Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. Iowa 47, UMass 7 Iowa scored its most points since it put up 51 points against Maryland in 2021 as it put up 20 points in the first quarter and never looked back. After three and outs on its first three possessions, UMass blocked a punt and got it down to the Iowa 21-yard line and scored four plays later and that was it as the Hawkeyes put up 27 unanswered points after that. They outgained the Minutemen 435-119 while going 10-16 on third down with the defense not allowing a third down conversion in 12 tries. Texas A&M 41, Notre Dame 40 It was another tough loss for Notre Dame as a muffed snap on an extra point proved costly. Notre Dame struck first with a blocked punt for a touchdown but Texas A&M responded with an 86-yard touchdown pass. The first half closed with two Aggies scores as they took their first lead...

Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. West Virginia 31, Pitt 24 The Backyard Brawl did not disappoint as a pretty uneventful first half turned into a second half shootout with West Virginia coming back from 10 points down late in the fourth quarter and scoring the game-tying touchdown with 11 seconds remaining. The Mountaineers converted a fourth and one in overtime and punched it in two plays later and then stopped Pittsburgh on a fourth and 20. Both teams averaged 4.8 yppl and the Panthers were hurt by 14 penalties for 118 yards. USC 33, Purdue 17 USC took a 17-3 lead into halftime and had to settle for a field goal in its first second half possession while Purdue cut it to a two-possession game on its next possession before the Trojans scored the next 10 points to pull away. USC outgained the Boilermakers 460-357 as Purdue was guilty of throwing three...

Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. NC State 34, Wake Forest 24 Wake Forest returned the opening kickoff of the game for a touchdown and jumped ahead 14-0 after one quarter and had a 10-point lead late in the second quarter but NC State outscored the Demon Deacons 20-0 the rest of the way. The Wolfpack scored its second touchdown on an interception return, one of two forced turnovers. NC State outgained Wake Forest 406-311 and doubled the Demon Deacons up on first downs 24-12 while winning the time of possession by nearly 17 minutes. Houston 36, Colorado 20 Houston outgained Colorado 431-300 and the score could have been a lot worse but the Cougars had to settle for six field goal attempts, converting five of those and ended up punting only once the entire game. The Cougars won the time of possession by over 13 minutes and ran 19 more plays and averaged...

Sports betting isn’t just about instincts. The sharpest bettors rely on systems, models, and situational angles that have stood the test of time. Below are several proven strategies currently in play, including rushing yard regression, weather-driven totals, and spread margin performance. Hot Models Rushing Yardage RegressionWhen a team rushes for 350 or more yards the previous week, games historically go under the total at a rate of 574-453-31. Florida State vs. Kent State UNDER 55.5 Michigan vs. Nebraska UNDER 44.5 Central Florida vs. North Carolina UNDER 49.5 Missouri vs. South Carolina UNDER 46.5 Virginia vs. Stanford UNDER 48.5 Louisiana Tech vs. Southern Miss UNDER 51.5 At 400+ rushing yards, the under improves further to 258-190-15. Big Conference Underdogs, Low TotalsUnderdogs of +7 or more in conference games with totals of 48 or less are 703-599-33 against the spread. South Carolina +13.5 vs. Missouri Maryland +8.5 vs. Wisconsin Lower-Ranked...

Check out the best and worst teams against the spread this season in college football. Best ATS Margin of Cover Teams These programs aren’t just covering—they’re crushing the number: Florida State: +28.5 ATS margin, 2-0 ATS, winning by 44 PPG. The clear market destroyer. Old Dominion: +20.5 ATS margin, 3-0 ATS, covering by nearly 3 touchdowns. East Carolina: +20.5 ATS margin, 3-0 ATS, averaging +28 MOV. Vanderbilt: +19.5 ATS margin, 3-0 ATS, shocking bettors with dominance. North Texas: +19.0 ATS margin, 2-1 ATS, flying under the radar. Louisiana Tech: +18.2 ATS margin, 3-0 ATS, quietly delivering for backers. New Mexico: +16.5 ATS margin, 2-1 ATS, one of the biggest surprise covers. Oregon: +16.2 ATS margin, 2-1 ATS, elite team still undervalued despite blowouts. Also strong: Toledo (+14.8), BYU (+14.5), and Utah State (+14.2) round out the “reliable covering machines.” Worst ATS Margin of Cover Teams On the other side,...

Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. UNC 20, CLT 3 North Carolina had a better matchup this week but the offense managed only 303 total yards against a Charlotte defense that gave up 586 yards in its opener against Appalachian St. The Tar Heels defense was the difference as they held the 49ers to 271 total yards including 21 yards rushing on 29 carries (0.7 ypc). Charlotte did throw for 250 yards but tossed two interceptions on their final two drives including one at the North Carolina nine-yard line. The 49ers were 0-3 in the redzone. ARMY 24, KSU 21 Kansas St. jumped out to a 13-0 lead but the Black Knights went 75 yards in 2:25 and scored a touchdown as time expired before halftime. They then took the lead late in the third quarter but the Wildcats got it right back returning the ensuing kickoff for a touchdown but Army won the fourth quarter 10-0. The...

Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. TTU 62, KENT 14 Texas Tech dominated from the start as it scored touchdowns on its first three possessions before a three and out and then scored on its final four possessions of the first half. The Red Raiders outgained Kent St. 601-229 and had 27 first downs compared to only 10 for the Golden Flashes. Kent St. was held to 64 yards rushing on 34 carries (1.9 ypc) and it did not score until the fourth quarter during garbage time when it generated nearly half of its yardage as its longest drive in the first three quarters was 32 yards. NCSU 35, UVA 31 Virginia had the edge for most of the game as it led or was tied for the first two and a half quarters as NC State did not get its first lead until 6:39 remaining in the third quarter and took the lead for good at the end of the quarter. After 66 points scored in the first...

Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. LOU 28, JMU 14 Louisville outgained the Dukes by only one yard 264-263 and the Cardinals erased a 14-6 deficit by scoring the last three touchdowns of the game and by using only six offensive plays to do so. They scored on a 64-yard touchdown pass, a fumble recovery by the defense in the endzone and on a 78-yard touchdown run. James Madison controlled the clock by over 14 more minutes but were hurt by two turnovers, the other taking place in the redzone while committing 12 penalties for 95 yards. MD 20, NIU 9 Maryland never trailed but led by just four points early in the fourth quarter before going on a 77-yard drive to score the final touchdown for the 11-point win. The Terrapins outpassed Northern Illinois 254-91 while gaining 13.4 yards per completion but they went just 4-12 on third down and were only 3-6 in the...

2025 Big 12 Conference Preview Regular Season Win Totals and Big 12 Championship Odds (via DraftKings) Kansas State: 8.5 Over -115 Under -105 ~ Big 12 Winner +550 Arizona State: 8.5 Over -105 Under -115 ~ Big 12 Winner +550 Texas Tech: 8.5 Over -115 Under -105 ~ Big 12 Winner +650 Utah: 7.5 Over -135 Under +115 ~ Big 12 Winner +650 Baylor: 7.5 Over -105 Under -115 ~ Big 12 Winner +750 BYU: 7.5 Over -170 Under +140 ~ Big 12 Winner +800 TCU: 6.5 Over -150 Under +125 ~ Big 12 Winner +900 Iowa State: 7.5 Over +105 Under -105 ~ Big 12 Winner +1,300 Kansas: 6.5 Over -155 Under +130 ~ Big 12 Winner +1,800 Colorado: 6.5 Over +135 Under -160 ~ Big 12 Winner +2,200 Cincinnati: 6.5 Over +110 Under -130 ~ Big 12 Winner +3,500 Houston: 6.5 Over +120 Under -140 ~ Big 12 Winner +4,000 UCF: 5.5 Over -120 Under -140 ~ Big 12 Winner +5,000 Oklahoma State: 4.5 Over -170 Under +140 ~ Big 12 Winner +6,000 West Virginia: 5.5 Over +140 Under -170 ~ Big 12 Winner +7,000 Arizona: 4.5 Over -170 Under +140 ~...

2025 Atlantic Coast Conference Preview Regular Season Win Totals and ACC Championship Odds (via DraftKings) Clemson: 9.5 Over -160 Under +135 ~ ACC Winner +115 Miami: 9.5 Over +135 Under -160 ~ ACC Winner +400 Louisville: 8.5 Over -130 Under +110 ~ ACC Winner +800 SMU: 8.5 Over +100 Under -120 ~ ACC Winner +800 Georgia Tech: 7.5 Over -150 Under +125 ~ ACC Winner +1,200 Duke: 6.5 Over -160 Under +135 ~ ACC Winner +2,500 North Carolina: 7.5 Over +130 Under -160 ~ ACC Winner +2,800 Florida State: 6.5 Over -150 Under +125 ~ ACC Winner +3,000 Virginia Tech: 6.5 Over +105 Under -125 ~ ACC Winner +3,000 NC State: 6.5 Over +125 Under -150 ~ ACC Winner +5,000 Syracuse: 5.5 Over +130 Under -160 ~ ACC Winner +6,500 Pittsburgh: 6.5 Over +140 Under -170 ~ ACC Winner +7,000 Boston College: 5.5 Over +100 Under -120 ~ ACC Winner +8,000 Virginia: 6.5 Over +110 Under -130 ~ ACC Winner +10,000 Cal: 5.5 Over -120 Under +100 ~ ACC Winner +15,000 Wake Forest: 4.5 Over -135 Under +115 ~ ACC Winner +50,000...