Sports Handicapper Jack Jones's Picks & Predictions

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Tigers/Rangers OVER 8.5

The Detroit Tigers have the most improved offense in baseball.  They rank 6th scoring 4.97 runs per game.  The Texas Rangers are finally living up to their potential at the plate scoring 5 runs or more in six of their last seven games while averaging 7.6 runs per game in those seven games.

The Tigers should come out of the All-Star Break hanging a big number on Patrick Corbin, who posted a 5.20 ERA or worse while making at least 31 starts in each of his final four seasons in Washington.  Corbin is 6-7 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 17 starts in his first season in Texas.

Reese Olson is a big regression candidate for the Tigers the rest of the way.  Olson is 4-3 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 11 starts for Detroit this season.

The OVER is 4-0 in Tigers last four games overall with 10 or more combined runs in all four.  The OVER is 6-1 in Rangers last seven games overall with 9 or more combined runs in six of the seven.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

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20* Orioles/Rays AL East No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Tampa Bay Rays play in one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball this season at their temporary home of George M. Steinbrenner Field.  It's always hot at the Triple-A Park so the ball is always carrying out.  It's a big reason the Rays have one of the most improved offenses in baseball this season ranking 9th scoring 4.63 runs per game.

The Orioles have one of the worst rotations and bullpens in baseball, but they have a potent lineup that is about as healthy as it has been all season right now.  The Orioles rank 27th allowing 5.08 runs per game this season.  They have the 6th-worst bullpen with a 4.63 ERA as a team.

Charlie Morton is 5-7 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.52 WHIP for the Orioles this season.  He'll be opposed by Taj Bradley, who is 5-6 with a 4.60 ERA in 19 starts this season.  Bradley hates facing the Orioles, going 1-3 with an 8.66 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in six career starts against Baltimore.  He has allowed 11 earned runs in 6 2/3 innings in two starts against them in 2025.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Yankees/Braves Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8

The New York Yankees rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.22 runs per game.  The OVER is 12-2 in Yankees last 14 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 12 of those 14 games.  This total of 8 is too low for a game involving the potent Yankees right now.  The Braves and their opponents have combined for at least 9 runs in six consecutive games, which would make for a 6-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 8-run total.

The Atlanta Braves have been the most disappointing team in baseball to this point.  Their lineup is much more talented than the run production has shown, and their rotation has been decimated by injuries.  I expect their offense to live up to its potential after the All-Star Break now that they are basically fully healthy.

Spencer Strider is working his way back from injury this season and will be closely monitored down the stretch.  Ian Hamilton will be making his 1st start of the season for the Yankees and only the 4th of his career.  I expect both offenses to have their way with these two starters and bullpens tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Kansas City Royals -120

The Kansas City Royals have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the Miami Marlins and should be bigger favorites as a result.  We'll gladly take advantage and back the Royals as short road favorites in Game 1 of this series tonight.

Seth Lugo finished 2nd in AL Cy Young voting last season by going 16-9 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 33 starts for the Royals.  Lugo has been even better in 2025, going 6-5 with a 2.67 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 17 starts.  Lugo owns the Marlins, going 4-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in seven career starts against them, allowing just 7 earned runs in 37 1/3 innings.

Sandy Alcantara is one of the worst starters in baseball this season, but continues to get respect that he doesn't deserve.  Alcantara is 4-9 with a 7.22 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 18 starts for the Marlins in 2025.  Bet the Royals Friday.

15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Brewers/Dodgers OVER 8.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are a dead nuts OVER team with potent lineup and suspect rotation.  The Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.34 runs per game but just 23rd allowing 4.63 runs per game.  The Brewers have a better lineup than they get credit for, ranking 7th scoring 4.76 runs per game this season.

Regression has hit Quinn Priester hard in recent starts.  He has allowed 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 15 innings in his last three starts.  Priester is now 13-11 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 188 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  This looks like his toughest start yet as he has never faced the Dodgers.

Tyler Glasnow is working his way back from injury.  He lasted just 5 innings on 85 pitches in his 1st start back from injury on July 9th against the Brewers.  It is a big advantage for the Brewers getting to see him for the 2nd time in just over a week.  Glasnow is 0-2 with a 5.85 ERA in four career starts against Milwaukee, allowing 13 earned runs and 28 base runners in 20 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 4th scoring 5.08 runs per game and 26th allowing 5.03 runs per game.  The St. Louis Cardinals have also been a great bet to the OVER this season.  They rank 11th scoring 4.58 runs per game and 20th allowing 4.4 runs per game.

Brandon Pfaadt is 9-6 in spite of a 5.16 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 19 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Pfaadt has posted a 5.82 ERA in three career starts against the Cardinals, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 17 innings.

Andre Pallante is 5-5 with a 4.49 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 18 starts for the Cardinals this season.  Pallante is coming off one of his worst starts of the season, allowing 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 innings to the Nationals.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.