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PSP Data Driven 1* Over.

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Our models suggest that the value is on the Over. The Over is 4-2 in Baltimore's last 6 games against NY Yankees. The Over is 4-1 in Baltimore's last 5 games at home.

Camden Yards will host the final game between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles in their three-game series at 6:35 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, April 30, 2025. With an 18-12 record at the top of the AL East standings the Yankees aim to sweep the series against the Orioles who currently occupy the last place in the division with an 11-18 record.

The New York Yankees send veteran right-hander Carlos Carrasco (2-1, 5.26 ERA) to pitch for them. Throughout this season Carrasco has demonstrated inconsistent performance by giving up 26 hits and 15 earned runs across 25.2 innings pitched. Orioles' left-hander Cade Povich (1-2, 5.04 ERA) faces off but has control problems with nine walks in 25 innings and opponents have a .327 average against him.

Aaron Judge has propelled the Yankees' offense to great heights with his impressive .412 batting average and 29 RBIs alongside nine home runs this season. Through a dominant 15-3 win the Yankees demonstrated their offensive dominance by hitting six home runs and scoring five runs during the first inning. The anticipated game may produce a high number of runs because of the pitching matchup along with the offensive strength of the Yankees. Both starting pitchers have ERAs over 5.00 while the Orioles' bullpen struggles with a 5.52 ERA which makes betting the over for total runs seem like a good strategy in this final game.

Jim's Free Play: Over the Total

1* FREE INFO PLAY Orioles +106

1* Free Pick on Orioles -105

1 Dimer on Orioles -105

1* Free Play on Cardinals +124

FREE PLAY on Cubs -156

1* Free Pick on Cubs/Pirates: over 8½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Nationals/Phillies OVER 7.5

The Phillies are scoring 4.5 runs per game and allowing 4.5 runs per game this season.  They are capable of more offensively with all their talent.  The Nationals are scoring 4.3 runs per game but rank 26th in baseball allowing 5.2 runs per game with a dreadful staff.

The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between the Nationals and Phillies with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight meetings.  That includes the wild 7-6 win by the Phillies last night where both teams had to use their closers, and both closers blew saves in the 9th.  These are the two worst bullpens in baseball to this point with the Nationals having a 7.47 ERA and the Phillies a 5.25 ERA.

The Phillies are capable of covering this total on their own tonight.  Jake Irvin is 0-3 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in six career starts against the Phillies.  He has allowed 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 26 base runners in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Philadelphia.

Cristopher Sanchez has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 28 base runners in 21 innings in his last four starts for the Phillies coming in.  The Nationals will do enough against him and this Philadelphia bullpen to cash this OVER 7.5 ticket tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

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Free Total Annihilator On Nationals vs Phillies under 8½ -123

1* on Phillies -210

The Capitals hold significant advantages in goaltending, offensive depth, and home ice performance. While the Canadiens showed fight in Game 3, their Game 4 performance suggests they struggle to sustain momentum against Washington’s experience and structure. Caps close it out and win by 2+ goals. Let's cash some tickets!

1* Free Play on under 8

1* Best Bet on Warriors +160

No analysis provided.

(#509) Golden State Warriors // ATS //. 

Having won both games at home in San Francisco, the Warriors now lead this series three games to one. With a chance to close out the series tonight, I expect the vets of GS to rise to the occasion and get that extra day's worth of rest that it could have win a win. Let's not forget how dominant Steph Curry has been in this building in the postseason. 

Houston simply seems outmatched in the clutch. The Rockets are a great young, defensive group that could be very strong for years to come. However, they simply ran into the wrong team at the wrong time in the first round. Even if the Rockets won by a couple of points, it still won't be enough to cover here today. I expect a Warriors win though. Hammer GSW. 

Score Prediction: 106-99 Warriors.

