Free Sports Picks from Top Betting Handicappers - Best Bets of the Day

PSP Data Driven 1* Saints.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. New Orleans is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games against Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home.

Free Play on St. Thomas -7½ -109

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #132 Jacksonville Jaguars over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, December 7 CBS) Solo first place in the AFC South is on the line Sunday when the Colts travel south to Jacksonville to take on the Jaguars. As expected, the Colts have fallen off of late losing 3 of their last 4 games. QB Jones and RB Taylor has not been as productive of late and I just do not trust this team when playing December games on the road. Jacksonville has won 3 straight games, and they are starting to lite up the scoreboard and I see that continuing at home in this game. The wrong team is favored, and we will gladly take the slight home dog on Sunday. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Card featuring top plays in College Basketball, NBA, NHL, Football, and the UFC.

David's NFL Free Pick

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The line seems inflated by the Dolphins' three-game winning streak, but this is an overreaction since all those wins were at home. This will be Miami’s first game outside of Miami since October 26, and the December weather in East Rutherford, NJ, could be a tough adjustment for a team used to the heat. Meanwhile, the Jets are trending in the right direction as well and should capitalize on the favorable conditions and home-field advantage.

This is a 1% FREE PLAY on the JETS on the MONEYLINE. 

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Saints +8½ -110

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1% GOLD RUSH on Colts/Jaguars: under 46½

Free Pick on Vikings +1½ -110

Free Play – Take #122 Minnesota +1.5 over Washington (1:00 p.m. ET, Sunday, Dec. 7)

It’s a little surprising that this NFC clash of two teams going nowhere would see line movement. At this time, the quarterback situation for both teams is up in the air, with both Jayden Daniels and J.J. McCarthy - questionable. One likely factor for Minnesota sliding from -2.5 to -1.5 is how bad they looked playing third-string Max Brosmer. The Vikings were shutout 26-0, gaining 162 total yards, with five turnovers. Update: With McCarthy cleared to play, it’s not a good sign that the line didn’t budge. (OUCH) Oddly, what did change is the total from 41.5 to 44. Do better think McCarthy will help or hurt Minnesota with the total climbing?  Teams after being blanked are 33-17 ATS, so playing at home should help the Vikings, along with having the better overall defense. We’ll side with the OVER with each defense capable of giving up big plays, with Minny on a 12-2 OVER December run.

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Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on Baltimore minus the points over Pittsburgh at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The Ravens haven't instilled much confidence in bettors this season and certainly didn't do themselves any favors with last week's Thanksgiving Night 'upset' loss at home against the Bengals. Here, I do think they're worthy of our support, however, as they host the similarly-reeling Steelers. Pittsburgh has lost back-to-back games both SU and ATS and is dealing with a number of key injuries, not to mention the fact that QB Aaron Rodgers is clearly not at full strength and a shell of his former self at this stage of his career. The Ravens defense figures to have taken last week's loss personally and is well-positioned to bounce back in this spot. I'm not sure too much will be asked of the Baltimore offense in this game, but we can expect the Steelers defense to get a heavy dose of RB Derrick Henry after getting flamed by the Bills ground attack last week. Look for the Ravens to hold serve at home before these two teams meet again in the final week of the regular season in January. Take Baltimore.

Saints vs Buccaneers  
1:00 EST 
5-UNIT bet OVER the total currently priced at 42 points. 

Betting the Over in a game with a total between 37.5 and 42 points in which one of the teams is getting outscored by 4 or more points per game and is on a 4 or more Under streak has gone 38-21 for 64.4% winning bets over the past 30 seasons.  If the game occurs from week 13 on out, the OVER has gone 20-11 good for 65% winning bets since 1994. 

1* Free Pick on Bucs -8½ -106

1* Free Pick on Steelers/Ravens over 42½

This is a play on the NEW YORK JETS for our Sunday Free Play. The Jets came through last week with a three-point win over Atlanta as a three-point underdog and they are getting the same line this week against a team ranked lower than the Falcons. New York continues to fight as it weas rolled in games against the Bills and Cowboys at home early in the season but the Jets are 2-1 in their three home games since those other two games with a two-point neutral field loss against Denver in the mix as well. The metrics are not good as New York is No. 27 in both Offensive and Defensive EPA. This is not much different than the numbers of Miami as the Dolphins are No. 26 in both of those categories and now they are on the road as favorites. They did win their last road game against Atlanta but that was way back on October 26 and Miami was 0-4 on the road prior to that Falcons game. Tua Tagovailoa has been a turnover machine of late as he has 10 interceptions in his last seven games and the Jets could get their first of the season. Here, we play on teams in the second half of the season with a winning percentage between .250 and .400 where the line is +3 to -3 revenging a loss by seven points or less. This situation is 30-4 ATS (88.2 percent) since 2016. Play (124) New York Jets

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Free Total Annihilator On Commanders vs Vikings over 43½ -105

Seahawks vs Falcons NFL Free Pick 

The Angle: With Michael Penix Jr. out for the season due to an ACL injury, Kirk Cousins will get another start for the Falcons. While Cousins is past his prime, he remains a reliable quarterback who takes good care of the football, making him a strong backup option. The Falcons are disrespected in this matchup IMO, and the Seahawks, coming off an 8-2 run both straight up and against the spread, could be ripe for regression. 

Play on: FALCONS (3%). 

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1* on Dolphins -2½

Sunday card has a 14-0 AFC East Game of the Year headlining along with a TOP RED ZONE SIDE Later on and a TOP Unsurpassed Totals Play along with Sunday night Football and CBB and NBA. Comp play below. 

