Sports Handicapper Frank Sawyer's Picks & Predictions

Frank Sawyer

Frank Sawyer is on a 7 of 9 (78%) NBA Game of the Month/Year Playoff sides run -- and he furthers his 12 of 17 (71%) NBA GOM/GOY sides run with his 25* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month tonight!

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

PICKS IN PROGRESS

Apr 30 '25, 8:05 PM
Play Type: Top Premium Pick
MLB | A's vs Rangers
Play on: Rangers -149 at Jazz
Game Analysis

At 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the money-line on the Texas Rangers (928) versus the Athletics (927) listing both starting pitchers Nathan Eovaldi and Luis Severino. THE SITUATION: Texas (16-14) snapped their three-game losing streak with a 15-2 victory in the second game of this series. The Athletics (15-15) had won two games in a row before that loss.

REASONS TO TAKE THE RANGERS WITH THE MONEY-LINE: Texas is getting great pitching right now. They have not allowed more than three runs in five straight games. Their bullpen has been rock steady with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. If their bats can continue to wake up, they are going to be tough to beat. The Rangers have won 5 of their last 6 games at home after scoring ten or more runs in their last game. They have won 5 of their last 7 games after a win by eight or more runs, Additionally, they have won 7 of their last 9 home games after winning their last game. Eovaldi gets the ball tonight to make his seventh start of the season. He has a 2-2 record along with a 2.21 ERA and a .074 WHIP. The deeper sabermetrics confirm his outstanding start as both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 2.59 and 2.62 moving forward. The right-hander is relying less on his four-seam fastball has lost a bit of its oomph and instead uses his splitter and curveball more which are good swing-and-miss pitches for him. The 35-year-old is a crafty veteran who throws four different pitchers to left-handed hitters and five different pitchers to right-handed hitters. Giving up the long-ball has been a problem in the past but he has served up only three gopher balls this season. The 0.74 home runs per nine innings is his lowest since matching that mark in 2021 — and the last time he gave up fewer homer runs was back in 2015. Eovaldi has struck out 38 batters and only issued three walks. His 27.1% strikeout rate is a career-high — and the 2.1% walk-rate is a career-low. He is combining this efficiency with a ground rate of 49.5% of all the batted balls against him. Last season, he was more effective at home for the Rangers where he enjoyed a 3.63 ERA along with a 0.98 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .211 in 16 starts as opposed to his 4.01 ERA along with a 1.27 WHIP and an opponent’s batting average of .251. He faces a slumping Athletics lineup that has not scored more than two runs in two straight games and has failed to score more than three runs in four straight contests. The Athletics have lost 11 of their last 16 games after a loss by eight or more runs — and they have lost 12 of their last 19 games after surrendering 10 or more runs. They counter with Severino who has a 1-3 record along with a 3.49 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in six starts. The deeper sabermetrics indicate he has been overachieving as both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 4.33 and 4.43 moving forward. After posting a career-high 36.4% strikeout rate in 2021, he only struck out 21.2% of opposing hitters last year. This season, his strikeout rate is a career-low 18.4%. He faces a Rangers team that has won 9 of their 11 games this season at home against right-handed pitchers. The Athletics have lost 11 of their last 17 games as an underdog including six of those nine games on the road. They have lost 8 of their last 12 games with the Total set in the 8-8.5 range.

FINAL TAKE: Texas has won 11 of their 15 games at home this season — and they have won 7 straight home games when priced as a money—line favorite at -110 or higher. In their 12 games this season when priced as a money-line favorite in the -100 to -150 price range. 25* MLB American League Game of the Month is with the money-line on the Texas Rangers (928) versus the Athletics (927) listing both starting pitchers Nathan Eovaldi and Luis Severino. Best of luck for us — Frank.

Pick Released on Apr 30 at 06:21 pm
Apr 30 '25, 7:30 PM
Play Type: Top Premium Pick
NBA | Warriors vs Rockets
Play on: Rockets -3½ -113 at Jazz [Won: $100]
Game Analysis

At 7:35 PM ET on Wednesday, we will be playing the Houston Rockets (510) minus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (509) in Game Five of their Western Conference Quarterfinals series. THE SITUATION: Houston (53-33) has lost six of their last seven games after their 109-106 loss on the road against the Warriors as a 3.5-point underdog on Monday. Golden State (52-35) took a 3-1 series lead with the victory.

