Sports Handicapper Larry Ness's Picks & Predictions

Larry Ness

Larry's in his 39th year as a professional handicapper. Tuesday's doubleheader is highlighted by a 10* Situational Stunner (Situational Stunners are 9-3 since July 1) and a LV Insider (MLB Insiders 17-6 s/Jume 21).

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Larry's 10* Situational Stunner: 9-3 s/July 1

It was more heartbreak for Larry on Monday with a 1-0 loss on Oakland. He's now in his 39th year as a professional handicapper (with the start of FB 2022) and it's "head down and keep plugging." Tuesday's doubleheader is highlighted by his latest Situational Stunner (Situational Stunners are 9-3 since July 1), which earns a top rating of 10*s. BATTER UP!

Larry's 10* Situational Stunner: 9-3 s/July 1
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Larry Ness's Premium Picks Streaks & Trends

Sport W-L Profit Win Pct Since Archive
Top Football 142-103 $2,709 58% 2020-12-05 View Picks
NCAA-F 131-99 $2,179 57% 2019-11-16 View Picks
MLB 371-321 $1,680 54% 2021-04-13 View Picks
Top NFL 47-31 $1,186 60% 2020-12-13 View Picks
All Sports 73-60 $658 55% 2022-06-13 View Picks
Soccer 4-4 $151 50% 2021-06-12 View Picks

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Aug 09 '22, 7:10 PM
Play Type: Top Premium Pick
MLB | Braves vs Red Sox
Play on: Braves -150 at BetVegas
Game Analysis

My 8* Las Vegas Insider is on the Atl Braves at 7:10 ET.

The Braves were 51-53 in late-July of 2021 but went 37-20 the rest of the way and won the NL East (for the FOURTH straight season) before capturing the franchise's first World Series title since 1995. The Red Sox have won four World Series titles since 2004 but Boston struggled to a 24-36 record in the 2020 season, before surprising most by going 92-70 in 2021. The Red Sox made it to the ALCS but lost 4-2 to the Astros? Atlanta was just 23-27, 10 1/2-games behind New York through the end of May. However, the Braves opened June by winning their first 14 games and by the All-Star break, had closed within 2 1/2-games of the first-place Mets. The Braves opened the second half 7-3 but will open this two-game series at Fenway losers of FIVE of six, falling 6 1/2-games behind the Mets. As for Boston in 2022, ever since a 19-4 run in June got the Red Sox 11 games over .500, they have gone 12-25, dropping 4 1/2-games behind the final AL wild-card spot with a 54-56 record.

Charlies Morton (5-5, 4.09 ERA) will get the start for Atlanta, while the Red Sox counter with Rich Hill (4-5, 4.52 ERA). Morton turned his career around beginning in 2017. Excluding the COVID season of 2020, he has gone 49-22 in the last four full seasons, playing on teams that have played in THREE World Series (winning twice) in that span (with Houston in 2017 and Atlanta in 2021). Morton allowed two runs on two hits and a walk in 5.1 innings against the Cincinnati Reds on April 8, earning a "W" in Atlanta's 7-6 victory. However, over his next four starts, he allowed 16 ERs in 18.1 innings (7.85 ERA) in going 0-3 (Braves lost all four). The Braves then won EIGHT of his next 10 starts, with Morton posting a 3.83. He's just 1-2 in six starts since July 1 (Braves are 2-4) but note his ERA is 2.70 in that span.

Rich Hill Began his career way back 2005 and he's played for 11 teams (this is his third stint with Boston). Hill has made 340 appearances (211 starts) with a career record of 78-57 and his ERA is a respectable 3.85. He's 4-5 with a 4.52 ERA in 16 starts (team is 8-8) but spent a month on the injury list due to a left knee strain. He returned to the team on August 1 and started on 8/3 at Houston, allowing four ERs on six hits in just three innings of a 6-1 loss. His star tonight is just his THIRD since late June. Some positive news is the fact that Hill is 5-0 with a 2.32 ERA in nine career starts vs Atlanta (teams are 8-1).

However, Moron checks in 7-1 with a 3.88 ERA in 14 career starts vs Boston (teams are 10-4). The Braves have cooled somewhat but remain safely atop the NL wild-card standings. It's also noteworthy that they're 18 games above .500 (64-46), which is 18 games better than they were after 110 games last season. Meanwhile, as noted above, the Red Sox has been in a near 40-game slump. Atlanta takes the field tonight on a three-game losing streak for the FIRST time this season. Atlanta, behind Morton is the play.

Good luck...Larry

Pick Released on Aug 09 at 07:03 am

List of accomplishments

Year Accomplishment Record Win % Profit
2021 #2 in MLB 244-197 55.3% $2,782
2017 #2 in MLB 285-229 55.5% $2,081
2019 #5 in NFL 61-44 58.1% $1,129
2016 -2017 #5 in CFL 7-3 70% $360
2015 -2016 #5 in NHL 37-26 58.7% $515
2016 -2017 #6 in NBA 161-136 54.2% $1,223
2016 -2017 #6 in Basketball 293-245 54.5% $2,507
2018 #9 in CFB 72-52 58.1% $1,543
2018 #9 in Football 138-102 57.5% $2,552
2021 -2022 #10 in SOCCER 4-4 50% $150
2021 #10 in CFB 54-36 60% $1,423

Service Larry Ness's Bio & About Section

Age: 67 (turns 68 in November).

