| 6:45 PM | ML | O/U | SCORE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -10000 | 9 | 0 |
| Nationals | -10000 | 0 | |
| Premium Picks [12] �? Free Picks [3] | |||
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1* Best Bet on Marlins/Nationals under 9 +100
No analysis provided.
You can do a lot worse than go Over on a Nationals game. The Over is 38-20-3 in Washington's games this season. That is 65.5 percent!
I see that trend continuing here with the Marlins set for a bullpen game and Washington giving the ball to the egregious Miles Mikolas.
The Nationals have that perfect combination for being a great Over team. They lead the majors in runs with an excellent blend of power and speed. But their pitching is terrible and their fielding is the worst in the league.
Miami is expected to open with Lake Bachar. He hasn't pitched more than 2 1/3 innings in a game all season. The Nationals are averaging 5.5 runs during their last seven games.
Mikolas is 1-4 with a 5.72 ERA and only 32 strikeouts in 50 1/3 innings. The Nationals have a bottom 10 bullpen.
Marlins vs Nationals MLB Free Pick
The Angle(s): The Washington Nationals are 38–20–3 (65.5%) to the over this season, and that number balloons to 20–8–2 (71.4%) at home, highlighting how frequently games at Nationals Park have turned into higher-scoring affairs.
The matchup sets up for more of the same, with an inexperienced Lake Bachar (0–0, 3.77 ERA) expected to open what should effectively be a bullpen game for Miami, and Miles Mikolas (1–4, 5.72 ERA) carrying ugly season numbers and having been particularly hittable in his home outings. With those profiles on the mound and Washington’s strong over trend, this total looks a bit light.
The Bet: OVER (3%).
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