REASONS TO TAKE THE ROCKETS MINUS THE POINTS: Jalen Green struggled in both games in Golden State — and he comes off scoring just 8 points on Monday on 3 of 8 shooting. Green did not play very well at home in the opening game of this series either — but he rebounded in Game Two by scoring 38 points on 13 of 25 shooting from the field. Green should continue to play better back at home. Houston lost Game Four on the charity stripe where they missed 12 of their 31 shots. After posting that 61% clip, they should take better advantage of their free throws tonight back at home where they are making 73.8% of their shots from the line. They are a team that led the NBA in the regular season by pulling down 36.3% of their missed shots — and they also ranked sixth in the league in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Houston has covered the point spread in 9 of the last 14 games after a loss by six points or less including five of those eight games played at home. They have also covered the point spread in 12 of their last 17 home games when playing for no more than the fourth time in the last ten days. At home, they are holding their opponents to 106.9 Points-Per-Game — and they are outscoring their opponent's guests by +6.5 Points-Per-Game. The Rockets have covered the point spread in 23 of their last 34 home games when favored by 3.5 to 9.5 points. Golden State took Game Four despite making only 41.9% of their shots in that game. They converted on 20 of their 22 shots at the free-throw line. But the Warriors are only making 43.9% of their shots in their series which is resulting in 104.6 Points-Per-Game which is -8.7 PPG below their season average. Golden State has failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 16 games after a win by six points or less. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 17 of their last 26 games after a straight-up win at home.

FINAL TAKE: The Rockets have covered the point spread in 16 of their last 22 games at home when playing with revenge — and they have covered the point spread in 20 of their last 29 games at home when avenging a loss on the road. 25* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month with the Houston Rockets (510) minus the points versus the Golden State Warriors (509). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Pick Released on Apr 30 at 03:39 am

List of accomplishments

Sports
Year Accomplishment Record Win % Profit
2023 -2024 #2 in PGA 51-38 57.3% $363
2022 #2 in NFL 85-55 60.7% $2,423
2020 -2021 #2 in CBB 98-70 58.3% $2,135
2019 -2020 #2 in CFL 9-2 81.8% $675
2018 #2 in NFL 116-82 58.6% $2,459
2022 -2023 #4 in PGA 45-35 56.3% $300
2020 -2021 #4 in BOX 10-4 71.4% $505
2023 -2024 #6 in SOCCER 11-7 61.1% $245
2022 -2023 #6 in NBA 90-59 60.4% $2,530
2022 #6 in Football 117-85 57.9% $2,314
2021 -2022 #6 in BOX 1-0 100% $100
2020 #8 in NFL 91-74 55.2% $959
2020 #8 in Football 145-121 54.5% $1,203
2022 -2023 #9 in SOCCER 7-6 53.9% $23
2021 -2022 #9 in CBB 79-65 54.9% $757
2018 -2019 #9 in CFL 10-8 55.6% $143
2017 -2018 #9 in CFL 14-12 53.9% $101
2017 #9 in NFL 114-95 54.6% $983
2016 -2017 #9 in NHL 53-39 57.6% $823
2021 -2022 #10 in Basketball 163-129 55.8% $2,117

Service Frank Sawyer's Bio & About Section

Frank Sawyer offers unmatched handicapping analysis over a diverse array of sports for his Hollywood Sports clients. Frank combines his over twenty years of experience as a professional sports handicapper with the drive to outwork his competition. Why invest in a sports service? Frank answers that question with a proven methodology. His model for success starts by investing a significant amount of time analyzing each team in the sports he handicaps to serve as a foundation for that season. Frank then combines his team assessments with empirical situational handicapping angles along with the latest in cutting edge analytics to identify value in the betting line. Decades of handicapping experience along with his unrelenting focus are the qualities that Frank offers his clients. Frank produces extensive reports that detail his decisions. He does this for two reasons: (1) clients deserve to see the work that goes into a conclusion and (2) Frank’s attention to detail within these reports validates to his clients that he continues to work tirelessly to unearth winning angles. With that ambition in mind, Frank has expanded his areas of interest and scrutiny to include the English Premier League, the PGA Tour, the WNBA, and UFC/Boxing in recent years to go along with the major four sports of football, basketball, baseball, and hockey along with the Canadian Football League, Horse Racing, and World Cup Soccer that he has specialized in since he began Hollywood Sports in 1997. Frank believes long-term success involves not only continuing to dig deeper into the sports that he covers but also in expanding his horizons with new events that can provide additional tools in his handicapping toolbox with the goal of rewarding his clients for their loyalty over the years.

Frank uses a rating an 8*, 10*, 20*, 25* rating system that also serves a guide for money management: 10* plays warrant a standard bet (and 8* plays warrant 80% of a standard bet); 20* plays should see a doubling of that standard bet; 25* plays are Frank’s highest-rated play with the recommendation to invest 2.5 times the standard bet. For Frank’s futures reports or for events with odds such as PGA events or horse races, Frank usually offers three recommendations in his betting report: his Best Bet for the event; his Top Overlay Bet which presents his best value play relative to the odds for the event: and his Long Shot Bet for a big underdog offer value with its potential big payout. Frank’s signature play his “A-List* release which is reserved for rare and elite betting opportunities.

Follow Frank on Twitter: @FrankSawyerHS