Dolphins vs. Jets Picks & Prediction

1 Unit FREE PLAY on New York Jets +2.5

The New York Jets are one of the most unlucky teams in the NFL.  They still don't have an interception this season and they have forced a total of two turnovers all year! Yet the Jets are 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  The offense looks a lot better with Tyrod Taylor, who led them to 27 points in an upset win over the Falcons last week.  The Jets want revenge on the Dolphins after losing 27-21 in Miami in their first meeting.  The Jets really should have won that game as they gained 404 total yards and outgained the Dolphins by 104 yards.  But they were -3 in turnovers, and it was one of the most one-sided ref games in favor of the Dolphins I've ever seen.  Now Tua Tagovailoa has to go play in the cold in New York, and he has never fared well outdoors in the cold this late in the year.  Tua is 3-8 SU & 3-8 ATS in road/neutral games in December or later in his career.  Taylor is 7-0-1 ATS in his last eight starts.  Give me the Jets.

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This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our Sunday Free Play. The Jets came through last week with a three-point win over Atlanta as a three-point underdog and they are getting the same line this week against a team ranked lower than the Falcons. New York continues to fight as it weas rolled in games against the Bills and Cowboys at home early in the season but the Jets are 2-1 in their three home games since those other two games with a two-point neutral field loss against Denver in the mix as well. The metrics are not good as New York is No. 27 in both Offensive and Defensive EPA. This is not much different than the numbers of Miami as the Dolphins are No. 26 in both of those categories and now they are on the road as favorites. They did win their last road game against Atlanta but that was way back on October 26 and Miami was 0-4 on the road prior to that Falcons game. Tua Tagovailoa has been a turnover machine of late as he has 10 interceptions in his last seven games and the Jets could get their first of the season. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a loss by seven points or less. This situation is 30-4 ATS (88.2 percent) since 2016. Play (124) New York Jets

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David's NFL Free Pick

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line seems inflated by the Dolphins' three-game winning streak, but this is an overreaction since all those wins were at home. This will be Miami’s first game outside of Miami since October 26, and the December weather in East Rutherford, NJ, could be a tough adjustment for a team used to the heat. Meanwhile, the Jets are trending in the right direction as well and should capitalize on the favorable conditions and home-field advantage.

This is a 1% FREE PLAY on the JETS on the MONEYLINE.