Sports Handicapper Alex Smart's Picks & Predictions

Alex Smart

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Alex Smart's Premium Picks Streaks & Trends

Sport W-L Profit Win Pct Since Archive
Football 44-23 $1,888 66% 2021-12-09 View Picks
NFL 66-44 $1,728 60% 2021-01-17 View Picks
NCAA-F 28-16 $1,080 64% 2021-11-27 View Picks
MLB 56-51 $800 52% 2021-04-21 View Picks
All Sports 19-15 $479 56% 2022-07-31 View Picks

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

PICKS IN PROGRESS

Aug 09 '22, 7:35 PM
Play Type: Premium Pick
MLB | Marlins vs Phillies
Play on: Phillies -1½ -109 at circa
Game Analysis

The Phillies will go with Zack Wheeler (10-5, 2.69 ERA) on the hill  Tuesday. In his last start against the Atlanta Braves, Wheeler allowed five hits and one run in seven innings.Wheeler is 9-4 with a 2.45 ERA in 18 career starts against the Marlins and gives the explosive Phillies an edge. 

The Phillies clubbed 14 home runs in their four-game weekend sweep over the Washington National and are in top form offensively making them viable runline candidates here today vs the usually light hitting Marlins. 

MLB favorites with a money line of -200 or more (PHILADELPHIA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing are 107-18L/5 seasons with the average rpg diff clicking in at +3.2 which qualifies on runline action. 

Play on Philadelphia to win -1.5 runline 

Pick Released on Aug 09 at 06:31 am
Aug 09 '22, 8:10 PM
Play Type: Premium Pick
MLB | Rangers vs Astros
Play on: Astros -169 at linepros
Game Analysis

 The Astros right-handed starter  Jose Urquidy (10-4, 3.62 ERA)  is off a top tier effort last time out pitching seven scoreless innings Wednesday in a 6-1 victory vs the Boston Red Sox, allowing two hits while garnering 10 strikeouts in what was his ninth consecutive quality start.Urquidy is 5-1 with a 2.29 ERA and .492 opposition' OPS during that nine-start stretch, with 47 strikeouts against 12 walks. Note: Urquidy is 4-0 with a 2.04 ERA over six career starts against the Rangers. He is 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA in two starts against Texas and gets my support here again today vs instate rivals the Rangers. 

URQUIDY is 21-6  against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) URQUIDY is 25-8  against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

TEXAS is 18-48  against the money line in road games with double revenge - 2 straight losses against opponent over the last 3 seasons.

MLB Home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (HOUSTON) - top level team, outscoring opponents by 1 or more runs/game on the season, after scoring 1 run or less are 53-7 L/5 seasons for a 88% conversion rate for bettors. 

HOUSTON is 16-3 against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons at home in Houston. 

Play on Houston to win 

Pick Released on Aug 09 at 06:12 am

List of accomplishments

Sports
Year Accomplishment Record Win % Profit
2016 -2017 #1 in CBB 274-223 55.1% $3,265
2015 #1 in WNBA 49-32 60.5% $1,499
2014 -2015 #1 in NBA 192-148 56.5% $3,378
2018 -2019 #2 in NHL 97-67 59.2% $2,592
2017 -2018 #2 in NBA 228-179 56% $3,541
2016 -2017 #2 in NBA 238-189 55.7% $3,458
2016 -2017 #2 in Basketball 512-412 55.4% $6,723
2014 #2 in WNBA 31-27 53.5% $167
2014 #2 in CFB 92-64 59% $2,222
2014 -2015 #2 in Basketball 430-378 53.2% $2,339
2014 -2015 #3 in CFL 8-5 61.5% $260
2014 -2015 #3 in NHL 66-60 52.4% $834
2017 #4 in CFB 109-80 57.7% $2,017
2017 #4 in All Sports 1055-947 52.7% $3,438
2015 -2016 #4 in CFL 8-6 57.1% $100
2021 -2022 #5 in BOX 1-0 100% $100
2017 -2018 #5 in CFL 19-12 61.3% $565
2017 -2018 #5 in NHL 70-55 56% $1,397
2016 #5 in CFB 136-113 54.6% $1,243
2013 -2014 #6 in CBB 221-190 53.8% $1,502
2012 #6 in All Sports 103-74 58.2% $2,276
2019 #7 in MLB 261-235 52.6% $2,291
2017 -2018 #7 in Basketball 497-441 53% $2,110
2016 -2017 #7 in CFL 5-3 62.5% $175
2012 -2013 #7 in Basketball 209-174 54.6% $1,798
2019 -2020 #8 in NHL 75-64 54% $793
2017 #8 in Football 158-131 54.7% $1,236
2016 #9 in Football 190-167 53.2% $684
2012 #9 in CFB 24-16 60% $670
2012 -2013 #9 in NBA 95-76 55.6% $1,228
2017 #10 in PRENFL 5-3 62.5% $170

Service Alex Smart's Bio & About Section

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 22 years.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.    

I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.