 -2020 #8 in NHL 75-64 54% $793
2017 #8 in Football 158-131 54.7% $1,236
2012 -2013 #8 in Basketball 209-174 54.6% $1,798
2016 -2017 #9 in CFL 5-3 62.5% $175
2016 #9 in Football 190-167 53.2% $684
2012 #9 in CFB 24-16 60% $670
2017 #10 in PRENFL 5-3 62.5% $170
2012 -2013 #10 in NBA 95-76 55.6% $1,228

Service Alex Smart's Bio & About Section

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.