Sports Handicapper Alex Smart's Picks & Predictions

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

Samford to cover 

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

Play OVER 

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

San Jose State to cover

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

Campbell to cover 

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

Air Force to cover 

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

Play UNDER

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

Columbia to cover 

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

Play OVER 

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

Play UNDER 

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

St.Joes to cover 

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

Play OVER 

All my college Hoops selections are based on a extensive data base of current stats past trends, and  overall head to head team system and player vs player  analysis as well as coaching tendencies when certain circumstances and matchup situations arise. No stone has been left unturned in the process of delivering winners to my clients, including injury reports, line moves and travel situations associated with both fatigue factors and freshness. 

George Washington to cover 

VANCOUVER SHOWCASE - Round 1 - Vancouver Convention Centre - Vancouver, CAN

These quality  teams have the ability to play a strong brand of defensive ball that based on taking care of the ball in transition. With that said, I expect a total score that remains on the low side of the Total. 

TEXAS A&M is 171-129 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record L/21 seasons with a combined average score of 137.1 ppg scored.

Kennedy is 20-5 UNDER  after 2 or more consecutive overs as the coach of TEXAS A&M with a combined average of 130 ppg scored. 

Pitino is 13-4 UNDER  in road games after playing 2 consecutive home games as the coach of MINNESOTA with a combined average score of 137 ppg scored.

CBB Neutral court teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (TEXAS A&M) - good offensive rebounding team - averaging 13 or more /game on the season, in November games are 61-27 UNDER L/21 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play UNDER 

I know the Warriors played last night and are on tired legs as they embark on their 5th game in 7 days and I also know that Golden State on a current 2 game slide after last nights loss to Dallas  will be without Steph Curry and Draymond Green tonight in this tilt vs San Antonio. However, despite of that my matchup rankings data base suggest even with the injuries, the well conditioned and deep Warriors are capable of pulling off a win here as a road  underdog vs a San Antonio side that has lost their L/3 trips to the hardwood and 5 of their L/6 overall. It must also be noted that NBA Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (GOLDEN STATE) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are a positive long term betting situation as they are 54-20 SU L/22 seasons. Also Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (GOLDEN STATE) - extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days, in November games are a bankroll expanding 53-18 ATS L/22 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Golden State to cover 

The Falcons 4-5 on the season have the 27th-ranked defense in the NFL after getting mauled by the Steelers last week for 51 points. After that embarrassment I expect they will be ready to play some hard core physical defence this week vs the visiting Dallas Cowboys. Meanwhile, Dallas 4-5 a team that has has allowed 19 ppg overall on D, and has  averaged just 16.4 ppg on the road this season, will play a methodical game, which Im betting results in a score that stays on the low side of the Total. 

DALLAS in their L/6 versus struggling defensive teams - allowing 375 or more yards/game.

DALLAS is 6-0 UNDER  in road games in games played on turf over the last 3 season with a combined average of 39.9 ppg scored.

DALLAS is 7-0 UNDER in road games against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season since 1992

Quinn is 9-1 UNDER  versus good rushing teams - averaging 130 or more  rushing yards/game in the second half of the season as the coach of ATLANTA.Garrett is 8-1 UNDER  in road games off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival as the coach of DALLAS.

Under is 8-0 in Cowboys last 8 games following a straight up win.Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Under is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games in Week 11.Under is 6-1 in Cowboys last 7 games following a ATS win.Under is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games on grass.Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 11-3 in Cowboys last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.Under is 7-2 in Cowboys last 9 vs. NFC.Under is 20-6 in Cowboys last 26 road games.Under is 13-5 in Cowboys last 18 games overall.Under is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 22-9 in Falcons last 31 games in November.Under is 14-6 in Falcons last 20 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.Under is 13-6-1 in Falcons last 20 games in Week 11.Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.

NFL team where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 (ATLANTA) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.) are 36-12 UNDER L/35 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

The Jaguars in a must win situation today have really struggled of late, but they actually matchup well vs the Pittsburgh Steelers.The Steelers have won five consecutive games while the Jaguars have lost five in a row.I know both teams are operating at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, but the Jags desperation and the type of football Im confident the Jags can play when cornered will challenge the Steelers this Sunday. I expect the Jaguars  No. 2 overall defense and No. 1 ranked  pass D  to be the difference maker in what will be a hard fought game. 

 Steelers are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

NFL team (JACKSONVILLE) - a poor offensive team (14-18 PPG) against a poor defensive team (23-27 PPG), after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored are 30-8 ATS L/10 seasons  for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Jacksonville Jaguars to cover 

MYRTLE BEACH INVITATIONAL - Final Rnd - HTC Center - Conway, SC

The Demon Deacons needed a late 10-0 run to slip past Fullerton 66-59 last time out, but Im betting they wont be so lucky here vsValparaiso. Im betting it will be Vals D, that is the difference maker here. In their last game they suffocated Monmouth  allowing them 54 points, and holding them to 39.6 percent shooting from the field and 4-of-18 shooting from 3-point range .

VALPARAISO is 7-0 ATS  versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=45% over the last 2 seasons. 

Demon Deacons are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.Crusaders are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Crusaders are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.CBB Neutral Court favorites vs. the money line (WAKE FOREST) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by more than 30 points in their previous game are 20-11 SU 22 seasons for a 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on Valparaiso 

Last week, the Tennessee Titans ended their seven-game losing streak against Tom Brady with a surprising and  convincing 34-10 victory over the New England Patriots. On Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, the Titans will not be so lucky this week ( pardon the pun) vs another top tier  quarterback when they face the Colts. The Titans are 0-9 all time against Andrew Luck who was key in a win vs the Jags last week. 

