Sports Handicapper Matt Fargo's Picks & Predictions

This is a play on the PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS for our NBA Sunday Enforcer. Portland is coming off its first home loss since signing Carmelo Anthony but he cannot be to blame as the Lakers once again rolled from start to finish in their 23-point victory. The Blazers were on a 4-1 run prior to that and they are still an underachieving five games under .500 for the season. This includes a 4-5 record at home which leads to the short price tonight. the Blazers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games against teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400. Oklahoma City is coming off an improbable win on Friday as it forced overtime on a hail mary layup to close regulation. Oklahoma City improved to 7-5 at home but hits the highway at just 2-7. The Thunder are 0-4 ATS in their last four games against teams with a winning percentage below .400. The Blazers are 2-0 against the Thunder this season. Portland won 102-99 in Oklahoma City on Oct. 30 and prevailed 136-119 at home on Nov. 27. 10* (552) Portland Trail Blazers

This is a play on the BUFFALO BULLS for our CBB Sunday Enforcer. We won with DePaul on Wednesday as it defeated Texas Tech and a big reason for the play was the line was off based on the prior season results for the Red Raiders. That is continuing here as the Blue Demons win was a quality one, but not one that should affect their lines going forward but that is the case here. DePaul is 9-0 and a team on the rise based on their big recruiting class but this is not a good spot for them coming off their biggest win of the season. Buffalo was the power team in the MAC last season with a 16-2 record and the Bulls won 59 games over the previous two seasons. While there is some expected dropoff, there is not enough to warrant a line of this sort. In two road games this season against major opposition, the Bulls were getting three and Connecticut and four at Vanderbilt and now they are suddenly getting nine at DePaul. Here, we play on road teams as an underdog or pickem after allowing 90 points or more going up against an opponent after two straight wins by six points or less. This situation is 98-55 ATS (64.1 percent) since 1997. 10* (797) Buffalo Bulls

This is a play on the OAKLAND RAIDERS for our NFL Sunday Afternoon Dominator. The Raiders were looking good for a playoff spot just three weeks ago but laid a pair of eggs on the road against the Jets and Chiefs, getting outscored by a combined 74-12. The schedule has been brutal from a travel aspect as the Raiders went six weeks without a home game between September and the end of October and after a three-game homestand, had to travel the last two weeks. Oakland did go 3-0 in those three home games and it is far from done in the AFC as a win here puts them in a tie with the Titans and possibly the Steelers if they lose at Arizona for the second Wild Card spot. Tennessee has won three straight and five of six but four of those wins were at home and had the fluke road win last week. The Titans host Houston next week so there is the possibility of a lookahead which makes this a flat spot if that is the case. They are getting outgained by over 60 ypg and even with Ryan Tannehill at quarterback, there is inconsistencies. Here, we play on teams after scoring nine points or less in two straight games. This situation is 33-14 ATS (70.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (156) Oakland Raiders

This is a play on the DENVER BRONCOS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. Denver has struggled on the road to a 1-5 record but only one of those losses was it never in it, a 20-3 loss to the Bills. The Broncos 3-3 against the number in those games and going back, they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as road underdogs. Drew Lock posted a decent 84.5 passer rating in his first career start and he showed signs that he can be a really good option at quarterback. Houston is coming off a massive win against New England to make it two straight wins to retain its one game lead over Tennessee in the AFC South. Speaking of Tennessee, the Texans travel there next week so this is a classic sandwich spot. The Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. 76 percent of the money is on Denver yet this line has not moved as just the juice has fluctuated and while it is not a reverse line movement, it is as close as you can get without the line actually moving. Here, we play against favorites off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team. This situation is 64-29 ATS (68.8 percent) since 1983. 9* (135) Denver Broncos

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. The Colts burned us last week as they were ready to take the lead against Tennessee but had their field goal blocked and returned for a touchdown and then another turned sealed the game. The Colts outgained the Titans by 99 total yards and have won the yardage battle in five of their last six games despite going 2-4. The Colts are in must win mode and are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit loss at home. The Buccaneers are on a two-game winning streak but are just 1-3 at home with the lone won coming by a field goal against Arizona. They were favored by 5.5 points in that game and are now 0-4 ATS at home not including the London game where they were the designated home team and lost by 11 points. At 5-7, Tampa Bay is out of the playoff mix yet is favored again. Here, we play against home favorites after having won two out of their last three games, with a winning percentage of between .400 and .499 in the second half of the season. This situation is 28-8 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (147) Indianapolis Colts

This is a play on the BUFFALO BILLS for our NFL Game of the Week. We bet against Baltimore again last week as it finally paid off as the Ravens snuck by a quality opponent. While some may not think it, Buffalo is another quality opponent as its 9-3 record indicates. The line is inflated once again as the book want to avoid liability after getting crushed for five straight games. The San Francisco defense did a great job on the Ravens offense, holding them to a season low 20 points. The Bills defense is built similarly to the 49ers and it is a legit unit. On the other side, Josh Allen has been sensational since the Patriots game with just the one hiccup against Cleveland. Buffalo gained the early action causing the line to go from -6 to -5 on Sunday. When Monday hit, the action switched and the Ravens were getting hit hard moving the line to 5.5 and the action has remained on the Baltimore side yet the line has increased to -6 as of Friday night. Here, we plat on home teams off an upset win as an underdog, in a game involving two teams with winning percentages of .750 or better. This situation is 29-8 ATS (78.4 percent) since 1983. 10* (132) Buffalo Bills