Sports Handicapper Chris R Farley's Picks & Predictions

Long time expert NBA/NFL Handicapper - 58% in NBA in 2021 - 57% in NBA this season - Circa Millions NFL Contest Winner (5th place, 114k prize)

Chris R Farley's Premium Picks Streaks & Trends

Sport	W-L	Profit	Win Pct	Since	Archive
All Sports	94-77	$1,188	55%	2023-01-04	View Picks
NBA	50-39	$735	56%	2023-01-03	View Picks
Basketball	57-47	$606	55%	2023-01-15	View Picks
NFL	11-6	$440	65%	2022-09-11	View Picks
Football	123-108	$383	53%	2022-11-06	View Picks

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
Weber State vs Northern Colorado	Weber State PK -105	Premium	54-88	Loss	-105	Show
This is a tough spot for Weber State but they're the way better team and their mid-range offense (52nd overall) should thrive against the porous paint defense of their foe, N. Colorado, who ranks 344th in mid-range percentage allowed to their opponents.
Green Bay vs Wisc-Milwaukee	Wisc-Milwaukee -16 -110	Premium	80-79	Loss	-110	Show
This number is hyper-inflated for a reason. The home team allowed Green Bay to shoot better than usual in a 14 pt win earlier this season, but the home team is also fresh off a near-loss to a team that should have shellacked 4 days ago in IUPUI. Not this time. I expect Milwaukee, whose offense and pace should completely overwhelm poor Green Bay, to annihilate their competition tonight. This is also a rougher schedule spot for GB, who's on their fourth straight road game and they had only two days to rest.
Lafayette vs Holy Cross	Holy Cross +2½ -105	Premium	72-58	Loss	-105	Show
God help me (literally), but I'm taking Holy Cross. Lafayette has a formidable defense but their momentum is low having lost three games in a row and especially after a close defeat at the hands of Lehigh, one of the best teams in the Patriot League. Those kinds of losses can really deflate a team after they played better basketball than usual, while Holy Cross was just embarrassed at home by Navy. This is also a revenge game for the Crusaders, who were kept to a season-low 48 pts last time against Lafayette. I like the home team with value.
Spurs vs Bulls	Spurs +11 -110	Premium	104-128	Loss	-110	Show
I can't imagine this line going up more, so I'll take it now. The Bulls are on the first leg of a B2B Monday and I could see them mailing this one in early or doing something similar to what the Kings did Sunday night, which doesn't typically work. They have a big game at Memphis tomorrow night, and then two more road games at Brooklyn and at Cleveland this week. That's a lot of good teams ahead and a lot to think about before trying to dust off a San Antonio squad that likes to run at a rapid pace in transition, a tiring scenario for Chicago. Let me be clear-- I don't trust the Spurs. They've been arguably the worst team in the NBA over the last week or so and they get blown out on a regular basis. They're also a little banged up. But this isn't about the Spus. This is about an inflated number and Chicago's situation, and the Bulls haven't done well against poorer competition this season. Give me the dog.
Bucks vs Blazers	OVER 239½ -110	Premium	127-108	Loss	-110	Show
The Bucks have been lightning fast lately but that's at the comfort of their home at Fiserv Forum. Now the surging Bucks will take their dominance all the way up to the Pacific Northwest where the Blazers like to dance nice and slow up in Seattle. I think that'll change Monday night, though. Giannis' size and the duo of Giannis and Brook Lopez will give Milwaukee easy offense all night. Their hypernetic pace has been working for their offense, too, so why shouldn't they try to assert the same style on the road? The Blazers are the NBA's worst defense the last month, even worse at home, and they're a top 3 offense during the same span. Portland is winning thanks to their star guards but they've lost all ability or apparently all concern with playing defense. Even if this game proceeds slowly, I think the offense will come fluidly on both sides. Portland being at home helps, or else I wouldn't have as much faith in their offense. Like the over.
Thunder vs Warriors	UNDER 237½ -110	Premium	114-141	Loss	-110	Show
Thunder/Warriors under 237.5 (-110), to win 1.5 unitsShae Gilgeous Alexander under 32.5 points (-110), to win 1.5 unitsJordan Poole over 22.5 points (-130), to win 1.5 unitsGame-plan's change when the MVP is injured, and I think we can expect a more buttoned up Warriors squad Monday night. The OKC Thunder are still riding high after their big annihilation of the Rockets at home, dropping 153 points on Houston in a revenge game win. Good for OKC, but you're not playing Houston anymore. Golden State needs to survive without their star Steph Curry but they've been here before and they're well-equipped. Jordan's Poole's point total is way too low, for starters. OKC has improved on many aspects of their defense, including how they defend the perimeter shot, but they're still no match for the wise and pedigreed Warriors at home. Poole will get his and I expect the Warriors defense to take care of business and slow this game down. OKC's defense will certainly contribute, too. They're vastly improved in all areas and they're a top 10 defense against shots beyond the arc. That's a good thing when you're facing Golden State. I think this line may move down, it's juiced in favor of OKC right now, and then I'll bite on Golden State at a lower number.

PICKS IN PROGRESS

Feb 07 '23, 6:30 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NCAA-B | Marquette vs Connecticut

Play on: Marquette +5 -110 at William Hill [Lost: -$110]

Game Analysis

UCONN is a great team but they're no greater than Marquette, as the underdog proved in their first contest. UCONN has only covered the spread in three of their last 12 games and all Marquette has done is look the best they have all season lately, knocking one team out after another with solid play on both sides of the court. They're also the way better ATS team. Nothing makes me want to NOT take Marquette here, even on the road.

Pick Released on Feb 07 at 05:11 pm

Feb 07 '23, 9:00 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NCAA-B | Maryland vs Michigan State

Play on: UNDER 131 -105

Game Analysis

Hopefully we don't see insane variance or 1000 free throws at the end of this game but this checks out as a tough defensive battle between two Big Ten teams and I love the way MD's defense has played lately. They've only allowed 55 ppg to their opponents in their last four wins. Michigan State is good and at home, but I like MD's interior to keep this close and low scoring. Both teams run at a really slow pace, which also helps our bet.

Pick Released on Feb 06 at 05:03 pm

Feb 07 '23, 7:00 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NCAA-B | North Carolina vs Wake Forest

Play on: North Carolina PK -110 at linepros [Lost: -$110]

Game Analysis

UNC is all-too-fresh off their loss to Duke, a game where they only scored 57 points on the road against their arch-rival, and I expect them to come into this contest with ferocity as they look to avenge their loss. They'll be facing a much less capable defense tonight.

Pick Released on Feb 06 at 05:03 pm

List of accomplishments

Year	Accomplishment	Record	Win %	Profit
2022 -2023	#3 in CFL	9-3	75%	$605
2022	#4 in WNBA	18-8	69.2%	$955
2022 -2023	#5 in TEN	5-2	71.4%	$135

Service Chris R Farley's Bio & About Section

I have been handicapping the NFL and NBA for over 10 years, honing the craft from the best minds in the industry. I'm most well known for my NBA picks (58% last season, currently hitting at 57%).

I also placed 5th in the 2021 NFL Circa Millions contest, hitting at 68% for the season.

You can count on my premium picks posted early in the morning, every single day, with detailed qualitative analysis and explanations included with every play. I have a unique system of measurements that, unlike many handicappers, does NOT ignore intangibles and situational angles. In pro sports, I think it's the most integral piece of the process. My records have indicated as much.