Tim Michael Fighting Picks Archive

Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
08-18-24	Israel Adesanya -105 v. Dricus Du Plessis	Top	0-1	Loss	-105	90 h 20 m	Show
T.M. Prediction: Israel Adesanya 1. Adesanya has fought the best of the best. His striking game is next level. He's used to fighting in 5-round fights. He's in an entirely different skill class than Du Plesis. 2. Adesanya is 3 inches taller and has a 4 inch reach advantage. His long arms and legs will keep Du Plesis from getting inside. If he tries, he's going to get hurt. 3. Adesanya is taking this fight personally. He hates Du Plesis for claiming to be the first true African champion and is determined to make him pay for it. 4. Du Plesis arguably didn't even defeat Strickland. He will want to take this fight to the ground but Adesanya has a very good take-down defense. On their feet, Adesanya will pick the slower Du Plesis apart.
02-10-24	Michael Johnson v. Darrius Flowers +125		1-0	Loss	-100	9 h 47 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Darrius Flowers - ML I like Darrius Flowers to win this fight against Michael Johnson on Saturday, February 10th. Coming into this fight off a loss, Floweers had seen four straight go the right way before that one. Michael Johnson may have picked up some losses against superstar fighters, but some of his loses just aren't very good at all. Even though Flowers is the underdog, I believe that he'll own more confidence in this fight and end up on the winning side. T.M. Prediction: 3rd Rnd KO. Line: +125 Line Parameter: play until -110..
12-17-23	Colby Covington v. Leon Edwards -160		0-1	Win	100	20 h 29 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Leon Edwards - moneyline I like Leon Edwards to win this fight against Colby Covington on Saturday, December 16th. After hearing the press conference just a few days ago, there's no doubt in my mind that the champ is ready. Covington's disrespect and talk went a bit too far and Leon is not going to take this lightly whatsoever. We saw what Edwards was capable of in that last fight against Usman. He looked nearly unstoppable. I'll take the champ here. T.M. Prediction: 4th Head Kick KO. Line: -160 Line Parameter: play until -185..
12-16-23	Tony Ferguson +285 v. Paddy Pimblett		0-1	Loss	-100	19 h 48 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Tony Ferguson - moneyline I like Tony Ferguson to win this fight against Paddy Pimblett on Saturday, December 16th. Yes, this is a long shot. But, it's a long shot that I'm willing to take. Ferguson has lost six straight fights and shouldn't even be in the ring anymore. But, the UFC legend is back for another fight and he's ready to go to war once again. Tony will have David Goggins in his corner which should help him for this fight. This has upset written all over it and I want in. T.M. Prediction: 3rd Rnd KO/TKO. Line: +285 Line Parameter: play until +260..
10-21-23	Alexander Volkanovski +215 v. Islam Makhachev		0-1	Loss	-100	14 h 31 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Alexander Volkanovski - Moneyline I like Alexander Volkanovski to win this fight against Islam Mackhachev on Saturday, October 21st. Even on extreme short notice, the Australian Champ is ready for this rematch. He's been preparing for the time, and the time has come. Islam's been preparing for Charles this whole time and will have to shift his focus to the guy that gave him his toughest fight to date. It's going to hard hard for both, but I'll gladly take Volk with how good he looked in the first fight. T.M. Prediction: 4th And TKO/KO. Line: +215 Line Parameter: play until +200..
10-14-23	Jonathan Martinez v. Adrian Yanez -104	Top	1-0	Loss	-104	13 h 45 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Adrian Yanez - Moneyline I like Adrian Yanez to win this fight against Jonathan Martinez on Wednesday, October 11th. Yanez is coming off a loss, which might scare some people off him in this fight. However, Yanez is the better overall fighter and should be able to bounce back. In that last fight, he rushed things and Rob Font made him pay. This time around, he'll be a lot more composed and should be able to use his talent advantage to beat Martinez. Martinez has been solid throughout his career, but has had some lucky wins including his last fight against Said Nurmagomedov. Both guys have similar records and it should be an excellent fight. Yanez is who'd I want in my corner though with his explosive striking attack. He's also a black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu, compared to blue belt from Martinez. I'm all over Yanez here. T.M. Prediction: 2nd Rnd TKO/KO. Line: -108 Line Parameter: play until -150..
