| 6:40 PM | ML | O/U | SCORE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | +113 | 7 | 0 |
| Rays | -125 | 0 | |
| Premium Picks [17] �? Free Picks [8] | |||
*Top 10 Overall Capper 4 of L10 Years!*
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Gary is 109-99 +701.00 with his last 208 MLB picks.
Gary has a long history of picking winners. He uses his years of experience handicapping sports combined with his own personal advanced analytics and his experience as a professional athlete to make his selections.
Additional picks may be added throughout the day. You can get all of Gary’s daily selections for $39.95 through his 1 Day All Sports Pass. Scroll down for that package.
Gary’s pick packages are guaranteed. You win or your next day of selections for that sport is free.
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Dave's Wednesday Free Play:
1* on New York Yankees +116
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the New York Yankees as underdogs to the Tampa Bay Rays tonight. Gerrit Cole has owned the Rays at 8-7 with a 3.01 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 25 lifetime starts against them. He has yielded only 2 ER in 19 2/3 innings in his last 3 starts against Tampa Bay. Shane McLanahan does not enjoy facing the Yankees, going 1-4 with a 4.70 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against them while yielding 20 ER and 9 HR in 38 1/3 innings. He has yielded 9 ER and 4 HR in 8 innings in his last 2 starts against them. Take New York.
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This is a play on the NEW YORK YANKEES for our Wednesday Free Play. The Yankees have lost 10 of their last 12 games following a 6-4 loss last night as Will Warren got lit up for all six runs and they are back to trailing the Rays by four games in the American League East. They are still six games over .500 on the road and are catching an underdog price with Gerrit Cole who has not been in good form but he is worth the shot at a rare price for him. He started the season with a pair of scoreless starts but he had an awful June with a 6.12 ERA over five starts yet he did bounce back with a solid effort last time out as he allowed two runs over five innings with a rain delay in the middle of it. The Rays snapped a three-game slide with the win last night and they send ace Shane McClanahan to the hill and he is having a solid season with a 3.05 ERA after missing the last two full seasons. He is rightfully favored but prior to his last outing against the not so strong Royals, he posted a 5.79 ERA in his previous four starts. Play (913) New York Yankees
Fargo is coming off a 0-2 Tuesday in baseball with the bullpens doing us in but now we bounce back on Wednesday to continue the awesome start to the season. THREE Winners for tonight as we go for the PERFECT SWEEP!
Yankees vs Rays MLB Free Pick
The Angle(s): This looks like it'll mark the 10th time the New York Yankees close as an underdog this season. They have proven to be highly profitable in this role, carrying a solid 5-4 record in the previous instances.
The Yankees hand the ball to right-hander Gerrit Cole (3-3, 4.01 ERA), who has put together a decent comeback campaign after missing the entire 2025 season following Tommy John surgery. Most importantly, Cole holds an edge over a Tampa Bay Rays order that has historically struggled to decode his dominant arsenal throughout the years.
The Bet: Yankees (3%).
The Yankees are the luck-gap side, and they are catching plus money. TeamRankings has Tampa Bay at +8.49 Luck Factor, the luckiest team in MLB, while the Yankees sit at -1.98. That creates a 10.47-game gap, making the Rays the overvalued side and New York the undervalued side under this model.
Gerrit Cole’s overall recent numbers are not dominant, but the matchup history is strong. In his last three starts against Tampa Bay, Cole has allowed only 2 earned runs in 19.2 innings, good for a 0.92 ERA, with 21 strikeouts. Earlier this season, he threw 6 shutout innings against this same Rays lineup.
Shane McClanahan’s season ERA is better at 3.05, but his recent form is shakier than the surface number. Over his last three starts, he owns a 5.27 ERA and 1.76 WHIP, with opponents reaching at a .369 OBP. He is also only 1-4 with a 4.70 ERA in eight career starts against the Yankees.
Tampa Bay has the better record, but that is exactly where the luck-gap theory matters. The Rays are priced like the stronger team, yet the numbers say they have been the league’s luckiest club, while the Yankees are undervalued, projected slightly better by Covers, and send out a starter with proven success in this matchup.