Sports Handicapper Jack Jones's Picks & Predictions

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Denver Nuggets -5.5

Things are falling apart for the Minnesota Timberwolves.  Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo were both knocked out of Game 4 with injuries.  Bones Hyland was playing well in this series, and now he's questionable.  And it just came out that the breakout star for the Timberwolves in this series in Ayo Dosunmu has been downgraded to questionable now with a calf injury.

Things are opening up for the Nuggets now to win this series.  They handled their business in Game 5 with a 125-113 home win as 11.5-point favorites.  This was a bigger blowout than the final score indicated as the game was in hand heading into the 4th quarter with the Nuggets leading by 22.

Even if Hyland and Dosunmu play tonight, the Timberwolves still lack the horses to compete with the Nuggets without Edwards and DiVincenzo.  They managed to shoot 50.6% from the field and 42.9% from 3 in Game 5 and still were non-competitive.  It's unlikely they shoot that well again in Game 6.  Bet the Nuggets Thursday.

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20* Celtics/76ers Game 6 No-Brainer on OVER 212

Joel Embiid is back for the 76ers and playing at an MVP level since making his 2026 NBA playoff debut in Game 4.  He had 26 points and 6 assists in 34 minutes in a 128-96 loss to the Celtics in Game 4 that saw 224 combined points.

Embiid was even better in Game 5, going for 33 points and 8 assists in 39 minutes of a 113-97 victory and 210 combined points.  It was a travesty that game did not go over the total as the Celtics missed their final 16 shots of the game and scored just 11 points total in the 4th quarter.

The 76ers should have another very efficient offensive game here led by Embiid and Maxey in Game 6.  But the Celtics should be much better offensively after shooting just 40.4% from the field, 28.2% from 3 and 60.9% from the FT line in Game 5.  They couldn't have shot it worse.  They are an elite shooting team and will hang a big number on the 76ers in Game 6 to pave the way to us cashing this OVER 212 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* AL Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Astros/Orioles OVER 9 (Game 2)

The Houston Astros are a dead nuts OVER team going 21-9 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 5.1 runs per game and allowing 6.0 runs per game.  They have gone 8-2 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 11 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games.

The Baltimore Orioles are 7-1 OVER in their last eight games overall with 11 or more combined runs in six of those eight games.  A big problem for both of these teams is their bullpens.  The Astros have a 6.27 ERA on the season and a 7.11 ERA on the road, while the Orioles have a 4.22 ERA on the season and a 5.20 ERA at home.

Lance McCullers continues to struggle working his way back from injury.  McCullers is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs in 25 1/3 innings.  He has allowed 9 earned runs in 8 2/3 innings for a 9.34 ERA in two career road starts in Baltimore.

Brandon Young has been a disaster in two seasons for the Orioles.  he is 3-7 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 14 career starts.  Young allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 2/3 innings in his lone career home start against the Astros.  Bet the OVER in Game 2 of this double-header Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Early ANNIHILATOR on Astros/Orioles OVER 9 (Game 1)

The Houston Astros are a dead nuts OVER team going 21-9 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 5.1 runs per game and allowing 6.0 runs per game.  They have gone 8-2 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 11 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games.

The Baltimore Orioles are 7-1 OVER in their last eight games overall with 11 or more combined runs in six of those eight games.  A big problem for both of these teams is their bullpens.  The Astros have a 6.27 ERA on the season and a 7.11 ERA on the road, while the Orioles have a 4.22 ERA on the season and a 5.20 ERA at home.

Peter Lambert is 9-20 with a 6.15 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 254 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Chris Bassitt is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 2.06 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 16 earned runs and 44 base runners in 21 1/3 innings.  Bassitt is 0-3 with a 7.37 ERA and 2.18 WHIP in his last four starts against the Astros, allowing 12 earned runs and 32 base runners in 14 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in Game 1 of this double-header Thursday.

15* NL Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Mets OVER 7.5

The Washington Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team going 20-9-2 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 5.5 runs per game and allowing 5.8 runs per game.  This total of 7.5 is too short for a game involving the Nationals.

The Mets are capable of covering this total on their own against Miles Mikolas and this atrocious Washington bullpen.  Mikolas is 0-3 with a 8.49 ERA and 1.84 WHIP this season, allowing 22 earned runs, 7 homers and 43 base runners in 23 1/3 innings.  Mikolas has allowed 8 earned runs in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts against New York.  The Nationals have a 5.13 ERA this season as a bullpen.

Freddy Peralta has been a disappointment for the Mets this season.  He is 1-3 with a 3.90 ERA in six starts, allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 32 1/3 innings.  Peralta is 3-3 with a 5.61 ERA in six career starts against the Nationals, allowing 21 earned runs in 33 2/3 innings.  Mikolas is 2-4 with a 5.28 ERA in eight career starts against the Mets, allowing 27 earned runs in 46 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rockies/Reds OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati this afternoon.  There will be 10 MPH winds blowing out to straightaway center.  These teams combined for 9 runs on 22 hits in Game 1 and 15 runs and 25 hits in Game 2.  It should be more of the same today.

The Reds are 8-2 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games, and 11 or more six times.  They have scored at least 5 runs in seven of those 10 games.  The Rockies just hung 13 runs on the Reds yesterday.

Michael Lorenzen is 2-2 with a 5.97 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in six starts for the Rockies this season.  He has allowed 19 earned runs and 46 hits in 28 2/3 innings.  Lorenzen allowed 6 earned runs and 14 base runners in 5 innings in his last start against the Reds.

Andrew Abbott is 0-2 with a 6.59 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in six starts for the Reds this season.  He has allowed 21 earned runs and 49 base runners in 28 2/3 innings.  Abbott allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 innings in his last start against the Rockies.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.