Sports Handicapper Matt Fargo's Picks & Predictions

This is a play on the BALTIMORE ORIOLES for our Tuesday Free Play. Tampa Bay rolled to a 16-6 win in the series opener last night as the Rays jumped all over Trevor Rogers who has regressed considerably from last season. The Orioles hope for a better outing from Kyle Bradish who is coming off a pair of quality starts after a poor outing at Yankee Stadium and the most recent quality start was a rematch against the Yankees where he tossed six shutout innings. Overall, he has a 4.21 ERA while pitching to a 3.91 xERA which is the best of all starters with at least 50 opposing plate appearances. The Rays counter with Griffin Jax who had an 8.00 ERA coming out of the bullpen in 11 relief appearances but they moved him into the rotation and it has gotten better as he has a 1.29 ERA in four starts. However, he has only gone 14 innings and while he is being stretched out more, that is not necessarily a good thing as he is pitching to a 4.56 xERA so negative regression is coming. Play (917) Baltimore Orioles

3-3 Monday including 3-2 MLB with wins on +130 Rockies, +130 Padres and +112 Angels. THREE Tuesday MLB Winners to add to Fargo's very profitable 2026 MLB Season. NBA 74-59-1 Run. All-Inclusive Package gets them all!

This is a play on the NEW YORK KNICKS for our NBA Signature Enforcer. Obviously, the Knicks have a huge edge with their time off as they have a nine-game rest advantage after sweeping the Sixers while the Cavaliers had to go all seven games to take out the Pistons. Cleveland gets no break as it played that last game on Sunday and has to travel again and while it is not a long trip, just the travel aspect with one day off is taxing. This does not bode well for the Cavaliers defense and especially the transition defense for a team that turns the ball over a ton anyway. The Cavaliers average the second most turnovers per game at 16.6, and enter the series No. 11 in fastbreak points given up per game at 14.4 while the Knicks have the highest points per possession in transition, and are No. 4 in transition ppg this postseason at 22.7. Road underdogs in Game One after a Game Seven are 13-30. Here, we play against road teams off an upset win of 15 points or more as a road underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages between .600 and .750. This situation is 41-10 (80.4 percent) since 1997. 10* (546) New York Knicks

This is a play on the DETROIT TIGERS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. It has been a tough start for Detroit but it is far from out of it in the very average American League Central. Parker Messick was a late season callup last season and he shined with a 2.72 ERA in seven starts and he has already exceeded early expectations with his 2.35 ERA and 0.99 WHIP and his name is starting to get out there. This is just his second road start in over five weeks as five of his last six starts have been at home and in the only road outing against the Athletics, he allowed four runs in five innings, giving up three home runs. Keider Montero had his moments the last two seasons but was relatively average however he is having the season many expected. He has a 3.65 ERA and 0.99 WHIP, the same as Messick, through eight starts, allowing more than three runs only twice. He is back home where he has a 3.14 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in five starts. 10* (916) Detroit Tigers

This is a play on the SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Giants, namely Robbie Ray, got scorched last night in a 12-2 loss as Arizona plated four first inning runs and never looked back. San Francisco is hoping for a better effort from Landen Roupe and it should happen as he has been the most consistent starter over the first 30 percent of the season. He has a 3.49 ERA and 1.14 WHIP through nine starts while pitching to a 2.74 xERA, easily the lowest of any starter in the rotation. He has been even better on the road with a 2.01 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in five outings with the two worst coming against the Dodgers and Rays, two of the top three hitting teams in baseball. Arizona turns to Ryne Nelson who has been pitching better with a 2.33 ERA over his last three starts but he cannot be trusted as he has been inconsistent and is pitching to a 4.47 xERA while posting a 9.18 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in four home outings. 10* (911) San Francisco Giants

This is a play on the CINCINNATI REDS as part of our MLB Tuesday Triple Play. The Phillies have gotten it together under Don Mattingly but are in a sell high spot here. This is a great buy low spot for Chase Burns who is coming off another solid outing against Washington as he allowed no runs, the fourth time he has not given up a run in his nine starts to lower his ERA to 1.87 and his WHIP to 1.00. He had one poor start against the Angels but has allowed two runs or less in all of his other eight starts. Jesus Luzardo has been unable to find his groove as he has a 5.07 ERA and 1.33 WHIP through nine starts. He is coming off a solid outing against the Red Sox but that was on the road as he has some brutal reverse splits with a 1.52 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in four road outings but in five home starts, those numbers balloon to an 8.31 ERA and 1.50 WHIP and this is just as much mental as it is with his mechanics somehow at Citizens Bank Park. 10* (903) Cincinnati Reds