09-23-23	Dan Ige v. Bryce Mitchell -195	Top	0-1	Win	100	27 h 34 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Bryce Mitchell - Moneyline I like Bryce Mitchell to win this fight against Dan Ige on Saturday, September 23rd. Dan Ige has been solid ever since joining the UFC. Having said that, he's always came up just a bit short against the higher tier opponents. I believe that Bryce Mitchell falls into the category of top tier. Now, Mitchell comes in off a loss against Topuria in early December. However, he didn't even want to take that fight as he had the flu and wasn't going to be able to fight for months if he didn't. Now, he's had tons of time to prepare for this fight and is ready to dominate once again. In my opinion, when fully healthy, Bryce is one of the best in this division. Expect him to make a statement in this fight against Ige. T.M. Prediction: 3rd Rnd Submission. Line: -195 Line Parameter: play until -230..
09-17-23	Alexa Grasso v. Valentina Shevchenko -147		0-0	Push	0	15 h 32 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Valentina Shevchenko - Moneyline I like Valentina Shevchenko to win this flight against Alexa Grasso on Saturday, September 16th. Grasso shocked the world when she beat Valentina in the first fight. It was a close fight throughout and she was able to capitalize on a spinning back kick to take the former champs back and submit her. This time, I believe it will be a completely different fight. Shevchenko saw what she needed to improve on and she's also seen that the Mexican isn't great with her takedown defense. Expect perhaps the best female fighter in the world right now to regain her title back this weekend. T.M. Prediction: 4rd Rnd KO. Line: -147 Line Parameter: play until -180..
09-09-23	Chepe Mariscal +175 v. Jack Jenkins		1-0	Win	175	19 h 19 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Chepe Mariscal - Moneyline I like Chepe Mariscal to win this fight against Jack Jenkins on September 9th. Out of all of the fighters on this fight card, Chepe is the fighter I want in my corner come fight night. He's an absolute savage and he's ready to cause havoc once again in the octagon. I expect lots of grappling from the American and I expect him to get the job done in his own backyard with the crowd behind him. T.M. Prediction: 2nd Rnd Submission. Line: +175 Line Parameter: play until +140..
09-02-23	Serghei Spivac v. Cyril Gane -189	Top	0-1	Win	100	14 h 33 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Ciryl Gane - Moneyline I like Ciryl Gane to win this fight against Serghei Spivac on September 2nd. Although Gane lost to Jon Jones, he still is the second best in this division by far in my opinion. Gane is so much faster than everyone else and has incredible striking. He'll be way too much for Spivac to handle here today as he should easily pick up his 12th MMA win. T.M. Prediction: 2nd Rnd TKO. Line: -189 Line Parameter: play until -215..
07-29-23	Justin Gaethje +130 v. Dustin Poirier	Top	1-0	Win	130	39 h 59 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Justin Gaethje - Moneyline I like Justin Gaethje to win this fight against Dustin Poirier for the BMF Title on Saturday. Although Gaethje lost the first meeting between these two, it really could have gone either way. Justin looked dominant for most of the fight and was about to win before getting knocked out. I expect fireworks once again, but I'm backing the Human Highlight Reel here in the rematch. As an underdog, it's got upset written all over it and I'm hammering it. T.M. Prediction: 4th Rnd TKO. Line: +115 Line Parameter: play until -135..
07-15-23	Nazim Sadykhov -145 v. Terrance McKinney	Top	1-0	Win	100	14 h 2 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Nazim Sadykhov - ML I like Nazim Sadykhov to win this fight against Terrance McKinney on Friday. McKinney is coming off a loss, and he's now lost two out of his last three (3 out of last six as well.) He's inconsistent and he doesn't seem to really have anything going for him right now. Sadykhov has won both of his two fights inside the octagon (won last eight fights in total (8-0)) and is ready for this next challenge against McKinney. “Black Wolf" is coming hard and Terrance isn't going to know what hit him. T.M. Prediction: 3rd Rnd TKO. Line: -155 Line Parameter: play until -190..