Years in handicapping: Larry entered his 38th year as a professional handicapper in September of 2021.

Achievements in handicapping: 1985 Castaway’s Pro Football Challenge Champion, then the most prestigious handicapping contest in Las Vegas; 1999 Stardust Invitational semi-finalist.

A member of the original cast of Proline (began in 1985), the nation’s longest running pre-game handicapping show on the USA-TV network (also hosted Sports Desk on the same network from 1996-98). In then joined the panel of The Winning Edge in the early 2000s. Although well-known on TV for his expert game analysis and no-nonsense handicapping style, Larry may be best known for his radio work. He hosted his own syndicated call-in radio show, Sports Central. It aired live from Bally's Casino in Las Vegas in the early to mid-90s and at one time was heard in more than 100 markets.

Systems used for handicapping a game: Fundamental and statistical analysis. "I'm not typically a trend and system kind of guy," Ness says. "I look at team strengths and weaknesses and compare them. It’s an all-encompassing thing and over 35-plus years, you get good at it."

Star Ratings: 9 and 10*s are considered "Best Bets." All other plays are rated between 6 and 8*s, depending on strength and/or price.

Release Times: Larry releases "daily sports" (MLB, NBA, NCAAB and NHL) on the day of the game. His full card is almost always available by 10:00 ET (save Late-Breaking games). In the FB season, Larry begins releasing plays as early as Tuesday. His full CFB card is typically complete by Thursday (on Friday, at the latest) and his full NFL card will be mostly complete by Friday (definitely by Saturday at 3:00 ET).

38-Club Play: It represents Larry's 38 years in the business and gets his highest star rating (10*s). Expect no more than one of these plays per month, per sport during the regular season.

LEGEND Play: Larry's often been referred to as a Las Vegas legend and he's 'borrowed' the title for his other "signature play.". Larry's LEGEND Plays were previously available to only a select group of private clients but they are now available to all, via the internet. Like his 36-Club plays, expect no more than one play per month, per sport (rated 10*s).

Game of the Month and Game of the Year Plays: Always rated 10*s. Las Vegas Insider: Throughout his 36 years "in the business," Larry has become known as "the ultimate Las Vegas insider." The contacts he's developed over more than three decades (on both sides of the 'counter'), are arguably "unmatched!" He confers daily with 'his 'friends' and when "all the stars align on the same game," Larry releases an exclusive Las Vegas Insider (rated between 7 and 10*s).

Oddsmaker's Error Plays: Larry uses this term with "great respect" (and not very often), as he counts among his very closest friends many of Las Vegas' most famous and respected Sport Book directors (past and present). However, when Larry feels "the line is significantly off," he'll release one of these "not to be missed" plays (rated 9 or 10*s).

Situational Stunners: Larry's a fundamental handicapper at heart but he does pay attention to team and situational trends (especially in MLB). When his fundamental handicapping and a strong trend or situation match up, he releases a Situational Stunner. He began releasing these plays in MLB '09 and he's expanded them since,to all sports (rated from 7-10*s, based on strength and/or price for moneyline sports).

PERFECT STORM: Larry just added these plays the last few years and his accompanying expert analysis makes these popular plays self-explanatory (typically rated 9 or 10*s but moneyline sports may be rated 7 or 8*s due to price).

Weekly and Weekend Wipeout Winners: Larry added this self-explanatory moniker just a few years ago. They've become immensely popular and why not? Who wouldn't want a game that has "blowout written all over it," supported by Larry's expert analysis (rated between 7 and 10*s, depending on strength and price).

Superstar Triple Play: Over the years, many of Larry's regular clients have clamored for more three-game reports. You asked for it and Larry's responded. Back in the late 1980s and into the mid 1990s, 900-numbers became "the rage." While a panel member of Proline (see above), Larry created the Superstar Triple Play. One call got you three Superstar Triple Plays (in a particular sport). For almost a decade, anywhere from 1,500 to 3,500 callers responded each weekend, when Larry offered his famous "Superstar Triple Play" pitch on Proline. Starting in 2009, Larry began going "Back to the Future!" Look for 3-game reports this FB season on Saturday (college) and Sunday (NFL). Get three plays on a single report from Larry (many will be TV games), the originator of the "Superstar Triple Play!".

Late-Breaking Plays: Larry will always go back and take a "second look" at each day's card, after posting all his games. When he finds something he missed the first time around, he'll release a Late-Breaking Play. These plays are more prevalent in sports like baseball and basketball than football (typically rated at 8 or 9*s).

Quote: "No one works any harder and my work-product speaks for itself," Ness says. "I have a no-nonsense style and my logic is easy to follow. Anyone buying my plays will know exactly what I was thinking when I made the selection. After 34 years, the Larry Ness brand is instantly recognizable and my analysis ranks with the best in the industry."