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Sports Handicapper Sean Murphy's Picks & Predictions

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Sean Murphy's Premium Picks Streaks & Trends

Sport	W-L	Profit	Win Pct	Since	Archive
NFL	23-7	$1,562	77%	2025-11-02	View Picks
NCAA-B	182-134	$3,518	58%	2024-12-07	View Picks
Top NBA	36-23	$1,115	61%	2025-03-15	View Picks
Top Football	24-14	$888	63%	2025-11-01	View Picks
NCAA-F	126-97	$2,039	57%	2024-10-19	View Picks
Basketball	340-281	$3,266	55%	2024-12-06	View Picks
Top All Sports	24-16	$684	60%	2025-11-16	View Picks
Top NHL	4-2	$195	67%	2025-11-08	View Picks

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS

Match Up	Pick	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Analysis
James Madison vs Oregon	James Madison +21 -110	Premium	34-51	Win	100	Show
My selection is on James Madison plus the points over Oregon at 7:30 pm et on Saturday. James Madison was essentially dismissed by most following an early season 28-14 loss in a primetime game at Louisville. From there, the Dukes reeled off 11 straight wins including a victory over Troy in the Sun Belt Championship Game on December 5th, and here they are in the College Football Playoff. Few are obviously giving them a shot at upsetting mighty Oregon in Autzen but I'm willing to back them with a boatload of points in our back pocket. Of note, James Madison failed to cover the spread in that most recent win over Troy. We've only seen James Madison fail to cover the spread in consecutive games once previously this season and that happened back in early October. On the other side, Oregon enters riding a season-high six-game winning streak and also a season-high three-game ATS winning streak. While the Ducks should be able to hold off the Dukes in this contest, I simply feel they're laying too many points. Take James Madison (8*).
SE Missouri State vs Tennessee State	SE Missouri State +1½ -107	Premium	91-82	Win	100	Show
My selection is on Southeast Missouri State plus the points over Tennessee State at 4:30 pm et on Saturday. We'll grab the points with Southeast Missouri State as it looks to bounce back following an 'upset' loss at Tennessee Tech on Thursday. While Tennessee State owns the better overall record in this matchup this season, Southeast Missouri State has faced the considerably more difficult schedule by most metrics. Note that SE Missouri State has hoisted up 60+ field goal attempts in seven straight and 11 of 12 games this season. Prior to its setback on Thursday it had connected on 30+ field goals in three straight games. I'm confident it can overwhelm Tennessee State's defense in this particular contest. While the Tigers are playing well, winners of five of their last six games, I think they can be tripped up in this spot. Take Southeast Missouri State (8*).
North Carolina vs Ohio State	Ohio State +4½ -110	Premium	71-70	Win	100	Show
My selection is on Ohio State plus the points over North Carolina at 3 pm et on Saturday. North Carolina enters this game on a four-game winning streak while Ohio State has stumbled to a 2-2 mark over its last four contests. We'll grab the points with the Buckeyes here, however, as I'm confident they can push the Tar Heels in this matchup. North Carolina hasn't played at as fast of a pace as we've been accustomed to seeing from them so far this season. Of note, the Tar Heels have connected on fewer than 30 field goals in seven straight games entering Saturday's contest. Meanwhile, Ohio State has made good on 32 or more field goals in four of its last six contests. Defensively, I don't think there's a lot separating these two teams. Of note, the Tar Heels and Buckeyes' respective strength of schedules to this point have been almost identical with North Carolina holding only a slight edge by most metrics. On a neutral court in Atlanta, we'll take as many points as we can get with the underdog Buckeyes. Take Ohio State (8*).
Miami-FL vs Texas A&M	Texas A&M -3 -110	Premium	10-3	Loss	-110	Show
My selection is on Texas A&M minus the points over Miami at 12 noon et on Saturday. The Aggies have had a few weeks to lick their wounds following an 'upset' defeat against Texas on November 28th - their first loss of the season. Texas A&M actually enters this game on the heels of three straight ATS defeats but I expect it to bounce back here against Miami. The Hurricanes own the slightly inferior record to that of the Aggies this season and they've also faced the considerably weaker schedule by most metrics (not that their schedule was 'weak' by any means). Miami is riding a four-game winning streak but checks in just 3-4 ATS over its last seven contests. We saw home field advantage ultimately amount to nothing in last night's 'upset' victory by the Crimson Tide (we won with Alabama in that game) but I think it will matter here. This will actually only be Miami's fifth true road game of the season after they posted wins over Florida State, Virginia Tech and Pittsburgh but lost at SMU during the regular season. Take Texas A&M (8*).
Rockets vs Nuggets	Rockets +1½ -115	Free	115-101	Win	100	Show
Saturday NBA Free play. My selection is on Houston plus the points over Denver at 5:10 pm et on Saturday. These two teams just met earlier this week with Denver securing an overtime win - its second victory in as many tries over Houston this season. The Rockets followed that up with an 'upset' loss in New Orleans on Thursday. They clearly looked past the Pelicans in that contest with one eye on this rematch with the Nuggets on Saturday. We'll back the Rockets here as they look to end Denver's six-game SU and three-game ATS winning streak. I expect Houston to 'empty the tank' in this revenge spot before continuing its road trip in Sacramento on Sunday. Take Houston.
Canucks vs Bruins	Bruins -155	Premium	5-4	Loss	-155	Show
My selection is on Boston over Vancouver at 7:05 pm et on Saturday. The Canucks are probably feeling pretty good about themselves after recording their third straight win last night, 4-1 on Long Island. I look for them to suffer a letdown on Saturday, however, as they continue their road trip in Boston. The Bruins are rested after dropping a 3-1 decision at home against Edmonton on Thursday. They're still 12-6 on home ice this season, where they've outscored opponents by an average margin of 0.5 goals. Despite falling short against Edmonton, Boston is 5-2 over its last seven contests and that loss only served to snap a four-game home winning streak. Take Boston (8*).
Marshall vs Troy State	Marshall +4½ -104	Premium	63-70	Loss	-104	Show
My selection is on Marshall plus the points over Troy at 2 pm et on Saturday. I think a little too much weight is being put into home court advantage in this matchup on Saturday. Marshall has proved it can hang on the road, posting outright wins at UMass and Toledo and checks in 3-2 ATS away from home this season. Meanwhile, Troy dropped a home game as a -17.5 point favorite against West Georgia earlier this month. Both teams enter on two-game winning streaks. The Trojans have thrived on an efficient offense lately, knocking down 31, 37 and 30 field goals over their last three games. They'll be hard-pressed to reach that number here, however, noting that Marshall has held eight of 11 opponents to fewer than 30 made field goals this season including none of its last four opponents. Look for the Thundering Herd to take this one down to the wire at the very least. Take Marshall (8*).

