Sports Handicapper Jack Jones's Picks & Predictions

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Milwaukee Bucks +3

The Milwaukee Bucks have quietly gone 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  They have dominated their last two games winning by 17 as 13.5-point dogs at OKC and by 21 as 4.5-point dogs at New Orleans.

The Bucks are getting big contributions from their bench, most notably from Cam Thomas who they traded for at the All-Star Break.  Thomas has averaged 24.3 points per game in his last three games, and just everyone as a whole has upped their games to help make up for the loss of Giannis.

The Toronto Raptors will be without their best player in Scottie Barnes (19.2 PPG, 8.4 RPG, 5.6 APG, 1.6 BPG) today due to personal reasons.  The Raptors have benefited from a very soft schedule of late with their last four wins coming against the Bulls (twice), Pacers and Jazz.  They lost their other four games with three double-digit losses to New York, Orlando and Detroit.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Bucks Sunday.

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15* Cavs/Thunder ABC Early ANNIHILATOR on Cleveland -4

The Oklahoma City Thunder are without three of their top four scorers in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.8 PPG, 6.4 APG), Jalen Williams (17.5 PPG, 5.4 APG) and Ajay Mitchell (14.1 PPG, 3.7 APG).  They were able to get by the Nets without these guys in their first game back from the break.

But the Cleveland Cavaliers are a different animal.  The Cavaliers are 12-1 SU & 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  Their recent surge has been due to two things.  The addition of James Harden (24.7 PPG, 8.2 APG) has opened up their offense, and the return to health of many of their key guys Evan Mobley and sharp shooter Sam Merrill has helped as well.  They will make easy work of the short-handed Thunder today.  Bet the Cavaliers Sunday.

15* Ohio State/Michigan State CBS Early ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 146.5

Michigan State is a dead nuts UNDER team ranking 259th in adjusted tempo and 6th in adjusted defense.  The Spartans and their opponents have combined for 146 or fewer points at the end of regulation in 10 of their last 13 games overall.

Ohio State is in no hurry either ranking 219th in adjusted tempo.  The Buckeyes are hurting offensively without second-leading scorer Juni Mobley Jr. (15.1 PPG).  Devin Royal (14.0 PPG) is questionable as well.  The Buckeyes are really thin at the guard position without Mobley Jr.

Ohio State is 4-1 UNDER in its last five games overall.  This despite two uncharacteristically great shooting performances in a row hitting 52.4% from 3-point range against Wisconsin and 42.9% from 3-point range against Virginia.  That won't happen against Michigan State today.  

The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with 131, 117 and 126 combined points.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

20* Celtics/Lakers NBC No-Brainer on OVER 228.5

The Lakers have been a dead nuts OVER team when they have been healthy this season.  They are healthy coming out of the All-Star Break with the return of Luka Doncic to go along with Austin Reaves and LeBron James.

The Lakers improved to 18-8 OVER in home games this season with a 125-122 shootout win over the Clippers in their first game back from the Break.  That's a Clippers team that plays slow and is known more for defense than offense.

Now the Lakers must face the Celtics, who rank 2nd in the NBA in offensive rating with 120.2 points per 100 possession.  The Celtics are coming off a 121-110 win over the Warriors, who have no offense without Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler yet they still got to 231 combined points.  This total of 228.5 is very short for a game involving the Celtics and Lakers with how healthy they both are right now.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Portland Trail Blazers -3.5

I love the spot for the Portland Trail Blazers tonight.  They were 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS in their five games going into the All-Star Break.  They came out of the break with their worst loss of the season to the Denver Nuggets.  They will be highly motivated to get back on track tonight.

They take on a tired Phoenix Suns team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after a 113-110 (2 OT) win over the Orlando Magic last night.  They will have nothing left in the tank for the Blazers tonight.

Making matters worse for the Suns is that Dillon Brooks (20.9 PPG) suffered a broken hand in that win.  They were already without Devin Booker (24.7 PPG), so they will be without their two best players tonight.  They are short-handed as well.  Bet the Blazers Sunday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on UTSA/Tulsa OVER 158

Tulsa is a dead nuts OVER team going 17-8 OVER in all games this season including 8-3 OVER in home games.  The Golden Hurricane rank 137th in adjusted tempo, 102nd in average length of offensive possession, 35th in adjusted offense and 165th in adjusted defense.

UTSA is 9-3 OVER in road games this season.  The Roadrunners also like to play fast ranking 123rd in adjusted tempo and 120th in average length of offensive possession.  They are abysmal defensively, ranking 324th in adjusted defense.  They are allowing 89.9 points per game on the road this season.  Tulsa is scoring 90.4 points per game at home.  Bet the OVER In this game Sunday.