Sports Handicapper Frank Sawyer's Picks & Predictions

Frank Sawyer

Frank Sawyer furthers his 15 of 23 (65%) Soccer Game of the Year/Month mark and his 15 of 21 (71%) SOCCER TOTALS TEAR with his 25* CONCACAF Gold Cup Total of the Year for USA-Mexico on Fox at 7 PM ET!

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PICKS IN PROGRESS

Jul 06 '25, 7:00 PM
Play Type: Top Premium Pick
Soccer | United States vs Mexico
Play on: UNDER 2¼ -125
Game Analysis

At 7:00 PM ET on Sunday, we will be playing Under the Total in the match between Mexico (234225) and the USMNT (234226) in the finals of the CONCACAF Gold Cup. THE SITUATION: Mexico (W4-D1-L0) reached the championship match of this tournament with their 1-0 victory against Honduras on Wednesday. The USMNT (W4-D1-L0) joined them earlier that day with their 2-1 victory against Guatemala in the semifinal match. This game will be played on a neutral pitch at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas.

REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: This current incarnation of the Mexican national team is not an explosive scoring club. Canada scored six goals against Honduras in their opening match — but El Tri only managed one goal and a mere 1.26 expected goals (xG). Raul Jimenez scored their lone goal in the 50th minute — they only managed ten shots in the match with just four on target. In this tournament, they have scored eight goals in their five matches on just 6.48 xG — and after their 3-2 victory against the Dominican Republic in a loose opening match, they have scored only five times in four matches. But Mexico has been outstanding on defense embracing a physical style of play under manager Javier Aguirre that has stifled their last four opponents. El Tri has registered four straight clean sheets after holding Los Catrachos to only four shots with just one on target (no Big Chances of 0.3 xG or higher) — Honduras only had 0.10 xG in that match. Overall, Mexico has only conceded those two goals in their opening match against the Dominican Republic — and they have only 1.48 expected Goals Allowed (xGA). They lead all squads in this event by giving up only 1.6 Shots-on-Target per match. The United States Mens National Team only had three Big Chances against Guatemala in the semifinals — and they held them to only two Big Chances. The Stars and Stripes have scored 12 times in their five matches — but they have a 10.12 xG in those contests. They have conceded four times — and their xGA closely matches that 4.44. The Americans have enjoyed a pretty favorable schedule which included Trinidad & Tobago, Saudi Arabia, and Haiti in the group stage before Costa Rica and then the Guatemalan side that upset Canada in the quarterfinals. I suspect manager Mauricio Pochettino will have his side play conservative and cagey against El Tri with the hopes of stealing the match in the second half. In the United States' most recent match against Mexico in a friendly on October 15th last year, the Yankees managed just one shot in a 2-0 loss. The intensity of this match will be much higher with a Gold Cup title on the line. Team USA has won three of their last four appearances in a Gold Cup title game — and they registered a clean sheet in two of those matches. And in their last four championship matches in a CONCACAF event this decade against Mexico, they held El Tri scoreless in three of those contests.

FINAL TAKE: Mexico has scored seven of their eight goals in this event in the second half — so there is a very good chance that the second half of this match will have an eye toward extra time (while the quarterfinals and semifinals go directly to a shootout, the finals does indulge in a 30-minute extra-time before the penalty kick shootout). El Tri has registered five straight clean sheets in the Knockout Stage of the Gold Cup. 25* CONCACAF Gold Cup Total of the Year with Under the Total in the match between Mexico (234225) and the USMNT (234226). Best of luck for us — Frank.

Pick Released on Jul 06 at 05:41 am

List of accomplishments

Sports
Year Accomplishment Record Win % Profit
2023 -2024 #2 in PGA 51-38 57.3% $363
2022 #2 in NFL 85-55 60.7% $2,423
2020 -2021 #2 in CBB 98-70 58.3% $2,135
2019 -2020 #2 in CFL 9-2 81.8% $675
2018 #2 in NFL 116-82 58.6% $2,459
2022 -2023 #4 in PGA 45-35 56.3% $300
2020 -2021 #4 in BOX 10-4 71.4% $505
2023 -2024 #6 in SOCCER 11-7 61.1% $245
2022 -2023 #6 in NBA 90-59 60.4% $2,530
2022 #6 in Football 117-85 57.9% $2,314
2021 -2022 #6 in BOX 1-0 100% $100
2020 #8 in NFL 91-74 55.2% $959
2020 #8 in Football 145-121 54.5% $1,203
2022 -2023 #9 in SOCCER 7-6 53.9% $23
2021 -2022 #9 in CBB 79-65 54.9% $757
2018 -2019 #9 in CFL 10-8 55.6% $143
2017 -2018 #9 in CFL 14-12 53.9% $101
2017 #9 in NFL 114-95 54.6% $983
2016 -2017 #9 in NHL 53-39 57.6% $823
2021 -2022 #10 in Basketball 163-129 55.8% $2,117
2017 #10 in PRENFL 16-13 55.2% $169

Service Frank Sawyer's Bio & About Section

Frank Sawyer offers unmatched handicapping analysis over a diverse array of sports for his Hollywood Sports clients. Frank combines his over twenty years of experience as a professional sports handicapper with the drive to outwork his competition. Why invest in a sports service? Frank answers that question with a proven methodology. His model for success starts by investing a significant amount of time analyzing each team in the sports he handicaps to serve as a foundation for that season. Frank then combines his team assessments with empirical situational handicapping angles along with the latest in cutting edge analytics to identify value in the betting line. Decades of handicapping experience along with his unrelenting focus are the qualities that Frank offers his clients. Frank produces extensive reports that detail his decisions. He does this for two reasons: (1) clients deserve to see the work that goes into a conclusion and (2) Frank’s attention to detail within these reports validates to his clients that he continues to work tirelessly to unearth winning angles. With that ambition in mind, Frank has expanded his areas of interest and scrutiny to include the English Premier League, the PGA Tour, the WNBA, and UFC/Boxing in recent years to go along with the major four sports of football, basketball, baseball, and hockey along with the Canadian Football League, Horse Racing, and World Cup Soccer that he has specialized in since he began Hollywood Sports in 1997. Frank believes long-term success involves not only continuing to dig deeper into the sports that he covers but also in expanding his horizons with new events that can provide additional tools in his handicapping toolbox with the goal of rewarding his clients for their loyalty over the years.

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