Rangers vs. Royals Picks & Prediction

1* Free Pick on Rangers/Royals: under 10

Rangers starter Kumar Rocker carries a 3.54 ERA and just held this exact Royals lineup to 0 earned runs over 6 innings on May 30.

Three hits, three walks, no damage.

The book on him against this group is already written.

Royals starter Michael Wacha sits at 3.44 ERA and has been steady too.

He's gone 5+ innings in all five of his last starts with a high of 4 earned runs allowed.

That's not a guy you bank on for a crooked-number meltdown.

Kansas City's offense is the bigger story.

Grounded reporting has them 29th in MLB at 3.91 runs per game.

You don't get to double-digit totals when one side is averaging under 4.

Texas sits at 33-34 and has been an average offensive club.

Joc Pederson is also reportedly day-to-day with hip discomfort, which thins out the top of their order.

Now the opposition.

The wind is the real argument against this. 21 MPH out of the SW at Kauffman in 84-degree heat is a power-hitter setup, and both pitchers have ugly xERAs underneath the surface (Rocker 4.61, Wacha 4.22).

I get it.

But there's also 100% rain in the forecast with thunderstorms in the area, which cuts the other way.

Damp air, potential delays, and a game that could get shortened all favor the under.

The xERA gap matters more over a season than in one start against a 29th-ranked offense.

At +105 to a number this high, the price is right.

I like the Under

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Texas +104 (Rocker/Wacha) Listed

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A total above 10 is too high for a Rangers-Royals game even with the wind blowing out at 15-20 mph to right center.

Texas is 24th in runs and ranks in the bottom 10 in many major offensive categories. Royals starter Michael Wacha is a solid middle of the rotation type pitcher with a 3.44 ERA and 1.14 WHIP.

Kansas City is 28th in runs and ranks 25th in homers and OPS. The Royals are looking at Texas starter Kumar Rocker, who has only allowed six runs across his last five appearances spanning 28 2/3 innings.

Rocker is backed by a Texas bullpen that has the lowest ERA in the American League at 3.18.