Check out the best and worst teams against the spread this season in college football.

Best ATS Margin of Cover Teams

These programs aren’t just covering—they’re crushing the number:

  • Florida State: +28.5 ATS margin, 2-0 ATS, winning by 44 PPG. The clear market destroyer.

  • Old Dominion: +20.5 ATS margin, 3-0 ATS, covering by nearly 3 touchdowns.

  • East Carolina: +20.5 ATS margin, 3-0 ATS, averaging +28 MOV.

  • Vanderbilt: +19.5 ATS margin, 3-0 ATS, shocking bettors with dominance.

  • North Texas: +19.0 ATS margin, 2-1 ATS, flying under the radar.

  • Louisiana Tech: +18.2 ATS margin, 3-0 ATS, quietly delivering for backers.

  • New Mexico: +16.5 ATS margin, 2-1 ATS, one of the biggest surprise covers.

  • Oregon: +16.2 ATS margin, 2-1 ATS, elite team still undervalued despite blowouts.

Also strong: Toledo (+14.8), BYU (+14.5), and Utah State (+14.2) round out the “reliable covering machines.”

Worst ATS Margin of Cover Teams

On the other side, these schools are bankroll crushers—consistently falling short of expectations:

  • UCLA: –25.3 ATS margin, 0-3 ATS, losing bettors’ shirts.

  • Coastal Carolina: –24.7 ATS margin, 0-3 ATS, outright disaster.

  • Oklahoma State: –22.0 ATS margin, 0-2 ATS, brutal underperformance.

  • UL Monroe: –20.8 ATS margin, 0-2 ATS, non-competitive vs. market.

  • Virginia Tech: –19.2 ATS margin, 0-3 ATS, stuck in freefall.

  • UMass: –16.8 ATS margin, 0-3 ATS, a familiar fade team.

  • Kansas State: –14.5 ATS margin, 0-4 ATS, one of the biggest early-season flops.

  • Liberty: –12.3 ATS margin, 0-3 ATS, major regression after prior dominance.

Also disappointing: Clemson (–12.7), Duke (–12.5), and SMU (–12.5)—programs bettors often trust, but shouldn’t right now.

Takeaways

  • Best Bets to Back: Florida State, Old Dominion, East Carolina, Vanderbilt—teams smashing spreads, often by double digits.

  • Best Fades: UCLA, Coastal Carolina, Oklahoma State—teams so mispriced that betting against them has been automatic profit.

  • Hidden Gems: North Texas, Louisiana Tech, Toledo—all mid-majors thriving ATS but not commanding headlines yet.