Sports Handicapper Jack Jones's Picks & Predictions

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Tampa Bay Rays +110

The Tampa Bay Rays are 6-0 in their last six games overall and hitting the cover off the ball.  They have scored at least 5 runs in all six victories.  Getting the Rays as underdogs to the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight is nice value.

Nick Martinez has posted a 2.16 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in three starts for the Rays this season.  He has allowed just 4 earned runs and 16 base runners in 16 2/3 innings.  Martinez loves facing the Pirates, going 2-1 with a 1.23 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in four career starts against them while allowing just 3 earned runs in 22 innings.

Bubba Chandler is 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 6 earned runs and 22 base runners in 14 innings.  He'll be backed by a tired Pittsburgh bullpen.  The Pirates will be playing for an 8th consecutive day with six of their last seven games decided by 2 runs or fewer.  Bet the Rays Friday.

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20* NL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Braves/Phillies OVER 9.5

Two of the best lineups in baseball square off tonight when the Atlanta Braves begin a 3-game series with the Philadelphia Phillies.  The Braves are hitting the cover off the ball scoring 6 runs or more in six of their last eight games overall.  The OVER is 8-1-1 in Braves last 10 games overall.

The OVER is 3-0 in Phillies last three games overall going for 13, 14 and 20 combined runs against the Cubs.  And both of these potent lineups should have their way with these two suspect starting pitchers tonight.

Taijuan Walker is 1-2 with a 7.36 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in three starts for the Phillies this season.  He has allowed 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 28 base runners in 14 2/3 innings.  Walker is 1-2 with a 7.66 ERA in five career home starts against the Braves, allowing 19 earned runs and 5 homers in 22 1/3 innings.

Martin Perez is a soft tosser who should get crushed today.  He has just 6 K's in 14 1/3 innings this season.  Perez allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 3 2/3 innings in his last start against the Phillies.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cardinals/Astros OVER 8.5

The Houston Astros are 13-5 OVER in their last 18 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 13 of those 18 games.  They are scoring 5.4 runs per game and allowing 5.9 runs per game this season.

The Cardinals are 10-7-1 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 4.4 runs per game and allowing 5.4 runs per game this season.  This total of 8.5 has been set too short tonight.

Kyle Leahy is 1-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in three starts for the Cardinals this season.  He has allowed 8 earned runs and 24 base runners in 14 innings.  He is backed by a terrible St. Louis bullpen that has posted a 5.30 ERA and 1.49 WHIP this season.

Peter Lambert will make his first start of the season for the Astros.  Lambert is 8-19 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 243 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  He is backed by an even worse Houston Bullpen that has posted a 5.85 ERA and 1.65 WHIP this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Night Line Mistake on Brewers/Marlins OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 99-66 OVER in all home games dating back to 2024.  They have consistently had a terrible pitching staff and an underrated lineup, and that continues to be the case this season.

The Marlins are 12-2-2 OVER in their last 16 games overall finishing with 9 or more combined runs in 13 of those 16 games.  This total of 8 is too short for a game involving the Marlins right now.  They are scoring 4.6 runs per game and allowing 4.5 runs per game.

The Brewers have been hot at the plate scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.  They will tee off on Janson Junk, who is 7-9 with a 4.81 ERA in 166 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Junk is 0-2 with a 4.32 ERA in three starts this season.

Coleman Crow will be making his MLB debut tonight for the Brewers and I don't expect it to go well for him.  He has a 4.02 ERA at Triple A Nashville in three games this season.  This Milwaukee bullpen has been poor with a 4.00 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 74 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Giants/Nationals OVER 8

The Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team going 13-5-1 OVER in all games this season with 9 or more combined runs in 15 of those 19 games.  This total of 8 is too low for a game involving the Nationals right now.

The Nationals have one of the best lineups in baseball hitting .261 and scoring 5.6 runs per game.  But they have one of the worst staffs and bullpens in baseball.  Their bullpen has a 6.15 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 89 1/3 innings this season.  It's a big reason Washington is allowing 6.2 runs per game.

The Giants will get their bats going today against Zack Littell and this Washington bullpen.  Littell is 0-1 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in three games this season, allowing 5 homers in 15 innings.

Logan Webb is notoriously better at home than on the road.  Webb is 1-2 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 14 earned runs in 24 innings.  He has allowed 7 earned runs in 7 innings in his last two starts against the Nationals.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Hornets/Magic NBA Play-In No-Brainer on Charlotte -3

The Charlotte Hornets want to be here, while the Orlando Magic just want their season to be over.  There's truth behind the rumors that certain players want their head coach to be fired after the season, and if it's not Paulo Banchero I don't know who it is.  The guy is sabotaging their team by taking terrible shots over and over again.

Banchero went 7-of-22 and 0-of-5 from 3-point range in their 109-97 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers in their first play-in game.  That was a 76ers team missing Joel Embiid, too.  Suggs went 1-of-9 in the loss as well.  Those are two players that have seem disgruntled.  Franz Wagner is nowhere near 100%, and this team is too reliant on Desmond Bane to do the bulk of the scoring.

The Hornets rank 8th in net rating this season while the Magic rank 17th.  The seven teams ranked ahead of the Hornets in net rating are the Thunder, Pistons, Spurs, Celtics, Knicks, Rockets and Nuggets.  They are in elite company.  They have four shooters on the court at all times that are better than anyone the Magic have.

This has been a terrible matchup for the Magic this season, and a great one for the Hornets.  Indeed, the Hornets are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three meetings with the Magic, winning by 27 and 15 points in the two meetings in Orlando, and by 19 points at home.  These games haven't even been close, and this one won't be, either.  Bet the Hornets Friday.