NCAA-B Power Ratings

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Friday, February 21st, 2020
Power Ratings
Home Visitor Opening Line Updated Line Prediction Average Prediction Standard Deviation
Cornell Yale 12.0 12.0 14.75 1.29
Detroit Green Bay     3.01 1.78
Fairfield Niagara -4.0 -4.0 -2.30 1.87
Marist Monmouth 3.5 3.5 2.36 1.89
Iona Rider -1.0 -1.0 0.01 2.15
Manhattan St. Peter's -1.5 -1.5 2.05 0.98
Columbia Brown 1.0 1.0 2.82 2.53
Dartmouth Pennsylvania 1.5 1.5 3.40 3.28
Harvard Princeton -7.5 -7.5 -8.04 2.29
Quinnipiac Canisius -2.0 -2.0 -1.43 1.60
Oakland Wisc-Milwaukee -4.0 -4.0 -2.75 1.15
St. Louis VCU 1.5 1.5 2.44 1.11
Merrimack Sacred Heart -1.0 -1.0 0.16 1.97
Robert Morris St. Mary's -7.0 -7.0 -7.88 1.70
Wagner Central Connecticut State -9.0 -9.0 -4.33 1.43
St Francis NY Bryant 1.0 1.0 -1.89 3.35
Fairleigh Dickinson Long Island -1.0 -1.0 -3.09 3.26
Kent State Buffalo -4.0 -4.0 -0.10 1.75
Power Ratings
Home Visitor Line AVG FOX SAG MOR MAR Diff Total Total difference
Cornell Yale 12.0 14.75 13.00 15.16 16.09 5.43 6.57 136½ -10.95
Detroit Green Bay   3.01 1.00 5.33 2.69 3.33   165 9.40
Fairfield Niagara -4.0 -2.30 -3.00 0.26 -4.15 -4.57 0.57 126 -16.05
Marist Monmouth 3.5 2.36 1.00 5.03 1.04 -7.87 11.37 136 0.00
Iona Rider -1.0 0.01 -3.00 1.11 1.92 -3.27 2.27 148 -4.40
Manhattan St. Peter's -1.5 2.05 1.00 3.36 1.79 -4.27 2.77 124½ -1.30
Columbia Brown 1.0 2.82 1.00 6.40 1.06 0.33 0.67 138 -5.65
Dartmouth Pennsylvania 1.5 3.40 0.00 6.59 0.20 -1.27 2.77 132½ -8.70
Harvard Princeton -7.5 -8.04 -10.00 -4.83 -9.30 -5.67 -1.83 142 1.95
Quinnipiac Canisius -2.0 -1.43 -1.00 0.27 -3.57 -9.27 7.27 146 3.35
Oakland Wisc-Milwaukee -4.0 -2.75 -3.00 -1.23 -4.01 -10.07 6.07 138 -9.90
St. Louis VCU 1.5 2.44 2.00 3.96 1.36 2.23 -0.73 130½ -0.65
Merrimack Sacred Heart -1.0 0.16 -1.00 2.93 -1.46 -2.57 1.57 128 N/A
Robert Morris St. Mary's -7.0 -7.88 -10.00 -5.84 -7.80 2.83 -9.83 126½ -10.15
Wagner Central Connecticut State -9.0 -4.33 -6.00 -2.51 -4.47 -6.97 -2.03 144½ 3.80
St Francis NY Bryant 1.0 -1.89 -3.00 N/A -0.78 -12.37 13.37 142 -1.55
Fairleigh Dickinson Long Island -1.0 -3.09 -7.00 0.98 -3.25 -7.07 6.07 154 N/A
Kent State Buffalo -4.0 -0.10 -1.00 2.35 -1.64 7.53 -11.53 150½ -1.30

Here you will find the power ratings for all the college basketball games available today. While there are several different power ratings out there, we have decided to stick to three of the most well known rating systems in the industry. StatFox, (FOX), Jeff Sagarin (SAG) and Sonny Moore (MOR).

Each of these three systems rank all the college basketball teams based on a point rating. For example, the Sagarin system has given Kentucky a rating of 100.89 (Feb. 3, 2015) and Arizona a rating of 92.51. With these ratings, we can come up with a projected line if these two teams were to play on a neutral court.

All you have to do is simply subtract the two ratings. In this case, the Sagarin system would have Kentucky favored by roughly 8.5-points (100.89 - 92.51 = 8.38) over Arizona on a neutral setting. You can also figure out what the expected line would be if it was at Kentucky or Arizona. At this time the Sagarin system gives a 3.5-point edge (SAG homecourt varies throughout the season) to the home team. Sagarin would have Kentucky as a 12-point home favorite (8.5 + 3.5) over Arizona and a 5-point road favorite (8.5 -3.5).

Keep in mind that each of the 3 power ratings use different systems to come up with their point ratings. They each also have their own value they assign to the homecourt. While Sagarin is at 3.5, StatFox gives a 4-point edge to the home team and Moore spots the host 4.3-points. You can see how closely the three power ratings agree or disagree on a game by looking at the "Prediction Standard Deviation" in the top table. The smaller the number the more the three ratings agree (0.00 would mean all three predict the same line).