Sports Handicapper Jack Jones's Picks & Predictions

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Phillies/Cubs OVER 8

The Cubs are really raking at the plate right now during their 8-1 run in their last nine games.  They have scored 7 runs or more in six of those nine games and are capable of covering this total on their own.

The Cubs should stay hot against opener Kyle Backhus and this suspect Philadelphia bullpen.  They have posted a 4.31 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 87 2/3 innings this season.  The Cubs got to see Backhus twice last week in their series in Philadelphia, which will be an advantage to their hitters.

Matt Boyd is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two starts this season while allowing 7 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings.  He landed on the 15-Day IL with a biceps injury, and he won't be perfect in his first game back after making one start at Triple-A Iowa.

The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings with 9 or more combined runs in six of those seven. The Phillies and Cubs have gone for 11 or more combined runs in four of their five meetings in 2026. This total of 8 is too short tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

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20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Braves/Nationals OVER 9

The Washington Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team going 17-6-1 OVER in all games this season with 9 or more combined runs in 19 of those 24 games.  This total of 9 is actually too short for a game involving the Nationals right now.

The Nationals have one of the best lineups in baseball hitting .252 and scoring 5.7 runs per game.  But they have one of the worst staffs and bullpens in baseball.  Their bullpen has a 5.51 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 117 2/3 innings this season.  It's a big reason Washington is allowing 6.1 runs per game.

The Braves are scoring 5.6 runs per game with one of the best lineups in baseball.  They have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last nine games overall.  Both lineups should have their way with these two starting pitchers and bullpens tonight.

Zack Littell is 0-2 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in four games this season allowing 15 earned runs and 7 homers in 19 innings.  Littell was rocked for 8 earned runs in 4 innings in his last start against the Giants.  The OVER is 4-0 in his last four starts with 12 or more combined runs in all four.

Didier Fuentes will be making his first start of the season for the Braves as they make this a bullpen game.  Fuentes has allowed a whopping 20 earned runs and 6 homers in 14 innings in his last four starts for a 12.86 ERA dating back to last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Magic/Pistons ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Detroit -8.5

The Detroit Pistons ranked 2nd in the NBA in defensive rating in the regular season only trailing the Oklahoma City Thunder in that department.  After a lackluster defensive effort in Game 1, expect the Pistons to come out with their hair on fire defensively and to shut down the Magic tonight.

The Pistons got 39 points from Cade Cunningham in Game 1 but not much from anyone else.  Jalen Duren in particular was disappointing with 8 points and 7 rebounds on only 4 shot attempts.  Expect him to have a massive bounce back game. I also expect the Pistons to get more from their role players, most notably their three best shooters in Harris, Robinson and Huerter who were non-factors in Game 1.

I love backing good teams like the Pistons coming off a loss in the playoffs.  Teams who lost Game 1 as a favorite have gone 11-2 SU & 11-2 ATS in Game 2 in the last 13 series.  Teams that lost Game 1 as a favorite of -7 or more have gone 33-8 SU & 25-12-4 ATS in Game 2 over the last 20 years.  This is the ultimate bounce back blowout spot for Detroit tonight.  Bet the Pistons Wednesday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Magic/Pistons UNDER 219

Both the Pistons and Magic are big, physical defensive-minded teams.  Both lack the shooting needed to make a deep postseason run.  That makes this a great matchup for UNDERS.

The Magic are 5-0 UNDER in their last five games overall and have been in playoff mode in all five games.  They went for 206 combined points with the 76ers in the play-in and 211 combined points with the Hornets in the play-in before going for 213 combined points with the Pistons in Game 1 of this series.

I expect a big defensive effort from the Pistons tonight after losing Game 1.  I expect them to hold the Magic to 100 points or fewer to pave the way to us cashing this UNDER 219 ticket.  This total has been set way too high.  The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Detroit.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.