PICKS IN PROGRESS

Dec 21 '25, 3:40 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NBA | Bulls vs Hawks

Play on: Hawks -5 -109 at Jazz

Game Analysis

My selection is on Atlanta minus the points over Chicago at 3:40 pm et on Sunday.

The Bulls have to be feeling pretty good about themselves after sweeping a home-and-home series with the Cavaliers, capped off by an 'upset' win in Cleveland on Friday. We'll fade Chicago on Sunday as it heads to Atlanta to face the Hawks. Atlanta has lost back-to-back games SU and four in a row ATS. It was idle on Saturday following Friday's 126-98 rout at the hands of the Spurs here at home. I'm comfortable laying the points with the Hawks in this spot as they look to rebound in the front half of this two-game set at home against the Bulls. Take Atlanta (8*).

Pick Released on Dec 21 at 07:51 am

Dec 21 '25, 4:05 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NFL | Jaguars vs Broncos

Play on: Jaguars +3½ -110 at Buckeye

Game Analysis

My selection is on Jacksonville plus the points over Denver at 4:05 pm et on Sunday.

The Broncos are the AFC's number one seed on the heels of an incredible 11 straight victories. I think they'll be in for a fight on Sunday, however, as they host the surging Jaguars. Denver has rarely met a close game it doesn't like and I can't help but feel a letdown could be in order here off last Sunday's win-and-cover against Green Bay. While Jacksonville has been beating up on weaker opponents and takes an obvious step up in class here, I think it will be up for the challenge. Because of the level of opposition it has faced recently, few have been paying much attention but Jacksonville has rattled off five straight victories both SU and ATS. We'll grab all the points we can get. Take Jacksonville (8*).