Hump Day Card up with Headliner plays in the NBA and NHL Featuring our Exclusive Game 5 Historical database systems. Comp play below

The NHL Comp play is on the over 5.5 goals in the Florida at Tampa Game at 7:30 eastern. In the Series 3 of the last 4 have gone over. For a historical look Rob notes that Round 1 game 5 teams like Tampa that are off a road loss and a prior road dog win are 11 of 14 to the over. Look for another higher scoring game has Tampa tries to stave off elimination. Play this one OVER. Rob V-

Free Pick on White Sox +152

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Milwaukee Brewers -155

The Chicago White Sox are 7-22 this season and scoring 3.3 runs per game.  The Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.1 runs per game and are coming off a 7-2 victory over the White Sox yesterday.  I'll come back on the Brewers again today as only -155 favorites, which is a pretty low number to fade the White Sox.  Milwaukee starter Tobias Myers has been impressive with a 3.04 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 142 innings in the big leagues.  Shane Smith has been Chicago's best starter this season, but he's getting a little too much respect tonight.  Give me the Brewers.

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MIKE'S MLB FREE PICK

The Chicago White Sox may be just 7-22 on the season, but they're 6-7 against the runline as home underdogs and showing signs of fight.

Rookie right-hander Shane Smith (1-1, 2.30 ERA) has been impressive through his first five MLB starts (17 hits, 22 strikeouts in 27 2/3 innings) and punched out a season-high seven in five scoreless innings in a 3-0 win at Minnesota last time out.

The Brewers are just 6-11 straight up on the road, and this feels like a great spot to back the White Sox to keep it close or even pull off the upset.

3% FREE PICK ON THE WHITE SOX +1.5. 

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1* MLB - Brewers/White Sox FREE PICK on Brewers -1.5 (+110) 

1* Free Pick on Rangers -145

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR WEDNESDAY, 4/30:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Wednesday is with Under the Total in the game between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Los Angeles Lakers. Minnesota (52-34) took a 3-1 series lead in this series with a 116-113 victory at home against the Lakers on Sunday. The Timberwolves have then played 5 of their last 8 road games Under the Total after a win by six points or less. They have also played 7 of their last 11 road games Under the Total as an underdog getting 3.5 to 9.5 points. Los Angeles (51-35) has played 7 of their last 8 home games Under the Total after a straight-up loss on the road. The Lakers have also played 14 of their last 23 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Taker the Under. Best of luck — Frank.

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Free Play – Take #953 L.A. Lakers -4 (1st Half) over Minnesota (10:00 p.m. ET, Wednesday, Apr. 30)

There is a good number of bettors on Minnesota tonight with the points, who are leading 3-1 in the series. LeBron James has looked tired at the end of games, and Luka has not been the same at crunch time in this series. Everyone knew that when the Lakers traded away Anthony Davis, they didn’t have a rim protector, and better-quality teams could exploit them in the paint, which Minnesota has done. Here is my question: Do the Timberwolves have the maturity on the road to wrap up the series? I can make the case they don’t, but the Lakers have not played particularly well in the fourth quarter of any contest in this series. That leads me to backing L.A. in the first half, and they are 28-14 ATS at home, 21-11 ATS as home favorites at halftime, and 7-1 ATS off a road loss. With the Lakers at -5.5 for the game, yet -4 at the half, the oddsmakers are begging you to choose Minnesota. Take Los Angeles.

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Our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves to cover the spread against the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday at 10:00pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Minnesota is up 3-1 in this series and has won six of its L7 games this year.

The Timberwolves are 8-1 over their L9 games against opponents within the Western Conference.

They are also 17-11 versus the spread on the road versus opponents within the West.

Los Angeles is just 1-5 against the spread over its L6 games against opponents in the Northwest Division.

We're on Minnesota in Game Five.

AAA Sports

Timberwolves +6

Minnesota is worth a free move. The Timberwolves took a commanding 3-1 lead against the Lakers and they have a chance to knock them out. Minnesota has looked like the better and deeper team and this is just too many points. Minnesota is getting what they want offensively and they have LeBron and company frustrated. Look for the Timberwolves to push the ball in transition, as their speed is just too much for the Lakers. My daily free plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the T-WOLVES ATS. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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