Sports Handicapper Alex Smart's Picks & Predictions

Alex Smart

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Alex Smart Sports- CFB ATS LATE STEAM ANNIHILATOR

I have isolated a key side situation from Saturday nights board that promises to finish in a start to stop one sided beatdown. Join me as my chosen side romps to a conclusive one sided rocking chair winner. Get the scholastic gridiron info the books do not want you to have. ( Night Action)

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I have isolated THREE viable investment options from Sunday afternoons NFL rotational schedule. Includes Two Sides/One Total  Features: Las Vegas Raiders @ Cleveland Browns- Indianapolis Colts @ Detroit Lions- Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens. Kick off after 1 pm et

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The Dallas Cowboys visit the Philadelphia Eagles in Sunday night NFL action. Which side has the edge? Your 100% Guaranteed answer is locked and loaded and ready to make the books pay for taking our action. Kick off after 8:20 pm et

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Alex Smart's Premium Picks Streaks & Trends

Sport W-L Profit Win Pct Since Archive
All Sports 225-186 $1,965 55% 2020-07-30 View Picks
NFL 66-51 $874 56% 2017-12-16 View Picks
NCAA-F 27-22 $206 55% 2020-10-24 View Picks
Football 13-11 $84 54% 2020-10-24 View Picks
WNBA 4-3 $78 57% 2020-08-20 View Picks

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

PICKS IN PROGRESS

Oct 31 '20, 12:00 PM
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-F | UTSA vs Florida Atlantic
Play on: UTSA +4½ -110 at William Hill
Game Analysis

No comment

Pick Released on Oct 30 at 09:12 pm
Oct 31 '20, 12:00 PM
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-F | Kansas State vs West Virginia
Play on: OVER 45½ -103
Game Analysis

Kansas State is 11-0-1 OVER as a dog coming off a home game where they covered by 14+ points. 

Pick Released on Oct 30 at 09:03 pm
Oct 31 '20, 12:00 PM
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-F | Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State
Play on: Georgia State +3½ -105 at betonline
Game Analysis

The coastal Carolina  Chanticleers  , are  rockin and rollin with a 5-0 record.  .So its  easy for  bettors  to look at this as a easy short chalk road opportunity against a  Georgia State side  that is very competitive  . behind a viable  ground game  that has gained  5.0 Yards Per Rush while the D has allowed  3.2 YPR on defense.  Note: The Panthers   are  6-1 ATS L/7  at home. 

GEORGIA ST is 21-9 ATS  in October games.

CFB home team (GEORGIA ST) - excellent rushing team (4.8  or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. 

Play on Georgia State to cover 

Pick Released on Oct 30 at 01:53 pm
Oct 31 '20, 12:00 PM
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-F | Purdue vs Illinois
Play on: Illinois +8 -110 at YouWager
Game Analysis

I think this line is bloated and favors the underdog at home. I know Purdue came from behind last week to upset Iowa, but now Im betting their in a letdown mode, and going on the road here is not easy especailly against a side Im sure theyre not hyped up to play against. Note: Purdue is  1-5 ATS when favored by more than 3 points on the road,  Meanwhile,  Illinois was a solid 5-2 ATS at home last season, including 3-0 ATS as dogs and at least from my perspective deserve respect here as underdogs. 

Play on Illinois to cover 

Pick Released on Oct 30 at 12:37 pm
Oct 31 '20, 12:00 PM
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-F | Memphis vs Cincinnati
Play on: Cincinnati -6½ -106 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

Cincinnati proved to me how potent they are when they marched into SMU and smashed them by a 42-13  count. Now here in revenge mode vs Memphis Im betting on another conclusive victory. Last year the Bearcats lost to the Tigers twice so you can bet their motivational juices are oozing everywhere. With Memphis having to deal with  star WR Damonte Coxie deciding to opt out of this season, their definitely going to have problems with big plays and their overall flow against one of the nations top defenses. Note: Memphis is 0-7 ATS on the road vs ,750 or better opposition. CINCINNATI is 7-0 ATS  vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 8 or more passing yards/att. over the last 3 seasons. CINCINNATI is 9-1 ATS  off a road blowout win by 28 points or more. Fickell is 12-3 ATS  versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9  or more yards/play in all games.


MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS  after gaining 575 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games 

CFB home team (CINCINNATI) - excellent rushing team (4.8  or more YPR) against a good rushing team (4.3 to 4.8 YPR), after allowing 100 or less rushing yards last game are 35-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Cincinnati 

Pick Released on Oct 30 at 08:15 am
Oct 31 '20, 12:00 PM
Play Type: Premium Pick
NCAA-F | Wake Forest vs Syracuse
Play on: Wake Forest -11½ -110 at William Hill
Game Analysis

Syracuse is a team that looks completely asleep at the wheel, and today Im betting they get run over by what can sometimes be an explosive Wake Forest offense and what has now suddenly become a dominant D in the red zone as was evident vs Virginia Tech last time out in a win. The Demon Deacons have won 3 straight games, and are rolling, and Im betting they tee off today against a banged up Orange side that is playing with little confidence. 

WAKE FOREST is 7-0 ATS  vs. bad defensive teams who give up 31 or more points/game over the last 3 seasons.

CFB road team (WAKE FOREST) - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a terrible team (25% or less) are 42-13 ATS L/10 seasons for a 77% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wake Forest to cover 

Pick Released on Oct 30 at 07:56 am

List of accomplishments

Sports
Year Accomplishment Record Win % Profit
2015 #1 in WNBA 49-32 60.5% $1,499
2014 -2015 #1 in NBA 192-148 56.5% $3,378
2017 -2018 #2 in NBA 228-179 56% $3,541
2016 -2017 #2 in CBB 274-223 55.1% $3,265
2016 -2017 #2 in NBA 238-189 55.7% $3,458
2016 -2017 #2 in Basketball 512-412 55.4% $6,723
2014 #2 in WNBA 31-27 53.5% $167
2014 #2 in CFB 92-64 59% $2,222
2014 -2015 #2 in Basketball 430-378 53.2% $2,339
2014 -2015 #3 in NHL 66-60 52.4% $834
2017 #4 in CFB 109-80 57.7% $2,017
2017 #4 in All Sports 1055-947 52.7% $3,438
2015 -2016 #4 in CFL 8-6 57.1% $100
2014 -2015 #4 in CFL 8-5 61.5% $260
2017 -2018 #5 in CFL 19-12 61.3% $565
2017 -2018 #5 in NHL 70-55 56% $1,397
2016 #5 in CFB 136-113 54.6% $1,243
2013 -2014 #6 in CBB 221-190 53.8% $1,502
2012 #6 in All Sports 103-74 58.2% $2,276
2017 #8 in PRENFL 5-3 62.5% $170
2017 -2018 #8 in Basketball 497-441 53% $2,110
2017 #8 in Football 158-131 54.7% $1,236
2016 -2017 #8 in CFL 5-3 62.5% $175
2012 -2013 #8 in Basketball 209-174 54.6% $1,798
2012 #9 in CFB 24-16 60% $670
2016 #10 in Football 190-167 53.2% $684
2012 -2013 #10 in NBA 95-76 55.6% $1,228

Service Alex Smart's Bio & About Section

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.