Pick Released on Dec 20 at 03:41 pm

Dec 21 '25, 1:00 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NFL | Jets vs Saints

Play on: Jets +6½ -110 at Buckeye

Game Analysis

My selection is on New York plus the points over New Orleans at 1 pm et on Sunday.

I think this line is a little heavy with the Saints looking to string together their third straight victory and fourth in a row ATS. New York comes off back-to-back blowout losses but this is a manageable matchup against an opponent that's simply playing out the string at this point. I thought the Jets showed some progress offensively with QB Brady Cook under center as he developed some chemistry with their top wideout at this point, Adonai Mitchell. Defensively, New York is a mess but I'm not convinced New Orleans can take full advantage. Take New York (8*).

Pick Released on Dec 20 at 03:31 pm

Dec 21 '25, 1:00 PM

Play Type: Premium Pick

NFL | Vikings vs Giants

Play on: Giants +2½ +100 at Bovada

Game Analysis

My selection is on New York plus the points over Minnesota at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The Giants are coming off a home loss against the division-rival Commanders last Sunday and are simply playing out the string at this point. With that being said, I like their chances of rising to the occasion and putting the Vikings on 'upset' alert on Sunday. Minnesota delivered an 'upset' win of its own last Sunday night in Dallas. It will be hard-pressed to repeat that performance in this clear letdown spot on the road on Sunday. The Vikings are dealing with a cluster of injuries on the defensive side of the football, opening the door for a bounce-back performance from the Giants offense. Take New York (8*).

Pick Released on Dec 20 at 03:18 pm

List of accomplishments

Year	Accomplishment	Record	Win %	Profit
2019 -2020	#1 in CFL	27-14	65.9%	$1,161
2018 -2019	#2 in SOCCER	11-8	57.9%	$403
2022 -2023	#4 in CFL	23-16	59%	$540
2019	#5 in CFB	71-56	55.9%	$992
2018	#5 in Football	154-112	57.9%	$3,184
2024	#6 in CFB	77-53	59.2%	$1,898
2021	#6 in WNBA	34-28	54.8%	$314
2016	#6 in NFL	61-49	55.5%	$820
2018	#8 in NFL	77-53	59.2%	$1,879
2024 -2025	#10 in NHL	107-83	56.3%	$1,151
2018	#10 in CFB	77-59	56.6%	$1,305

Service Sean Murphy's Bio & About Section

Sean Murphy made his professional debut as lead handicapper for Pat Miller Sports in 2003, continuing on with The Miller Group from 2006 through 2009. Sean broke away to found his own sports service in September 2009 and has now delivered 12 of 17 winning NFL seasons. Sean’s also cashed big in NCAA Football, as he’s won each of the last 3 seasons, recording wins with 57% of his overall bets. A key factor in Sean’s success is his knack for Over/Unders, which is no surprise given Sean’s reputation as a ‘numbers guru.’ Indeed, Sean’s knack for handling numbers is deep-rooted. He owns a business degree, with a major in finance, and is a member of the prestigious Beta Gamma Sigma honor society for business students and scholars. Although Sean took a circuitous route to become a professional handicapper, sports betting has been a part of his life for as long as he can remember. In fact, he still fondly recalls his first successful venture into sports betting – a winning three-game NFL ‘Pro-Line’ parlay (offered by the Canadian lottery) when he was just 12 years old. Sean — along with the rest of his 7th grade class — was hooked. His passion for sports is unmatched. The phrase “find something you love to do and you’ll never ‘work’ a day in your life” is Murph's mantra. Sean's love for numbers, combined with his passion for sports, makes a career in sports handicapping the perfect fit. After building The Miller Group from the ground up, and turning it into one of America’s most respected handicapping services, Sean has continued to prosper as an independent, thanks to an honest approach and strong belief in delivering value to the customer. Sean’s selections are based on his extensive knowledge of the game, and his approach is both situational and statistical. He prides himself on going against the majority and thinking outside the box, and his unique analysis keeps his clients coming back. When you purchase one of Sean’s selections, you can always count on insightful and expert information to back it up. Sean rates all of his plays from 8* to 10* with free plays qualifying as 8* releases, and the majority of his selections warranting a 10* designation. As you would expect, the higher the rating, the stronger the play.