All win totals courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook Auburn Tigers Over 6.5 -115 Here we have a situation where a coaching change should boost the value of a team and in this case, it is for Auburn. The Tigers have underachieved for the last six years as they have gone under their win total every season and now we have seen the total go down a full win from last season. The coach being referred to is Alex Golesh who comes over from South Florida who turned around a program that was dug into the ground by Jeff Scott and he comes into another program that was going nowhere. While the offense has only one returning starter, several players followed Golesh including quarterback Byrum Brown along with a slew of receivers. They have only five road games and while four are against Tennessee, Georgia, Mississippi and Alabama, steal one of those should lock this over as the home/neutral slate is a great one. Big turnaround.  Connecticut Huskies Under 5.5 -125 Jim Mora did a masterful job in...

If you’re a sports bettor—whether you're just starting out or have been in the game for years—understanding the nuances of betting lines can feel like deciphering a foreign language. When I first entered the world of sports betting, I quickly learned that the lines set by oddsmakers are not just numbers on a screen; they are messages waiting to be decoded. Here's a journey through some key insights that have shaped my betting strategies and could enhance yours too. The Dutchman’s Wisdom: Linesmakers Are Telling You Something One of the first lessons I learned was from a seasoned bettor referred to as “The Dutchman.” He often said, “Linesmakers are telling you something.” This phrase stuck with me because it highlights an essential truth: oddsmakers aren’t merely setting lines based on team statistics or public opinion; they’re crafting them to predict and influence betting behavior. The Trap of the Underdog A classic example is when a seemingly inferior team is...

Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. Florida Atlantic 53, UAB 33 Florida Atlantic forced a three and out to open the game and went 64 yards in eight plays to take a 7-0 lead which was the first of four touchdowns in four possessions and the Trent Dilfer tenure was done before halftime. The Blazers punted on their first four possessions and the game was done two minutes into the second quarter. The Owls outgained UAB 482-329 and 7.4 to 4.8 despite going just 3-10 on third down but were helped out by the Blazers committing 15 penalties for 128 yards.  Coastal Carolina 23, ULM 8 Coastal Carolina went 120 yards in its first two possessions but had to settle for a pair of field goals and it was a very inefficient first half before finding the endzone right before halftime for take a 16-0 lead into the break. The Warhawks punted on all six first half possessions...

Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. James Madison 24, Louisiana 14 After a scoreless first quarter, Louisiana struck first with a six-play, 80-yard touchdown drive and then recovered a fumble two plays later but could not take advantage as it had a 51-yard field goal blocked. James Madison turned that into a touchdown but the Cajuns went 75 yards in three plays to take a 14-7 halftime lead. The Dukes scored on the first play of the second half and the defense clamped down. James Madison outgained Louisiana 477-288 and 5.9 to 5.1 yppl. Ole Miss 24, Washington State 21 Mississippi was caught in an unexpected dogfight as Washington St. hit the scoreboard first late in the first quarter to take a 7-0 lead and the Rebels did not get into the endzone until 31 seconds remaining in the second quarter. The Cougars took the opening second half kickoff and went 75...

Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. Missouri State 22, Middle Tennessee 20 This was a back and forth game throughout that ended up coming down to the kicking game. Missouri St. took a two-point lead with 4:45 remaining and the Blue Raiders followed by driving 44 yards to set up a possible game winning field goal with under a minute left but the 52-yard attempt was no good. The yardages were nearly dead even at 353-348 as were the yppl averages at 5.2 to 5.3 but the Bears had the edge in the redzone at 5-5 with Middle Tennessee going 1-1. Liberty 19, UTEP 8 Liberty snapped a four-game losing streak but it was not the most dominating victory. The Flames defense did its job as it held UTEP to 167 yards and nine first downs with 65 of those yards coming on its touchdown drive in the fourth quarter. Liberty did gain 403 yards on offense but it had the ball for...

Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. Old Dominion 21, Liberty 7 The first half could not have gone worse for Liberty as a promising 54-yard kickoff return to open the game resulted in a missed field goal and the other five possessions not counting the end of the half drive consisted of three punts, a fumble and an interception while gaining 36 yards total. Old Dominion had turnovers in two of its first three possessions but then scored touchdowns on back-to-back drives and that is all it needed. The Monarchs won the yards 489-210 and 6.9 to 3.8 yppl. Kennesaw State 24, Middle Tennessee 16 Middle Tennessee fumbled on the second play of the game, the Owls scored three plays later, forced a punt and went 87 yards for another touchdown and eventually built a 21-3 at the end of the first quarter. The Blue Raiders got it to 21-16 early in the fourth quarter and...

Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. ULM 28, Arkansas State 16 Arkansas St. opened the game by intercepting a pass three plays in and returned it 32 yards for a touchdown then added on a field goal for a 10-0 lead after the first quarter. After the pick and five straight punts, UL Monroe finally got the offense going with a pair of touchdowns and never gave up the lead. The Red Wolves could only get two more field goals as the offense missed a field goal and turned it over three times. The Warhawks won the yardage 384-297 on 16 fewer plays. Texas A&M 16, Auburn 10 Texas A&M outgained the Tigers 414-177 and 6.0 to 3.1 yppl but the Aggies offense stalled numerous times and were forced to five field goal attempts, missing two of those while also throwing a redzone interception. Additionally, Texas A&M was 3-14 on third down so it relied on the...

Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. East Carolina 28, Army 6 East Carolina scored touchdowns on each of its first three possessions amassing 216 yards in the first quarter and was never threatened. The Pirates outgained Army 431-290 and the Black Knights were hurt by turning it over on downs and fumbling inside the East Carolina 30-yard line on their second and third possessions. The Pirates did struggle after that first quarter as they went through a stretch of four straight possessions that resulted in an interception, a fumble and a pair of fourth down misses. Virginia 46, Florida State 38 Virginia punted on its first two possessions but then jumped ahead 14-0 after forcing a pair of turnovers and converting both into touchdowns. The Seminoles responded with three straight touchdowns, the second and third following Cavaliers interceptions. It was back...

Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. Marshall 42, Middle Tennessee 28 After a punt and an interception in the first five plays of the game, Marshall and Middle Tennessee erupted for five straight touchdowns with the Thundering Herd taking a 21-14 lead into the second quarter. The Blue Raiders then ran off 14 straight points to take the lead but Marshall took over with a 21-0 fourth quarter. The Blue Raiders were outgained by 73 yards but ran 23 fewer plays and outgained Marshall 7.8 to 6.3 yppl but had 12 penalties for 111 yards and were 3-11 on third and fourth down. Louisiana Tech 30, Southern Miss 20 Southern Mississippi went three and out to open the game and Louisiana Tech scored two plays later for a 7-0 lead. The Golden Eagles responded with a four-play touchdown drive and after trading field goals, the Bulldogs regained their touchdown lead and then...

Every sports bettor knows Against the Spread (ATS) records matter, but to really uncover betting value you have to dig into the Margin of Cover (ATS +/-). This number shows not just if a team covered, but by how much they beat or missed the line. So far in the 2025 season, here are the programs that have been printing money for bettors—and the ones burning bankrolls. Best Teams to Bet On (Top Margin of Cover) These are the schools smashing expectations, consistently outperforming the number. Florida State: 3-0 ATS, +22.7 MoC Old Dominion: 3-0 ATS, +20.5 MoC Vanderbilt: 4-0 ATS, +19.9 MoC Indiana: 3-1 ATS, +18.1 MoC Louisiana Tech: 4-0 ATS, +15.4 MoC North Texas: 3-1 ATS, +15.4 MoC Utah State: 4-0 ATS, +15.0 MoC BYU: 3-0 ATS, +14.5 MoC Arizona: 3-0 ATS, +13.3 MoC Oregon: 3-1 ATS, +12.3 MoC These teams aren’t just winning—they’re winning comfortably against the number. Backing them has meant lower sweat, higher profit, and strong return on...