07-01-23	Max Griffin v. Michael Morales -225		0-1	Win	100	35 h 43 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Michael Morales - ML I like Michael Morales to win this fight against Max Griffin on Saturday. Although this line is quite expensive, I love Morales in this spot. He's undefeated and has looked nearly unstoppable over his first 14 career MMA fights. Griffin lost his last fight via Decision and I don't think he'll be able to hang with Morales for that long. Expect a quick and easy finish from the Ecuadorian. T.M. Prediction: 2nd Rnd KO Line: -230 Line Parameter: play until -245..
06-17-23	Lucas Almeida v. Pat Sabatini -190		0-1	Win	100	14 h 15 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Pat Sabatini - ML I like Pat Sabatini to win this fight against Lucas Almeida on Saturday. Sabatini is much better than Almeida. Once it gets to the ground, Almeida will be in trouble. Expect an easy win for the American here today. T.M. Prediction: 2nd Rnd Submission. Line: -190 Line Parameter: play until -210..
05-07-23	Aljamain Sterling v. Henry Cejudo -115		1-0	Loss	-115	15 h 24 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Henry Cejudo - Moneyline I like Henry Cejudo to win this fight against Aljamain Sterling on Saturday. Just a few years ago, Henry Cejudo retired the sport that he dominated. Now, he's back to get what is his as he faces one of his biggest enemies. They call Cejudo, “triple C," as he's a gold medal champ (Wrestling,) and two division champ in the UFC. Sterling has shown some promise, as the champion, but he hasn't done nearly enough to impress me. Cejudo is back and he's coming for the belt. Hammer him on May 6th. T.M. Prediction: 4th Rnd Submission. Line: -115 Line Parameter: play until -150..
05-06-23	Yan Xiaonan +155 v. Jessica Andrade		1-0	Win	155	14 h 15 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Yan Xiaonan - Moneyline I like Yan Xiaonan to win this fight against Jessica Andrade on Saturday. Andrade has been up and down throughout her career. At one point, she was competing with the best in the business at the very top. Now, she's fallen and I don't expect her to keep going. Yan is very technically sound and I believe she has all the tools to upset the Brazilian in this fight. Expect a close fight, but I've got the underdog. T.M. Prediction: Unanimous Decision. Line: +152 Line Parameter: play until +135..
04-29-23	Marcos Rogerio de Lima v. Waldo Cortes-Acosta +160		1-0	Loss	-100	12 h 46 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Waldo Cortes Acosta - ML I like Waldo Cortes Acosta to win this fight against Marcos Rogerio de Lima on Saturday. A 9-0 underdog? Let's dance. The American is an amazing boxer, who will pick you apart if you want to stand in front of him. He's yet to face defeat in his professional career and he's taking on a veteran, who's getting a bit older. Rogerio de Lima might be Brazilian, but his rapping isn't that strong at all. He may try and grapple a bit, but he won't be as successful as his Arlovski. Give me the underdog in this one. T.M. Prediction: 2nd Rnd KO. Line: +152 Line Parameter: play until +130..
04-22-23	Ryan Garcia v. Gervonta Davis OVER 7.5	Top	0-1	Push	0	14 h 21 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Ryan Garcia / Gervonta Davis - OVER I am on the OVER in the Tank Davis vs. King Ryan fight on Saturday. Just like many others, I see this fight playing out two ways. Either a tank Knockout in the later rounds, or a Garcia decision. I expect a bit of a feeling out process to open the first few rounds. Give me the OVER here in this heavily anticipated fight that everyones been waiting for. T.M. Prediction: Ryan Garcia - Decision Line: O/U 7.5, -135 Line Parameter: play until O/U 7.5, -190..
04-15-23	Pedro Munhoz +185 v. Chris Gutierrez		1-0	Win	185	36 h 10 m	Show
T.M. Selection: Pedro Munhoz - ML I like Pedro Munhoz to win this fight against Chris Gutierrez on Saturday. Although Munhoz is a big underdog, he definitely has what it takes to win this fight. He's got excellent counters and has beating some big names in the past. Gutierrez has been able to knock out his opponents in his last two fights, but I expect this to be a tougher matcher for him today. I smell an upset incoming. T.M. Prediction: Decision Win. Line: +200 Line Parameter: play until +175..