TENNESSEE is 1-9 ATS in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 and is  1-9 ATS in road games after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. 

NFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TENNESSEE) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning record on the season are 9-33 ATS L/10 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Indianapolis to cover 

We have a veteran QB that has completed 71.5 % of his passes this season in Derek Carr, going up against a rookie QB in Josh Rosen, who has more interceptions (eight) than touchdown passes (six). I know the Raiders have looked bad, but Arizona has not been much better, and just because they did not get crushed by KC last week and stayed within  a couple of TDs,  does not mean their on a upward trajectory like some of the pundits would have you believe. With that said, look for the points to be golden this week, in what will be a closely contested battle between two hapless bottom feeders. Note: The Raiders have covered their L/3 visits to the desert. 

Home teams vs. the money line (ARIZONA) - after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after being beaten by the spread by 28 or more points total in their last three games are 12-28  for a go against  70% SU conversion rate for bettors. 

NFL  team (OAKLAND) - after scoring 9 points or less in 2 straight games are 39-13 ATS L/10 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Oakland Raiders to cover 

Denver will be fresh as they come off a bye week, and cannot be conservative in their approach against a Chargers team that can be offensively explosive. The Broncos Im betting will push the action and San Diego will respond in kind and push back with some offensive fireworks of their own in a tilt that eclipses this very beatable number. Note: NFL teams like Denver coming off their Bye Week have gone over in 10 of 12 qualifying games so far in the 2018 campaign  in Conference play.

Last time out Denver took part in a heart breaking 19-17 loss to the Texans a game where they missed two FGs, but in that game the Broncos threw  for 273 yards in the loss and are capable of moving the ball through the air which is important for us looking for an OVER ticket to cash.  The Broncos  have now gone OVER 7 straight times as a dog coming off a home game where they threw for at least 250 yards. Denver is 8-1 OVER  in road games vs .700  or better  opposition .

Play on the OVER 

The Bears are leading in the division, just ahead of the Vikings , which means this game is for first place. This  tilt  should feature play off intensity which will favour the more experienced big game team, which is the Minnesota Vikings. The Bears have had a fine season thus far, but this matchup is a step up in class. When the chips are down , Ill back the smash mouth Vikings getting points. Yes, da Bears  looked good last week, against the downtrodden Lions but in the past CHICAGO has been a bad bet in the followup going  0-8 ATS after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game. I personally believe everyone is getting a little bit ahead of themselves with backing Chicago as possible top tier team going forward ,and tonight I expect that when the final whistle blows that some pundits time to pause and rethink their positions. Hey folks Im not knocking the Bears, and  in the not so distant future, might actually ending up being as good as the headlines might indicate , However,  Im just saying there is value taking the under rated Vikings in this spot as dogs.  Note: Vikes HC Mike Zimmer is  13-1-1 ATS versus opponents coming off a double-digit win.

Play on the Minnesota Vikings to cover 

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New Orleans is  nightmare for defensive co-orridnators to deal with, but Philadelphia coaching staff, are extremely capable as they have proven in the recent past .    The Saints despite of all the accolades they are getting are weak favs here and have been in the past when irrational exuberance has been prevalent as is evident by their  0-8 ATS L/8 record as a favorite of at least eight points . New Orleans recent top tier performances including last weeks domination against Cincinnati, 51-14 has everyone and his dog, singing the praises of Drew Bree's and company.  Last week the Saints accumulated a ungodly 509 of offense in their victory but in the past the Saints have been a bad bet in the followup going just  0-7 ATS L/7 coming off a game as a road favorite where they had at least 400 yards of total offense  . The Saints also dominated time of possession  (39:46) but once again have failed in their followup going 0-7 ATS  L/7 coming off a game as a road chalk when they had at least 32 minutes time of possession. Also it must be noted that Defending Super Bowl Champions like the Eagles  are 13-1 ATS as road dogs versus .825 + opposition  including 7-0 SUATS since 2000.

PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 ATS  versus good rushing defenses - allowing 90 roles rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons.PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 ATS  vs. good passing teams averaging 7 or more passing yards/att. over the last 2 seasons

 NFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (PHILADELPHIA) - good passing team - with a completion pct of 60% or better, after gaining 6.75 or more passing yards/attempt in 4 straight games are 25-7 ATS L/10 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the Philadelphia Eagles to cover 

 Carolina got embarrassed last Thursday in a 52-21 loss at Pittsburgh and will be primed for bounce back win here vs slumping Lions  team that is on a current 3-game SUATS losing streak. Believe me when I say pros do not like to be embarrassed, especially the Panthers..With that said, Im betting on Carolina a side that is 12-1 SU and 13-0 ATS in road games when coming off a double-digit loss and taking on a sub .500 opponent to be ready to deliver themselves redemption in. a big way here today. The Panthers are also bankroll fattening 8-1 ATS in tilts after giving up 40 or more points .

HC Rivera is 22-3 ATS off a road loss as the coach of CAROLINA.

Detroit is an nasty 0-12 ATS as a underdog on artificial turf when they are off a road loss by more than a TD and they are facing a team that has committed an average of less than 1.5 turnovers per game season-to-date. DETROIT is 2-15 ATS L/17 against teams who commit 1 or less turnovers/game in the second half of the season.

Play on the Carolina Panthers to cover