Weather can be an issue this time of year and we saw that two years when the event was shortened to 54 holes with Wyndham Clark winning by one shot over Ludvig Åberg after shooting a course record 60 in the third and ultimately final round. The weather looks to be a non-issue this year with average temperatures and not much wind until Sunday. From a statistical standpoint, it is pretty straight forward with our top three key categories being: Strokes Gained: Tee-To-Green Strokes Gained: Approach Strokes Gained: Around The Green Each bet is Win/Top Five/Top Ten. The typical recommendation is 50%/25%/25% with odds, payouts and results based on a $1000 unit (easy round number for bookkeeping) on each of the following players. The payouts are listed right below the odds which are all from DraftKings: Maverick McNealy Odds: Win 2,900 ~ Top Five 480 ~ Top Ten 220 Payout: Win 1,450.00 ~ Top Five 120.00 ~ Top Ten 55.00 We were on McNealy last week and it was another poor Sunday as he...

The PGA Tour will officially begin our season this week following three events to open 2026. There has been some reshuffling of the schedule from previous years as there was no opening Sentry this year as it was cancelled due to course conditions and the season started two weeks later than last year. We are coming off just three events leading into Phoenix and after being sandwiched in-between signature events in 2025, this year’s edition precedes two consecutive signature events, the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and The Genesis Invitational. The Greatest Show on Grass is the perfect stop prior to the signature events and in its usual spot on the schedule during Super Bowl week. The Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale has been a fan favorite for years and annually is the most attended event on tour, surpassing 700,000 spectators (they are not called patrons here) each year. Highlighted by The Colosseum, the par three No. 16 hole that accommodates 20,000 fans, this is...

MLB training camps are scheduled to open in mid-February. The division winners, AL and NL winners and World Series odds are available. If you are looking for a team to root for throughout the season a futures wager may be something to look at. The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off a World Series loss in Game 7. They were the best team in the American League last season. They won 94 games. Toronto has done a lot to upgrade their roster during the off- season and they may not be finished acquiring elite talent. The Blue Jays signed starting pitcher Dylan Cease to a big contract making their starting pitching rotation one of the best in the American League. In addition to Cease Toronto has former Cy Young winner Shane Bieber, Kevin Gausman, Jose Berrios and elite prospect Trey Yesavage in their rotation. They also have Eric Lauer and Bowden Francis as depth starters. Toronto signed reliever Tyler Rogers during the off-season in order to improve a bullpen that struggled at times last...

What Is Contrarian Betting? Contrarian betting is a disciplined wagering approach that involves betting against the public, rather than following the most popular side or total. At its core, the strategy is rooted in how sportsbooks actually operate. Oddsmakers do not post lines as predictions of the final score. Instead, lines are designed to attract balanced action on both sides. To achieve that balance, sportsbooks routinely shade lines toward public biases—most notably favorites and overs. Betting percentages, particularly the percentage of tickets, reveal where the public is leaning. Contrarian bettors look for opportunities where the market has been skewed by that bias and value emerges on the less popular side. How to Calculate Contrarian Betting Contrarian betting is most effective when it is calculated correctly. A few principles are essential: Percentage of Bets Over Percentage of Money The most useful data point is percentage of bets, not percentage of...

If you’re a sports bettor—whether you're just starting out or have been in the game for years—understanding the nuances of betting lines can feel like deciphering a foreign language. When I first entered the world of sports betting, I quickly learned that the lines set by oddsmakers are not just numbers on a screen; they are messages waiting to be decoded. Here's a journey through some key insights that have shaped my betting strategies and could enhance yours too. The Dutchman’s Wisdom: Linesmakers Are Telling You Something One of the first lessons I learned was from a seasoned bettor referred to as “The Dutchman.” He often said, “Linesmakers are telling you something.” This phrase stuck with me because it highlights an essential truth: oddsmakers aren’t merely setting lines based on team statistics or public opinion; they’re crafting them to predict and influence betting behavior. The Trap of the Underdog A classic example is when a seemingly inferior team is...

When it comes to sports betting, particularly in the NFL, many gamblers fall prey to the allure of simplistic reasoning. One common misconception is believing that if you can pick the outright winner of a game, you're likely to have picked the winner against the spread as well. This notion is often touted alongside statistics suggesting that the outright winner covers the spread about 80% of the time. However, this logic is fundamentally flawed. Understanding the Spread In betting, when an underdog wins outright, they cover the spread 100% of the time. Conversely, a favorite cannot cover the spread unless they win the game outright. The only situation where a team wins yet fails to cover is when the favorite wins but by a margin smaller than the spread. For example, if a team is favored by 3.5 points, the only way they can win but not cover is if they win by one, two, or three points. So, the belief that picking the straight-up (SU) winner easily translates to a spread win is...

Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. Florida Atlantic 53, UAB 33 Florida Atlantic forced a three and out to open the game and went 64 yards in eight plays to take a 7-0 lead which was the first of four touchdowns in four possessions and the Trent Dilfer tenure was done before halftime. The Blazers punted on their first four possessions and the game was done two minutes into the second quarter. The Owls outgained UAB 482-329 and 7.4 to 4.8 despite going just 3-10 on third down but were helped out by the Blazers committing 15 penalties for 128 yards.  Coastal Carolina 23, ULM 8 Coastal Carolina went 120 yards in its first two possessions but had to settle for a pair of field goals and it was a very inefficient first half before finding the endzone right before halftime for take a 16-0 lead into the break. The Warhawks punted on all six first half possessions...

Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. James Madison 24, Louisiana 14 After a scoreless first quarter, Louisiana struck first with a six-play, 80-yard touchdown drive and then recovered a fumble two plays later but could not take advantage as it had a 51-yard field goal blocked. James Madison turned that into a touchdown but the Cajuns went 75 yards in three plays to take a 14-7 halftime lead. The Dukes scored on the first play of the second half and the defense clamped down. James Madison outgained Louisiana 477-288 and 5.9 to 5.1 yppl. Ole Miss 24, Washington State 21 Mississippi was caught in an unexpected dogfight as Washington St. hit the scoreboard first late in the first quarter to take a 7-0 lead and the Rebels did not get into the endzone until 31 seconds remaining in the second quarter. The Cougars took the opening second half kickoff and went 75...

Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. Missouri State 22, Middle Tennessee 20 This was a back and forth game throughout that ended up coming down to the kicking game. Missouri St. took a two-point lead with 4:45 remaining and the Blue Raiders followed by driving 44 yards to set up a possible game winning field goal with under a minute left but the 52-yard attempt was no good. The yardages were nearly dead even at 353-348 as were the yppl averages at 5.2 to 5.3 but the Bears had the edge in the redzone at 5-5 with Middle Tennessee going 1-1. Liberty 19, UTEP 8 Liberty snapped a four-game losing streak but it was not the most dominating victory. The Flames defense did its job as it held UTEP to 167 yards and nine first downs with 65 of those yards coming on its touchdown drive in the fourth quarter. Liberty did gain 403 yards on offense but it had the ball for...