The NFL Comp play at 1 eastern is on the Colts minus the point or two. Big game here between a pair of 8-4 teams. We will back the Colts here as week 2 or later home dogs of 6 or less with a winning record that are off a road favored win vs an opponent off a home favored loss are 0-7 straight up and to the spread long term if the total is 34 or higher.  The Jags have lost 3 of 4 at home vs winning teams. The Colts have won 7 straight vs a winning opponent as a road favorite in divisional play. Look for Indy to bounce back from a Pair of losses. GL Rob V-

Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on New Orleans Saints +8.5

The Key: The Saints have been competitive in their last 3 games going 1-2 SU but 2-1 ATS.  They upset the Panthers 17-7 as 5-point road dogs and outgained them 388 to 175 for the game.  That win is aging very well with what the Panthers are doing.  They lost 24-10 to the Falcons, but that was a misleading game as they got 3 points on two trips to the 1-yard line and missed 2 FG's.  They also lost 21-17 as 5-point dogs at Miami.  They should not be 8.5-point road dogs here to the Bucs, who are 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.  Their lone win was a 3-point home win over the Cardinals as 4-point favorites.  They were outgained 386 to 279 by the Cardinals.  They also lost by 5 at home to New England, by 12 at Buffalo and by 27 to the Rams on the road.  Baker Mayfield is playing injured, and he won't get Mike Evans or Jalen McMillan back this week.  One of the most misleading scores of the season was when the Bucs beat the Saints 23-3 in the first matchup in New Orleans.  The Saints outgained the Bucs 275 to 212.  It was just a comedy of errors by the Saints, including a 3-yard INT return TD where Spencer Rattler threw it right to the defender.  The Saints were -3 in turnovers.  They have been playing their best football on the road this year and I think they keep this within 8 points in the rematch.  The Saints are actually a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games as road underdogs against NFC South foes.  They are also 7-0 ATS in their last 7 trips to Tampa Bay.  Take New Orleans.

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Missouri is 8–1 and is putting up 90.4 points per game and are allowing 69 points a game. Kansas is 6-3 and is putting up 74 points a game and allowing 64. Missouri has an explosive offense and will look to push the pace. Kansas is the more complete team, but I will take the points.

Plau on Missouri. This is a free play.

1 Unit FREE PLAY on New York Jets +2.5

The New York Jets are one of the most unlucky teams in the NFL.  They still don't have an interception this season and they have forced a total of two turnovers all year! Yet the Jets are 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  The offense looks a lot better with Tyrod Taylor, who led them to 27 points in an upset win over the Falcons last week.  The Jets want revenge on the Dolphins after losing 27-21 in Miami in their first meeting.  The Jets really should have won that game as they gained 404 total yards and outgained the Dolphins by 104 yards.  But they were -3 in turnovers, and it was one of the most one-sided ref games in favor of the Dolphins I've ever seen.  Now Tua Tagovailoa has to go play in the cold in New York, and he has never fared well outdoors in the cold this late in the year.  Tua is 3-8 SU & 3-8 ATS in road/neutral games in December or later in his career.  Taylor is 7-0-1 ATS in his last eight starts.  Give me the Jets.

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1* Bet on Niagara +5½

1 Dimer on LSU +6½ -115

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Sunday’s Free Winner: Denver Broncos.

Game 137.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

As a Las Vegas resident for over 36 years, I always try to support my local teams. But in all sincerity, my loyalty belongs to my bankroll, and to you, those who follow me. I just can't feel any excitement or any optimism for our Las Vegas Raiders. This is by far one of the worst teams in the league not just this year, but in any year in recent memory. New coach, new quarterback, outstanding running back, and yet they are just 2-10, and have only covered three games this season. They are currently riding a six-game straight up slide in which they've only covered one of those outings. They face an AFC West opponent, the best team in the division right now, the Denver Broncos. Denver sit atop the division at 10-2, and a few more victories would not just ensure them the division, but one of the best overall records in the conference. The Broncos, following this week have remaining regular season games at home against the Green Bay Packers, the Jacksonville Jaguars, then take it on the road to face the Kansas City Chiefs, before finishing up the regular season at home against the Los Angeles Chargers. They do have some tough matchups, my friends. So, this game here is a must win for the Broncos. If you recall about a month ago in Denver one of the ugliest and sloppiest games took place between these two teams as Denver did prevail 10-7. I don't expect the Broncos to have another poor performance like they did that night. Prior to that, they did take both of last season’s matchups with the Las Vegas Raiders, the first at home in the beginning of October, 34-18, and the second and late November on the road, 29-19. The Broncos are certainly a force to be reckoned with for sure as they have rattled off nine consecutive victories, as in each game at some point they have trailed. That tells me just how good they really are. I understand they are eking out victories, as their last four games have all been decided by three-points or less. But facing the Raiders are an entirely different situation. The Raiders during their current six-game slide have lost by an average of 13.8 PPG. I had to double check this stat my friends, but they are of the only team since the start of last season without a division win going 0-10 against AFC West opponents. To add insult to injury, the Broncos are one of the best teams in the NFL at sacking the quarterback, while the Raiders are one of the worst at allowing sacks. I'm not worried about a one-score game here, I think this game will be decided by double-digits. Take the Denver Broncos. Thank you.

1* Free Sharp Play on Rams vs Cardinals under 48 -110

FREE PLAY on Cardinals +9½